Tennis EdgeBoard - 2026-05-27

Kalshi KXATPMATCH 2m · 1804rKalshi KXWTAMATCH 2m · 1666rKalshi KXFRENCHOPEN 2mKalshi KXFOPENMENSINGLE 2mKalshi KXATPGRANDSLAM 2m · 14rKalshi KXUSOPEN 2mKalshi KXATPSETWINNER 2m · 3692rKalshi KXATPTOTALSETS 2mKalshi KXATPSETSWEEP 2m · 1rKalshi KXATPGAMESPREAD 2mKalshi KXATPEXACTMATCH 2m · 1666rKalshi KXWTADOUBLES 2m · 74rKalshi KXATP1RANK 2m · 16relo last computed 2m · 20051rrankings last pulled 2m · 7538rrankings atp latest date 2drankings wta latest date 2dmirror atp schedule 0m · 124rh2h last computed 10dh2h n pairs missinglast player db run missingresults last_run missingpp_edges CSV 0mkalshi edges JSON 0mpaper trades PP 0mpaper trades Kalshi 0mdaily payload 0mPP movement 0mPP calibration 0m

Matches today

scheduled

ELITE edges

across Kalshi + PP

STRONG edges

tier 2

MED edges

tier 3

Paper locks

Kalshi + PP

Real Money YTD

-$10.00

paper-gate restored

Qualifying skipped

filtered out today

Last refresh

13:10

2026-05-27 UTC

🏆 Best Bet (main-draw)

No main-draw Kalshi pick survived qualifying filter today.

🎯 Safest (P ≥ 65%)

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchaga · Round Of 64 hard · LOW

72%

Heavy main-draw favorite · SKIP

Edge +1.1pp
Ask 71¢

💎 Biggest Payout (ELITE)

No ELITE main-draw longshot today.

#	Match	Tournament	Round	Surface	Start	ELO A	ELO B	ELO diff	Kalshi event
1	Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Andrey Rublev	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 11:00	1721	1658	+63	KXATPMATCH-26MAY27UGORUB
2	Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Andrey Rublev	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 11:00	1721	1658	+63	KXATPMATCH-26MAY27UGORUB
3	Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 11:30	1716	1589	+128	KXATPMATCH-26MAY27NAVMEN
4	Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 11:30	1716	1589	+128	KXATPMATCH-26MAY27NAVMEN
5	Jelena Ostapenko vs Magda Linette	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 12:00	1632	1596	+37	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27OSTLIN
6	Jelena Ostapenko vs Magda Linette	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 12:00	1632	1596	+37	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27OSTLIN
7	Elina Svitolina vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 12:05	1727	1702	+25	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27SVIQUE
8	Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parks	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 12:05	1522	1543	-21	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27GOLPAR
9	Elina Svitolina vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 12:05	1727	1702	+25	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27SVIQUE
10	Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parks	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 12:05	1522	1543	-21	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27GOLPAR
11	Marta Kostyuk vs Katie Volynets	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 12:30	1757	1657	+100	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27KOSVOL
12	Marta Kostyuk vs Katie Volynets	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 12:30	1757	1657	+100	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27KOSVOL
13	Francesca Jones vs Marie Bouzkova	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 12:40	1764	1699	+66	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27JONBOU
14	Francesca Jones vs Marie Bouzkova	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 12:40	1764	1699	+66	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27JONBOU
15	Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 13:15	1560	1630	-71	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY27KOKCAR-3
16	Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 13:15	1560	1630	-71	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY27KOKCAR-3
17	Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakina	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 13:20	1619	1760	-141	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27STARYB
18	James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodar	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 13:20	1641	1714	-73	KXATPMATCH-26MAY27DUCJOD
19	Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakina	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 13:20	1619	1760	-141	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27STARYB
20	James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodar	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 13:20	1641	1714	-73	KXATPMATCH-26MAY27DUCJOD
21	Hailey Baptiste vs ?	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 13:30	1662	—	—
22	Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 13:30	1572	1483	+89	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY27BORKEC-3
23	Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovic	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 13:30	1682	1738	-56	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY27ROYDJO-2
24	Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 13:30	1638	1752	-114	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY27FONPRI-2
25	Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 13:30	1451	1533	-82	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY27HUMHAL-1
26	Hailey Baptiste vs ?	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 13:30	1662	—	—
27	Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 13:30	1572	1483	+89	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY27BORKEC-3
28	Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovic	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 13:30	1682	1738	-56	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY27ROYDJO-2
29	Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 13:30	1638	1752	-114	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY27FONPRI-2
30	Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 13:30	1451	1533	-82	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY27HUMHAL-1
31	Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 14:00	1707	1796	-89	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27PAOSIE
32	Nishesh Basavareddy vs Alex Michelsen	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 14:00	1589	1488	+100	KXATPMATCH-26MAY27BASMIC
33	Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 14:00	1707	1796	-89	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27PAOSIE
34	Nishesh Basavareddy vs Alex Michelsen	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 14:00	1589	1488	+100	KXATPMATCH-26MAY27BASMIC
35	Eva Lys vs Sorana Cirstea	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 14:30	1589	1612	-23	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27LYSCIR
36	Lorenzo Sonego vs Tommy Paul	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 14:30	1465	1748	-283	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY27SONPAU-3
37	Eva Lys vs Sorana Cirstea	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 14:30	1589	1612	-23	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27LYSCIR
38	Lorenzo Sonego vs Tommy Paul	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 14:30	1465	1748	-283	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY27SONPAU-3
39	Kamilla Rakhimova vs Karolina Muchova	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 15:00	1551	1597	-46	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27RAKMUC
40	Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frech	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 15:00	1645	1534	+111	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27TEIFRE
41	Kamilla Rakhimova vs Karolina Muchova	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 15:00	1551	1597	-46	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27RAKMUC
42	Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frech	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 15:00	1645	1534	+111	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27TEIFRE
43	Mirra Andreeva vs Marina Bassols Ribera	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 15:30	1800	1681	+119	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27ANDBAS
44	Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovic	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 15:30	1744	1688	+56	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY27RUUMED-2
45	Mirra Andreeva vs Marina Bassols Ribera	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 15:30	1800	1681	+119	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27ANDBAS
46	Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovic	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 15:30	1744	1688	+56	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY27RUUMED-2
47	Tomas Machac vs Alexander Zverev	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 18:15	1592	1816	-224	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY27MACZVE-2
48	Tomas Machac vs Alexander Zverev	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 18:15	1592	1816	-224	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY27MACZVE-2

