Tennis EdgeBoard - 2026-08-24

Kalshi KXATPMATCH 3m · 1974rKalshi KXWTAMATCH 3m · 1938rKalshi KXFRENCHOPEN 3mKalshi KXFOPENMENSINGLE 3mKalshi KXATPGRANDSLAM 3m · 13rKalshi KXUSOPEN 3mKalshi KXATPSETWINNER 3m · 4362rKalshi KXATPTOTALSETS 3mKalshi KXATPSETSWEEP 3m · 1rKalshi KXATPGAMESPREAD 3mKalshi KXATPEXACTMATCH 3m · 4222rKalshi KXWTADOUBLES 3m · 300rKalshi KXATP1RANK 3m · 16relo last computed 63d · 20430rrankings last pulled 69d · 11348rrankings atp latest date 77drankings wta latest date 77dmirror atp schedule 1mh2h last computed 99dh2h n pairs missinglast player db run missingresults last_run missingpp_edges CSV 0mkalshi edges JSON 0mpaper trades PP 3.0hpaper trades Kalshi 1mdaily payload 0mPP movement 0mPP calibration 3.0h

Matches today

scheduled

ELITE edges

across Kalshi + PP

STRONG edges

tier 2

MED edges

tier 3

Paper locks

Kalshi + PP

Real Money YTD

-$10.00

paper-gate restored

Qualifying skipped

filtered out today

Last refresh

16:15

2026-08-24 UTC

🏆 Best Bet (main-draw)

No main-draw Kalshi pick survived qualifying filter today.

🎯 Safest (P ≥ 65%)

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Felix Balshaw · hard · LOW

68%

Heavy main-draw favorite · SKIP

Edge +1.8pp
Ask 66¢

💎 Biggest Payout (ELITE)

No ELITE main-draw longshot today.

[ ]

No matches loaded.
Run python mirror_atp_schedule.py to refresh.

