Kalshi KXATPMATCH 2m · 1900rKalshi KXWTAMATCH 2m · 1782rKalshi KXFRENCHOPEN 2mKalshi KXFOPENMENSINGLE 2mKalshi KXATPGRANDSLAM 2m · 14rKalshi KXUSOPEN 2mKalshi KXATPSETWINNER 2m · 3780rKalshi KXATPTOTALSETS 2mKalshi KXATPSETSWEEP 2mKalshi KXATPGAMESPREAD 2mKalshi KXATPEXACTMATCH 2m · 1464rKalshi KXWTADOUBLES 2mKalshi KXATP1RANK 2m · 16relo last computed 2m · 20051rrankings last pulled 2m · 3745rrankings atp latest date 18drankings wta latest date 18dmirror atp schedule 1m · 261rh2h last computed 5dh2h n pairs missinglast player db run missingresults last_run missingpp_edges CSV 0mkalshi edges JSON 0mpaper trades PP 0mpaper trades Kalshi 0mdaily payload 0mPP movement 0mPP calibration 0m
Matches today
1
scheduled
ELITE edges
0
across Kalshi + PP
STRONG edges
0
tier 2
MED edges
0
tier 3
Paper locks
6
Kalshi + PP
Real Money YTD
-$10.00
paper-gate restored
Qualifying skipped
0
filtered out today
Last refresh
17:42
2026-05-22 UTC
🏆 Best Bet (main-draw)
No main-draw Kalshi pick survived qualifying filter today.
🎯 Safest (P ≥ 65%)
Sara Bejlek
71%
Heavy main-draw favorite · PAPER
Edge -21.1pp
Ask 92¢
Ask 92¢
💎 Biggest Payout (ELITE)
No ELITE main-draw longshot today.
| # | Match | Tournament | Round | Surface | Start | ELO A | ELO B | ELO diff | Kalshi event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex De Minaur vs Tommy Paul | Bitpanda Hamburg Open | Semifinal | clay | May 22 15:40 | 1652 | 1748 | -96 | KXATPMATCH-26MAY22DEPAU |
| # | Match | Our pick | Our P | Mkt P | Ask | Edge | Tier | Decision | Vol 24h | Surface | Round | EV/$ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iga Swiatek vs Emerson Jones | Emerson Jones | 54.2% | 4.0% | 4¢ | +50.2pp | LOW | SKIP | 1630 | clay | Round 1 | +0.502 |
| 2 | Elena Rybakina vs Veronika Erjavec | Veronika Erjavec | 49.9% | 4.0% | 4¢ | +45.9pp | LOW | SKIP | 1736 | clay | Round 1 | +0.459 |
| 3 | Hugo Dellien vs Valentin Royer | Valentin Royer | 47.3% | 87.0% | 87¢ | -39.7pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | clay | Round 1 | -0.397 |
| 4 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Thiago Agustin Tirante | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 47.4% | 87.0% | 87¢ | -39.6pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | hard | Round Of 128 | -0.396 |
| 5 | Anna Bondar vs Elina Svitolina | Anna Bondar | 56.0% | 17.0% | 17¢ | +39.0pp | LOW | PAPER | 69 | clay | Round 1 | +0.390 |
| 6 | Federico Cina vs Reilly Opelka | Federico Cina | 48.5% | 87.0% | 87¢ | -38.5pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | clay | Round 1 | -0.385 |
| 7 | Qinwen Zheng vs Maja Chwalinska | Qinwen Zheng | 53.6% | 92.0% | 92¢ | -38.4pp | LOW | PAPER | 2 | hard | Round Of 128 | -0.384 |
| 8 | Rinky Hijikata vs Tommy Paul | Rinky Hijikata | 45.1% | 7.0% | 7¢ | +38.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 1008 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.381 |
| 9 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Emilio Nava | Emilio Nava | 48.4% | 86.0% | 86¢ | -37.6pp | LOW | PAPER | 11 | hard | Round Of 128 | -0.376 |
| 10 | Donna Vekic vs Alice Tubello | Alice Tubello | 63.2% | 26.0% | 26¢ | +37.2pp | LOW | PAPER | 279 | clay | Round 1 | +0.372 |
| 11 | Renata Zarazua vs Diana Shnaider | Renata Zarazua | 51.1% | 14.0% | 14¢ | +37.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 1263 | clay | Round 1 | +0.371 |
| 12 | Akasha Urhobo vs Katie Boulter | Akasha Urhobo | 67.1% | 30.0% | 30¢ | +37.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 626 | clay | Round 1 | +0.371 |
| 13 | Arthur Rinderknech vs Jurij Rodionov | Jurij Rodionov | 50.2% | 87.0% | 87¢ | -36.8pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | hard | Round Of 128 | -0.368 |
| 14 | Leolia Jeanjean vs Kaitlin Quevedo | Leolia Jeanjean | 55.6% | 92.0% | 92¢ | -36.4pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | clay | Round 1 | -0.364 |
| 15 | Maya Joint vs Anastasia Potapova | Maya Joint | 50.0% | 14.0% | 14¢ | +36.0pp | LOW | PAPER | 1859 | clay | Round 1 | +0.360 |
| 16 | Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Zhizhen Zhang | Zhizhen Zhang | 51.1% | 87.0% | 87¢ | -35.9pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | hard | Round Of 128 | -0.359 |
| 17 | Dino Prizmic vs Michael Zheng | Michael Zheng | 51.5% | 87.0% | 87¢ | -35.5pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | hard | Round Of 128 | -0.355 |
| 18 | Ashlyn Krueger vs Antonia Ruzic | Ashlyn Krueger | 50.6% | 86.0% | 86¢ | -35.4pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | clay | Round 1 | -0.354 |
| 19 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhur | Damir Dzumhur | 52.2% | 17.0% | 17¢ | +35.2pp | LOW | PAPER | 338 | clay | Round 1 | +0.352 |
| 20 | Jenson Brooksby vs Mariano Navone | Jenson Brooksby | 53.2% | 18.0% | 18¢ | +35.2pp | LOW | PAPER | 668 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.352 |
| 21 | Hanyu Guo vs McCartney Kessler | Hanyu Guo | 50.9% | 86.0% | 86¢ | -35.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | hard | Round Of 128 | -0.351 |
| 22 | Eliot Spizzirri vs Frances Tiafoe | Eliot Spizzirri | 44.4% | 10.0% | 10¢ | +34.4pp | LOW | PAPER | 449 | clay | Round 1 | +0.344 |
| 23 | Tatjana Maria vs Elise Mertens | Tatjana Maria | 42.1% | 8.0% | 8¢ | +34.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 2459 | clay | Round 1 | +0.341 |
| 24 | Katerina Siniakova vs Simona Waltert | Simona Waltert | 66.7% | 33.0% | 33¢ | +33.7pp | LOW | PAPER | 334 | clay | Round 1 | +0.337 |
| 25 | Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Marta Kostyuk | Oksana Selekhmeteva | 44.4% | 11.0% | 11¢ | +33.4pp | LOW | PAPER | 293 | clay | Round 1 | +0.334 |
| 26 | Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Elena Pridankina | Oleksandra Oliynykova | 58.8% | 92.0% | 92¢ | -33.2pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | clay | Round 1 | -0.332 |
| 27 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Lorenzo Sonego | Pierre-Hugues Herbert | 54.5% | 87.0% | 87¢ | -32.5pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | hard | Round Of 128 | -0.325 |
| 28 | Emiliana Arango vs Marina Bassols Ribera | Marina Bassols Ribera | 60.0% | 92.0% | 92¢ | -32.0pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | clay | Round 1 | -0.321 |
| 29 | Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah vs Amanda Anisimova | Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah | 38.1% | 7.0% | 7¢ | +31.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 4071 | clay | Round 1 | +0.311 |
| 30 | Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Gea | Arthur Gea | 52.9% | 22.0% | 22¢ | +30.9pp | LOW | PAPER | 1465 | clay | Round 1 | +0.309 |
| 31 | Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev | Adam Walton | 35.8% | 5.0% | 5¢ | +30.8pp | LOW | PAPER | 2845 | clay | Round 1 | +0.308 |
| 32 | Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 37.4% | 7.0% | 7¢ | +30.4pp | LOW | PAPER | 4141 | clay | Round 1 | +0.304 |
| 33 | Thomas Faurel vs Valentin Vacherot | Valentin Vacherot | 63.6% | 94.0% | 94¢ | -30.4pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | clay | Round 1 | -0.304 |
| 34 | Adrian Mannarino vs Ugo Humbert | Adrian Mannarino | 45.3% | 15.0% | 15¢ | +30.2pp | LOW | PAPER | 1535 | clay | Round 1 | +0.303 |
| 35 | Hanne Vandewinkel vs Madison Keys | Hanne Vandewinkel | 42.1% | 12.0% | 12¢ | +30.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 2199 | clay | Round 1 | +0.301 |