#	Match	Our pick	Our P	Mkt P	Ask	Edge	Tier	Decision	Vol 24h	Surface	Round	EV/$
1	Marie Bouzkova vs Francesca Jones	Francesca Jones	55.3%	5.0%	5¢	+50.3pp	LOW	PAPER	75526	clay	Round 2	+0.503
2	Amanda Anisimova vs Julia Grabher	Julia Grabher	64.1%	18.0%	18¢	+46.1pp	LOW	PAPER	1690	clay	Round 2	+0.461
3	Learner Tien vs Facundo Diaz Acosta	Facundo Diaz Acosta	67.5%	27.0%	27¢	+40.5pp	LOW	PAPER	13377	clay	Round 2	+0.405
4	Andrey Rublev vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	54.4%	15.0%	15¢	+39.5pp	LOW	PAPER	932508	clay	Round 2	+0.394
5	James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodar	James Duckworth	44.8%	6.0%	6¢	+38.8pp	LOW	PAPER	202704	clay	Round 2	+0.388
6	Elina Svitolina vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Kaitlin Quevedo	44.3%	8.0%	8¢	+36.3pp	LOW	PAPER	141281	clay	Round 2	+0.363
7	Mirra Andreeva vs Marina Bassols Ribera	Marina Bassols Ribera	41.1%	5.0%	5¢	+36.1pp	LOW	PAPER	57582	clay	Round 2	+0.361
8	Hugo Gaston vs Francisco Cerundolo	Hugo Gaston	47.7%	12.0%	12¢	+35.7pp	LOW	PAPER	11307	hard	Round Of 64	+0.357
9	Daria Kasatkina vs Susan Bandecchi	Susan Bandecchi	44.6%	13.0%	13¢	+31.6pp	LOW	PAPER	657	clay	Round 2	+0.316
10	Kamilla Rakhimova vs Karolina Muchova	Kamilla Rakhimova	42.6%	11.0%	11¢	+31.6pp	LOW	PAPER	8458	clay	Round 2	+0.316
11	Elise Mertens vs Maja Chwalinska	Maja Chwalinska	63.9%	35.0%	35¢	+28.9pp	LOW	PAPER	1308	clay	Round 2	+0.289
12	Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakina	Yuliia Starodubtseva	39.6%	11.0%	11¢	+28.6pp	LOW	PAPER	56025	clay	Round 2	+0.286
13	Elsa Jacquemot vs Aryna Sabalenka	Elsa Jacquemot	30.2%	3.0%	3¢	+27.2pp	LOW	SKIP	6275	clay	Round 2	+0.272
14	Belinda Bencic vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	54.2%	81.0%	81¢	-26.8pp	LOW	PAPER	0	clay	Round 3	-0.268
15	Marta Kostyuk vs Katie Volynets	Katie Volynets	42.5%	16.0%	16¢	+26.5pp	LOW	PAPER	136945	clay	Round 2	+0.265
16	Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wu	Yibing Wu	53.7%	28.0%	28¢	+25.7pp	LOW	PAPER	4849	hard	Round Of 64	+0.257
17	Naomi Osaka vs Donna Vekic	Donna Vekic	51.7%	27.0%	27¢	+24.7pp	LOW	PAPER	2826	clay	Round 2	+0.247
18	Sorana Cirstea vs Eva Lys	Eva Lys	44.4%	20.0%	20¢	+24.4pp	LOW	PAPER	7505	clay	Round 2	+0.244
19	Nishesh Basavareddy vs Alex Michelsen	Nishesh Basavareddy	60.9%	37.0%	37¢	+23.9pp	LOW	PAPER	61700	clay	Round 2	+0.239
20	Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	Solana Sierra	60.4%	37.0%	37¢	+23.4pp	LOW	PAPER	33990	clay	Round 2	+0.234
21	Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wang	Xiyu Wang	56.1%	34.0%	34¢	+22.1pp	LOW	PAPER	71503	hard	Round Of 64	+0.221
22	Brandon Nakashima vs Luca Van Assche	Luca Van Assche	53.3%	32.0%	32¢	+21.4pp	LOW	PAPER	1942	hard	Round Of 64	+0.213
23	Tommy Paul vs Lorenzo Sonego	Lorenzo Sonego	36.8%	16.0%	16¢	+20.8pp	LOW	PAPER	20440	hard	Round Of 64	+0.208
24	Valentin Vacherot vs Alejandro Tabilo	Valentin Vacherot	57.4%	37.0%	37¢	+20.4pp	LOW	PAPER	6057	hard	Round Of 64	+0.203
25	Alexander Zverev vs Tomas Machac	Tomas Machac	34.3%	14.0%	14¢	+20.3pp	LOW	PAPER	107712	hard	Round Of 64	+0.203
26	Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keys	Antonia Ruzic	36.0%	16.0%	16¢	+20.0pp	LOW	PAPER	3380	clay	Round 2	+0.200
27	Frances Tiafoe vs Hubert Hurkacz	Frances Tiafoe	63.0%	44.0%	44¢	+19.0pp	LOW	PAPER	11836	hard	Round Of 64	+0.190
28	Ben Shelton vs Raphael Collignon	Raphael Collignon	52.9%	34.0%	34¢	+18.9pp	LOW	PAPER	159101	hard	Round Of 64	+0.189
29	Anastasia Potapova vs Katie Boulter	Katie Boulter	40.9%	22.0%	22¢	+18.9pp	LOW	PAPER	2717	clay	Round 2	+0.189
30	Pablo Carreno Busta vs Thanasi Kokkinakis	Thanasi Kokkinakis	48.3%	30.0%	30¢	+18.3pp	LOW	PAPER	61073	hard	Round Of 64	+0.183
31	Maria Sakkari vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	54.0%	36.0%	36¢	+18.1pp	LOW	PAPER	1927	clay	Round 2	+0.180
32	Diana Shnaider vs McCartney Kessler	McCartney Kessler	40.3%	23.0%	23¢	+17.3pp	LOW	PAPER	2421	clay	Round 2	+0.173
33	Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovic	Hamad Medjedovic	45.0%	29.0%	29¢	+16.0pp	LOW	PAPER	58584	hard	Round Of 64	+0.160
34	Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Royer	Valentin Royer	28.7%	13.0%	13¢	+15.7pp	LOW	PAPER	218569	hard	Round Of 64	+0.157
35	Jelena Ostapenko vs Magda Linette	Magda Linette	47.4%	34.0%	34¢	+13.4pp	LOW	PAPER	315557	clay	Round 2	+0.134
36	Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frech	Jil Teichmann	54.2%	41.0%	41¢	+13.2pp	LOW	PAPER	13153	clay	Round 2	+0.132
37	Martin Landaluce vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	60.8%	48.0%	48¢	+12.8pp	LOW	PAPER	12953	clay	Round 2	+0.128
38	Anna Kalinskaya vs Alina Korneeva	Alina Korneeva	40.7%	29.0%	29¢	+11.7pp	LOW	PAPER	1390	clay	Round 2	+0.117
39	Dino Prizmic vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	58.3%	49.0%	49¢	+9.3pp	LOW	PAPER	113693	hard	Round Of 64	+0.093
40	Katerina Siniakova vs Victoria Mboko	Katerina Siniakova	38.3%	29.0%	29¢	+9.3pp	LOW	PAPER	1683	clay	Round 2	+0.093
41	Luciano Darderi vs Francisco Comesana	Francisco Comesana	33.7%	27.0%	27¢	+6.7pp	LOW	PAPER	2406	clay	Round 2	+0.067
42	Jaime Faria vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	44.4%	38.0%	38¢	+6.4pp	LOW	PAPER	1110	hard	Round Of 64	+0.064
43	Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Nuno Borges	46.1%	40.0%	40¢	+6.1pp	LOW	PAPER	105068	hard	Round Of 64	+0.061
44	Diane Parry vs Ann Li	Diane Parry	35.9%	30.0%	30¢	+5.8pp	LOW	PAPER	2814	clay	Round 2	+0.058
45	Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettini	Matteo Berrettini	54.8%	50.0%	50¢	+4.8pp	LOW	PAPER	3641	hard	Round Of 64	+0.048
46	Camila Osorio vs Yulia Putintseva	Yulia Putintseva	47.6%	43.0%	43¢	+4.6pp	LOW	PAPER	1345	clay	Round 2	+0.046
47	Zachary Svajda vs Adam Walton	Adam Walton	53.2%	49.0%	49¢	+4.2pp	LOW	PAPER	1239	clay	Round 2	+0.042
48	Iva Jovic vs Emma Navarro	Iva Jovic	56.7%	54.0%	54¢	+2.7pp	LOW	PAPER	8631	clay	Round 2	+0.027
49	Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Kimberly Birrell	Oleksandra Oliynykova	71.6%	69.0%	69¢	+2.6pp	LOW	PAPER	2936	clay	Round 2	+0.026
50	Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	41.5%	39.0%	39¢	+2.5pp	LOW	PAPER	3470	hard	Round Of 64	+0.025
51	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	30.1%	28.0%	28¢	+2.1pp	LOW	PAPER	15039	clay	Round 2	+0.021
52	Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys	Quentin Halys	45.0%	43.0%	43¢	+2.0pp	LOW	SKIP	58480	hard	Round Of 64	+0.020
53	Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchaga	Felix Auger-Aliassime	72.2%	71.0%	71¢	+1.1pp	LOW	SKIP	1436	hard	Round Of 64	+0.012
54	Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	40.4%	41.0%	41¢	-0.6pp	LOW	SKIP	738263	clay	Round 2	-0.006