#	Match	Our pick	Our P	Mkt P	Ask	Edge	Tier	Decision	Vol 24h	Surface	Round	EV/$
1	Yexin Ma vs Clara Burel	Yexin Ma🟨 WARM	45.2%	5.0%	5¢	+40.2pp	LOW	PAPER	80347	hard	—	+0.402
2	Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas	Juan Pablo Varillas⏳ RTRN	40.7%	4.0%	4¢	+36.7pp	LOW	PAPER	87777	hard	—	+0.367
3	Tristan Schoolkate vs Jack Secord	Jack Secord	44.6%	10.0%	10¢	+34.6pp	LOW	PAPER	953	hard	—	+0.346
4	Clement Chidekh vs Federico Coria	Federico Coria⏳ RTRN	44.5%	10.0%	10¢	+34.5pp	LOW	PAPER	1627	hard	—	+0.345
5	Taro Daniel vs Andrew Johnson	Andrew Johnson	46.2%	13.0%	13¢	+33.2pp	LOW	PAPER	705	hard	—	+0.332
6	Elizabeth Mandlik vs Kristina Penickova	Kristina Penickova⏳ RTRN	49.7%	17.0%	17¢	+32.7pp	LOW	PAPER	62	hard	—	+0.327
7	Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frederico Ferreira Silva	Diego Dedura-Palomero🟨 WARM	54.6%	22.0%	22¢	+32.6pp	LOW	PAPER	189048	hard	—	+0.326
8	Yeon Woo Ku vs Astra Sharma	Astra Sharma⏳ RTRN	52.4%	20.0%	20¢	+32.4pp	LOW	PAPER	360	hard	—	+0.324
9	Jurij Rodionov vs Kimmer Coppejans	Kimmer Coppejans🟨 WARM	43.2%	11.0%	11¢	+32.2pp	LOW	PAPER	466345	hard	—	+0.322
10	Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rincon	Daniel Rincon⏳ RTRN	38.1%	6.0%	6¢	+32.1pp	LOW	PAPER	111521	hard	—	+0.321
11	Jennifer Ruggeri vs Sofia Costoulas	Jennifer Ruggeri🟨 WARM	42.9%	11.0%	11¢	+31.9pp	LOW	PAPER	438	hard	—	+0.319
12	Guy Den Ouden vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri	Genaro Alberto Olivieri⏳ RTRN	50.6%	19.0%	19¢	+31.6pp	LOW	PAPER	1435	hard	—	+0.316
13	Ayla Aksu vs Lucrezia Stefanini	Ayla Aksu🟨 WARM	50.4%	23.0%	23¢	+27.4pp	LOW	PAPER	11584	hard	—	+0.274
14	Grigor Dimitrov vs Lorenzo Giustino	Lorenzo Giustino⏳ RTRN	38.2%	11.0%	11¢	+27.2pp	LOW	PAPER	1020	hard	—	+0.273
15	Elvina Kalieva vs Kristina Mladenovic	Kristina Mladenovic⏳ RTRN	38.9%	12.0%	12¢	+26.9pp	LOW	PAPER	938	hard	—	+0.269
16	Roberto Carballes Baena vs Jacob Fearnley	Roberto Carballes Baena⏳ RTRN	43.0%	17.0%	17¢	+26.0pp	LOW	PAPER	121488	hard	—	+0.260
17	Moyuka Uchijima vs Polona Hercog	Polona Hercog🟨 WARM	41.9%	16.0%	16¢	+25.9pp	LOW	PAPER	324	hard	—	+0.259
18	Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Alexandra Shubladze	Anastasiia Sobolieva⏳ RTRN	49.0%	24.0%	24¢	+25.0pp	LOW	PAPER	3	hard	—	+0.250
19	Harriet Dart vs Jordyn Hazelitt	Jordyn Hazelitt	33.7%	9.0%	9¢	+24.6pp	LOW	PAPER	1003	hard	—	+0.247
20	Janice Tjen vs Dayana Yastremska	Dayana Yastremska	59.4%	35.0%	35¢	+24.4pp	LOW	PAPER	2721	hard	—	+0.244
21	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales vs Jodie Burrage	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales	52.6%	29.0%	29¢	+23.6pp	LOW	PAPER	377	hard	—	+0.236
22	Roman Safiullin vs Hugo Grenier	Hugo Grenier⏳ RTRN	40.4%	17.0%	17¢	+23.4pp	LOW	PAPER	2919	hard	—	+0.233
23	Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer	Franco Roncadelli🟨 WARM	41.0%	18.0%	18¢	+23.0pp	LOW	PAPER	8068	hard	—	+0.230
24	Mary Stoiana vs Harmony Tan	Harmony Tan🟨 WARM	50.2%	28.0%	28¢	+22.2pp	LOW	PAPER	0	hard	—	+0.222
25	Hugo Dellien vs Moez Echargui	Hugo Dellien⏳ RTRN	61.1%	39.0%	39¢	+22.1pp	LOW	PAPER	5084	hard	—	+0.221
26	Bianca Andreescu vs Eva Vedder	Eva Vedder🟨 WARM	38.8%	17.0%	17¢	+21.8pp	LOW	PAPER	677	hard	—	+0.218
27	Lautaro Midon vs Kyrian Jacquet	Lautaro Midon⏳ RTRN	38.3%	17.0%	17¢	+21.3pp	LOW	PAPER	5319	hard	—	+0.213
28	Mackenzie McDonald vs Stefano Napolitano	Stefano Napolitano⏳ RTRN	42.2%	21.0%	21¢	+21.2pp	LOW	PAPER	1520	hard	—	+0.212
29	Luisina Giovannini vs Lucia Bronzetti	Luisina Giovannini⏳ RTRN	42.8%	22.0%	22¢	+20.8pp	LOW	PAPER	8813	hard	—	+0.208
30	Marco Cecchinato vs Liam Broady	Marco Cecchinato	48.5%	28.0%	28¢	+20.5pp	LOW	PAPER	28774	hard	—	+0.205
31	Mai Hontama vs Lina Gjorcheska	Lina Gjorcheska⏳ RTRN	40.8%	21.0%	21¢	+19.9pp	LOW	PAPER	916	hard	—	+0.198
32	Hugo Gaston vs Guido Ivan Justo	Guido Ivan Justo⏳ RTRN	33.8%	14.0%	14¢	+19.8pp	LOW	PAPER	2362	hard	—	+0.198
33	Coleman Wong vs Elmer Moller	Elmer Moller	40.6%	21.0%	21¢	+19.6pp	LOW	PAPER	8087	hard	—	+0.196
34	Jordan Lee vs Mark Lajal	Jordan Lee	40.5%	21.0%	21¢	+19.5pp	LOW	PAPER	377966	hard	—	+0.195
35	Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimova	Rebecca Sramkova🧊 COLD	52.4%	33.0%	33¢	+19.4pp	LOW	PAPER	220549	hard	—	+0.194
36	Tom Gentzsch vs Pol Martin Tiffon	Pol Martin Tiffon🟨 WARM	53.2%	34.0%	34¢	+19.2pp	LOW	PAPER	11514	hard	—	+0.192
37	Nuria Brancaccio vs Francesca Jones	Nuria Brancaccio🧊 COLD	35.2%	16.0%	16¢	+19.2pp	LOW	PAPER	300	hard	—	+0.192
38	Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garin	Cristian Garin	54.1%	35.0%	35¢	+19.1pp	LOW	PAPER	29139	hard	—	+0.191
39	Angela Fita Boluda vs Lin Zhu	Angela Fita Boluda🟨 WARM	32.2%	14.0%	14¢	+18.2pp	LOW	PAPER	15152	hard	—	+0.182
40	Jazmin Ortenzi vs Himeno Sakatsume	Jazmin Ortenzi🟨 WARM	37.9%	20.0%	20¢	+17.9pp	LOW	PAPER	11577	hard	—	+0.179
41	Linda Klimovicova vs Lisa Pigato	Lisa Pigato🟨 WARM	53.8%	36.0%	36¢	+17.9pp	LOW	PAPER	3670	hard	—	+0.178
42	Marina Bassols Ribera vs Darya Astakhova	Darya Astakhova🟨 WARM	41.8%	24.0%	24¢	+17.8pp	LOW	PAPER	151	hard	—	+0.178
43	Sumit Nagal vs Arthur Gea	Sumit Nagal⏳ RTRN	34.7%	17.0%	17¢	+17.7pp	LOW	PAPER	390	hard	—	+0.177
44	Yue Yuan vs Hanyu Guo	Hanyu Guo🟨 WARM	55.2%	38.0%	38¢	+17.2pp	LOW	PAPER	249	hard	—	+0.172
45	Despina Papamichail vs Laura Pigossi	Despina Papamichail	40.8%	24.0%	24¢	+16.8pp	LOW	PAPER	652	hard	—	+0.168
46	Keegan Smith vs Andrea Pellegrino	Andrea Pellegrino	56.6%	40.0%	40¢	+16.6pp	LOW	PAPER	259	hard	—	+0.166
47	Julie Struplova vs Polina Iatcenko	Julie Struplova🧊 COLD	34.7%	19.0%	19¢	+15.7pp	LOW	PAPER	13306	hard	—	+0.157
48	Clervie Ngounoue vs Carson Branstine	Carson Branstine⏳ RTRN	57.1%	42.0%	42¢	+15.1pp	LOW	PAPER	5064	hard	—	+0.151
49	Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Nishesh Basavareddy🟨 WARM	63.7%	49.0%	49¢	+14.7pp	LOW	PAPER	3605	hard	—	+0.147
50	Borna Gojo vs Zdenek Kolar	Zdenek Kolar	35.6%	21.0%	21¢	+14.6pp	LOW	PAPER	75	hard	—	+0.146
51	Kayla Cross vs Robin Montgomery	Kayla Cross🧊 COLD	37.4%	23.0%	23¢	+14.4pp	LOW	PAPER	1445	hard	—	+0.144
52	Francesco Maestrelli vs Toby Samuel	Francesco Maestrelli	36.2%	22.0%	22¢	+14.2pp	LOW	PAPER	4295	hard	—	+0.142
53	Clara Tauson vs Renata Zarazua	Renata Zarazua🧊 COLD	40.9%	27.0%	27¢	+13.9pp	LOW	PAPER	6415	hard	—	+0.139
54	Henri Squire vs David Jorda Sanchis	David Jorda Sanchis🧊 COLD	41.6%	28.0%	28¢	+13.6pp	LOW	PAPER	2067	hard	—	+0.136
55	Kamil Majchrzak vs Benjamin Bonzi	Benjamin Bonzi🟨 WARM	47.5%	34.0%	34¢	+13.5pp	LOW	PAPER	23072	hard	—	+0.135
56	Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Seongchan Hong	Seongchan Hong⏳ RTRN	48.4%	35.0%	35¢	+13.4pp	LOW	PAPER	80	hard	—	+0.134
57	Bernard Tomic vs Lloyd Harris	Bernard Tomic	41.3%	28.0%	28¢	+13.3pp	LOW	PAPER	641	hard	—	+0.133
58	Martin Damm Jr vs Abdullah Shelbayh	Abdullah Shelbayh⏳ RTRN	41.3%	28.0%	28¢	+13.3pp	LOW	PAPER	652	hard	—	+0.133
59	Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Dalibor Svrcina	Felipe Meligeni Alves⏳ RTRN	36.2%	23.0%	23¢	+13.2pp	LOW	PAPER	1968	hard	—	+0.132
60	Michael Antonius vs Henry Searle	Michael Antonius🧊 COLD	41.9%	29.0%	29¢	+12.9pp	LOW	PAPER	503	hard	—	+0.129
61	Elina Avanesyan vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia	Andrea Lazaro Garcia🟨 WARM	47.8%	35.0%	35¢	+12.8pp	LOW	PAPER	1349	hard	—	+0.128
62	Marcos Giron vs Dhakshineswar Suresh	Dhakshineswar Suresh⏳ RTRN	41.3%	29.0%	29¢	+12.3pp	LOW	PAPER	37313	hard	—	+0.123
63	Emerson Jones vs Suzan Lamens	Suzan Lamens	47.2%	35.0%	35¢	+12.2pp	LOW	PAPER	0	hard	—	+0.122
64	Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina	Luca Nardi⏳ RTRN	51.2%	39.0%	39¢	+12.2pp	LOW	PAPER	129	hard	—	+0.122
65	Alejandro Moro Canas vs Remy Bertola	Remy Bertola	47.9%	36.0%	36¢	+11.9pp	LOW	PAPER	1151	hard	—	+0.119
66	Jerome Kym vs Dan Added	Dan Added🧊 COLD	29.9%	18.0%	18¢	+11.9pp	LOW	PAPER	1030	hard	—	+0.119
67	Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Lola Radivojevic	Kajsa Rinaldo Persson⏳ RTRN	48.4%	37.0%	37¢	+11.4pp	LOW	PAPER	10122	hard	—	+0.114
68	Quinn Vandecasteele vs James Duckworth	Quinn Vandecasteele🟨 WARM	37.3%	26.0%	26¢	+11.3pp	LOW	PAPER	9109	hard	—	+0.113
69	Tyra Caterina Grant vs Savannah Broadus	Savannah Broadus⏳ RTRN	44.2%	33.0%	33¢	+11.2pp	LOW	PAPER	1271	hard	—	+0.112
70	Rio Noguchi vs Yunchaokete Bu	Rio Noguchi🟨 WARM	38.1%	27.0%	27¢	+11.1pp	LOW	PAPER	1308	hard	—	+0.111
71	Vitaliy Sachko vs Gauthier Onclin	Vitaliy Sachko🧊 COLD	40.9%	30.0%	30¢	+10.9pp	LOW	PAPER	55	hard	—	+0.109
72	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Francisca Jorge	Francisca Jorge⏳ RTRN	46.8%	36.0%	36¢	+10.8pp	LOW	PAPER	1261	hard	—	+0.108