| 36 | Martin Landaluce vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | Martin Landaluce | 63.9% | 94.0% | 94¢ | -30.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | hard | Round Of 128 | -0.301 |
| 37 | Jacob Fearnley vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Jacob Fearnley | 54.0% | 24.0% | 24¢ | +30.0pp | LOW | PAPER | 67 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.300 |
| 38 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Alina Korneeva | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | 62.4% | 92.0% | 92¢ | -29.6pp | LOW | PAPER | 2 | clay | Round 1 | -0.296 |
| 39 | Marie Bouzkova vs Lucia Bronzetti | Marie Bouzkova | 62.5% | 92.0% | 92¢ | -29.4pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | clay | Round 1 | -0.295 |
| 40 | Learner Tien vs Cristian Garin | Cristian Garin | 68.3% | 39.0% | 39¢ | +29.3pp | LOW | PAPER | 925 | clay | Round 1 | +0.293 |
| 41 | Susan Bandecchi vs Cristina Bucsa | Susan Bandecchi | 56.9% | 86.0% | 86¢ | -29.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | clay | Round 1 | -0.291 |
| 42 | Claire Liu vs Moyuka Uchijima | Moyuka Uchijima | 63.0% | 92.0% | 92¢ | -29.0pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | clay | Round 1 | -0.290 |
| 43 | Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungelliti | Kyrian Jacquet | 65.2% | 94.0% | 94¢ | -28.8pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | hard | Round Of 128 | -0.288 |
| 44 | Sorana Cirstea vs Ksenia Efremova | Ksenia Efremova | 35.7% | 7.0% | 7¢ | +28.7pp | LOW | PAPER | 1341 | clay | Round 1 | +0.287 |
| 45 | Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemot | Elsa Jacquemot | 57.4% | 86.0% | 86¢ | -28.6pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | clay | Round 1 | -0.286 |
| 46 | Ann Li vs Shuai Zhang | Shuai Zhang | 58.3% | 30.0% | 30¢ | +28.3pp | LOW | PAPER | 289 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.283 |
| 47 | Kamil Majchrzak vs Alejandro Tabilo | Kamil Majchrzak | 50.4% | 23.0% | 23¢ | +27.4pp | LOW | PAPER | 60 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.274 |
| 48 | Kimberly Birrell vs Jessica Pegula | Kimberly Birrell | 33.4% | 6.0% | 6¢ | +27.4pp | LOW | PAPER | 7050 | clay | Round 1 | +0.274 |
| 49 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 39.2% | 12.0% | 12¢ | +27.2pp | LOW | PAPER | 3550 | clay | Round 1 | +0.272 |
| 50 | Mirra Andreeva vs Fiona Ferro | Fiona Ferro | 35.0% | 8.0% | 8¢ | +27.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 985 | clay | Round 1 | +0.270 |
| 51 | Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik | Titouan Droguet | 58.4% | 32.0% | 32¢ | +26.4pp | LOW | PAPER | 2950 | clay | Round 1 | +0.264 |
| 52 | Alexander Blockx vs Coleman Wong | Alexander Blockx | 67.6% | 94.0% | 94¢ | -26.4pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | clay | Round 1 | -0.264 |
| 53 | Benjamin Bonzi vs Alexander Zverev | Benjamin Bonzi | 31.1% | 5.0% | 5¢ | +26.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 6881 | clay | Round 1 | +0.261 |
| 54 | Jaime Faria vs Denis Shapovalov | Jaime Faria | 61.4% | 87.0% | 87¢ | -25.6pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | clay | Round 1 | -0.256 |
| 55 | Botic Van de Zandschulp vs Francisco Cerundolo | Botic Van de Zandschulp | 42.4% | 17.0% | 17¢ | +25.4pp | LOW | PAPER | 63 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.254 |
| 56 | Anastasia Zakharova vs Karolina Muchova | Anastasia Zakharova | 39.2% | 14.0% | 14¢ | +25.2pp | LOW | PAPER | 65 | clay | Round 1 | +0.252 |
| 57 | Ben Shelton vs Daniel Merida | Daniel Merida | 50.0% | 25.0% | 25¢ | +25.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 100 | clay | Round 1 | +0.250 |
| 58 | Alexei Popyrin vs Zachary Svajda | Zachary Svajda | 38.9% | 14.0% | 14¢ | +24.9pp | LOW | PAPER | 1840 | clay | Round 1 | +0.249 |
| 59 | Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta | Pablo Carreno Busta | 48.7% | 24.0% | 24¢ | +24.7pp | LOW | PAPER | 842 | clay | Round 1 | +0.247 |
| 60 | Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy | Nishesh Basavareddy | 50.5% | 26.0% | 26¢ | +24.6pp | LOW | PAPER | 15959 | clay | Round 1 | +0.245 |
| 61 | Danka Kovinic vs Xiyu Wang | Xiyu Wang | 67.5% | 92.0% | 92¢ | -24.5pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | hard | Round Of 128 | -0.245 |
| 62 | Janice Tjen vs Emma Navarro | Janice Tjen | 52.5% | 28.0% | 28¢ | +24.5pp | LOW | PAPER | 1402 | clay | Round 1 | +0.245 |
| 63 | Victoria Mboko vs Nikola Bartunkova | Nikola Bartunkova | 50.2% | 26.0% | 26¢ | +24.2pp | LOW | PAPER | 1594 | clay | Round 1 | +0.242 |
| 64 | Aleksandar Vukic vs Raphael Collignon | Aleksandar Vukic | 33.8% | 10.0% | 10¢ | +23.8pp | LOW | PAPER | 156 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.238 |
| 65 | Lois Boisson vs Anna Kalinskaya | Lois Boisson | 62.6% | 39.0% | 39¢ | +23.6pp | LOW | PAPER | 426 | clay | Round 1 | +0.236 |
| 66 | Julia Grabher vs Rebecca Sramkova | Julia Grabher | 62.6% | 86.0% | 86¢ | -23.4pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | clay | Round 1 | -0.234 |
| 67 | Liudmila Samsonova vs Jil Teichmann | Jil Teichmann | 48.8% | 26.0% | 26¢ | +22.8pp | LOW | PAPER | 16 | clay | Round 1 | +0.228 |
| 68 | Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul | Alex de Minaur | 43.3% | 21.0% | 21¢ | +22.3pp | LOW | PAPER | 2677841 | clay | Semifinal | +0.223 |
| 69 | Alycia Parks vs Leylah Fernandez | Alycia Parks | 46.3% | 24.0% | 24¢ | +22.3pp | LOW | PAPER | 409 | clay | Round 1 | +0.223 |
| 70 | Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmane | Thanasi Kokkinakis | 50.7% | 29.0% | 29¢ | +21.7pp | LOW | PAPER | 1356 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.217 |
| 71 | Belinda Bencic vs Sinja Kraus | Sinja Kraus | 64.5% | 86.0% | 86¢ | -21.5pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | clay | Round 1 | -0.215 |
| 72 | Sara Bejlek vs Sloane Stephens | Sara Bejlek | 70.9% | 92.0% | 92¢ | -21.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | clay | Round 1 | -0.211 |
| 73 | Andrey Rublev vs Ignacio Buse | Ignacio Buse | 52.6% | 32.0% | 32¢ | +20.6pp | LOW | PAPER | 4567 | clay | Round 1 | +0.206 |
| 74 | Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Rafael Jodar | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 30.1% | 10.0% | 10¢ | +20.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 18571 | clay | Round 1 | +0.201 |
| 75 | Alex de Minaur vs Toby Samuel | Toby Samuel | 49.3% | 30.0% | 30¢ | +19.3pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.193 |
| 76 | Ella Seidel vs Jelena Ostapenko | Ella Seidel | 41.4% | 23.0% | 23¢ | +18.4pp | LOW | PAPER | 57 | clay | Round 1 | +0.184 |
| 77 | Marin Cilic vs Moise Kouame | Moise Kouame | 45.0% | 27.0% | 27¢ | +18.0pp | LOW | PAPER | 379 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.180 |
| 78 | Miomir Kecmanovic vs Fabian Marozsan | Fabian Marozsan | 59.8% | 42.0% | 42¢ | +17.8pp | LOW | PAPER | 1580 | clay | Round 1 | +0.178 |
| 79 | Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista Agut | Roberto Bautista Agut | 42.4% | 25.0% | 25¢ | +17.4pp | LOW | PAPER | 62 | clay | Round 1 | +0.174 |
| 80 | Taylor Townsend vs Coco Gauff | Taylor Townsend | 30.1% | 13.0% | 13¢ | +17.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 1571 | clay | Round 1 | +0.171 |
| 81 | Naomi Osaka vs Laura Siegemund | Laura Siegemund | 42.6% | 26.0% | 26¢ | +16.6pp | LOW | PAPER | 271 | clay | Round 1 | +0.166 |
| 82 | Clara Burel vs Katie Volynets | Clara Burel | 37.5% | 21.0% | 21¢ | +16.5pp | LOW | PAPER | 59 | clay | Round 1 | +0.165 |