#	Player	Stat	PP line	Our proj	Edge %	Side	Tier	Opp	Surface	Demon	Payout
1	Kamilla Rakhimova🧊 COLD	Aces	0.5	2.79	+458.1%	MORE	LOW	Karolina Muchova	clay	—	1.0x
2	Yuliia Starodubtseva🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	1.5	4.41	+194.1%	MORE	LOW	Elena Rybakina	clay	—	1.0x
3	James Duckworth⏳ RTRN	Break Points Won	1.5	3.30	+120.2%	MORE	LOW	Rafael Jodar	clay	—	1.0x
4	Marina Bassols Ribera🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	5.0	9.63	+92.7%	MORE	LOW	Mirra Andreeva	clay	—	0.5x
5	Elsa Jacquemot🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	4.5	8.47	+88.3%	MORE	LOW	Aryna Sabalenka	clay	—	0.5x
6	Kamilla Rakhimova🧊 COLD	Break Points Won	2.5	4.56	+82.4%	MORE	LOW	Karolina Muchova	clay	—	1.0x
7	Alexander Zverev🟨 WARM	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.12	+75.7%	LESS	LOW	Tomas Machac	clay	—	1.0x
8	Luciano Darderi🟨 WARM	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.12	+75.5%	LESS	LOW	Francisco Comesana	clay	—	1.0x
9	Felix Auger-Aliassime🟨 WARM	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.12	+75.3%	LESS	LOW	Roman Andres Burruchaga	clay	—	1.0x
10	Martin Landaluce	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.12	+75.3%	LESS	LOW	Vit Kopriva	clay	—	1.0x
11	Julia Grabher	Total Games Won	7.5	11.80	+57.4%	MORE	LOW	Amanda Anisimova	clay	—	0.5x
12	Quentin Halys🧊 COLD	Aces	13.5	6.08	+54.9%	LESS	LOW	Ugo Humbert	clay	—	0.5x
13	Alex Michelsen🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	20.5	9.34	+54.5%	LESS	LOW	Nishesh Basavareddy	clay	—	0.5x
14	Susan Bandecchi🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	6.5	10.04	+54.4%	MORE	LOW	Daria Kasatkina	clay	—	0.5x
15	Miomir Kecmanovic🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	20.5	9.42	+54.0%	LESS	LOW	Nuno Borges	clay	—	0.5x
16	Ugo Humbert🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	20.5	9.46	+53.8%	LESS	LOW	Quentin Halys	clay	—	0.5x
17	Arthur Rinderknech	Total Games Won	20.5	9.76	+52.4%	LESS	LOW	Matteo Berrettini	clay	—	0.5x
18	Ben Shelton🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	20.5	10.16	+50.4%	LESS	LOW	Raphael Collignon	clay	—	0.5x
19	Alex Michelsen🧊 COLD	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.25	+50.2%	LESS	LOW	Nishesh Basavareddy	clay	—	1.0x
20	Zachary Svajda🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	19.5	9.71	+50.2%	LESS	LOW	Adam Walton	clay	—	1.0x
21	Miomir Kecmanovic🧊 COLD	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.25	+50.1%	LESS	LOW	Nuno Borges	clay	—	1.0x
22	Jaime Faria🟨 WARM	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.25	+50.0%	LESS	LOW	Jan-Lennard Struff	clay	—	1.0x
23	Joao Fonseca🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	19.5	9.77	+49.9%	LESS	LOW	Dino Prizmic	clay	—	0.5x
24	Frances Tiafoe⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	19.5	9.85	+49.5%	LESS	LOW	Hubert Hurkacz	clay	—	0.5x
25	Kamilla Rakhimova🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	6.5	9.71	+49.3%	MORE	LOW	Karolina Muchova	clay	—	0.5x
26	Brandon Nakashima	Total Games Won	20.5	10.43	+49.1%	LESS	LOW	Luca Van Assche	clay	—	0.5x
27	Matteo Arnaldi🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	19.5	10.01	+48.6%	LESS	LOW	Stefanos Tsitsipas	clay	—	1.0x
28	Adam Walton🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	19.5	10.24	+47.5%	LESS	LOW	Zachary Svajda	clay	—	1.0x
29	Casper Ruud🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	20.5	10.85	+47.1%	LESS	LOW	Hamad Medjedovic	clay	—	0.5x
30	Quentin Halys🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	19.5	10.50	+46.2%	LESS	LOW	Ugo Humbert	clay	—	0.5x
31	Nuno Borges🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	19.5	10.52	+46.1%	LESS	LOW	Miomir Kecmanovic	clay	—	0.5x
32	Stefanos Tsitsipas	Total Games Won	20.5	11.08	+46.0%	LESS	LOW	Matteo Arnaldi	clay	—	1.0x
33	Hubert Hurkacz🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	20.5	11.13	+45.7%	LESS	LOW	Frances Tiafoe	clay	—	0.5x
34	Hamad Medjedovic⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	18.5	10.09	+45.5%	LESS	LOW	Casper Ruud	clay	—	0.5x
35	Matteo Berrettini	Total Games Won	20.5	11.26	+45.1%	LESS	LOW	Arthur Rinderknech	clay	—	0.5x
36	Flavio Cobolli🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	20.5	11.26	+45.1%	LESS	LOW	Yibing Wu	clay	—	0.5x
37	Raphael Collignon⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	19.5	10.84	+44.4%	LESS	LOW	Ben Shelton	clay	—	0.5x
38	Yibing Wu🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	17.5	9.74	+44.4%	LESS	LOW	Flavio Cobolli	clay	—	0.5x
39	Luca Van Assche	Total Games Won	18.5	10.51	+43.2%	LESS	LOW	Brandon Nakashima	clay	—	0.5x
40	Rafael Jodar🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	6.0	3.53	+41.1%	LESS	LOW	James Duckworth	clay	—	1.0x
41	Thanasi Kokkinakis⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	17.0	10.02	+41.0%	LESS	LOW	Pablo Carreno Busta	clay	—	0.5x