73	Lorenzo Sonego vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	52.7%	42.0%	42¢	+10.7pp	LOW	PAPER	41481	hard	—	+0.107
74	Tamara Zidansek vs Laura Samson	Tamara Zidansek⏳ RTRN	50.2%	40.0%	40¢	+10.2pp	LOW	PAPER	3	hard	—	+0.102
75	Elizara Yaneva vs Lucie Havlickova	Lucie Havlickova🟨 WARM	43.9%	34.0%	34¢	+9.9pp	LOW	PAPER	890	hard	—	+0.099
76	Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Alex Bolt	Alex Bolt🟨 WARM	45.6%	36.0%	36¢	+9.6pp	LOW	PAPER	1253	hard	—	+0.096
77	Hayu Kinoshita vs Darja Semenistaja	Hayu Kinoshita🟨 WARM	50.6%	41.0%	41¢	+9.6pp	LOW	PAPER	0	hard	—	+0.096
78	Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Joanna Garland	Leyre Romero Gormaz🟨 WARM	50.1%	41.0%	41¢	+9.1pp	LOW	PAPER	31	hard	—	+0.091
79	Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Noma Noha Akugue	Noma Noha Akugue🔥 HOT	49.9%	41.0%	41¢	+8.9pp	LOW	PAPER	100	hard	—	+0.089
80	Madison Brengle vs Anastasia Gasanova	Madison Brengle🧊 COLD	47.9%	39.0%	39¢	+8.9pp	LOW	PAPER	5613	hard	—	+0.089
81	Whitney Osuigwe vs Mona Barthel	Whitney Osuigwe	42.8%	34.0%	34¢	+8.8pp	LOW	PAPER	675	hard	—	+0.088
82	Kimberly Birrell vs Darja Vidmanova	Kimberly Birrell🟨 WARM	50.7%	42.0%	42¢	+8.7pp	LOW	PAPER	0	hard	—	+0.087
83	Caroline Dolehide vs Veronika Podrez	Veronika Podrez⏳ RTRN	40.6%	32.0%	32¢	+8.6pp	LOW	PAPER	169	hard	—	+0.086
84	Stefano Travaglia vs Harry Wendelken	Stefano Travaglia	50.5%	42.0%	42¢	+8.5pp	LOW	PAPER	4051	hard	—	+0.085
85	Alexandre Muller vs Laslo Djere	Alexandre Muller	49.2%	41.0%	41¢	+8.2pp	LOW	PAPER	2819	hard	—	+0.082
86	Kayla Day vs Julieta Pareja	Kayla Day	46.1%	38.0%	38¢	+8.1pp	LOW	PAPER	144705	hard	—	+0.081
87	Adam Walton vs Jesper De Jong	Jesper De Jong	45.6%	38.0%	38¢	+7.6pp	LOW	PAPER	14504	hard	—	+0.076
88	Nikola Bartunkova vs Anastasia Potapova	Anastasia Potapova🧊 COLD	47.6%	40.0%	40¢	+7.6pp	LOW	PAPER	0	hard	—	+0.076
89	Claire Liu vs Heather Watson	Heather Watson🧊 COLD	39.6%	32.0%	32¢	+7.5pp	LOW	PAPER	2833	hard	—	+0.075
90	Teodora Kostovic vs Arantxa Rus	Arantxa Rus🧊 COLD	39.5%	32.0%	32¢	+7.5pp	LOW	PAPER	2040	hard	—	+0.075
91	Ayana Akli vs Mia Ristic	Mia Ristic	52.5%	45.0%	45¢	+7.5pp	LOW	PAPER	5655	hard	—	+0.075
92	Henrique Rocha vs Michael Mmoh	Michael Mmoh🟨 WARM	52.1%	45.0%	45¢	+7.1pp	LOW	PAPER	4877	hard	—	+0.071
93	Varvara Lepchenko vs Gabriela Knutson	Varvara Lepchenko	50.0%	43.0%	43¢	+7.0pp	LOW	PAPER	794	hard	—	+0.070
94	Anna Bondar vs Cristina Bucsa	Cristina Bucsa🟨 WARM	53.9%	47.0%	47¢	+6.9pp	LOW	PAPER	0	hard	—	+0.069
95	Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky	Daniel Milavsky⏳ RTRN	48.4%	42.0%	42¢	+6.4pp	LOW	PAPER	929	hard	—	+0.064
96	Maks Kasnikowski vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	Maks Kasnikowski🟨 WARM	41.3%	35.0%	35¢	+6.3pp	LOW	PAPER	80	hard	—	+0.064
97	Zsombor Piros vs Max Alcala Gurri	Max Alcala Gurri⏳ RTRN	32.2%	26.0%	26¢	+6.2pp	LOW	PAPER	232	hard	—	+0.062
98	Rebeka Masarova vs Iryna Shymanovich	Rebeka Masarova🟨 WARM	60.1%	54.0%	54¢	+6.1pp	LOW	PAPER	33130	hard	—	+0.061
99	Oliver Crawford vs Lukas Neumayer	Lukas Neumayer🟨 WARM	51.1%	45.0%	45¢	+6.1pp	LOW	PAPER	17304	hard	—	+0.061
100	Annika Penickova vs Martyna Kubka	Annika Penickova🟨 WARM	37.3%	32.0%	32¢	+5.3pp	LOW	PAPER	8637	hard	—	+0.053
101	Aziz Dougaz vs Federico Agustin Gomez	Federico Agustin Gomez🧊 COLD	52.1%	47.0%	47¢	+5.1pp	LOW	PAPER	22547	hard	—	+0.051
102	Jeline Vandromme vs Greet Minnen	Greet Minnen🟨 WARM	48.7%	44.0%	44¢	+4.7pp	LOW	PAPER	19807	hard	—	+0.047
103	Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly	Timofey Skatov	61.4%	57.0%	57¢	+4.4pp	LOW	PAPER	617	hard	—	+0.044
104	Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris	Gonzalo Bueno⏳ RTRN	43.3%	39.0%	39¢	+4.3pp	LOW	PAPER	3297	hard	—	+0.043
105	Ugo Blanchet vs Otto Virtanen	Ugo Blanchet	36.3%	32.0%	32¢	+4.3pp	LOW	PAPER	1875	hard	—	+0.043
106	Erika Andreeva vs Mariam Bolkvadze	Erika Andreeva🟨 WARM	50.2%	46.0%	46¢	+4.2pp	LOW	PAPER	519273	hard	—	+0.042
107	Maria Carle vs Vendula Valdmannova	Maria Carle🧊 COLD	35.2%	31.0%	31¢	+4.2pp	LOW	PAPER	16	hard	—	+0.042
108	Jan Choinski vs Mees Rottgering	Jan Choinski🟨 WARM	62.1%	58.0%	58¢	+4.1pp	LOW	PAPER	8727	hard	—	+0.041
109	Katie Swan vs Katrina Scott	Katrina Scott🧊 COLD	47.0%	43.0%	43¢	+4.0pp	LOW	PAPER	2	hard	—	+0.040
110	Katarzyna Kawa vs Ekaterine Gorgodze	Ekaterine Gorgodze🧊 COLD	45.8%	42.0%	42¢	+3.8pp	LOW	PAPER	415	hard	—	+0.038
111	Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinko	Alycia Parks	52.8%	49.0%	49¢	+3.8pp	LOW	PAPER	4349	hard	—	+0.038
112	Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda	Jack Pinnington Jones🧊 COLD	45.8%	42.0%	42¢	+3.8pp	LOW	PAPER	2058	hard	—	+0.038
113	Storm Hunter vs Maddison Inglis	Storm Hunter🟨 WARM	59.7%	56.0%	56¢	+3.7pp	LOW	PAPER	2	hard	—	+0.037
114	Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Boyer	Andre Ilagan	52.5%	49.0%	49¢	+3.5pp	LOW	PAPER	1974	hard	—	+0.035
115	Linda Fruhvirtova vs Polina Kudermetova	Linda Fruhvirtova	42.4%	39.0%	39¢	+3.5pp	LOW	PAPER	21657	hard	—	+0.034
116	Carole Monnet vs Anouk Koevermans	Carole Monnet	44.0%	41.0%	41¢	+3.0pp	LOW	PAPER	767	hard	—	+0.030
117	Joel Schwaerzler vs Gustavo Heide	Gustavo Heide⏳ RTRN	50.9%	48.0%	48¢	+2.9pp	LOW	SKIP	38492	hard	—	+0.029
118	Luka Mikrut vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo🔥 HOT	44.9%	42.0%	42¢	+2.9pp	LOW	PAPER	7	hard	—	+0.029
119	Diane Parry vs Donna Vekic	Diane Parry	44.8%	42.0%	42¢	+2.8pp	LOW	PAPER	3184	hard	—	+0.028
120	Francisco Comesana vs Daniel Altmaier	Daniel Altmaier🧊 COLD	52.8%	50.0%	50¢	+2.8pp	LOW	PAPER	2590	hard	—	+0.028
121	August Holmgren vs Andrea Guerrieri	Andrea Guerrieri🟨 WARM	49.7%	47.0%	47¢	+2.7pp	LOW	PAPER	30277	hard	—	+0.027
122	Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian Feldbausch	Vilius Gaubas	56.7%	54.0%	54¢	+2.7pp	LOW	PAPER	68224	hard	—	+0.027
123	Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Dalma Galfi	Dalma Galfi🧊 COLD	37.4%	35.0%	35¢	+2.4pp	LOW	PAPER	96	hard	—	+0.024
124	Pedro Martinez vs Daniil Glinka	Pedro Martinez	58.4%	56.0%	56¢	+2.4pp	LOW	PAPER	1078	hard	—	+0.024
125	Ann Li vs Camila Osorio	Camila Osorio	51.0%	49.0%	49¢	+2.0pp	LOW	SKIP	28454	hard	—	+0.020
126	Janae Preston vs Nao Hibino	Janae Preston🟨 WARM	40.9%	39.0%	39¢	+1.9pp	LOW	SKIP	3159	hard	—	+0.019
127	Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Felix Balshaw	Aleksandar Kovacevic	67.8%	66.0%	66¢	+1.8pp	LOW	SKIP	2163	hard	—	+0.018
128	Christopher O'Connell vs Stefanos Sakellaridis	Stefanos Sakellaridis🟨 WARM	45.5%	44.0%	44¢	+1.5pp	LOW	SKIP	632	hard	—	+0.015
129	Priscilla Hon vs Alice Tubello	Alice Tubello🟨 WARM	43.5%	42.0%	42¢	+1.5pp	LOW	SKIP	79	hard	—	+0.015
130	Soonwoo Kwon vs Dusan Lajovic	Dusan Lajovic	40.4%	39.0%	39¢	+1.4pp	LOW	SKIP	1181	hard	—	+0.014
131	Alina Charaeva vs Susan Bandecchi	Susan Bandecchi🟨 WARM	39.4%	38.0%	38¢	+1.4pp	LOW	SKIP	103	hard	—	+0.014
132	Felix Gill vs Francesco Passaro	Felix Gill🟨 WARM	48.3%	47.0%	47¢	+1.3pp	LOW	SKIP	18846	hard	—	+0.013
133	Kristina Liutova vs Tatiana Prozorova	Tatiana Prozorova⏳ RTRN	38.1%	37.0%	37¢	+1.1pp	LOW	SKIP	5629	hard	—	+0.011
134	Maya Joint vs Anhelina Kalinina	Anhelina Kalinina🟨 WARM	53.1%	52.0%	52¢	+1.1pp	LOW	SKIP	0	hard	—	+0.011
135	Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Raul Brancaccio	Raul Brancaccio🟨 WARM	42.0%	41.0%	41¢	+1.0pp	LOW	SKIP	12278	hard	—	+0.010
136	Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikori	Kei Nishikori🟨 WARM	51.0%	52.0%	52¢	-1.0pp	LOW	SKIP	9866	hard	—	-0.010
137	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo⏳ RTRN	45.0%	44.0%	44¢	+0.9pp	LOW	SKIP	5896	hard	—	+0.010
138	Alexis Galarneau vs Colton Smith	Alexis Galarneau🟨 WARM	59.9%	59.0%	59¢	+0.9pp	LOW	SKIP	3693	hard	—	+0.009
139	Sebastian Gorzny vs Cruz Hewitt	Sebastian Gorzny	53.8%	53.0%	53¢	+0.8pp	LOW	SKIP	18613	hard	—	+0.007
140	Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Jenson Brooksby	Jenson Brooksby	41.8%	41.0%	41¢	+0.8pp	LOW	SKIP	4816	hard	—	+0.008
141	Dominika Salkova vs Akasha Urhobo	Akasha Urhobo🟨 WARM	36.6%	36.0%	36¢	+0.6pp	LOW	SKIP	2301	hard	—	+0.006
142	Clement Tabur vs Braden Shick	Clement Tabur	57.6%	58.0%	58¢	-0.4pp	LOW	SKIP	7452	hard	—	-0.004
143	Julia Avdeeva vs Katherine Sebov	Julia Avdeeva⏳ RTRN	50.6%	51.0%	51¢	-0.4pp	LOW	SKIP	5	hard	—	-0.004
144	Viktoria Hruncakova vs Julia Riera	Viktoria Hruncakova🟨 WARM	44.3%	44.0%	44¢	+0.3pp	LOW	SKIP	0	hard	—	+0.003
145	Maria Timofeeva vs Shuai Zhang	Shuai Zhang🟨 WARM	53.7%	54.0%	54¢	-0.3pp	LOW	SKIP	0	hard	—	-0.003
146	Zhizhen Zhang vs Rei Sakamoto	Zhizhen Zhang🧊 COLD	45.2%	45.0%	45¢	+0.2pp	LOW	SKIP	14067	hard	—	+0.002
147	Nicolas Mejia vs Liam Draxl	Nicolas Mejia	51.0%	51.0%	51¢	+0.0pp	LOW	SKIP	7733	hard	—	+0.000