| 83 | Joao Fonseca vs Luka Pavlovic | Luka Pavlovic | 32.9% | 49.0% | 49¢ | -16.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | hard | Round Of 128 | -0.161 |
| 84 | Anna Blinkova vs Yuliia Starodubtseva | Anna Blinkova | 45.1% | 29.0% | 29¢ | +16.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | clay | Round 1 | +0.161 |
| 85 | Sebastian Baez vs Roman Andres Burruchaga | Roman Andres Burruchaga | 62.4% | 47.0% | 47¢ | +15.4pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | clay | Round 1 | +0.154 |
| 86 | Flavio Cobolli vs Andrea Pellegrino | Andrea Pellegrino | 33.7% | 49.0% | 49¢ | -15.3pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | hard | Round Of 128 | -0.153 |
| 87 | Stan Wawrinka vs Arthur Fils | Stan Wawrinka | 29.1% | 14.0% | 14¢ | +15.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 16222 | clay | Round 1 | +0.151 |
| 88 | Cameron Norrie vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Cameron Norrie | 64.9% | 50.0% | 50¢ | +14.9pp | LOW | PAPER | 62 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.149 |
| 89 | Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi | Tallon Griekspoor | 58.9% | 45.0% | 45¢ | +13.9pp | LOW | PAPER | 35 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.139 |
| 90 | Jaqueline Cristian vs Kamilla Rakhimova | Kamilla Rakhimova | 39.8% | 26.0% | 26¢ | +13.8pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | clay | Round 1 | +0.138 |
| 91 | Alexandre Muller vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | Alexandre Muller | 30.6% | 17.0% | 17¢ | +13.6pp | LOW | PAPER | 52 | clay | Round 1 | +0.136 |
| 92 | Magda Linette vs Tereza Valentova | Magda Linette | 38.3% | 25.0% | 25¢ | +13.3pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | clay | Round 1 | +0.133 |
| 93 | Tomas Machac vs Zizou Bergs | Zizou Bergs | 50.9% | 38.0% | 38¢ | +12.9pp | LOW | PAPER | 800 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.129 |
| 94 | Linda Noskova vs Maria Sakkari | Maria Sakkari | 43.8% | 31.0% | 31¢ | +12.8pp | LOW | PAPER | 994 | clay | Round 1 | +0.128 |
| 95 | Zeynep Sonmez vs Daria Kasatkina | Zeynep Sonmez | 45.2% | 33.0% | 33¢ | +12.2pp | LOW | PAPER | 297 | clay | Round 1 | +0.122 |
| 96 | Xinyu Wang vs Lilli Tagger | Xinyu Wang | 54.1% | 42.0% | 42¢ | +12.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 11 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.121 |
| 97 | Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet | Vit Kopriva | 51.7% | 40.0% | 40¢ | +11.8pp | LOW | PAPER | 48 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.117 |
| 98 | Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struff | Jan-Lennard Struff | 36.6% | 25.0% | 25¢ | +11.6pp | LOW | PAPER | 57 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.116 |
| 99 | Hamad Medjedovic vs Yannick Hanfmann | Yannick Hanfmann | 48.5% | 37.0% | 37¢ | +11.6pp | LOW | PAPER | 194 | clay | Round 1 | +0.116 |
| 100 | Talia Gibson vs Yulia Putintseva | Talia Gibson | 41.2% | 30.0% | 30¢ | +11.2pp | LOW | PAPER | 1159 | clay | Round 1 | +0.112 |
| 101 | Gabriel Diallo vs James Duckworth | James Duckworth | 49.9% | 39.0% | 39¢ | +10.9pp | LOW | PAPER | 1209 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.109 |
| 102 | Daria Snigur vs Clara Tauson | Daria Snigur | 49.8% | 39.0% | 39¢ | +10.8pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | clay | Round 1 | +0.108 |
| 103 | Luciano Darderi vs Sebastian Ofner | Sebastian Ofner | 38.7% | 28.0% | 28¢ | +10.7pp | LOW | PAPER | 30 | clay | Round 1 | +0.107 |
| 104 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Nuno Borges | Nuno Borges | 43.2% | 33.0% | 33¢ | +10.2pp | LOW | PAPER | 2542 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.102 |
| 105 | Viktorija Golubic vs Panna Udvardy | Panna Udvardy | 64.6% | 55.0% | 55¢ | +9.7pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | clay | Round 1 | +0.096 |
| 106 | Eva Lys vs Petra Marcinko | Petra Marcinko | 63.5% | 54.0% | 54¢ | +9.5pp | LOW | PAPER | 117 | clay | Round 1 | +0.095 |
| 107 | Sofia Kenin vs Peyton Stearns | Sofia Kenin | 46.1% | 37.0% | 37¢ | +9.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 53 | clay | Round 1 | +0.091 |
| 108 | Francisco Comesana vs Ethan Quinn | Ethan Quinn | 55.0% | 46.0% | 46¢ | +9.0pp | LOW | PAPER | 39 | clay | Round 1 | +0.090 |
| 109 | Hailey Baptiste vs Barbora Krejcikova | Hailey Baptiste | 63.4% | 55.0% | 55¢ | +8.4pp | LOW | PAPER | 124 | clay | Round 1 | +0.084 |
| 110 | Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin | Roman Safiullin | 38.2% | 30.0% | 30¢ | +8.2pp | LOW | PAPER | 0 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.082 |
| 111 | Jaume Munar vs Hubert Hurkacz | Hubert Hurkacz | 63.0% | 56.0% | 56¢ | +7.0pp | LOW | PAPER | 53 | clay | Round 1 | +0.070 |
| 112 | Alexandra Eala vs Iva Jovic | Alexandra Eala | 36.6% | 31.0% | 31¢ | +5.6pp | LOW | PAPER | 3424 | clay | Round 1 | +0.056 |
| 113 | Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic | Ajla Tomljanovic | 34.3% | 29.0% | 29¢ | +5.3pp | LOW | PAPER | 33 | clay | Round 1 | +0.053 |
| 114 | Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Francesca Jones | Francesca Jones | 65.1% | 60.0% | 60¢ | +5.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 272 | clay | Round 1 | +0.051 |
| 115 | Solana Sierra vs Emma Raducanu | Solana Sierra | 66.1% | 61.0% | 61¢ | +5.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 311 | clay | Round 1 | +0.051 |
| 116 | Matteo Berrettini vs Marton Fucsovics | Marton Fucsovics | 40.2% | 36.0% | 36¢ | +4.2pp | LOW | PAPER | 86 | clay | Round 1 | +0.042 |
| 117 | Daniel Altmaier vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | Daniel Altmaier | 29.1% | 25.0% | 25¢ | +4.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 85 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.041 |
| 118 | Marcos Giron vs Yibing Wu | Yibing Wu | 55.4% | 52.0% | 52¢ | +3.4pp | LOW | PAPER | 19 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.034 |
| 119 | Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Camila Osorio | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 48.4% | 45.0% | 45¢ | +3.4pp | LOW | SKIP | 465 | clay | Round 1 | +0.034 |
| 120 | Gael Monfils vs Hugo Gaston | Hugo Gaston | 54.6% | 52.0% | 52¢ | +2.6pp | LOW | PAPER | 1165 | clay | Round 1 | +0.026 |
| 121 | Diane Parry vs Anhelina Kalinina | Diane Parry | 29.2% | 27.0% | 27¢ | +2.2pp | LOW | PAPER | 1108 | clay | Round 1 | +0.022 |
| 122 | Jasmine Paolini vs Dayana Yastremska | Dayana Yastremska | 45.6% | 44.0% | 44¢ | +1.6pp | LOW | SKIP | 81 | clay | Round 1 | +0.016 |
| 123 | Luca Van Assche vs Patrick Kypson | Patrick Kypson | 46.5% | 46.0% | 46¢ | +0.5pp | LOW | SKIP | 9 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.005 |
| 124 | Mattia Bellucci vs Quentin Halys | Mattia Bellucci | 49.4% | 49.0% | 49¢ | +0.4pp | LOW | SKIP | 505 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.004 |
| 125 | Alexander Shevchenko vs Alex Michelsen | Alexander Shevchenko | 40.6% | 41.0% | 41¢ | -0.4pp | LOW | SKIP | 623 | hard | Round Of 128 | -0.004 |
| 126 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse vs Magdalena Frech | Elena-Gabriela Ruse | 60.3% | 60.0% | 60¢ | +0.3pp | LOW | SKIP | 40 | clay | Round 1 | +0.003 |
| 127 | Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Tamara Korpatsch | Sara Sorribes Tormo | 46.3% | 46.0% | 46¢ | +0.3pp | LOW | SKIP | 52 | clay | Round 1 | +0.003 |