42	Xiyu Wang🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	3.5	4.93	+40.9%	MORE	LOW	Hailey Baptiste	clay	—	1.0x
43	Mirra Andreeva🟨 WARM	Total Games	17.0	23.90	+40.6%	MORE	LOW	Marina Bassols Ribera	clay	—	0.5x
44	Nishesh Basavareddy🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	18.5	11.15	+39.8%	LESS	LOW	Alex Michelsen	clay	—	0.5x
45	Dino Prizmic🔥 HOT	Total Games Won	19.5	11.82	+39.4%	LESS	LOW	Joao Fonseca	clay	—	0.5x
46	Alexander Zverev🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	19.5	11.84	+39.3%	LESS	LOW	Tomas Machac	clay	—	0.5x
47	Matteo Berrettini	Total Games	40.5	24.91	+38.5%	LESS	LOW	Arthur Rinderknech	clay	—	0.5x
48	Hubert Hurkacz🟨 WARM	Total Games	40.5	25.12	+38.0%	LESS	LOW	Frances Tiafoe	clay	—	0.5x
49	Tommy Paul🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	19.5	12.11	+37.9%	LESS	LOW	Lorenzo Sonego	clay	—	0.5x
50	Lorenzo Sonego🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	13.5	8.44	+37.5%	LESS	LOW	Tommy Paul	clay	—	0.5x
51	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo🟨 WARM	Total Games	35.5	22.26	+37.3%	LESS	LOW	Moise Kouame	clay	—	0.5x
52	Tomas Machac	Total Games Won	14.5	9.10	+37.2%	LESS	LOW	Alexander Zverev	clay	—	0.5x
53	Aryna Sabalenka🟨 WARM	Total Games	16.5	22.55	+36.6%	MORE	LOW	Elsa Jacquemot	clay	—	0.5x
54	Ugo Humbert🧊 COLD	Total Games	39.5	25.09	+36.5%	LESS	LOW	Quentin Halys	clay	—	0.5x
55	Miomir Kecmanovic🧊 COLD	Total Games	39.5	25.10	+36.5%	LESS	LOW	Nuno Borges	clay	—	0.5x
56	Alex Michelsen🧊 COLD	Aces	9.5	6.04	+36.4%	LESS	LOW	Nishesh Basavareddy	clay	—	1.0x
57	Hubert Hurkacz🟨 WARM	Total Games	39.5	25.12	+36.4%	LESS	LOW	Frances Tiafoe	clay	—	0.5x
58	Ben Shelton🟨 WARM	Total Games	39.5	25.16	+36.3%	LESS	LOW	Raphael Collignon	clay	—	0.5x
59	Joao Fonseca🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	5.0	3.21	+35.8%	LESS	LOW	Dino Prizmic	clay	—	1.0x
60	Ben Shelton🟨 WARM	Total Games	39.0	25.16	+35.5%	LESS	LOW	Raphael Collignon	clay	—	0.5x
61	Joao Fonseca🟨 WARM	Total Games	38.0	24.71	+35.0%	LESS	LOW	Dino Prizmic	clay	—	0.5x
62	Adam Walton🧊 COLD	Total Games	38.5	25.04	+35.0%	LESS	LOW	Zachary Svajda	clay	—	0.5x
63	Tomas Machac	Aces	4.5	6.07	+34.8%	MORE	LOW	Alexander Zverev	clay	—	0.5x
64	Jaime Faria🟨 WARM	Total Games	38.5	25.10	+34.8%	LESS	LOW	Jan-Lennard Struff	clay	—	0.5x
65	Stefanos Tsitsipas	Total Games	38.5	25.13	+34.7%	LESS	LOW	Matteo Arnaldi	clay	—	0.5x
66	Alejandro Tabilo🟨 WARM	Total Games	38.5	25.14	+34.7%	LESS	LOW	Valentin Vacherot	clay	—	0.5x
67	Luciano Darderi🟨 WARM	Total Games	37.0	24.18	+34.6%	LESS	LOW	Francisco Comesana	clay	—	0.5x
68	Martin Landaluce	Total Games	37.5	24.54	+34.6%	LESS	LOW	Vit Kopriva	clay	—	0.5x
69	Felix Auger-Aliassime🟨 WARM	Total Games	36.5	24.29	+33.4%	LESS	LOW	Roman Andres Burruchaga	clay	—	0.5x
70	Alex Michelsen🧊 COLD	Total Games	37.5	24.97	+33.4%	LESS	LOW	Nishesh Basavareddy	clay	—	0.5x
71	Brandon Nakashima	Total Games	37.5	25.13	+33.0%	LESS	LOW	Luca Van Assche	clay	—	0.5x
72	Casper Ruud🟨 WARM	Total Games	37.5	25.18	+32.9%	LESS	LOW	Hamad Medjedovic	clay	—	0.5x
73	Hamad Medjedovic⏳ RTRN	Aces	9.5	6.38	+32.8%	LESS	LOW	Casper Ruud	clay	—	0.5x
74	Tommy Paul🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	5.5	3.71	+32.6%	LESS	LOW	Lorenzo Sonego	clay	—	1.0x
75	Flavio Cobolli🟨 WARM	Total Games	37.0	24.97	+32.5%	LESS	LOW	Yibing Wu	clay	—	0.5x
76	Karolina Muchova⏳ RTRN	Total Games	18.5	24.44	+32.1%	MORE	LOW	Kamilla Rakhimova	clay	—	0.5x
77	Brandon Nakashima	Total Games	37.0	25.13	+32.1%	LESS	LOW	Luca Van Assche	clay	—	0.5x
78	Learner Tien🧊 COLD	Total Games	35.0	23.90	+31.7%	LESS	LOW	Facundo Diaz Acosta	clay	—	0.5x
79	Flavio Cobolli🟨 WARM	Total Games	36.5	24.97	+31.6%	LESS	LOW	Yibing Wu	clay	—	0.5x
80	Daria Kasatkina🟨 WARM	Total Games	18.5	24.33	+31.5%	MORE	LOW	Susan Bandecchi	clay	—	0.5x
81	Tommy Paul🟨 WARM	Aces	4.5	5.91	+31.3%	MORE	LOW	Lorenzo Sonego	clay	—	0.5x
82	Pablo Carreno Busta🟨 WARM	Total Games	36.5	25.12	+31.2%	LESS	LOW	Thanasi Kokkinakis	clay	—	0.5x
83	Tommy Paul🟨 WARM	Total Games	33.5	23.07	+31.1%	LESS	LOW	Lorenzo Sonego	clay	—	0.5x
84	Tommy Paul🟨 WARM	Total Sets	3.5	2.42	+30.9%	LESS	LOW	Lorenzo Sonego	clay	—	1.0x
85	Ugo Humbert🧊 COLD	Break Points Won	4.5	3.13	+30.5%	LESS	LOW	Quentin Halys	clay	—	1.0x
86	Alexander Zverev🟨 WARM	Total Sets	3.5	2.43	+30.5%	LESS	LOW	Tomas Machac	clay	—	1.0x
87	Alexander Zverev🟨 WARM	Total Games	34.0	23.78	+30.1%	LESS	LOW	Tomas Machac	clay	—	0.5x
88	Elena Rybakina🟨 WARM	Total Games	18.5	23.57	+27.4%	MORE	LOW	Yuliia Starodubtseva	clay	—	0.5x
89	Hugo Gaston	Total Games Won	12.5	9.10	+27.2%	LESS	LOW	Francisco Cerundolo	clay	—	0.5x
90	Alexander Zverev🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	5.0	3.67	+26.6%	LESS	LOW	Tomas Machac	clay	—	1.0x
91	Brandon Nakashima	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.37	+25.4%	LESS	LOW	Luca Van Assche	clay	—	1.0x
92	Valentin Royer🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	13.5	10.10	+25.2%	LESS	LOW	Novak Djokovic	clay	—	0.5x