#	Player	Stat	PP line	Our proj	Edge %	Side	Tier	Opp	Surface	Demon	Payout
1	Capucine Jauffret	Total Games Won	4.5	9.33	+107.2%	MORE	LOW	Lois Boisson	clay	—	1.0x
2	Marco Cecchinato	Double Faults	2.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Liam Broady	clay	—	1.0x
3	Elias Ymer⏳ RTRN	Double Faults	2.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Franco Roncadelli	clay	—	1.0x
4	Anastasia Gasanova	Double Faults	5.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Madison Brengle	clay	—	1.0x
5	Madison Brengle	Double Faults	2.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Anastasia Gasanova	clay	—	1.0x
6	Carole Monnet	Double Faults	6.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Anouk Koevermans	clay	—	1.0x
7	Anouk Koevermans🧊 COLD	Double Faults	5.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Carole Monnet	clay	—	1.0x
8	Linda Klimovicova🟨 WARM	Double Faults	4.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Lisa Pigato	clay	—	1.0x
9	Lisa Pigato🟨 WARM	Double Faults	3.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Linda Klimovicova	clay	—	1.0x
10	Kilian Feldbausch🟨 WARM	Double Faults	3.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Vilius Gaubas	clay	—	1.0x
11	Angela Fita Boluda🟨 WARM	Double Faults	3.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Lin Zhu	clay	—	1.0x
12	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva🧊 COLD	Double Faults	4.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Francisca Jorge	clay	—	1.0x
13	Heather Watson🧊 COLD	Double Faults	4.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Claire Liu	clay	—	1.0x
14	Jeline Vandromme🟨 WARM	Double Faults	3.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Greet Minnen	clay	—	1.0x
15	Remy Bertola	Double Faults	3.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Alejandro Moro Canas	clay	—	1.0x
16	Kayla Cross🟨 WARM	Double Faults	5.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Robin Montgomery	clay	—	1.0x
17	Gonzalo Bueno⏳ RTRN	Double Faults	2.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Billy Harris	clay	—	1.0x
18	Raul Brancaccio🟨 WARM	Double Faults	4.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Thiago Seyboth Wild	clay	—	1.0x
19	Jazmin Ortenzi🟨 WARM	Double Faults	2.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Himeno Sakatsume	clay	—	1.0x
20	Akasha Urhobo🟨 WARM	Double Faults	4.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Dominika Salkova	clay	—	1.0x
21	Dominika Salkova	Double Faults	4.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Akasha Urhobo	clay	—	1.0x
22	Varvara Lepchenko	Double Faults	2.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	ELITE	Gabriela Knutson	clay	—	1.0x
23	Otto Virtanen🧊 COLD	Double Faults	3.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Ugo Blanchet	clay	—	1.0x
24	Veronika Podrez⏳ RTRN	Double Faults	4.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Caroline Dolehide	clay	—	1.0x
25	Katarzyna Kawa🔥 HOT	Double Faults	4.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Ekaterine Gorgodze	clay	—	1.0x
26	Laslo Djere🟨 WARM	Double Faults	2.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Alexandre Muller	clay	—	1.0x
27	Ann Li	Double Faults	3.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Camila Osorio	clay	—	0.5x
28	Diane Parry🧊 COLD	Double Faults	3.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Donna Vekic	clay	—	0.5x
29	Raphael Collignon⏳ RTRN	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.12	+75.7%	LESS	LOW	Rinky Hijikata	clay	—	1.0x
30	Luciano Darderi🟨 WARM	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.12	+75.7%	LESS	LOW	Mattia Bellucci	clay	—	1.0x
31	Pablo Llamas Ruiz🟨 WARM	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.12	+75.5%	LESS	LOW	Alex Bolt	clay	—	1.0x
32	Moez Echargui🧊 COLD	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.12	+75.5%	LESS	LOW	Hugo Dellien	clay	—	1.0x
33	Eva Vedder🟨 WARM	Double Faults	2.5	3.85	+54.0%	MORE	LOW	Bianca Andreescu	clay	—	1.0x
34	Angela Fita Boluda🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	6.5	9.93	+52.7%	MORE	LOW	Lin Zhu	clay	—	1.0x
35	Aziz Dougaz🧊 COLD	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.25	+50.1%	LESS	LOW	Federico Agustin Gomez	clay	—	1.0x
36	Clement Tabur🟨 WARM	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.25	+50.0%	LESS	LOW	Braden Shick	clay	—	1.0x
37	Jenson Brooksby🧊 COLD	Break Points Won	2.0	2.99	+49.7%	MORE	LOW	Stefanos Tsitsipas	clay	—	0.5x
38	Kristina Mladenovic⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	6.5	9.67	+48.8%	MORE	LOW	Elvina Kalieva	clay	—	1.0x
39	Raphael Collignon⏳ RTRN	Break Points Won	2.5	3.70	+47.8%	MORE	LOW	Rinky Hijikata	clay	—	1.0x
40	Donna Vekic🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	3.5	5.14	+46.8%	MORE	LOW	Diane Parry	clay	—	1.0x
41	Federico Coria⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	7.5	10.94	+45.9%	MORE	LOW	Clement Chidekh	clay	—	0.5x
42	Kamil Majchrzak⏳ RTRN	Break Points Won	2.5	3.62	+44.9%	MORE	LOW	Benjamin Bonzi	clay	—	1.0x
43	Elmer Moller	Double Faults	5.5	3.08	+44.0%	LESS	LOW	Coleman Wong	clay	—	1.0x
44	Jazmin Ortenzi🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	7.5	10.25	+36.7%	MORE	LOW	Himeno Sakatsume	clay	—	1.0x
45	Daniel Altmaier	Break Points Won	2.5	3.42	+36.6%	MORE	LOW	Francisco Comesana	clay	—	1.0x
46	Jack Secord	Total Games Won	7.5	10.25	+36.6%	MORE	LOW	Tristan Schoolkate	clay	—	1.0x
47	Talia Gibson	Total Games	18.0	24.32	+35.1%	MORE	LOW	Lizette Cabrera	clay	—	1.0x
48	Ayla Aksu🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	7.5	10.12	+34.9%	MORE	LOW	Lucrezia Stefanini	clay	—	1.0x
49	Polona Hercog🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	7.5	10.06	+34.2%	MORE	LOW	Moyuka Uchijima	clay	—	1.0x
50	Petra Marcinko	Break Points Won	4.0	5.36	+34.0%	MORE	LOW	Alycia Parks	clay	—	1.0x
51	Miomir Kecmanovic🧊 COLD	Break Points Won	2.5	3.30	+31.9%	MORE	LOW	Fabian Marozsan	clay	—	1.0x
52	Francisco Comesana🧊 COLD	Break Points Won	2.5	3.29	+31.6%	MORE	LOW	Daniel Altmaier	clay	—	1.0x
53	Julie Struplova🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	7.5	9.86	+31.4%	MORE	LOW	Polina Iatcenko	clay	—	1.0x
54	Astra Sharma⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	8.5	11.14	+31.1%	MORE	LOW	Yeon Woo Ku	clay	—	0.5x
55	Kristina Penickova⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	7.5	9.83	+31.1%	MORE	LOW	Elizabeth Mandlik	clay	—	0.5x
56	Grigor Dimitrov🧊 COLD	Total Games	19.5	25.25	+29.5%	MORE	LOW	Lorenzo Giustino	clay	—	0.5x
57	Taro Daniel🟨 WARM	Total Games	19.5	25.11	+28.8%	MORE	LOW	Andrew Johnson	clay	—	0.5x
58	Botic Van de Zandschulp⏳ RTRN	Break Points Won	2.5	3.21	+28.4%	MORE	LOW	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	clay	—	1.0x
59	Eva Vedder🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	7.5	9.62	+28.3%	MORE	LOW	Bianca Andreescu	clay	—	1.0x
60	Clement Chidekh	Total Games	19.5	24.93	+27.8%	MORE	LOW	Federico Coria	clay	—	0.5x
61	Elvina Kalieva🟨 WARM	Total Games	18.5	23.54	+27.2%	MORE	LOW	Kristina Mladenovic	clay	—	0.5x
62	Guido Ivan Justo⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	7.5	9.52	+27.0%	MORE	LOW	Hugo Gaston	clay	—	1.0x
63	Mees Rottgering⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	12.5	9.15	+26.8%	LESS	LOW	Jan Choinski	clay	—	0.5x
64	Hugo Gaston	Total Games	19.5	24.71	+26.7%	MORE	LOW	Guido Ivan Justo	clay	—	0.5x
65	Rinky Hijikata	Total Games Won	12.5	9.18	+26.5%	LESS	LOW	Raphael Collignon	clay	—	0.5x
66	Mattia Bellucci	Total Games Won	12.5	9.25	+26.0%	LESS	LOW	Luciano Darderi	clay	—	0.5x
67	Laura Pigossi🟨 WARM	Total Games	19.5	24.51	+25.7%	MORE	LOW	Despina Papamichail	clay	—	0.5x
68	Miomir Kecmanovic🧊 COLD	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.37	+25.3%	LESS	LOW	Fabian Marozsan	clay	—	1.0x
69	Elmer Moller	Total Games Won	8.5	10.62	+25.0%	MORE	LOW	Coleman Wong	clay	—	1.0x
70	Moyuka Uchijima🟨 WARM	Total Games	19.5	24.32	+24.7%	MORE	LOW	Polona Hercog	clay	—	0.5x
71	Katie Volynets	Total Games	19.5	24.13	+23.8%	MORE	LOW	Mia Pohankova	clay	—	1.0x
72	Francesca Jones	Total Games	19.5	24.13	+23.7%	MORE	LOW	Nuria Brancaccio	clay	—	0.5x
73	Camila Osorio	Break Points Won	4.0	4.94	+23.5%	MORE	LOW	Ann Li	clay	—	1.0x
74	Aziz Dougaz🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	12.5	9.56	+23.5%	LESS	LOW	Federico Agustin Gomez	clay	—	1.0x
75	Tristan Schoolkate🟨 WARM	Total Games	20.5	25.30	+23.4%	MORE	LOW	Jack Secord	clay	—	0.5x
76	Thiago Seyboth Wild🟨 WARM	Double Faults	2.5	3.08	+23.2%	MORE	LOW	Raul Brancaccio	clay	—	1.0x
77	Arthur Gea	Total Games	20.5	25.16	+22.7%	MORE	LOW	Sumit Nagal	clay	—	0.5x
78	Elizabeth Mandlik	Total Games	19.5	23.91	+22.6%	MORE	LOW	Kristina Penickova	clay	—	0.5x
79	Linda Klimovicova🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	9.72	+22.2%	LESS	LOW	Lisa Pigato	clay	—	1.0x
80	Timofey Skatov	Total Games	20.5	25.04	+22.2%	MORE	LOW	Gilles Arnaud Bailly	clay	—	0.5x
81	Lorenzo Giustino⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	7.5	9.15	+22.0%	MORE	LOW	Grigor Dimitrov	clay	—	0.5x
82	Daniil Glinka	Total Games Won	12.5	9.76	+21.9%	LESS	LOW	Pedro Martinez	clay	—	1.0x
83	Braden Shick	Total Games Won	12.5	9.78	+21.7%	LESS	LOW	Clement Tabur	clay	—	0.5x
84	Lucrezia Stefanini🧊 COLD	Total Games	19.5	23.69	+21.5%	MORE	LOW	Ayla Aksu	clay	—	0.5x
85	Mackenzie McDonald🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	12.5	9.88	+21.0%	LESS	LOW	Stefano Napolitano	clay	—	1.0x
86	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales	Total Games Won	9.5	11.49	+21.0%	MORE	LOW	Jodie Burrage	clay	—	0.5x
87	Ugo Blanchet🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	11.5	9.10	+20.8%	LESS	LOW	Otto Virtanen	clay	—	1.0x
88	Anna Bondar🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	4.5	5.43	+20.7%	MORE	LOW	Cristina Bucsa	clay	—	1.0x
89	Liam Broady🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	9.92	+20.6%	LESS	LOW	Marco Cecchinato	clay	—	1.0x
90	Stefanos Tsitsipas	Break Points Won	3.0	3.62	+20.6%	MORE	LOW	Jenson Brooksby	clay	—	0.5x
91	Andre Ilagan	Total Games Won	12.5	9.94	+20.5%	LESS	LOW	Tristan Boyer	clay	—	1.0x
92	Mia Pohankova🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	7.5	9.03	+20.5%	MORE	LOW	Katie Volynets	clay	—	1.0x
93	Federico Cina🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	12.5	9.94	+20.5%	LESS	LOW	Luca Nardi	clay	—	1.0x
94	Michael Mmoh	Total Games Won	12.5	9.95	+20.4%	LESS	LOW	Henrique Rocha	clay	—	1.0x
95	Jerome Kym⏳ RTRN	Total Games	20.5	24.64	+20.2%	MORE	LOW	Dan Added	clay	—	0.5x
96	Kyrian Jacquet⏳ RTRN	Total Games	20.5	24.61	+20.1%	MORE	LOW	Lautaro Midon	clay	—	0.5x
97	Nuria Brancaccio🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	7.5	9.00	+20.0%	MORE	LOW	Francesca Jones	clay	—	0.5x
98	Emerson Jones🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	10.00	+20.0%	LESS	LOW	Suzan Lamens	clay	—	1.0x
99	Robin Montgomery🧊 COLD	Total Games	20.5	24.51	+19.6%	MORE	LOW	Kayla Cross	clay	—	0.5x
100	Felix Gill🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	10.07	+19.5%	LESS	LOW	Francesco Passaro	clay	—	1.0x
101	Nikola Bartunkova	Total Games	20.5	24.48	+19.4%	MORE	LOW	Anastasia Potapova	clay	—	0.5x
102	Fangran Tian⏳ RTRN	Total Games	20.5	24.41	+19.1%	MORE	LOW	Lucciana Perez Alarcon	clay	—	0.5x
103	Quinn Vandecasteele🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	10.5	8.51	+19.0%	LESS	LOW	James Duckworth	clay	—	0.5x
104	Liam Draxl🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	10.14	+18.9%	LESS	LOW	Nicolas Mejia	clay	—	1.0x
105	Lola Radivojevic🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	12.5	10.14	+18.9%	LESS	LOW	Kajsa Rinaldo Persson	clay	—	1.0x
106	Fiona Crawley⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	11.5	9.34	+18.8%	LESS	LOW	Simona Waltert	clay	—	0.5x
107	Shuai Zhang🧊 COLD	Break Points Won	4.5	3.66	+18.7%	LESS	LOW	Maria Timofeeva	clay	—	1.0x
108	Marina Bassols Ribera🟨 WARM	Total Games	20.5	24.32	+18.6%	MORE	LOW	Darya Astakhova	clay	—	1.0x
109	Yue Yuan🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	10.24	+18.0%	LESS	LOW	Hanyu Guo	clay	—	1.0x
110	Toby Samuel🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	25.34	+17.9%	MORE	LOW	Francesco Maestrelli	clay	—	0.5x
111	Henry Searle⏳ RTRN	Total Games	21.5	25.33	+17.8%	MORE	LOW	Michael Antonius	clay	—	0.5x
112	Lautaro Midon⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	8.5	10.01	+17.8%	MORE	LOW	Kyrian Jacquet	clay	—	0.5x
113	August Holmgren🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	10.29	+17.7%	LESS	LOW	Andrea Guerrieri	clay	—	1.0x
114	Dhakshineswar Suresh⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	11.5	9.49	+17.5%	LESS	LOW	Marcos Giron	clay	—	1.0x
115	Kei Nishikori	Total Games Won	12.5	10.32	+17.5%	LESS	LOW	Sebastian Ofner	clay	—	1.0x
116	Anhelina Kalinina🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	4.5	5.29	+17.4%	MORE	LOW	Maya Joint	clay	—	1.0x
117	Himeno Sakatsume	Total Games	19.5	22.88	+17.3%	MORE	LOW	Jazmin Ortenzi	clay	—	1.0x
118	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva🧊 COLD	Total Games	20.5	24.04	+17.3%	MORE	LOW	Francisca Jorge	clay	—	1.0x
119	Mona Barthel🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	12.5	10.36	+17.1%	LESS	LOW	Whitney Osuigwe	clay	—	1.0x
120	Zsombor Piros🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	25.17	+17.1%	MORE	LOW	Max Alcala Gurri	clay	—	0.5x
121	Dalibor Svrcina🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	25.16	+17.0%	MORE	LOW	Felipe Meligeni Alves	clay	—	0.5x
122	Teodora Kostovic	Total Games	20.5	23.99	+17.0%	MORE	LOW	Arantxa Rus	clay	—	0.5x
123	Federico Agustin Gomez🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	12.5	10.39	+16.9%	LESS	LOW	Aziz Dougaz	clay	—	1.0x
124	Mary Stoiana🟨 WARM	Total Games	20.5	23.91	+16.6%	MORE	LOW	Harmony Tan	clay	—	0.5x
125	Borna Gojo🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	25.06	+16.5%	MORE	LOW	Zdenek Kolar	clay	—	0.5x
126	Liam Broady🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	25.05	+16.5%	MORE	LOW	Marco Cecchinato	clay	—	0.5x
127	Kristina Liutova🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.0	24.46	+16.5%	MORE	LOW	Tatiana Prozorova	clay	—	0.5x
128	Ugo Blanchet🧊 COLD	Double Faults	3.5	2.93	+16.4%	LESS	LOW	Otto Virtanen	clay	—	1.0x
129	Lin Zhu	Total Games	18.5	21.38	+15.6%	MORE	LOW	Angela Fita Boluda	clay	—	0.5x
130	Botic Van de Zandschulp⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	12.5	10.56	+15.6%	LESS	LOW	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	clay	—	0.5x