| # | Player | Stat | PP line | Our proj | Edge % | Side | Tier | Opp | Surface | Demon | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Learner Tien🧊 COLD | Total Tie Breaks | 0.5 | 0.12 | +75.6% | LESS | LOW | Cristian Garin | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 2 | Luciano Darderi🟨 WARM | Total Tie Breaks | 0.5 | 0.12 | +75.3% | LESS | LOW | Sebastian Ofner | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 3 | Alexander Bublik🧊 COLD | Total Tie Breaks | 0.5 | 0.12 | +75.3% | LESS | LOW | Jan-Lennard Struff | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 4 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | Total Games Won | 5.5 | 9.30 | +69.1% | MORE | LOW | Aryna Sabalenka | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 5 | Fiona Ferro🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 5.5 | 9.18 | +66.9% | MORE | LOW | Mirra Andreeva | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 6 | Kimberly Birrell | Total Games Won | 5.5 | 9.00 | +63.7% | MORE | LOW | Jessica Pegula | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 7 | Renata Zarazua🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 6.5 | 10.55 | +62.3% | MORE | LOW | Diana Shnaider | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 8 | Maya Joint⏳ RTRN | Total Games Won | 6.5 | 10.51 | +61.8% | MORE | LOW | Anastasia Potapova | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 9 | Learner Tien🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 8.63 | +55.7% | LESS | LOW | Cristian Garin | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 10 | Miomir Kecmanovic🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 20.5 | 9.46 | +53.9% | LESS | LOW | Fabian Marozsan | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 11 | Gabriel Diallo🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 20.5 | 9.47 | +53.8% | LESS | LOW | James Duckworth | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 12 | Jaume Munar🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 9.14 | +53.1% | LESS | LOW | Hubert Hurkacz | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 13 | Iga Swiatek | Total Games | 16.0 | 24.46 | +52.9% | MORE | LOW | Emerson Jones | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 14 | Jakub Mensik🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 20.5 | 9.79 | +52.3% | LESS | LOW | Titouan Droguet | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 15 | Oksana Selekhmeteva🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 6.5 | 9.88 | +52.0% | MORE | LOW | Marta Kostyuk | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 16 | Sebastian Baez | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 9.40 | +51.8% | LESS | LOW | Roman Andres Burruchaga | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 17 | Alex Michelsen🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 9.43 | +51.6% | LESS | LOW | Alexander Shevchenko | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 18 | Karen Khachanov🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 20.5 | 10.02 | +51.1% | LESS | LOW | Arthur Gea | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 19 | Marcos Giron | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 9.60 | +50.8% | LESS | LOW | Yibing Wu | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 20 | Patrick Kypson🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 9.66 | +50.4% | LESS | LOW | Luca Van Assche | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 21 | Cameron Norrie🟨 WARM | Total Tie Breaks | 0.5 | 0.25 | +50.4% | LESS | LOW | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 22 | Alex Michelsen🧊 COLD | Total Tie Breaks | 0.5 | 0.25 | +50.3% | LESS | LOW | Alexander Shevchenko | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 23 | Patrick Kypson🧊 COLD | Total Tie Breaks | 0.5 | 0.25 | +50.1% | LESS | LOW | Luca Van Assche | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 24 | Miomir Kecmanovic🧊 COLD | Total Tie Breaks | 0.5 | 0.25 | +50.1% | LESS | LOW | Fabian Marozsan | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 25 | Nuno Borges🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 18.5 | 9.24 | +50.1% | LESS | LOW | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 26 | Ugo Humbert🧊 COLD | Total Tie Breaks | 0.5 | 0.25 | +50.0% | LESS | LOW | Adrian Mannarino | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 27 | Cameron Norrie🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 9.79 | +49.8% | LESS | LOW | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 28 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Total Games Won | 20.5 | 10.30 | +49.8% | LESS | LOW | Damir Dzumhur | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 29 | Tallon Griekspoor🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 9.80 | +49.8% | LESS | LOW | Matteo Arnaldi | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 30 | Terence Atmane | Total Games Won | 20.5 | 10.30 | +49.7% | LESS | LOW | Thanasi Kokkinakis | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 31 | Andrey Rublev🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 20.5 | 10.33 | +49.6% | LESS | LOW | Ignacio Buse | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 32 | Ugo Humbert🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 20.5 | 10.36 | +49.5% | LESS | LOW | Adrian Mannarino | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 33 | Francisco Comesana🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 9.87 | +49.4% | LESS | LOW | Ethan Quinn | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 34 | Gael Monfils🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 9.91 | +49.2% | LESS | LOW | Hugo Gaston | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 35 | Quentin Halys🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 9.97 | +48.9% | LESS | LOW | Mattia Bellucci | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 36 | Corentin Moutet | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 9.98 | +48.8% | LESS | LOW | Vit Kopriva | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 37 | Jan-Lennard Struff🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 17.5 | 9.01 | +48.5% | LESS | LOW | Alexander Bublik | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 38 | Hamad Medjedovic⏳ RTRN | Total Games Won | 20.5 | 10.58 | +48.4% | LESS | LOW | Yannick Hanfmann | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 39 | Marton Fucsovics | Total Games Won | 18.5 | 9.65 | +47.8% | LESS | LOW | Matteo Berrettini | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 40 | Matteo Arnaldi🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 20.5 | 10.71 | +47.7% | LESS | LOW | Tallon Griekspoor | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 41 | Anna Bondar🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 7.5 | 11.06 | +47.5% | MORE | LOW | Elina Svitolina | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 42 | Brandon Nakashima | Total Games Won | 20.5 | 10.84 | +47.1% | LESS | LOW | Roberto Bautista Agut | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 43 | Jiri Lehecka🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 20.0 | 10.58 | +47.1% | LESS | LOW | Pablo Carreno Busta | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 44 | Zizou Bergs🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 10.36 | +46.9% | LESS | LOW | Tomas Machac | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 45 | Yannick