93	Nuno Borges🧊 COLD	Break Points Won	4.5	3.37	+25.1%	LESS	LOW	Miomir Kecmanovic	clay	—	1.0x
94	Dino Prizmic🔥 HOT	Break Points Won	5.0	3.76	+24.7%	LESS	LOW	Joao Fonseca	clay	—	1.0x
95	Francisco Cerundolo🟨 WARM	Total Games	31.5	23.78	+24.5%	LESS	LOW	Hugo Gaston	clay	—	0.5x
96	Madison Keys⏳ RTRN	Total Games	19.0	23.63	+24.4%	MORE	LOW	Antonia Ruzic	clay	—	0.5x
97	Diana Shnaider	Total Games	19.5	23.83	+22.2%	MORE	LOW	McCartney Kessler	clay	—	0.5x
98	Sorana Cirstea🟨 WARM	Total Games	20.0	24.44	+22.2%	MORE	LOW	Eva Lys	clay	—	0.5x
99	Novak Djokovic⏳ RTRN	Total Games	32.0	25.12	+21.5%	LESS	LOW	Valentin Royer	clay	—	0.5x
100	Tomas Machac	Break Points Won	2.5	3.00	+19.9%	MORE	LOW	Alexander Zverev	clay	—	1.0x
101	Diana Shnaider	Total Games	20.0	23.83	+19.1%	MORE	LOW	McCartney Kessler	clay	—	0.5x
102	Amanda Anisimova⏳ RTRN	Total Games	19.5	23.21	+19.1%	MORE	LOW	Julia Grabher	clay	—	0.5x
103	Anna Kalinskaya	Total Games	20.5	24.30	+18.5%	MORE	LOW	Alina Korneeva	clay	—	0.5x
104	Naomi Osaka🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	10.31	+17.6%	LESS	LOW	Donna Vekic	clay	—	1.0x
105	Elena Rybakina🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	4.5	5.24	+16.5%	MORE	LOW	Yuliia Starodubtseva	clay	—	1.0x
106	Hailey Baptiste🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	10.50	+16.0%	LESS	LOW	Xiyu Wang	clay	—	0.5x
107	Anastasia Potapova🟨 WARM	Total Games	20.5	23.75	+15.9%	MORE	LOW	Katie Boulter	clay	—	0.5x
108	Eva Lys🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	8.5	9.83	+15.6%	MORE	LOW	Sorana Cirstea	clay	—	0.5x
109	Ann Li	Total Games	20.5	23.57	+15.0%	MORE	LOW	Diane Parry	clay	—	0.5x
110	Casper Ruud🟨 WARM	Aces	7.5	6.43	+14.3%	LESS	LOW	Hamad Medjedovic	clay	—	1.0x
111	Camila Osorio	Total Games	21.5	24.48	+13.9%	MORE	LOW	Yulia Putintseva	clay	—	0.5x
112	Hailey Baptiste🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	24.48	+13.8%	MORE	LOW	Xiyu Wang	clay	—	0.5x
113	Maria Sakkari🧊 COLD	Total Games	21.5	24.42	+13.6%	MORE	LOW	Claire Liu	clay	—	0.5x
114	Katie Boulter	Total Games Won	8.5	9.64	+13.4%	MORE	LOW	Anastasia Potapova	clay	—	0.5x
115	Naomi Osaka🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	24.38	+13.4%	MORE	LOW	Donna Vekic	clay	—	0.5x
116	Jasmine Paolini🧊 COLD	Total Games	21.5	24.20	+12.6%	MORE	LOW	Solana Sierra	clay	—	0.5x
117	Jasmine Paolini🧊 COLD	Break Points Won	5.0	4.39	+12.2%	LESS	LOW	Solana Sierra	clay	—	1.0x
118	Rafael Jodar🟨 WARM	Total Games	28.5	25.08	+12.0%	LESS	LOW	James Duckworth	clay	—	0.5x
119	Magdalena Frech	Total Games	21.5	24.08	+12.0%	MORE	LOW	Jil Teichmann	clay	—	0.5x
120	Elise Mertens	Total Games	21.0	23.27	+10.8%	MORE	LOW	Maja Chwalinska	clay	—	0.5x
121	Hailey Baptiste🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	4.5	4.93	+9.5%	MORE	LOW	Xiyu Wang	clay	—	1.0x
122	Jil Teichmann🧊 COLD	Break Points Won	4.5	4.92	+9.3%	MORE	LOW	Magdalena Frech	clay	—	1.0x
123	Magdalena Frech	Break Points Won	5.0	4.54	+9.2%	LESS	LOW	Jil Teichmann	clay	—	1.0x
124	Jannik Sinner🟨 WARM	Total Games	27.0	24.55	+9.1%	LESS	LOW	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	clay	—	0.5x
125	Claire Liu🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	11.5	10.52	+8.6%	LESS	LOW	Maria Sakkari	clay	—	0.5x
126	Xiyu Wang🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	11.5	10.53	+8.4%	LESS	LOW	Hailey Baptiste	clay	—	0.5x
127	Elise Mertens	Total Games	21.5	23.27	+8.2%	MORE	LOW	Maja Chwalinska	clay	—	0.5x
128	McCartney Kessler⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	9.0	9.57	+6.3%	MORE	LOW	Diana Shnaider	clay	—	0.5x
129	Thanasi Kokkinakis⏳ RTRN	Break Points Won	3.5	3.32	+5.2%	LESS	LOW	Pablo Carreno Busta	clay	—	1.0x
130	Hamad Medjedovic⏳ RTRN	Break Points Won	3.5	3.33	+5.0%	LESS	LOW	Casper Ruud	clay	—	1.0x
131	Mirra Andreeva🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	5.5	5.23	+4.9%	LESS	LOW	Marina Bassols Ribera	clay	—	1.0x
132	Solana Sierra🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	11.5	11.12	+3.3%	LESS	LOW	Jasmine Paolini	clay	—	0.5x
133	Maja Chwalinska⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	11.5	11.82	+2.8%	MORE	LOW	Elise Mertens	clay	—	0.5x
134	Nishesh Basavareddy🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	3.5	3.58	+2.2%	MORE	LOW	Alex Michelsen	clay	—	1.0x
135	Karolina Muchova⏳ RTRN	Break Points Won	5.0	5.09	+1.7%	MORE	LOW	Kamilla Rakhimova	clay	—	1.0x
136	Lorenzo Sonego🧊 COLD	Aces	5.5	5.59	+1.6%	MORE	LOW	Tommy Paul	clay	—	0.5x
137	Oleksandra Oliynykova	Total Games	20.5	20.82	+1.6%	MORE	LOW	Kimberly Birrell	clay	—	0.5x
138	Donna Vekic🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	10.5	10.65	+1.5%	MORE	LOW	Naomi Osaka	clay	—	0.5x
139	Sorana Cirstea🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	5.0	5.01	+0.2%	MORE	LOW	Eva Lys	clay	—	1.0x
140	James Duckworth⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	10.0	10.01	+0.1%	MORE	LOW	Rafael Jodar	clay	—	0.5x