131	Maya Joint⏳ RTRN	Total Games	20.5	23.65	+15.4%	MORE	LOW	Anhelina Kalinina	clay	—	0.5x
132	Dominika Salkova	Total Games Won	12.5	10.60	+15.2%	LESS	LOW	Akasha Urhobo	clay	—	1.0x
133	Fabian Marozsan	Total Games Won	12.5	10.66	+14.7%	LESS	LOW	Miomir Kecmanovic	clay	—	0.5x
134	Bernard Tomic	Total Games Won	11.5	9.81	+14.7%	LESS	LOW	Lloyd Harris	clay	—	0.5x
135	Alejandro Moro Canas⏳ RTRN	Total Games	22.0	25.10	+14.1%	MORE	LOW	Remy Bertola	clay	—	0.5x
136	Alejandro Moro Canas⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	12.5	10.74	+14.1%	LESS	LOW	Remy Bertola	clay	—	1.0x
137	Darja Vidmanova🧊 COLD	Break Points Won	4.5	5.13	+14.1%	MORE	LOW	Kimberly Birrell	clay	—	1.0x
138	Lola Radivojevic🧊 COLD	Total Games	21.5	24.52	+14.0%	MORE	LOW	Kajsa Rinaldo Persson	clay	—	0.5x
139	Tristan Schoolkate🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	10.75	+14.0%	LESS	LOW	Jack Secord	clay	—	1.0x
140	Sumit Nagal⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	8.5	9.68	+13.9%	MORE	LOW	Arthur Gea	clay	—	1.0x
141	Luisina Giovannini⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	8.5	9.68	+13.9%	MORE	LOW	Lucia Bronzetti	clay	—	1.0x
142	Joanna Garland⏳ RTRN	Total Games	21.5	24.49	+13.9%	MORE	LOW	Leyre Romero Gormaz	clay	—	0.5x
143	Yue Yuan🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	24.48	+13.9%	MORE	LOW	Hanyu Guo	clay	—	0.5x
144	Lucia Bronzetti	Total Games	19.5	22.17	+13.7%	MORE	LOW	Luisina Giovannini	clay	—	0.5x
145	Nao Hibino	Total Games	21.5	24.43	+13.6%	MORE	LOW	Janae Preston	clay	—	0.5x
146	Sebastian Gorzny	Total Games Won	12.5	10.84	+13.3%	LESS	LOW	Cruz Hewitt	clay	—	0.5x
147	Emerson Jones🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	24.36	+13.3%	MORE	LOW	Suzan Lamens	clay	—	0.5x
148	Martyna Kubka🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	24.34	+13.2%	MORE	LOW	Annika Penickova	clay	—	0.5x
149	Sloane Stephens🧊 COLD	Total Games	21.5	24.32	+13.1%	MORE	LOW	Mananchaya Sawangkaew	clay	—	0.5x
150	Nicolas Mejia🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	10.86	+13.1%	LESS	LOW	Liam Draxl	clay	—	1.0x
151	Anastasia Gasanova	Total Games	21.5	24.32	+13.1%	MORE	LOW	Madison Brengle	clay	—	0.5x
152	Mia Ristic	Total Games	21.5	24.30	+13.0%	MORE	LOW	Ayana Akli	clay	—	0.5x
153	Laura Samson🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	24.29	+13.0%	MORE	LOW	Tamara Zidansek	clay	—	0.5x
154	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	Total Games	21.5	24.29	+13.0%	MORE	LOW	Dalma Galfi	clay	—	0.5x
155	Greet Minnen🧊 COLD	Total Games	21.5	24.27	+12.9%	MORE	LOW	Jeline Vandromme	clay	—	0.5x
156	Arantxa Rus🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	10.5	9.15	+12.9%	LESS	LOW	Teodora Kostovic	clay	—	0.5x
157	Sara Sorribes Tormo🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	24.26	+12.8%	MORE	LOW	Noma Noha Akugue	clay	—	0.5x
158	Tom Gentzsch🟨 WARM	Total Games	22.5	25.37	+12.8%	MORE	LOW	Pol Martin Tiffon	clay	—	0.5x
159	Henri Squire🧊 COLD	Total Games	22.5	25.36	+12.7%	MORE	LOW	David Jorda Sanchis	clay	—	0.5x
160	Federico Cina🧊 COLD	Total Games	22.5	25.33	+12.6%	MORE	LOW	Luca Nardi	clay	—	0.5x
161	Mona Barthel🧊 COLD	Total Games	21.5	24.20	+12.6%	MORE	LOW	Whitney Osuigwe	clay	—	0.5x
162	Kilian Feldbausch🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	10.93	+12.5%	LESS	LOW	Vilius Gaubas	clay	—	0.5x
163	Daniel Altmaier	Total Games Won	12.5	10.96	+12.3%	LESS	LOW	Francisco Comesana	clay	—	1.0x
164	Fabian Marozsan	Total Games	22.5	25.26	+12.3%	MORE	LOW	Miomir Kecmanovic	clay	—	0.5x
165	Whitney Osuigwe🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	11.5	10.10	+12.2%	LESS	LOW	Mona Barthel	clay	—	0.5x
166	Kyrian Jacquet⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	12.5	10.99	+12.1%	LESS	LOW	Lautaro Midon	clay	—	1.0x
167	Gauthier Onclin🔥 HOT	Total Games Won	12.5	11.00	+12.0%	LESS	LOW	Vitaliy Sachko	clay	—	1.0x
168	Tyra Caterina Grant🟨 WARM	Total Games	20.5	22.95	+11.9%	MORE	LOW	Savannah Broadus	clay	—	1.0x
169	Martyna Kubka🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	11.02	+11.9%	LESS	LOW	Annika Penickova	clay	—	1.0x
170	Luka Mikrut⏳ RTRN	Total Games	22.5	25.16	+11.8%	MORE	LOW	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	clay	—	0.5x
171	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	Total Games	22.5	25.13	+11.7%	MORE	LOW	Maks Kasnikowski	clay	—	0.5x
172	Despina Papamichail	Total Games Won	8.5	9.49	+11.7%	MORE	LOW	Laura Pigossi	clay	—	1.0x
173	Stefano Napolitano⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	9.5	10.60	+11.6%	MORE	LOW	Mackenzie McDonald	clay	—	1.0x
174	Janice Tjen🧊 COLD	Total Games	22.0	24.56	+11.6%	MORE	LOW	Dayana Yastremska	clay	—	0.5x
175	Henrique Rocha🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	11.05	+11.6%	LESS	LOW	Michael Mmoh	clay	—	1.0x
176	Kei Nishikori	Total Games	22.5	25.10	+11.6%	MORE	LOW	Sebastian Ofner	clay	—	0.5x
177	Shintaro Mochizuki⏳ RTRN	Total Games	22.5	25.10	+11.6%	MORE	LOW	Daniel Milavsky	clay	—	0.5x
178	Caroline Dolehide⏳ RTRN	Total Games	21.5	23.94	+11.3%	MORE	LOW	Veronika Podrez	clay	—	0.5x
179	Trevor Svajda⏳ RTRN	Total Games	22.5	25.05	+11.3%	MORE	LOW	Jack Pinnington Jones	clay	—	0.5x
180	Zhizhen Zhang🧊 COLD	Total Games	22.5	25.04	+11.3%	MORE	LOW	Rei Sakamoto	clay	—	1.0x
181	Gustavo Heide⏳ RTRN	Total Games	22.5	25.04	+11.3%	MORE	LOW	Joel Schwaerzler	clay	—	1.0x
182	Gauthier Onclin🔥 HOT	Total Games	22.5	25.02	+11.2%	MORE	LOW	Vitaliy Sachko	clay	—	0.5x
183	Liam Draxl🟨 WARM	Total Games	22.5	25.02	+11.2%	MORE	LOW	Nicolas Mejia	clay	—	0.5x
184	Dominika Salkova	Total Games	21.0	23.34	+11.2%	MORE	LOW	Akasha Urhobo	clay	—	0.5x
185	Camila Osorio	Total Games	22.0	24.45	+11.1%	MORE	LOW	Ann Li	clay	—	0.5x
186	Robin Montgomery🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	12.5	11.11	+11.1%	LESS	LOW	Kayla Cross	clay	—	1.0x
187	Mackenzie McDonald🧊 COLD	Total Games	21.5	23.88	+11.1%	MORE	LOW	Stefano Napolitano	clay	—	0.5x
188	David Jorda Sanchis	Total Games Won	11.5	10.23	+11.0%	LESS	LOW	Henri Squire	clay	—	0.5x
189	Savannah Broadus⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	10.5	9.35	+11.0%	LESS	LOW	Tyra Caterina Grant	clay	—	1.0x
190	Vilius Gaubas	Total Games	22.5	24.96	+10.9%	MORE	LOW	Kilian Feldbausch	clay	—	0.5x
191	Shintaro Mochizuki⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	12.5	11.17	+10.7%	LESS	LOW	Daniel Milavsky	clay	—	1.0x
192	Felix Gill🟨 WARM	Total Games	22.5	24.88	+10.6%	MORE	LOW	Francesco Passaro	clay	—	0.5x
193	Lloyd Harris	Total Games Won	12.5	11.19	+10.5%	LESS	LOW	Bernard Tomic	clay	—	1.0x
194	Harry Wendelken⏳ RTRN	Total Games	22.5	24.82	+10.3%	MORE	LOW	Stefano Travaglia	clay	—	0.5x
195	Kajsa Rinaldo Persson⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	11.5	10.32	+10.2%	LESS	LOW	Lola Radivojevic	clay	—	0.5x
196	Alexis Galarneau	Total Games	23.0	25.33	+10.1%	MORE	LOW	Keegan Smith	clay	—	0.5x
197	Ayana Akli	Double Faults	3.5	3.85	+10.0%	MORE	LOW	Mia Ristic	clay	—	1.0x
198	Lukas Neumayer🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	11.26	+9.9%	LESS	LOW	Oliver Crawford	clay	—	1.0x
199	Caroline Dolehide⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	12.5	11.26	+9.9%	LESS	LOW	Veronika Podrez	clay	—	1.0x
200	Katarzyna Kawa🔥 HOT	Total Games	21.5	23.61	+9.8%	MORE	LOW	Ekaterine Gorgodze	clay	—	0.5x
201	Dalibor Svrcina🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	11.31	+9.5%	LESS	LOW	Felipe Meligeni Alves	clay	—	1.0x
202	Arthur Gea	Total Games Won	12.5	11.32	+9.5%	LESS	LOW	Sumit Nagal	clay	—	1.0x
203	Kayla Cross🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	8.5	9.30	+9.4%	MORE	LOW	Robin Montgomery	clay	—	1.0x
204	Alina Charaeva🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	23.52	+9.4%	MORE	LOW	Susan Bandecchi	clay	—	0.5x
205	Zsombor Piros🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	11.33	+9.3%	LESS	LOW	Max Alcala Gurri	clay	—	1.0x
206	Stefanos Tsitsipas	Total Games	22.5	24.58	+9.3%	MORE	LOW	Jenson Brooksby	clay	—	0.5x
207	Gustavo Heide⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	12.5	11.35	+9.2%	LESS	LOW	Joel Schwaerzler	clay	—	1.0x
208	Laslo Djere🟨 WARM	Total Games	22.5	24.56	+9.2%	MORE	LOW	Alexandre Muller	clay	—	1.0x
209	Katherine Sebov⏳ RTRN	Total Games	22.5	24.52	+9.0%	MORE	LOW	Julia Avdeeva	clay	—	0.5x
210	Storm Hunter	Total Games	22.5	24.52	+9.0%	MORE	LOW	Maddison Inglis	clay	—	0.5x
211	Kamil Majchrzak⏳ RTRN	Total Games	22.5	24.51	+8.9%	MORE	LOW	Benjamin Bonzi	clay	—	0.5x
212	Jodie Burrage⏳ RTRN	Total Games	20.5	22.27	+8.6%	MORE	LOW	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales	clay	—	0.5x
213	Vitaliy Sachko🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	11.5	10.52	+8.5%	LESS	LOW	Gauthier Onclin	clay	—	0.5x
214	Claire Liu🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	11.44	+8.5%	LESS	LOW	Heather Watson	clay	—	1.0x
215	Lorenzo Sonego🧊 COLD	Total Games	22.5	24.37	+8.3%	MORE	LOW	Vit Kopriva	clay	—	0.5x
216	Anna Bondar🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	11.47	+8.2%	LESS	LOW	Cristina Bucsa	clay	—	0.5x
217	Adam Walton🧊 COLD	Total Games	22.5	24.33	+8.1%	MORE	LOW	Jesper De Jong	clay	—	0.5x
218	Francesco Maestrelli🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	9.5	8.74	+8.0%	LESS	LOW	Toby Samuel	clay	—	1.0x
219	Colton Smith🧊 COLD	Total Games	22.5	24.26	+7.8%	MORE	LOW	Andrea Pellegrino	clay	—	0.5x
220	Cristian Garin	Total Games	22.5	24.18	+7.5%	MORE	LOW	Spencer Johnson	clay	—	0.5x
221	Pablo Llamas Ruiz🟨 WARM	Total Games	22.5	24.18	+7.5%	MORE	LOW	Alex Bolt	clay	—	0.5x
222	Claire Liu🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	23.10	+7.4%	MORE	LOW	Heather Watson	clay	—	0.5x
223	Michael Mmoh	Total Games	22.5	24.14	+7.3%	MORE	LOW	Henrique Rocha	clay	—	0.5x
224	August Holmgren🟨 WARM	Total Games	23.0	24.67	+7.2%	MORE	LOW	Andrea Guerrieri	clay	—	0.5x
225	Veronika Podrez⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	10.5	9.74	+7.2%	LESS	LOW	Caroline Dolehide	clay	—	1.0x
226	Pedro Martinez	Total Games	23.5	25.19	+7.2%	MORE	LOW	Daniil Glinka	clay	—	0.5x
227	Daniel Altmaier	Total Games	23.5	25.19	+7.2%	MORE	LOW	Francisco Comesana	clay	—	1.0x
228	Jan Choinski🧊 COLD	Total Games	22.5	24.09	+7.1%	MORE	LOW	Mees Rottgering	clay	—	0.5x
229	Clement Tabur🟨 WARM	Total Games	23.5	25.15	+7.0%	MORE	LOW	Braden Shick	clay	—	0.5x
230	Tristan Boyer⏳ RTRN	Total Games	23.5	25.14	+7.0%	MORE	LOW	Andre Ilagan	clay	—	0.5x
231	Aziz Dougaz🧊 COLD	Total Games	23.5	25.13	+7.0%	MORE	LOW	Federico Agustin Gomez	clay	—	0.5x
232	Julia Riera🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	22.97	+6.8%	MORE	LOW	Viktoria Hruncakova	clay	—	0.5x
233	Borna Gojo🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	11.67	+6.6%	LESS	LOW	Zdenek Kolar	clay	—	1.0x
234	Kamil Majchrzak⏳ RTRN	Total Games	23.0	24.51	+6.6%	MORE	LOW	Benjamin Bonzi	clay	—	0.5x
235	Marcos Giron	Total Games	22.5	23.89	+6.2%	MORE	LOW	Dhakshineswar Suresh	clay	—	0.5x
236	Moez Echargui🧊 COLD	Total Games	22.5	23.88	+6.2%	MORE	LOW	Hugo Dellien	clay	—	0.5x
237	Oliver Crawford🧊 COLD	Total Games	22.5	23.86	+6.0%	MORE	LOW	Lukas Neumayer	clay	—	1.0x
238	Michael Antonius🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	10.5	9.88	+6.0%	LESS	LOW	Henry Searle	clay	—	1.0x
239	Toby Samuel🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	11.80	+5.6%	LESS	LOW	Francesco Maestrelli	clay	—	1.0x
240	Marco Cecchinato	Total Games Won	10.5	11.08	+5.5%	MORE	LOW	Liam Broady	clay	—	1.0x
241	Priscilla Hon	Total Games	20.5	21.63	+5.5%	MORE	LOW	Alice Tubello	clay	—	0.5x
242	Raphael Collignon⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	12.5	11.82	+5.5%	LESS	LOW	Rinky Hijikata	clay	—	0.5x
243	Simona Waltert🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	22.64	+5.3%	MORE	LOW	Fiona Crawley	clay	—	1.0x
244	Clara Tauson⏳ RTRN	Break Points Won	4.5	4.73	+5.1%	MORE	LOW	Renata Zarazua	clay	—	1.0x
245	Hugo Dellien⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	12.5	11.88	+5.0%	LESS	LOW	Moez Echargui	clay	—	1.0x
246	Annika Penickova🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	10.5	9.98	+4.9%	LESS	LOW	Martyna Kubka	clay	—	0.5x
247	Dalma Galfi	Total Games Won	10.5	9.99	+4.9%	LESS	LOW	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	clay	—	0.5x
248	Anastasia Potapova🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	11.5	10.95	+4.8%	LESS	LOW	Nikola Bartunkova	clay	—	0.5x
249	Nishesh Basavareddy🟨 WARM	Total Games	23.5	24.60	+4.7%	MORE	LOW	Moise Kouame	clay	—	0.5x
250	Nishesh Basavareddy🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	11.93	+4.5%	LESS	LOW	Moise Kouame	clay	—	1.0x
251	Polina Kudermetova🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	22.42	+4.3%	MORE	LOW	Linda Fruhvirtova	clay	—	0.5x
252	Janice Tjen🧊 COLD	Break Points Won	4.5	4.69	+4.2%	MORE	LOW	Dayana Yastremska	clay	—	1.0x
253	Lucciana Perez Alarcon⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	11.5	11.06	+3.8%	LESS	LOW	Fangran Tian	clay	—	1.0x
254	Darja Vidmanova🧊 COLD	Total Games	21.5	22.22	+3.4%	MORE	LOW	Kimberly Birrell	clay	—	0.5x
255	Taylah Preston🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	22.19	+3.2%	MORE	LOW	Oksana Selekhmeteva	clay	—	0.5x
256	Shuai Zhang🧊 COLD	Total Games	21.5	22.17	+3.1%	MORE	LOW	Maria Timofeeva	clay	—	0.5x
257	Darja Semenistaja🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	22.06	+2.6%	MORE	LOW	Hayu Kinoshita	clay	—	0.5x
258	Linda Klimovicova🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	22.03	+2.5%	MORE	LOW	Lisa Pigato	clay	—	0.5x
259	Dan Added🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	8.5	8.30	+2.4%	LESS	LOW	Jerome Kym	clay	—	1.0x
260	Felipe Meligeni Alves⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	9.5	9.69	+2.0%	MORE	LOW	Dalibor Svrcina	clay	—	1.0x
261	Lisa Pigato🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	11.5	11.28	+1.9%	LESS	LOW	Linda Klimovicova	clay	—	0.5x
262	Jerome Kym⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	12.5	12.27	+1.9%	LESS	LOW	Dan Added	clay	—	1.0x
263	Zdenek Kolar	Total Games Won	9.5	9.33	+1.8%	LESS	LOW	Borna Gojo	clay	—	0.5x
264	Max Alcala Gurri⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	9.5	9.67	+1.8%	MORE	LOW	Zsombor Piros	clay	—	0.5x
265	Raphael Collignon⏳ RTRN	Total Games	23.5	23.24	+1.1%	LESS	LOW	Rinky Hijikata	clay	—	0.5x
266	Anna Bondar🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	21.32	+0.8%	LESS	LOW	Cristina Bucsa	clay	—	0.5x
267	Harmony Tan🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	9.5	9.55	+0.5%	MORE	LOW	Mary Stoiana	clay	—	1.0x
268	Luciano Darderi🟨 WARM	Total Games	23.5	23.55	+0.2%	MORE	LOW	Mattia Bellucci	clay	—	0.5x