Hanfmann🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 10.38 | +46.8% | LESS | LOW | Hamad Medjedovic | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 46 | Mattia Bellucci | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 10.44 | +46.5% | LESS | LOW | Quentin Halys | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 47 | Felix Auger-Aliassime🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 10.45 | +46.4% | LESS | LOW | Daniel Altmaier | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 48 | Alexander Bublik🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 20.5 | 11.01 | +46.3% | LESS | LOW | Jan-Lennard Struff | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 49 | Hanne Vandewinkel🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 6.5 | 9.50 | +46.2% | MORE | LOW | Madison Keys | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 50 | Hugo Gaston | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 10.51 | +46.1% | LESS | LOW | Gael Monfils | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 51 | Ethan Quinn | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 10.54 | +45.9% | LESS | LOW | Francisco Comesana | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 52 | Sebastian Ofner | Total Games Won | 17.5 | 9.48 | +45.8% | LESS | LOW | Luciano Darderi | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 53 | Alejandro Tabilo🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 10.57 | +45.8% | LESS | LOW | Kamil Majchrzak | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 54 | Tomas Machac | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 10.59 | +45.7% | LESS | LOW | Zizou Bergs | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 55 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 20.5 | 11.29 | +44.9% | LESS | LOW | Nuno Borges | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 56 | Roberto Bautista Agut🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 17.5 | 9.67 | +44.8% | LESS | LOW | Brandon Nakashima | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 57 | Matteo Berrettini | Total Games Won | 20.5 | 11.35 | +44.6% | LESS | LOW | Marton Fucsovics | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 58 | Luca Van Assche | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 10.82 | +44.5% | LESS | LOW | Patrick Kypson | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 59 | Moise Kouame | Total Games Won | 17.5 | 9.79 | +44.0% | LESS | LOW | Marin Cilic | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 60 | Novak Djokovic⏳ RTRN | Total Games Won | 20.5 | 11.57 | +43.6% | LESS | LOW | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 61 | Alexandre Muller | Total Games Won | 15.5 | 8.75 | +43.5% | LESS | LOW | Stefanos Tsitsipas | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 62 | Luciano Darderi🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 20.5 | 11.60 | +43.4% | LESS | LOW | Sebastian Ofner | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 63 | Nishesh Basavareddy🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 18.5 | 10.49 | +43.3% | LESS | LOW | Taylor Fritz | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 64 | Fabian Marozsan | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 11.07 | +43.2% | LESS | LOW | Miomir Kecmanovic | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 65 | James Duckworth⏳ RTRN | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 11.07 | +43.2% | LESS | LOW | Gabriel Diallo | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 66 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard⏳ RTRN | Total Games Won | 16.5 | 9.49 | +42.5% | LESS | LOW | Novak Djokovic | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 67 | Alexei Popyrin | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 11.22 | +42.5% | LESS | LOW | Zachary Svajda | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 68 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 11.23 | +42.4% | LESS | LOW | Cameron Norrie | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 69 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 11.26 | +42.3% | LESS | LOW | Jacob Fearnley | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 70 | Marin Cilic | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 11.26 | +42.2% | LESS | LOW | Moise Kouame | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 71 | Ignacio Buse | Total Games Won | 18.5 | 10.71 | +42.1% | LESS | LOW | Andrey Rublev | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 72 | Hubert Hurkacz🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 11.38 | +41.6% | LESS | LOW | Jaume Munar | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 73 | Yibing Wu🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 11.39 | +41.6% | LESS | LOW | Marcos Giron | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 74 | Pablo Carreno Busta🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 17.5 | 10.39 | +40.6% | LESS | LOW | Jiri Lehecka | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 75 | Vit Kopriva🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 18.5 | 11.02 | +40.4% | LESS | LOW | Corentin Moutet | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 76 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | Total Games Won | 20.5 | 12.24 | +40.3% | LESS | LOW | Alexandre Muller | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 77 | Alexander Shevchenko | Total Games Won | 18.5 | 11.06 | +40.2% | LESS | LOW | Alex Michelsen | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 78 | Zachary Svajda🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 15.5 | 9.32 | +39.9% | LESS | LOW | Alexei Popyrin | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 79 | Thanasi Kokkinakis⏳ RTRN | Total Games Won | 17.5 | 10.63 | +39.3% | LESS | LOW | Terence Atmane | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 80 | Titouan Droguet🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 18.5 | 11.27 | +39.1% | LESS | LOW | Jakub Mensik | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 81 | Sorana Cirstea🟨 WARM | Total Games | 17.0 | 23.60 | +38.8% | MORE | LOW | Ksenia Efremova | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 82 | Stan Wawrinka🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 13.5 | 8.39 | +37.8% | LESS | LOW | Arthur Fils | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 83 | Hubert Hurkacz🟨 WARM | Total Games | 39.5 | 24.59 | +37.8% | LESS | LOW | Jaume Munar | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 84 | Arthur Fils🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 12.16 | +37.7% | LESS | LOW | Stan Wawrinka | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 85 | Francisco Cerundolo🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 19.5 | 12.28 | +37.0% | LESS | LOW | Botic Van de Zandschulp | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 86 | Jacob Fearnley⏳ RTRN | Total Games Won | 15.5 | 9.78 | +36.9% | LESS | LOW | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 87 | Learner Tien🧊 COLD | Total Games | 37.5 | 23.70 | +36.8% | LESS | LOW | Cristian Garin | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 88 | Hamad Medjedovic⏳ RTRN | Total Games | 39.5 | 25.20 | +36.2% | LESS | LOW | Yannick Hanfmann | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 89 | Alycia Parks🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 7.5 | 10.21 | +36.2% | MORE | LOW | Leylah Fernandez | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 