Kalshi tennis — 2 picks · $4.00 staked

Day 1 - paper only, grade EOD before scaling · locked 2026-05-27T13:10:18.542555+00:00

#	Match	Pick	Our P	Ask	Edge	Tier	Surface	Stake	Status	P&L
1	Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wu	Yibing Wu	53.7%	28¢	25.7pp	ELITE	hard	$2.00	OPEN	+0.00
2	Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wang	Xiyu Wang	56.1%	34¢	22.1pp	ELITE	hard	$2.00	OPEN	+0.00

PrizePicks tennis — 1 picks · $1.00 staked

Day 1 - paper only, grade EOD before scaling · locked 2026-05-27T13:10:18.487908+00:00

#	Player	Stat	Line	Our proj	Side	Edge	Tier	Surface	Stake	Status	P&L
1	Xiyu Wang	Total Games Won	11.5	10.53	LESS	8.4%	MED	clay	$1.00	OPEN	+0.00

Polymarket = retail/crypto sentiment. We can't bet there from CA, but the divergence vs Kalshi (sharp) reveals where the public is loading up. Generated 2026-05-27T06:10:26 · flagged threshold = ±3.0pp · 3 flagged futures / 0 flagged matches.

Grand-slam futures · ANY 2026 Slam (Kalshi KXATPGRANDSLAM vs Polymarket per-slam aggregate)

Polymarket "any-slam" probability computed naively as 1 - product(1 - p_slam). Positive divergence = public (Polymarket) more bullish than sharp (Kalshi). Sorted by |divergence|.

Player	Sharp (Kalshi)	Public (Poly)	Δ	Poly per-slam
Jannik Sinner · exact	90.0%	95.7%	+5.7pp · PUBLIC HIGHER	Fre 74%, Wim 65%, US 54%
Ben Shelton · exact	11.0%	5.8%	-5.2pp · SHARP HIGHER	Fre 1%, Wim 3%, US 2%
Daniil Medvedev · exact	10.0%	5.5%	-4.5pp · SHARP HIGHER	Wim 2%, US 4%
Novak Djokovic · exact	15.5%	17.8%	+2.3pp · PUBLIC HIGHER	Fre 5%, Wim 10%, US 4%
Karen Khachanov · exact	3.0%	0.8%	-2.2pp · SHARP HIGHER	Fre 0%, Wim 1%
Alexander Bublik · exact	3.0%	1.0%	-2.0pp · SHARP HIGHER	Wim 0%, US 1%
Felix Auger-Aliassime · exact	2.5%	0.6%	-1.9pp · SHARP HIGHER	Wim 1%
Lorenzo Musetti · exact	4.0%	2.1%	-1.9pp · SHARP HIGHER	Wim 1%, US 1%
Casper Ruud · exact	4.0%	2.2%	-1.8pp · SHARP HIGHER	Fre 2%, Wim 0%
Alexander Zverev · exact	15.0%	13.9%	-1.1pp · SHARP HIGHER	Fre 7%, Wim 4%, US 3%
Taylor Fritz · exact	5.0%	4.2%	-0.8pp · SHARP HIGHER	Wim 3%, US 1%
Frances Tiafoe · exact	0.5%	1.0%	+0.5pp · PUBLIC HIGHER	Fre 0%, Wim 0%, US 1%
Alex de Minaur · exact	2.0%	1.5%	-0.5pp · SHARP HIGHER	Fre 1%, Wim 1%
Jack Draper · exact	5.0%	4.8%	-0.2pp · SHARP HIGHER	Wim 3%, US 2%