Kalshi tennis — 0 picks · $0.00 staked

Day 1 - paper only, grade EOD before scaling · locked 2026-08-24T13:17:57.801370+00:00

#	Match	Pick	Our P	Ask	Edge	Tier	Surface	Stake	Status	P&L

PrizePicks tennis — 0 picks · $0.00 staked

Day 1 - paper only, grade EOD before scaling · locked 2026-08-24T13:17:57.735725+00:00

#	Player	Stat	Line	Our proj	Side	Edge	Tier	Surface	Stake	Status	P&L

Polymarket = retail/crypto sentiment. We can't bet there from CA, but the divergence vs Kalshi (sharp) reveals where the public is loading up. Generated 2026-08-24T09:15:32 · flagged threshold = ±3.0pp · 0 flagged futures / 0 flagged matches.

Grand-slam futures · ANY 2026 Slam (Kalshi KXATPGRANDSLAM vs Polymarket per-slam aggregate)

Polymarket "any-slam" probability computed naively as 1 - product(1 - p_slam). Positive divergence = public (Polymarket) more bullish than sharp (Kalshi). Sorted by |divergence|.

Player	Sharp (Kalshi)	Public (Poly)	Δ	Poly per-slam
Ben Shelton · exact	8.5%	7.2%	-1.3pp · SHARP HIGHER	US 7%
Frances Tiafoe · exact	2.5%	1.7%	-0.8pp · SHARP HIGHER	US 2%
Taylor Fritz · exact	6.0%	5.4%	-0.6pp · SHARP HIGHER	US 5%
Jack Draper · exact	0.5%	0.0%	-0.5pp · SHARP HIGHER	US 0%
Alexander Bublik · exact	0.5%	0.8%	+0.3pp · PUBLIC HIGHER	US 1%
Novak Djokovic · exact	10.5%	10.4%	-0.1pp · SHARP HIGHER	US 10%
Lorenzo Musetti · exact	1.0%	1.1%	+0.1pp · PUBLIC HIGHER	US 1%
Daniil Medvedev · exact	2.5%	2.5%	+0.0pp · PUBLIC HIGHER	US 3%
Karen Khachanov · no-match	0.5%	—	no Poly match	—
Felix Auger-Aliassime · no-match	2.5%	—	no Poly match	—
Casper Ruud · no-match	1.0%	—	no Poly match	—
Alex de Minaur · no-match	1.5%	—	no Poly match	—

Per-match overlaps

No active per-match overlaps right now (Polymarket tennis volume concentrates in Grand Slam futures).

Per-stat-type MAE (n_graded=18)

Bar width = MAE (lower = better). "INSUFFICIENT" = need more graded picks.

Total Games

n=4

Ours

Us 6.45
PP 3.25
INSUFFICIENT_N

Total Games Won

n=13

Ours

Us 5.11
PP 4.96
NULL

Total Tie Breaks

n=1

Ours

Us 0.25
PP 0.50
INSUFFICIENT_N

Per-tier MAE

Bar width = MAE (lower = better). "INSUFFICIENT" = need more graded picks.

ELITE

n=16

Ours

Us 4.94
PP 3.75
NULL

MED

n=0

Ours

Us —
PP —
INSUFFICIENT_N

STRONG

n=2

Ours

Us 6.75
PP 9.00
INSUFFICIENT_N

[!]

No AAR available yet.
Expected: ~/.claude/projects/.../memory/aar_tennis_<date>.md

#	Player	Stat	Opp	Open	Latest	Diff	Abs	Direction
1	Janice Tjen	Total Games	Dayana Yastremska	26.5	22.5	-4.00	4.00	DOWN
2	Elmer Moller	Total Games Won	Coleman Wong	10.5	8.5	-2.00	2.00	DOWN
3	Petra Marcinko	Total Games Won	Alycia Parks	13.5	12.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
4	Ann Li	Total Games Won	Camila Osorio	13.5	12.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
5	Camila Osorio	Total Games Won	Ann Li	13.5	12.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
6	Marco Cecchinato	Total Games Won	Liam Broady	11.5	10.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
7	Angela Fita Boluda	Total Games Won	Lin Zhu	7.5	6.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
8	Gustavo Heide	Total Games	Joel Schwaerzler	23.5	22.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
9	Lucia Bronzetti	Total Games	Luisina Giovannini	20.5	19.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
10	Tyra Caterina Grant	Total Games	Savannah Broadus	21.5	20.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
11	Savannah Broadus	Total Games Won	Tyra Caterina Grant	11.5	10.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
12	Dominika Salkova	Total Games	Akasha Urhobo	22.0	21.0	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
13	Felix Gill	Total Games	Francesco Passaro	23.5	22.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
14	Simona Waltert	Total Games	Fiona Crawley	20.5	21.5	+1.00	1.00	UP
15	Fiona Crawley	Total Games Won	Simona Waltert	10.5	11.5	+1.00	1.00	UP
16	Laura Pigossi	Total Games	Despina Papamichail	20.5	19.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
17	Katarzyna Kawa	Total Games	Ekaterine Gorgodze	20.5	21.5	+1.00	1.00	UP
18	Dalma Galfi	Total Games Won	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	11.5	10.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
19	Yunchaokete Bu	Total Games	Rio Noguchi	20.5	21.5	+1.00	1.00	UP
20	Max Alcala Gurri	Total Games Won	Zsombor Piros	10.5	9.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
21	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Total Games	Alex Bolt	23.5	22.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
22	Christopher O'Connell	Total Games	Stefanos Sakellaridis	23.5	22.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
23	Moez Echargui	Total Games	Hugo Dellien	23.5	22.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
24	Henry Searle	Total Games	Michael Antonius	22.5	21.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
25	Tristan Schoolkate	Total Games	Jack Secord	19.5	20.5	+1.00	1.00	UP
26	Nikoloz Basilashvili	Total Games	Seongchan Hong	23.5	22.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
27	Fabian Marozsan	Total Games	Miomir Kecmanovic	23.5	22.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
28	Aziz Dougaz	Total Games	Federico Agustin Gomez	24.0	23.5	-0.50	0.50	DOWN
29	Lin Zhu	Fantasy Score	Angela Fita Boluda	22.0	22.5	+0.50	0.50	UP
30	Alejandro Moro Canas	Total Games	Remy Bertola	22.5	22.0	-0.50	0.50	DOWN
31	Alexandra Shubladze	Total Games	Anastasiia Sobolieva	19.5	20.0	+0.50	0.50	UP

ATP top 50

Rk	Player	Country	Pts	ELO overall	ELO clay	ELO grass	ELO hard
1	Jannik Sinner	ITA	13500	2167	1879	1695	2062
2	Carlos Alcaraz	ESP	9960	2070	1867	1717	1956
3	Alexander Zverev	GER	7305	1994	1865	1594	1863
4	Felix Auger Aliassime	CAN	4440	1854	1642	1517	1803
5	Ben Shelton	USA	3920	1816	1665	1561	1765
6	Alex De Minaur	AUS	3905	1851	1677	1590	1806
7	Novak Djokovic	SRB	3760	1929	1729	1636	1846
8	Daniil Medvedev	RUS	3760	1884	1659	1585	1845
9	Taylor Fritz	USA	3720	1793	1551	1722	1749
10	Flavio Cobolli	ITA	3540	1833	1754	1557	1655
11	Alexander Bublik	KAZ	2930	1785	1681	1569	1703
12	Jiri Lehecka	CZE	2575	1814	1632	1574	1754
13	Andrey Rublev	RUS	2460	1804	1705	1516	1683
14	Casper Ruud	NOR	2425	1866	1805	1502	1685
15	Karen Khachanov	RUS	2320	1723	1622	1567	1639
16	Lorenzo Musetti	ITA	2315	1832	1764	1607	1723
17	Jakub Mensik	CZE	2300	1825	1661	1497	1747
18	Luciano Darderi	ITA	2300	1772	1790	1466	1466
19	Learner Tien	USA	2270	1847	1622	1506	1789
20	Valentin Vacherot	MON	2145	1800	1695	1467	1738
21	Arthur Fils	FRA	1940	1892	1746	1546	1771
22	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	ESP	1860	1749	1593	1545	1703
23	Rafael Jodar	ESP	1849	1893	1755	—	1765
24	Arthur Rinderknech	FRA	1776	1713	1576	1530	1631
25	Joao Fonseca	BRA	1735	1837	1673	1495	1795
26	Frances Tiafoe	USA	1705	1775	1640	1488	1719
27	Francisco Cerundolo	ARG	1660	1790	1700	1426	1698
28	Tommy Paul	USA	1645	1851	1758	1587	1743
29	Cameron Norrie	GBR	1595	1738	1631	1529	1682
30	Tomas Martin Etcheverry	ARG	1510	1751	1656	1456	1636
31	Alejandro Tabilo	CHI	1428	1798	1705	1575	1637
32	Brandon Nakashima	USA	1385	1713	1582	1590	1660
33	Ugo Humbert	FRA	1370	1715	1498	1517	1697
34	Matteo Arnaldi	ITA	1336	1719	1676	1455	1558
35	Ignacio Buse	PER	1316	1773	1732	1482	1562
36	Corentin Moutet	FRA	1283	1673	1567	1574	1640
37	Alexander Blockx	BEL	1280	1820	1688	1508	1713
38	Alex Michelsen	USA	1205	1727	1522	1538	1702
39	Mariano Navone	ARG	1165	1767	1722	1460	1507
40	Zizou Bergs	BEL	1150	1681	1547	1521	1631
41	Tallon Griekspoor	NED	1150	1680	1576	1564	1645
42	Denis Shapovalov	CAN	1130	1668	1483	1472	1698
43	Tomas Machac	CZE	1120	1745	1602	1500	1682
44	Jaume Munar	ESP	1105	1695	1589	1508	1635
45	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	ARG	1055	1756	1753	1469	1532
46	Adrian Mannarino	FRA	1031	1565	1369	1584	1569
47	Marin Cilic	CRO	994	1684	1513	1611	1635
48	Matteo Berrettini	ITA	985	1749	1689	1524	1694
49	Miomir Kecmanovic	SRB	980	1688	1584	1500	1595
50	Nuno Borges	POR	970	1656	1596	1493	1596

WTA top 50

Rk	Player	Country	Pts	ELO overall	ELO clay	ELO grass	ELO hard
1	Aryna Sabalenka	BLR	9090	2089	1801	1588	2045
2	Elena Rybakina	KAZ	8143	2040	1766	1580	1972
3	Iga Swiatek	POL	6733	1957	1809	1658	1852
4	Jessica Pegula	USA	6056	1979	1701	1583	1901
5	Amanda Anisimova	USA	5848	1906	1580	1638	1822
6	Mirra Andreeva	RUS	5751	1995	1867	1513	1797
7	Coco Gauff	USA	4879	1980	1824	1519	1871
8	Elina Svitolina	UKR	4315	1996	1824	1550	1824
9	Victoria Mboko	CAN	3670	1937	1726	1515	1891
10	Karolina Muchova	CZE	3438	1927	1602	1494	1869
11	Belinda Bencic	SUI	3385	1904	1636	1561	1831
12	Marta Kostyuk	UKR	3157	1959	1801	1449	1755
13	Linda Noskova	CZE	3054	1869	1599	1583	1763
14	Jasmine Paolini	ITA	2617	1809	1701	1585	1741
15	Naomi Osaka	JPN	2571	1855	1688	1514	1734
16	Diana Shnaider	RUS	2506	1841	1701	1565	1686
17	Ekaterina Alexandrova	RUS	2449	1711	1556	1584	1662
18	Sorana Cirstea	ROU	2415	1919	1714	1429	1797
19	Iva Jovic	USA	2366	1833	1667	1601	1759
20	Anna Kalinskaya	RUS	2212	1834	1631	1546	1721
21	Maja Chwalinska	POL	1996	1860	1795	1483	1693
22	Elise Mertens	BEL	1918	1811	1619	1581	1714
23	Leylah Fernandez	CAN	1844	1760	1569	1546	1679
24	Clara Tauson	DEN	1800	1719	1527	1520	1679
25	Emma Navarro	USA	1779	1759	1653	1590	1613
26	Madison Keys	USA	1772	1864	1732	1558	1766
27	Anastasia Potapova	RUS	1640	1855	1743	1484	1640
28	Marie Bouzkova	CZE	1631	1787	1702	1476	1648
29	Ann Li	USA	1601	1759	1646	1478	1647
30	Hailey Baptiste	USA	1513	1790	1667	1488	1667
31	Xin Yu Wang	CHN	1431	1719	1537	1591	1616
32	Katerina Siniakova	CZE	1422	1771	1559	1578	1693
33	Alexandra Eala	PHI	1416	1837	1495	1665	1748
34	Cristina Bucsa	ESP	1406	1705	1443	1514	1684
35	Liudmila Samsonova	RUS	1405	1680	1593	1619	1566
36	Jelena Ostapenko	LAT	1404	1762	1660	1534	1621
37	Maria Sakkari	GRE	1328	1729	1589	1486	1658
38	Jaqueline Cristian	ROU	1294	1767	1631	1432	1698
39	Mccartney Kessler	USA	1289	1751	1547	1583	1688
40	Janice Tjen	INA	1267	1780	1634	1503	1785
41	Elisabetta Cocciaretto	ITA	1260	1800	1586	1577	1689
42	Emma Raducanu	GBR	1241	1727	1548	1577	1658
43	Magdalena Frech	POL	1238	1655	1530	1434	1613
44	Laura Siegemund	GER	1230	1691	1553	1541	1592
45	Barbora Krejcikova	CZE	1211	1743	1550	1606	1647
46	Sara Bejlek	CZE	1205	1783	1736	1486	1653
47	Tereza Valentova	CZE	1165	1829	1727	1517	1788
48	Marketa Vondrousova	CZE	1133	1728	1606	1578	1609
49	Dayana Yastremska	UKR	1126	1743	1640	1575	1594
50	Petra Marcinko	CRO	1123	1771	1743	1467	1633

Top Kalshi edges

#1 Marco Cecchinato ELITE_LOW_N

Marco Cecchinato vs Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera on hard — model 45% vs market 15% (+30.0pp). ELITE_LOW_N, ask 15¢.