90 | Tallon Griekspoor🧊 COLD | Total Games | 39.5 | 25.22 | +36.2% | LESS | LOW | Matteo Arnaldi | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 91 | Daniel Altmaier | Total Games Won | 16.5 | 10.56 | +36.0% | LESS | LOW | Felix Auger-Aliassime | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 92 | Amanda Anisimova⏳ RTRN | Total Games | 17.5 | 23.78 | +35.9% | MORE | LOW | Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 93 | Quentin Halys🧊 COLD | Total Games | 39.5 | 25.34 | +35.9% | LESS | LOW | Mattia Bellucci | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 94 | Gabriel Diallo🧊 COLD | Total Games | 39.0 | 25.07 | +35.7% | LESS | LOW | James Duckworth | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 95 | Cristian Garin | Total Games Won | 18.5 | 11.90 | +35.7% | LESS | LOW | Learner Tien | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 96 | Jakub Mensik🟨 WARM | Total Games | 38.5 | 24.82 | +35.5% | LESS | LOW | Titouan Droguet | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 97 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry🟨 WARM | Total Games | 38.5 | 24.84 | +35.5% | LESS | LOW | Nuno Borges | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 98 | Marta Kostyuk🟨 WARM | Total Games | 18.0 | 24.38 | +35.4% | MORE | LOW | Oksana Selekhmeteva | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 99 | Botic Van de Zandschulp⏳ RTRN | Total Games Won | 13.5 | 8.72 | +35.4% | LESS | LOW | Francisco Cerundolo | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 100 | Sebastian Baez | Total Games | 37.5 | 24.29 | +35.2% | LESS | LOW | Roman Andres Burruchaga | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 101 | Arthur Gea | Total Games Won | 16.0 | 10.38 | +35.1% | LESS | LOW | Karen Khachanov | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 102 | Francisco Comesana🧊 COLD | Total Games | 38.5 | 25.14 | +34.7% | LESS | LOW | Ethan Quinn | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 103 | Novak Djokovic⏳ RTRN | Total Games | 37.5 | 24.51 | +34.6% | LESS | LOW | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 104 | Marcos Giron | Total Games | 37.5 | 24.59 | +34.4% | LESS | LOW | Yibing Wu | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 105 | Aryna Sabalenka🟨 WARM | Total Games | 17.5 | 23.50 | +34.3% | MORE | LOW | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 106 | Aleksandar Vukic🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 12.5 | 8.23 | +34.1% | LESS | LOW | Raphael Collignon | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 107 | Adrian Mannarino🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 14.5 | 9.55 | +34.1% | LESS | LOW | Ugo Humbert | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 108 | Miomir Kecmanovic🧊 COLD | Total Games | 38.0 | 25.03 | +34.1% | LESS | LOW | Fabian Marozsan | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 109 | Jenson Brooksby🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 13.5 | 8.93 | +33.9% | LESS | LOW | Mariano Navone | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 110 | Andrey Rublev🟨 WARM | Total Games | 38.0 | 25.17 | +33.8% | LESS | LOW | Ignacio Buse | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 111 | Alexander Bublik🧊 COLD | Total Games | 37.0 | 24.54 | +33.7% | LESS | LOW | Jan-Lennard Struff | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 112 | Cameron Norrie🟨 WARM | Total Games | 37.5 | 24.88 | +33.7% | LESS | LOW | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 113 | Matteo Berrettini | Total Games | 37.0 | 24.60 | +33.5% | LESS | LOW | Marton Fucsovics | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 114 | Alex Michelsen🧊 COLD | Total Games | 37.5 | 25.05 | +33.2% | LESS | LOW | Alexander Shevchenko | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 115 | Corentin Moutet | Total Games | 37.5 | 25.09 | +33.1% | LESS | LOW | Vit Kopriva | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 116 | Kamil Majchrzak⏳ RTRN | Total Games Won | 15.5 | 10.37 | +33.1% | LESS | LOW | Alejandro Tabilo | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 117 | Elise Mertens | Total Games | 18.0 | 23.94 | +33.0% | MORE | LOW | Tatjana Maria | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 118 | Patrick Kypson🧊 COLD | Total Games | 37.5 | 25.15 | +33.0% | LESS | LOW | Luca Van Assche | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 119 | Luciano Darderi🟨 WARM | Total Games | 36.5 | 24.50 | +32.9% | LESS | LOW | Sebastian Ofner | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 120 | Taylor Fritz⏳ RTRN | Total Games | 37.5 | 25.18 | +32.9% | LESS | LOW | Nishesh Basavareddy | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 121 | Terence Atmane | Total Games | 37.5 | 25.23 | +32.7% | LESS | LOW | Thanasi Kokkinakis | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 122 | Tomas Machac | Total Games | 37.5 | 25.23 | +32.7% | LESS | LOW | Zizou Bergs | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 123 | Hugo Gaston | Total Games | 37.5 | 25.34 | +32.4% | LESS | LOW | Gael Monfils | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 124 | Arthur Fils🟨 WARM | Total Games | 33.5 | 22.79 | +32.0% | LESS | LOW | Stan Wawrinka | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 125 | Aleksandar Kovacevic🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 12.5 | 8.51 | +31.9% | LESS | LOW | Rafael Jodar | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 126 | Felix Auger-Aliassime🟨 WARM | Total Games | 37.0 | 25.20 | +31.9% | LESS | LOW | Daniel Altmaier | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 127 | Anastasia Potapova🟨 WARM | Total Games | 18.5 | 24.36 | +31.7% | MORE | LOW | Maya Joint | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 128 | Madison Keys⏳ RTRN | Total Games | 18.5 | 24.30 | +31.4% | MORE | LOW | Hanne Vandewinkel | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 129 | Mirra Andreeva🟨 WARM | Total Games | 17.5 | 22.98 | +31.3% | MORE | LOW | Fiona Ferro | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 130 | Damir Dzumhur | Total Games Won | 15.5 | 10.66 | +31.2% | LESS | LOW | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 131 | Jiri Lehecka🟨 WARM | Total Games | 36.5 | 25.13 | +31.2% | LESS | LOW | Pablo Carreno Busta | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 132 | Brandon Nakashima | Total Games | 36.5 | 25.17 | +31.0% | LESS | LOW | Roberto Bautista Agut | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 133 | Alejandro Tabilo🟨 WARM | Total Games | 36.5 | 25.20 | +31.0% | LESS | LOW | Kamil Majchrzak | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 134 | Karen Khachanov🧊 COLD | Total Games | 36.5 | 25.21 | +30.9% | LESS | LOW | Arthur Gea | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 135 | Raphael Collignon⏳ RTRN | Total Games | 32.0 | 22.18 | +30.7% | LESS | LOW | Aleksandar Vukic | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 136 | Mariano Navone🟨 WARM | Total Sets | 3.5 | 2.46 | +29.7% | LESS | LOW | Jenson Brooksby | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 137 | Novak Djokovic⏳ RTRN | Total Sets | 3.5 | 2.46 | +29.6% | LESS | LOW | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 138 | Karolina Muchova⏳ RTRN | Total Games | 18.5 | 23.90 | +29.2% | MORE | LOW | Anastasia Zakharova | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 139 | Francisco Cerundolo🟨 WARM | Total Sets | 3.5 | 2.49 | +29.0% | LESS | LOW | Botic Van de Zandschulp | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 140 | Jessica Pegula🟨 WARM | Total Games | 17.5 | 22.57 | +29.0% | MORE | LOW | Kimberly Birrell | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 141 | Ugo Humbert🧊 COLD | Total Sets | 3.5 | 2.50 | +28.6% | LESS | LOW | Adrian Mannarino | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 142 | Mariano Navone🟨 WARM | Total Games | 34.0 | 24.26 | +28.6% | LESS | LOW | Jenson Brooksby | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 143 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | Total Games | 35.0 | 25.17 | +28.1% | LESS | LOW | Alexandre Muller | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 144 | Ugo Humbert🧊 COLD | Total Games | 34.5 | 25.16 | +27.1% | LESS | LOW | Adrian Mannarino | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 145 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Total Games | 34.5 | 25.18 | +27.0% | LESS | LOW | Damir Dzumhur | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 146 | Akasha Urhobo🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 9.5 | 12.04 | +26.7% | MORE | LOW | Katie Boulter | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 147 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo🟨 WARM | Total Games | 34.0 | 24.91 | +26.7% | LESS | LOW | Jacob Fearnley | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 148 | Alexei Popyrin | Total Games | 34.0 | 25.05 | +26.3% | LESS | LOW | Zachary Svajda | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 149 | Rafael Jodar🟨 WARM | Total Games | 31.5 | 23.22 | +26.3% | LESS | LOW | Aleksandar Kovacevic | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 150 | Katie Volynets | Total Games | 19.0 | 23.86 | +25.6% | MORE | LOW | Clara Burel | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 151 | Francisco Comesana🧊 COLD | Total Tie Breaks | 0.5 | 0.37 | +25.5% | LESS | LOW | Ethan Quinn | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 152 | Brandon Nakashima | Total Tie Breaks | 0.5 | 0.37 | +25.3% | LESS | LOW | Roberto Bautista Agut | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 153 | Francisco Cerundolo🟨 WARM | Total Games | 33.5 | 25.06 | +25.2% | LESS | LOW | Botic Van de Zandschulp | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 154 | Alejandro Tabilo🟨 WARM | Total Tie Breaks | 0.5 | 0.37 | +25.1% | LESS | LOW | Kamil Majchrzak | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 155 | Jiri Lehecka🟨 WARM | Total Tie Breaks | 0.5 | 0.37 | +25.0% | LESS | LOW | Pablo Carreno Busta | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 156 | Leylah Fernandez🟨 WARM | Total Games | 19.5 | 24.38 | +25.0% | MORE | LOW | Alycia Parks | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 157 | Anastasia Zakharova🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 7.5 | 9.37 | +25.0% | MORE | LOW | Karolina Muchova | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 158 | Tomas Machac | Total Tie Breaks | 0.5 | 0.38 | +24.9% | LESS | LOW | Zizou Bergs | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 159 | Jelena Ostapenko | Total Games | 19.5 | 24.28 | +24.5% | MORE | LOW | Ella Seidel | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 160 | Elina Svitolina | Total Games | 19.5 | 24.20 | +24.1% | MORE | LOW | Anna Bondar | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 161 | Nikola Bartunkova | Total Games Won | 8.5 | 10.52 | +23.7% | MORE | LOW | Victoria Mboko | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 162 | Alice Tubello🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 9.5 | 11.71 | +23.3% | MORE | LOW | Donna Vekic | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 163 | Alexander Zverev🟨 WARM | Total Games | 29.5 | 22.64 | +23.3% | LESS | LOW | Benjamin Bonzi | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 164 | Jaqueline Cristian | Total Games | 20.0 | 24.15 | +20.7% | MORE | LOW | Kamilla Rakhimova | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 165 | Tommy Paul🟨 WARM | Total Games | 28.5 | 22.83 | +19.9% | LESS | LOW | Rinky Hijikata | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 166 | Sara Sorribes Tormo🟨 WARM | Total Games | 20.5 | 24.48 | +19.4% | MORE | LOW | Tamara Korpatsch | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 167 | Clara Tauson⏳ RTRN | Total Games | 20.5 | 24.44 | +19.2% | MORE | LOW | Daria Snigur | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 168 | Clement Tabur🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 7.5 | 8.94 | +19.2% | MORE | LOW | Jannik Sinner | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 169 | Liudmila Samsonova | Total Games | 20.5 | 24.42 | +19.1% | MORE | LOW | Jil Teichmann | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 170 | Daria Kasatkina🟨 WARM | Total Games | 20.5 | 24.31 | +18.6% | MORE | LOW | Zeynep Sonmez | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 171 | Emma Navarro⏳ RTRN | Total Games | 20.5 | 24.28 | +18.4% | MORE | LOW | Janice Tjen | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 172 | Frances Tiafoe⏳ RTRN | Total Games | 30.5 | 25.11 | +17.7% | LESS | LOW | Eliot Spizzirri | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 173 | Katie Boulter | Total Games | 19.0 | 22.31 | +17.4% | MORE | LOW | Akasha Urhobo | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 174 | Naomi Osaka🟨 WARM | Total Games | 20.5 | 23.99 | +17.0% | MORE | LOW | Laura Siegemund | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 175 | Camila Osorio | Total Games | 21.0 | 24.56 | +17.0% | MORE | LOW | Ekaterina Alexandrova | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 176 | Benjamin Bonzi | Total Games Won | 10.5 | 8.77 | +16.5% | LESS | LOW | Alexander Zverev | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 177 | Peyton Stearns | Total Games | 21.0 | 24.43 | +16.3% | MORE | LOW | Sofia Kenin | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 178 | Yulia Putintseva | Total Games | 20.5 | 23.76 | +15.9% | MORE | LOW | Talia Gibson | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 179 | Rinky Hijikata | Total Games Won | 10.5 | 8.88 | +15.4% | LESS | LOW | Tommy Paul | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 180 | Linda Noskova🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 12.5 | 10.66 | +14.7% | LESS | LOW | Maria Sakkari | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 181 | Clara Burel🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 8.0 | 9.15 | +14.4% | MORE | LOW | Katie Volynets | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 182 | Daniil Medvedev | Total Games | 28.5 | 24.48 | +14.1% | LESS | LOW | Adam Walton | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 183 | Linda Noskova🟨 WARM | Total Games | 21.5 | 24.52 | +14.0% | MORE | LOW | Maria Sakkari | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 184 | Ann Li | Total Games | 20.5 | 23.33 | +13.8% | MORE | LOW | Shuai Zhang | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 185 | Jil Teichmann🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 9.0 | 10.23 | +13.7% | MORE | LOW | Liudmila Samsonova | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 186 | Donna Vekic🟨 WARM | Total Games | 20.5 | 23.25 | +13.4% | MORE | LOW | Alice Tubello | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 187 | Coco Gauff🟨 WARM | Total Games | 19.0 | 21.49 | +13.1% | MORE | LOW | Taylor Townsend | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 188 | Eliot