Per-match overlaps

No active per-match overlaps right now (Polymarket tennis volume concentrates in Grand Slam futures).

Per-stat-type MAE (n_graded=18)

Bar width = MAE (lower = better). "INSUFFICIENT" = need more graded picks.

Total Games

n=4

Ours

Us 6.45
PP 3.25
INSUFFICIENT_N

Total Games Won

n=13

Ours

Us 5.11
PP 4.96
NULL

Total Tie Breaks

n=1

Ours

Us 0.25
PP 0.50
INSUFFICIENT_N

Per-tier MAE

Bar width = MAE (lower = better). "INSUFFICIENT" = need more graded picks.

ELITE

n=16

Ours

Us 4.94
PP 3.75
NULL

MED

n=0

Ours

Us —
PP —
INSUFFICIENT_N

STRONG

n=2

Ours

Us 6.75
PP 9.00
INSUFFICIENT_N

[!]

No AAR available yet.
Expected: ~/.claude/projects/.../memory/aar_tennis_<date>.md

[MV]

No actionable PP line movement yet.
Expected: pp_line_movement_tennis_2026-05-27.csv. Needs at least 2 PP snapshots in pp_snapshots_tennis/.

ATP top 50

Rk	Player	Country	Pts	ELO overall	ELO clay	ELO grass	ELO hard
1	Jannik Sinner	ITA	14750	2175	1857	1695	2062
2	Carlos Alcaraz	ESP	11960	2070	1867	1717	1956
3	Alexander Zverev	GER	5705	1961	1816	1594	1863
4	Novak Djokovic	SRB	4460	1955	1738	1636	1846
5	Ben Shelton	USA	4070	1848	1683	1561	1765
6	Felix Auger Aliassime	CAN	4050	1864	1605	1517	1803
7	Alex De Minaur	AUS	3855	1847	1652	1590	1806
8	Daniil Medvedev	RUS	3760	1878	1641	1585	1845
9	Taylor Fritz	USA	3720	1826	1581	1722	1749
10	Alexander Bublik	KAZ	3320	1803	1724	1569	1703
11	Lorenzo Musetti	ITA	3115	1828	1756	1607	1723
12	Jiri Lehecka	CZE	2665	1837	1647	1574	1754
13	Andrey Rublev	RUS	2460	1762	1658	1516	1683
14	Flavio Cobolli	ITA	2340	1796	1720	1557	1655
15	Karen Khachanov	RUS	2320	1691	1586	1567	1639
16	Casper Ruud	NOR	2275	1792	1744	1502	1685
17	Luciano Darderi	ITA	2260	1714	1767	1466	1466
18	Learner Tien	USA	2180	1800	1466	1506	1789
19	Valentin Vacherot	MON	2103	1810	1702	1467	1738
20	Arthur Fils	FRA	2040	1912	1762	1546	1771
21	Tommy Paul	USA	1945	1842	1748	1587	1743
22	Frances Tiafoe	USA	1905	1771	1604	1488	1719
23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	ESP	1860	1756	1572	1545	1703
24	Cameron Norrie	GBR	1785	1776	1658	1529	1682
25	Arthur Rinderknech	FRA	1736	1713	1566	1530	1631
26	Francisco Cerundolo	ARG	1570	1801	1726	1426	1698
27	Jakub Mensik	CZE	1550	1795	1589	1497	1747
28	Tomas Martin Etcheverry	ARG	1510	1785	1693	1456	1636
29	Rafael Jodar	ESP	1461	1874	1714	—	1765
30	Joao Fonseca	BRA	1435	1818	1638	1495	1795
31	Ignacio Buse	PER	1412	1709	1693	1482	1562
32	Ugo Humbert	FRA	1370	1712	1451	1517	1697
33	Tallon Griekspoor	NED	1340	1681	1575	1564	1645
34	Corentin Moutet	FRA	1323	1706	1600	1574	1640
35	Brandon Nakashima	USA	1295	1706	1570	1590	1660
36	Alejandro Tabilo	CHI	1278	1786	1696	1575	1637
37	Alexander Blockx	BEL	1238	1820	1689	1508	1713
38	Mariano Navone	ARG	1215	1718	1716	1460	1507
39	Denis Shapovalov	CAN	1170	1690	1498	1472	1698
40	Zizou Bergs	BEL	1150	1705	1570	1521	1631
41	Jaume Munar	ESP	1145	1695	1563	1508	1635
42	Alex Michelsen	USA	1115	1715	1488	1538	1702
43	Tomas Machac	CZE	1080	1737	1592	1500	1682
44	Holger Rune	DEN	1060	1744	1663	1515	1710
45	Adrian Mannarino	FRA	1037	1589	1390	1584	1569
46	Marin Cilic	CRO	1010	1710	1539	1611	1635
47	Sebastian Korda	USA	1000	1806	1537	1556	1757
48	Miomir Kecmanovic	SRB	980	1607	1483	1500	1595
49	Gabriel Diallo	CAN	975	1651	1554	1576	1615
50	Ethan Quinn	USA	974	1731	1594	1509	1683