#2 Andres Andrade ELITE_LOW_N

Andres Andrade vs Colton Smith on hard — model 49% vs market 20% (+29.4pp). ELITE_LOW_N, ask 20¢. Form: Andres Andra=COLD | Colton Smith=WARM.

#3 Gonzalo Bueno STRONG_LOW_N

Gonzalo Bueno vs Jerome Kym on hard — model 45% vs market 16% (+29.0pp). STRONG_LOW_N, ask 16¢.

#4 Adam Walton ELITE_LOW_N

Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgios on hard — model 64% vs market 93% (+-28.5pp). ELITE_LOW_N, ask 93¢.

#5 Florent Bax ELITE_LOW_N

Florent Bax vs Chris Rodesch on hard — model 45% vs market 17% (+28.0pp). ELITE_LOW_N, ask 17¢.

Top PrizePicks edges

#1 Martin Landaluce ELITE_LOW_N

Martin Landaluce LESS 0.5 Total Tie Breaks vs Jan-Lennard Struff — proj 0.2 (+50.0% edge). Surface: clay.

#2 Rei Sakamoto ELITE_LOW_N

Rei Sakamoto LESS 0.5 Total Tie Breaks vs Anton Matusevich — proj 0.2 (+49.9% edge). Surface: clay.

#3 Jack Draper STRONG_LOW_N

Jack Draper LESS 0.5 Total Tie Breaks vs Brandon Nakashima — proj 0.2 (+49.9% edge). Surface: clay.

Fade signals

Clara Tauson (RETURNING): RETURNING form tag — fade or fade-against.
Gabriel Diallo (COLD): COLD form tag — fade or fade-against.
Raphael Collignon (RETURNING): RETURNING form tag — fade or fade-against.
Maya Joint (RETURNING): RETURNING form tag — fade or fade-against.
Antonia Ruzic (COLD): COLD form tag — fade or fade-against.
Francisco Comesana (COLD): COLD form tag — fade or fade-against.
Jan Lennard Struff (COLD): COLD form tag — fade or fade-against.
Alexei Popyrin (COLD): COLD form tag — fade or fade-against.

Surface leans

Surface	Matches	% strong fav	Lean
hard	5	0.0%	pick'em slate
grass	154	3.9%	pick'em slate

ATP (current surface: grass, top 50 by composite)

Rk	Player	Country	Composite	ELO overall	ELO grass	Form	Off. rank
1	Jannik Sinner	ITA	2051.6	2167	1695	WARM	1
2	Carlos Alcaraz	ESP	1923.6	2070	1717	RETURNING	2
3	Rafael Jodar	ESP	1913.0	1893	1893	WARM	23
4	Alexander Zverev	GER	1898.3	1994	1594	WARM	3
5	Daniil Medvedev	RUS	1808.0	1884	1585	WARM	8
6	Arthur Fils	FRA	1791.0	1892	1546	WARM	21
7	Novak Djokovic	SRB	1788.6	1929	1636	RETURNING	7
8	Tommy Paul	USA	1778.5	1851	1587	WARM	28
9	Felix Auger Aliassime	CAN	1777.3	1854	1517	WARM	4
10	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	PAR	1775.3	1755	1755	WARM	72
11	Alex De Minaur	AUS	1775.0	1851	1590	NEUTRAL	6
12	Daniel Merida Aguilar	ESP	1767.7	1748	1748	WARM	82
13	Yibing Wu	CHN	1766.8	1747	1747	WARM	101
14	Ben Shelton	USA	1764.8	1816	1561	WARM	5
15	Flavio Cobolli	ITA	1759.5	1833	1557	WARM	10
16	Casper Ruud	NOR	1758.5	1866	1502	WARM	14
17	Lorenzo Musetti	ITA	1753.5	1832	1607	NEUTRAL	16
18	Dino Prizmic	CRO	1753.2	1813	1499	HOT	70
19	Jiri Lehecka	CZE	1750.1	1814	1574	WARM	12
20	Alejandro Tabilo	CHI	1739.8	1798	1575	WARM	31
21	Joao Fonseca	BRA	1737.3	1837	1495	WARM	25
22	Alexander Blockx	BEL	1730.5	1820	1508	WARM	37
23	Jakub Mensik	CZE	1730.1	1825	1497	WARM	17
24	Toby Samuel	GBR	1728.8	1709	1709	WARM	150
25	Learner Tien	USA	1727.2	1847	1506	NEUTRAL	19
26	Taylor Fritz	USA	1724.0	1793	1722	RETURNING	9
27	Stefanos Sakellaridis	GRE	1711.7	1692	1692	WARM	155
28	Alexander Bublik	KAZ	1709.5	1785	1569	NEUTRAL	11
29	Rei Sakamoto	JPN	1706.3	1686	1686	WARM	149
30	Valentin Vacherot	MON	1703.4	1800	1467	WARM	20
31	Andrey Rublev	RUS	1703.1	1804	1516	NEUTRAL	13
32	Zachary Svajda	USA	1696.9	1722	1650	NEUTRAL	62
33	Michael Mmoh	USA	1695.3	1675	1675	WARM	195
34	Alex Molcan	SVK	1694.0	1744	1744	RETURNING	102
35	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	ESP	1691.4	1641	1641	HOT	226
36	Kilian Feldbausch	SUI	1688.9	1669	1669	WARM	287
37	Pablo Carreno Busta	ESP	1684.3	1761	1484	WARM	71
38	Buvaysar Gadamauri	BEL	1684.1	1664	1664	WARM	261
39	Francisco Cerundolo	ARG	1682.9	1790	1426	WARM	27
40	Jack Draper	GBR	1682.2	1806	1594	RETURNING	112
41	Mariano Navone	ARG	1679.8	1767	1460	WARM	39
42	Franco Roncadelli	URU	1679.0	1659	1659	WARM	227
43	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	ESP	1677.3	1749	1545	NEUTRAL	22
44	Roman Andres Burruchaga	ARG	1676.8	1733	1514	WARM	63
45	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	ARG	1675.7	1756	1469	WARM	45
46	Hubert Hurkacz	POL	1675.6	1714	1547	WARM	96
47	Ignacio Buse	PER	1671.0	1773	1482	NEUTRAL	35
48	Matteo Berrettini	ITA	1670.6	1749	1524	NEUTRAL	48
49	Brandon Nakashima	USA	1670.4	1713	1590	NEUTRAL	32
50	Bu Yunchaokete	CHN	1668.7	1709	1536	WARM	131

WTA (current surface: grass, top 50 by composite)

Rk	Player	Country	Composite	ELO overall	ELO grass	Form	Off. rank
1	Aryna Sabalenka	BLR	1963.9	2089	1588	WARM	1
2	Elena Rybakina	KAZ	1925.9	2040	1580	WARM	2
3	Alexandra Shubladze	RUS	1898.6	1879	1879	WARM	184
4	Jeline Vandromme	BEL	1883.0	1863	1863	WARM	176
5	Jessica Pegula	USA	1881.7	1979	1583	WARM	4
6	Iga Swiatek	POL	1876.4	1957	1658	NEUTRAL	3
7	Elina Svitolina	UKR	1869.3	1996	1550	WARM	8
8	Lisa Pigato	ITA	1866.5	1846	1846	WARM	132
9	Mirra Andreeva	RUS	1861.0	1995	1513	WARM	6
10	Coco Gauff	USA	1850.8	1980	1519	WARM	7
11	Akasha Urhobo	USA	1843.4	1823	1823	WARM	180
12	Tyra Caterina Grant	USA	1840.5	1820	1820	WARM	157
13	Dayeon Back	KOR	1825.7	1806	1806	WARM	279
14	Kaitlin Quevedo	USA	1824.7	1825	1825	NEUTRAL	107
15	Victoria Mboko	CAN	1815.1	1937	1515	WARM	9
16	Laura Samson	CZE	1810.3	1810	1810	NEUTRAL	137
17	Alice Tubello	FRA	1810.1	1790	1790	WARM	222
18	Belinda Bencic	SUI	1804.3	1904	1561	WARM	11
19	Carol Young Suh Lee	POC	1801.3	1781	1781	WARM	192
20	Jennifer Ruggeri	ITA	1801.1	1781	1781	WARM	213
21	Marta Kostyuk	UKR	1800.2	1959	1449	WARM	12
22	Anastasia Zolotareva	RUS	1798.0	1778	1778	WARM	233
23	Kristina Liutova	RUS	1796.5	1777	1777	WARM	229
24	Luisina Giovannini	ARG	1793.4	1843	1843	RETURNING	173
25	Angela Fita Boluda	ESP	1793.2	1773	1773	WARM	195
26	Eva Guerrero Alvarez	ESP	1791.5	1772	1772	WARM	274
27	Linda Noskova	CZE	1788.9	1869	1583	WARM	13
28	Hayu Kinoshita	JPN	1787.3	1767	1767	WARM	217
29	Martyna Kubka	POL	1784.6	1765	1765	WARM	243
30	Darya Astakhova	RUS	1782.7	1763	1763	WARM	236
31	Amanda Anisimova	USA	1780.3	1906	1638	RETURNING	5
32	Samira De Stefano	ITA	1779.4	1759	1759	WARM	263
33	Alexandra Eala	PHI	1776.5	1837	1665	NEUTRAL	33
34	Caijsa Wilda Hennemann	SWE	1773.6	1774	1774	NEUTRAL	276
35	Lilli Tagger	AUT	1770.9	1771	1771	NEUTRAL	86
36	Claire Liu	USA	1770.0	1750	1750	WARM	148
37	Sorana Cirstea	ROU	1767.4	1919	1429	WARM	18
38	Lanlana Tararudee	THA	1766.5	1860	1536	WARM	94
39	Daria Snigur	UKR	1765.8	1863	1528	WARM	84
40	Veronika Podrez	UKR	1764.2	1814	1814	RETURNING	145
41	Lucie Havlickova	CZE	1758.1	1738	1738	WARM	212
42	Sohyun Park	KOR	1756.7	1737	1737	WARM	270
43	Julie Struplova	CZE	1755.7	1786	1786	COLD	272
44	Tatiana Prozorova	RUS	1755.6	1806	1806	RETURNING	172
45	Elizara Yaneva	BUL	1752.5	1752	1752	NEUTRAL	225
46	Iva Jovic	USA	1751.9	1833	1601	NEUTRAL	19
47	Oleksandra Oliynykova	CRO	1748.0	1859	1485	WARM	51
48	Hanyu Guo	CHN	1747.7	1728	1728	WARM	156
49	Anhelina Kalinina	UKR	1746.9	1842	1513	WARM	69
50	Rebeka Masarova	ESP	1746.2	1813	1623	NEUTRAL	140

ATP on CLAY (top 15 by surface tilt)

Player	Δ ELO	ELO clay	ELO overall	Form	Off. rank
Zdenek Kolar	+27.9	1617	1589	NEUTRAL	162
Gustavo Heide	+25.1	1725	1700	RETURNING	182
Jan Choinski	+19.6	1688	1668	COLD	105
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	+19.3	1648	1628	RETURNING	161
Gonzalo Bueno	+17.6	1637	1619	RETURNING	180
Luciano Darderi	+17.2	1790	1772	WARM	18
Valentin Royer	+16.5	1654	1638	WARM	74
Alex Barrena	+13.9	1571	1557	NEUTRAL	197
Jesper De Jong	+12.7	1672	1659	NEUTRAL	83
Hugo Dellien	+11.2	1688	1677	RETURNING	165
Timofey Skatov	+11.0	1631	1620	NEUTRAL	175
Tomas Barrios Vera	+9.1	1686	1677	COLD	138
Lukas Neumayer	+8.9	1693	1684	WARM	168
Marco Trungelliti	+8.6	1684	1675	NEUTRAL	80
Facundo Diaz Acosta	+4.7	1703	1698	RETURNING	128

WTA on CLAY (top 15 by surface tilt)