WTA top 50

Rk	Player	Country	Pts	ELO overall	ELO clay	ELO grass	ELO hard
1	Aryna Sabalenka	BLR	9960	2115	1808	1588	2045
2	Elena Rybakina	KAZ	8313	2063	1760	1580	1972
3	Iga Swiatek	POL	7273	1924	1780	1658	1852
4	Coco Gauff	USA	6749	1957	1787	1519	1871
5	Jessica Pegula	USA	6286	1997	1701	1583	1901
6	Amanda Anisimova	USA	5958	1916	1561	1638	1822
7	Elina Svitolina	UKR	4315	1922	1727	1550	1824
8	Mirra Andreeva	RUS	4181	1932	1800	1513	1797
9	Victoria Mboko	CAN	3710	1936	1704	1515	1891
10	Karolina Muchova	CZE	3318	1951	1597	1494	1869
11	Belinda Bencic	SUI	3145	1898	1584	1561	1831
12	Linda Noskova	CZE	3054	1881	1589	1583	1763
13	Jasmine Paolini	ITA	2787	1815	1707	1585	1741
14	Ekaterina Alexandrova	RUS	2679	1747	1593	1584	1662
15	Marta Kostyuk	UKR	2387	1924	1757	1449	1755
16	Naomi Osaka	JPN	2341	1819	1628	1514	1734
17	Iva Jovic	USA	2306	1829	1663	1601	1759
18	Sorana Cirstea	ROU	1985	1866	1612	1429	1797
19	Madison Keys	USA	1962	1836	1706	1558	1766
20	Clara Tauson	DEN	1920	1746	1560	1520	1679
21	Elise Mertens	BEL	1858	1802	1580	1581	1714
22	Leylah Fernandez	CAN	1844	1790	1590	1546	1679
23	Diana Shnaider	RUS	1796	1782	1647	1565	1686
24	Anna Kalinskaya	RUS	1792	1784	1538	1546	1721
25	Emma Navarro	USA	1719	1680	1578	1590	1613
26	Hailey Baptiste	USA	1683	1785	1662	1488	1667
27	Liudmila Samsonova	RUS	1635	1697	1604	1619	1566
28	Marie Bouzkova	CZE	1631	1773	1699	1476	1648
29	Ann Li	USA	1601	1745	1638	1478	1647
30	Anastasia Potapova	RUS	1470	1787	1690	1484	1640
31	Jelena Ostapenko	LAT	1464	1723	1632	1534	1621
32	Jaqueline Cristian	ROU	1414	1770	1635	1432	1698
33	Cristina Bucsa	ESP	1406	1738	1475	1514	1684
34	Xin Yu Wang	CHN	1371	1735	1546	1591	1616
35	Sara Bejlek	CZE	1369	1832	1797	1486	1653
36	Katerina Siniakova	CZE	1362	1777	1549	1578	1693
37	Alexandra Eala	PHI	1340	1786	1478	1600	1748
38	Elisabetta Cocciaretto	ITA	1320	1800	1584	1577	1689
39	Emma Raducanu	GBR	1301	1753	1570	1577	1658
40	Janice Tjen	INA	1292	1817	1662	—	1785
41	Barbora Krejcikova	CZE	1271	1715	1480	1606	1647
42	Tereza Valentova	CZE	1265	1845	1746	1517	1788
43	Lois Boisson	FRA	1264	1791	1811	1483	1554
44	Marketa Vondrousova	CZE	1263	1728	1606	1578	1609
45	Dayana Yastremska	UKR	1246	1695	1588	1575	1594
46	Magdalena Frech	POL	1238	1649	1534	1434	1613
47	Laura Siegemund	GER	1230	1680	1535	1541	1592
48	Mccartney Kessler	USA	1229	1754	1516	1583	1688
49	Maria Sakkari	GRE	1208	1707	1563	1486	1658
50	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	ESP	1200	1658	1643	1524	1578

Source	DB / file	Last pulled	Age	Rows	Status
Kalshi KXATPMATCH	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T13:08:11.065590+00:00	2m	1804	fresh
Kalshi KXWTAMATCH	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T13:08:11.065590+00:00	2m	1666	fresh
Kalshi KXFRENCHOPEN	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T13:08:11.065590+00:00	2m	0	fresh
Kalshi KXFOPENMENSINGLE	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T13:08:11.065590+00:00	2m	0	fresh
Kalshi KXATPGRANDSLAM	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T13:08:11.065590+00:00	2m	14	fresh
Kalshi KXUSOPEN	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T13:08:11.065590+00:00	2m	0	fresh
Kalshi KXATPSETWINNER	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T13:08:11.065590+00:00	2m	3692	fresh
Kalshi KXATPTOTALSETS	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T13:08:11.065590+00:00	2m	0	fresh
Kalshi KXATPSETSWEEP	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T13:08:11.065590+00:00	2m	1	fresh
Kalshi KXATPGAMESPREAD	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T13:08:11.065590+00:00	2m	0	fresh
Kalshi KXATPEXACTMATCH	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T13:08:11.065590+00:00	2m	1666	fresh
Kalshi KXWTADOUBLES	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T13:08:11.065590+00:00	2m	74	fresh
Kalshi KXATP1RANK	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T13:08:11.065590+00:00	2m	16	fresh
elo last computed	tennis.sqlite	2026-05-27T13:08:06+00:00	2m	20051	fresh
rankings last pulled	tennis.sqlite	2026-05-27T13:08:10+00:00	2m	7538	fresh
rankings atp latest date	tennis.sqlite	2026-05-25	61.17h	—	stale
rankings wta latest date	tennis.sqlite	2026-05-25	61.17h	—	stale
mirror atp schedule	tennis.sqlite	2026-05-27T13:09:47.660718+00:00	0m	124	fresh
h2h last computed	tennis.sqlite	2026-05-17T10:11:57.514615+00:00	242.98h	—	stale
h2h n pairs	tennis.sqlite	190184	missing	—	missing
last player db run	tennis.sqlite	1779887404	missing	—	missing
results last_run	tennis_results.sqlite	[2026-05-27T13:09:49.891200+00:00] 2026-05-27T13:09:47.981080+00:00; dates=['20260526']; rows=698; resolved=670	missing	—	missing
pp_edges CSV	pp_edges_tennis_2026-05-27.csv	2026-05-27T13:10:16.714498+00:00	0m	—	fresh
kalshi edges JSON	tennis_kalshi_edges_2026-05-27.json	2026-05-27T13:10:12.093920+00:00	0m	—	fresh
paper trades PP	paper_trades_pp_tennis_2026-05-27.json	2026-05-27T13:10:18.989497+00:00	0m	—	fresh
paper trades Kalshi	paper_trades_kalshi_tennis_2026-05-27.json	2026-05-27T13:10:19.451344+00:00	0m	—	fresh
daily payload	daily_tennis_2026-05-27.json	2026-05-27T13:10:20.095389+00:00	0m	—	fresh
PP movement	pp_line_movement_tennis_2026-05-27.csv	2026-05-27T13:10:19.640535+00:00	0m	—	fresh
PP calibration	pp_calibration_tennis.json	2026-05-27T13:10:19.577190+00:00	0m	—	fresh