Player	Δ ELO	ELO clay	ELO overall	Form	Off. rank
Katarzyna Kawa	+26.3	1730	1704	HOT	143
Despina Papamichail	+7.5	1686	1679	NEUTRAL	168
Teodora Kostovic	+4.7	1735	1730	NEUTRAL	182
Anna Bondar	+4.5	1779	1775	WARM	75
Simona Waltert	-2.9	1764	1767	WARM	90
Carole Monnet	-3.1	1662	1665	NEUTRAL	191
Julia Grabher	-4.8	1715	1720	NEUTRAL	116
Andrea Lazaro Garcia	-7.6	1791	1799	WARM	153
Luisina Giovannini	-10.7	1833	1843	RETURNING	173
Veronika Erjavec	-12.4	1739	1752	WARM	89
Darja Semenistaja	-13.5	1778	1792	WARM	102
Mayar Sherif	-13.8	1707	1720	RETURNING	118
Whitney Osuigwe	-13.8	1668	1682	WARM	183
Nuria Brancaccio	-14.1	1658	1672	COLD	177
Tamara Zidansek	-15.2	1761	1777	RETURNING	134

ATP on GRASS (top 15 by surface tilt)

Player	Δ ELO	ELO grass	ELO overall	Form	Off. rank
Shintaro Mochizuki	+54.6	1565	1511	RETURNING	129
Nicolas Jarry	+29.4	1564	1535	RETURNING	189
Billy Harris	+25.6	1541	1515	COLD	144
Adrian Mannarino	+19.4	1584	1565	COLD	46
Roberto Bautista Agut	-25.0	1551	1576	COLD	116
Aleksandar Vukic	-31.8	1537	1569	COLD	100
Otto Virtanen	-49.0	1631	1680	NEUTRAL	158
Tristan Schoolkate	-50.4	1550	1600	WARM	123
Alex Bolt	-56.1	1592	1648	WARM	157
August Holmgren	-56.7	1548	1605	WARM	148
Gabriel Diallo	-63.2	1576	1639	COLD	54
Marcos Giron	-71.3	1570	1641	WARM	88
Zachary Svajda	-72.3	1650	1722	NEUTRAL	62
Marin Cilic	-73.2	1611	1684	NEUTRAL	47
Ugo Blanchet	-74.7	1459	1534	COLD	173

WTA on GRASS (top 15 by surface tilt)

Player	Δ ELO	ELO grass	ELO overall	Form	Off. rank
Tatjana Maria	-18.0	1598	1616	NEUTRAL	52
Beatriz Haddad Maia	-64.5	1514	1578	COLD	108
Viktoriya Tomova	-107.0	1500	1607	NEUTRAL	167
Ajla Tomljanovic	-111.2	1536	1647	NEUTRAL	109
Xin Yu Wang	-127.1	1591	1719	NEUTRAL	31
Kamilla Rakhimova	-128.2	1576	1705	NEUTRAL	78
Linda Fruhvirtova	-133.9	1543	1677	NEUTRAL	164
Suzan Lamens	-135.0	1489	1624	COLD	125
Lulu Sun	-136.6	1519	1655	NEUTRAL	110
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	-136.9	1499	1636	NEUTRAL	124
Rebecca Sramkova	-137.3	1509	1646	NEUTRAL	120
Dalma Galfi	-138.3	1576	1714	NEUTRAL	117
Ashlyn Krueger	-149.2	1563	1712	NEUTRAL	113
Elena Gabriela Ruse	-159.4	1570	1730	NEUTRAL	88
Bianca Andreescu	-161.6	1539	1700	NEUTRAL	158

ATP on HARD (top 15 by surface tilt)

Player	Δ ELO	ELO hard	ELO overall	Form	Off. rank
Hugo Gaston	+45.5	1666	1620	WARM	119
Luca Van Assche	+35.7	1704	1668	WARM	98
Toby Samuel	+29.5	1738	1709	WARM	150
Gauthier Onclin	+6.0	1613	1607	HOT	186
Clement Chidekh	+5.5	1629	1624	NEUTRAL	200
Rinky Hijikata	+3.2	1683	1680	WARM	106
Alexis Galarneau	+2.9	1613	1610	WARM	187
Coleman Wong	-1.9	1641	1643	WARM	108
Benjamin Bonzi	-3.0	1678	1680	WARM	99
Michael Mmoh	-10.9	1664	1675	WARM	195
Borna Gojo	-11.2	1698	1709	WARM	178
Ethan Quinn	-13.2	1683	1696	WARM	67
Marcos Giron	-13.6	1628	1641	WARM	88
Sho Shimabukuro	-14.6	1643	1657	NEUTRAL	104
Terence Atmane	-14.7	1627	1641	NEUTRAL	53

WTA on HARD (top 15 by surface tilt)

Player	Δ ELO	ELO hard	ELO overall	Form	Off. rank
Talia Gibson	+53.5	1832	1779	HOT	63
Hanne Vandewinkel	+51.2	1848	1796	HOT	97
Xiaodi You	+1.4	1730	1729	WARM	170
Kimberly Birrell	-6.3	1751	1757	WARM	74
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	-6.9	1629	1636	WARM	124
Ye Xin Ma	-9.4	1684	1693	WARM	189
Sofia Costoulas	-11.2	1729	1740	WARM	150
Taylah Preston	-15.5	1796	1811	WARM	126
Polina Iatcenko	-17.5	1721	1738	NEUTRAL	163
Himeno Sakatsume	-18.4	1742	1761	NEUTRAL	127
Vendula Valdmannova	-18.6	1785	1804	WARM	199
Priscilla Hon	-19.1	1646	1665	NEUTRAL	146
Harriet Dart	-23.5	1740	1763	WARM	160
Francisca Jorge	-27.2	1699	1727	RETURNING	196
Hanyu Guo	-27.7	1700	1728	WARM	156

WTA on INDOOR (top 15 by surface tilt)

Player	Δ ELO	ELO indoor	ELO overall	Form	Off. rank
Linda Klimovicova	-124.1	1616	1740	NEUTRAL	165
Kimberly Birrell	-177.1	1580	1757	NEUTRAL	74
Ye Xin Ma	-177.9	1515	1693	WARM	189
Carole Monnet	-194.2	1471	1665	NEUTRAL	191
Elvina Kalieva	-209.7	1521	1731	WARM	135
Himeno Sakatsume	-218.0	1543	1761	NEUTRAL	127
Emerson Jones	-222.0	1584	1806	WARM	133
Dalma Galfi	-228.3	1486	1714	NEUTRAL	117
Marina Bassols Ribera	-229.2	1503	1732	WARM	144
Tamara Korpatsch	-240.1	1534	1774	WARM	79
Mona Barthel	-254.2	1500	1754	WARM	193
Polina Iatcenko	-254.5	1484	1738	NEUTRAL	163
Sofia Costoulas	-256.1	1484	1740	WARM	150
Vendula Valdmannova	-269.7	1534	1804	WARM	199
Daria Snigur	-273.9	1589	1863	WARM	84

⚠ Caveat: Model CLV anti-correlated with skill (Phase A finding); treat parlays as paper.

Kalshi cross-match (independent fav parlays)

Label	Variance	Legs	Joint P	Payout	EV/$
2-leg fav cross-tournament: Nishesh Basava + Jan Choinski	LOW	Nishesh Basavareddy + Jan Choinski	0.396	3.45x	0.365

Kalshi same-match (correlated)

No combos surfaced.

PrizePicks slips

Label	Variance	Legs	Joint P	Payout	EV/$
2-pick MED-variance	MED	Janice Tjen LESS 12.5 Total Games Won, Mattia Bellucci LESS 12.5 Total Games Won	0.408	5.00x	1.040
2-pick HIGH-variance	HIGH	Mattia Bellucci MORE 2.5 Break Points Won, Martin Landaluce MORE 3.0 Break Points Won	0.393	10.00x	2.925
3-pick MED-variance	MED	Janice Tjen LESS 12.5 Total Games Won, Mattia Bellucci LESS 12.5 Total Games Won, Adam Walton LESS 12.5 Total Games Won	0.254	10.00x	1.542
3-pick HIGH-variance	HIGH	Mattia Bellucci MORE 2.5 Break Points Won, Martin Landaluce MORE 3.0 Break Points Won, Miomir Kecmanovic MORE 3.0 Break Points Won	0.224	25.00x	4.597
4-pick MED-variance	MED	Janice Tjen LESS 12.5 Total Games Won, Mattia Bellucci LESS 12.5 Total Games Won, Adam Walton LESS 12.5 Total Games Won, Fangran Tian MORE 20.5 Total Games	0.151	18.00x	1.724
4-pick HIGH-variance	HIGH	Mattia Bellucci MORE 2.5 Break Points Won, Martin Landaluce MORE 3.0 Break Points Won, Miomir Kecmanovic MORE 3.0 Break Points Won, Dino Prizmic MORE 3.5 Break Points Won	0.124	50.00x	5.226

⚠ Inverted CLV signal: win rate at POSITIVE CLV (0.429) < win rate at NEGATIVE CLV (0.6562). When we beat the close, we LOSE; when we lose the close, we WIN. Model is anti-correlated with skill. Real money gated.

CLV vs Pinnacle close (overall)

n picks total	1802
matched Pinnacle	370 (20.5%)
mean CLV (pp)	16.16
median CLV (pp)	15.824
win rate at +CLV	0.429
win rate at -CLV	0.6562

CLV by market price bucket (FLB signal)

Bucket	n	Mean CLV (pp)
<10%	30	32.535
10-30%	146	21.473
30-50%	129	11.786
50-70%	49	6.21
70-90%	8	3.478
>90%	8	1.915

Calibration buckets

n_total	1321
ECE (pp)	4.355
Brier Score	0.2417
Log Loss	0.6762

Predicted vs actual (10pp buckets)

Bucket	n	Predicted	Actual	Gap (pp)
0.2-0.30	20	0.2832	0.35	+6.68
0.3-0.40	154	0.3585	0.2792	-7.93
0.4-0.50	521	0.4513	0.4319	-1.95
0.5-0.60	487	0.5448	0.4949	-4.99
0.6-0.70	124	0.6405	0.5806	-5.98
0.7-0.80	14	0.7179	0.8571	+13.93
0.8-0.90	1	0.8232	1.0	+17.68

Source	DB / file	Last pulled	Age	Rows	Status
Kalshi KXATPMATCH	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-08-24T16:12:06.598863+00:00	3m	1974	fresh
Kalshi KXWTAMATCH	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-08-24T16:12:06.598863+00:00	3m	1938	fresh
Kalshi KXFRENCHOPEN	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-08-24T16:12:06.598863+00:00	3m	0	fresh
Kalshi KXFOPENMENSINGLE	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-08-24T16:12:06.598863+00:00	3m	0	fresh
Kalshi KXATPGRANDSLAM	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-08-24T16:12:06.598863+00:00	3m	13	fresh
Kalshi KXUSOPEN	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-08-24T16:12:06.598863+00:00	3m	0	fresh
Kalshi KXATPSETWINNER	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-08-24T16:12:06.598863+00:00	3m	4362	fresh
Kalshi KXATPTOTALSETS	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-08-24T16:12:06.598863+00:00	3m	0	fresh
Kalshi KXATPSETSWEEP	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-08-24T16:12:06.598863+00:00	3m	1	fresh
Kalshi KXATPGAMESPREAD	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-08-24T16:12:06.598863+00:00	3m	0	fresh
Kalshi KXATPEXACTMATCH	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-08-24T16:12:06.598863+00:00	3m	4222	fresh
Kalshi KXWTADOUBLES	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-08-24T16:12:06.598863+00:00	3m	300	fresh
Kalshi KXATP1RANK	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-08-24T16:12:06.598863+00:00	3m	16	fresh
elo last computed	tennis.sqlite	2026-06-21T17:36:52+00:00	1534.64h	20430	stale
rankings last pulled	tennis.sqlite	2026-06-15T17:40:18+00:00	1678.59h	11348	stale
rankings atp latest date	tennis.sqlite	2026-06-08	1864.26h	—	stale
rankings wta latest date	tennis.sqlite	2026-06-08	1864.26h	—	stale
mirror atp schedule	tennis.sqlite	2026-08-24T16:14:01.779018+00:00	1m	0	fresh
h2h last computed	tennis.sqlite	2026-05-17T10:11:57.514615+00:00	2382.06h	—	stale
h2h n pairs	tennis.sqlite	190184	missing	—	missing
last player db run	tennis.sqlite	1787577160	missing	—	missing
results last_run	tennis_results.sqlite	[2026-08-24T13:12:21.186242+00:00] 2026-08-24T13:12:20.748881+00:00; dates=['20260823']; rows=0; resolved=0	missing	—	missing
pp_edges CSV	pp_edges_tennis_2026-08-24.csv	2026-08-24T16:15:32.331079+00:00	0m	—	fresh
kalshi edges JSON	tennis_kalshi_edges_2026-08-24.json	2026-08-24T16:15:18.928340+00:00	0m	—	fresh
paper trades PP	paper_trades_pp_tennis_2026-08-24.json	2026-08-24T13:17:58.336690+00:00	2.96h	—	aging
paper trades Kalshi	paper_trades_kalshi_tennis_2026-08-24.json	2026-08-24T16:14:03.262408+00:00	1m	—	fresh
daily payload	daily_tennis_2026-08-24.json	2026-08-24T16:14:46.597157+00:00	0m	—	fresh
PP movement	pp_line_movement_tennis_2026-08-24.csv	2026-08-24T16:14:42.664993+00:00	0m	—	fresh
PP calibration	pp_calibration_tennis.json	2026-08-24T13:18:01.361487+00:00	2.96h	—	aging