Spizzirri⏳ RTRN | Total Games Won | 11.5 | 10.01 | +12.9% | LESS | LOW | Frances Tiafoe | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 189 | Ilya Ivashka | Total Games | 22.5 | 25.34 | +12.6% | MORE | LOW | Petr Bar Biryukov | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 190 | Ella Seidel🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 8.5 | 9.56 | +12.5% | MORE | LOW | Jelena Ostapenko | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 191 | Diane Parry🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 9.5 | 8.38 | +11.8% | LESS | LOW | Anhelina Kalinina | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 192 | Alexandra Eala | Total Games Won | 10.5 | 9.27 | +11.7% | LESS | LOW | Iva Jovic | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 193 | Kamilla Rakhimova🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 8.5 | 9.45 | +11.2% | MORE | LOW | Jaqueline Cristian | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 194 | Janice Tjen🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 9.5 | 10.56 | +11.1% | MORE | LOW | Emma Navarro | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 195 | Sofia Kenin | Total Games Won | 11.5 | 10.22 | +11.1% | LESS | LOW | Peyton Stearns | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 196 | Jasmine Paolini🧊 COLD | Total Games | 21.5 | 23.89 | +11.1% | MORE | LOW | Dayana Yastremska | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 197 | Magda Linette | Total Games Won | 8.5 | 9.44 | +11.1% | MORE | LOW | Tereza Valentova | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 198 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse🟨 WARM | Total Games | 21.5 | 23.84 | +10.9% | MORE | LOW | Magdalena Frech | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 199 | Eva Lys🧊 COLD | Total Games | 21.5 | 23.77 | +10.6% | MORE | LOW | Petra Marcinko | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 200 | Katerina Siniakova🟨 WARM | Total Games | 20.5 | 22.53 | +9.9% | MORE | LOW | Simona Waltert | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 201 | Daria Snigur🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 11.5 | 10.52 | +8.5% | LESS | LOW | Clara Tauson | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 202 | Anhelina Kalinina🟨 WARM | Total Games | 20.5 | 22.21 | +8.3% | MORE | LOW | Diane Parry | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 203 | Barbora Krejcikova⏳ RTRN | Total Games | 21.5 | 23.25 | +8.2% | MORE | LOW | Hailey Baptiste | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 204 | Panna Udvardy🟨 WARM | Total Games | 21.5 | 23.07 | +7.3% | MORE | LOW | Viktorija Golubic | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 205 | Jannik Sinner🟨 WARM | Total Games | 25.0 | 23.24 | +7.0% | LESS | LOW | Clement Tabur | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 206 | Francesca Jones | Total Games | 21.5 | 23.00 | +7.0% | MORE | LOW | Beatriz Haddad Maia | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 207 | Maria Sakkari🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 10.5 | 9.78 | +6.8% | LESS | LOW | Linda Noskova | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 208 | Shuai Zhang🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 9.5 | 8.86 | +6.7% | LESS | LOW | Ann Li | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 209 | Ajla Tomljanovic🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 9.5 | 8.88 | +6.6% | LESS | LOW | Caty McNally | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 210 | Zeynep Sonmez🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 9.5 | 10.04 | +5.7% | MORE | LOW | Daria Kasatkina | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 211 | Solana Sierra🟨 WARM | Total Games | 21.5 | 22.69 | +5.5% | MORE | LOW | Emma Raducanu | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 212 | Anna Blinkova | Total Games Won | 9.5 | 10.02 | +5.5% | MORE | LOW | Yuliia Starodubtseva | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 213 | Laura Siegemund | Total Games Won | 9.5 | 9.87 | +3.9% | MORE | LOW | Naomi Osaka | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 214 | Anna Kalinskaya | Total Games | 21.5 | 22.16 | +3.1% | MORE | LOW | Lois Boisson | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 215 | Talia Gibson | Total Games Won | 9.5 | 9.67 | +1.8% | MORE | LOW | Yulia Putintseva | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 216 | Lois Boisson🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 11.5 | 11.51 | +0.1% | MORE | LOW | Anna Kalinskaya | clay | — | 0.5x |
Kalshi tennis — 4 picks · $8.00 staked
Day 1 - paper only, grade EOD before scaling · locked 2026-05-22T13:11:18.517542+00:00
| # | Match | Pick | Our P | Ask | Edge | Tier | Surface | Stake | Status | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eliot Spizzirri vs Frances Tiafoe | Eliot Spizzirri | 51.0% | 10¢ | 41.0pp | STRONG | hard | $2.00 | OPEN | +0.00 |
| 2 | Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah vs Amanda Anisimova | Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah | 38.7% | 6¢ | 32.7pp | ELITE | clay | $2.00 | OPEN | +0.00 |
| 3 | Maria Carle vs Rebecca Sramkova | Maria Carle | 54.1% | 35¢ | 19.1pp | ELITE | clay | $2.00 | OPEN | +0.00 |
| 4 | Leandro Riedi vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert | Leandro Riedi | 55.0% | 45¢ | 10.0pp | ELITE | hard | $2.00 | OPEN | +0.00 |
PrizePicks tennis — 2 picks · $2.00 staked
Day 1 - paper only, grade EOD before scaling · locked 2026-05-22T13:11:18.454667+00:00
| # | Player | Stat | Line | Our proj | Side | Edge | Tier | Surface | Stake | Status | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eliot Spizzirri | Total Games Won | 11.5 | 10.01 | LESS | 12.9% | MED | clay | $1.00 | OPEN | +0.00 |
| 2 | Shuai Zhang | Total Games Won | 9.5 | 8.86 | LESS | 6.7% | MED | clay | $1.00 | OPEN | +0.00 |
Polymarket = retail/crypto sentiment. We can't bet there from CA, but the divergence vs Kalshi (sharp) reveals where the public is loading up. Generated 2026-05-22T10:42:02 · flagged threshold = ±3.0pp · 1 flagged futures / 0 flagged matches.
Grand-slam futures · ANY 2026 Slam (Kalshi KXATPGRANDSLAM vs Polymarket per-slam aggregate)
Polymarket "any-slam" probability computed naively as
1 - product(1 - p_slam). Positive divergence = public (Polymarket) more bullish than sharp (Kalshi). Sorted by |divergence|.| Player | Sharp (Kalshi) | Public (Poly) | Δ | Poly per-slam |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic · exact | 11.0% | 18.2% | +7.2pp · PUBLIC HIGHER | Fre 6%, Wim 10%, US 3% |
| Lorenzo Musetti · exact | 4.5% | 1.6% | -2.9pp · SHARP HIGHER | Fre 0%, Wim 1%, US 1% |
| Alexander Zverev · exact | 12.0% | 14.4% | +2.4pp · PUBLIC HIGHER | Fre 7%, Wim 5%, US 3% |
| Daniil Medvedev · exact | 8.0% | 5.8% | -2.2pp · SHARP HIGHER | Fre 2%, Wim 2%, US 2% |
| Ben Shelton · exact | 4.5% | 6.6% | +2.1pp · PUBLIC HIGHER | Fre 1%, Wim 3%, US 3% |
| Alex de Minaur · exact | 3.0% | 1.4% | -1.6pp · SHARP HIGHER | Fre 1%, Wim 1% |
| Jack Draper · exact | 4.5% | 6.1% | +1.6pp · PUBLIC HIGHER | Fre 0%, Wim 3%, US 3% |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime · exact | 2.0% | 0.4% | -1.6pp · SHARP HIGHER | Wim 0% |
| Karen Khachanov · exact | 2.0% | 0.7% | -1.3pp · SHARP HIGHER | Fre 0%, Wim 1% |
| Alexander Bublik · exact | 3.0% | 1.9% | -1.1pp · SHARP HIGHER | Fre 0%, Wim 0%, US 1% |
| Frances Tiafoe · exact | 0.5% | 1.3% | +0.8pp · PUBLIC HIGHER | Fre 0%, Wim 0%, US 1% |
| Jannik Sinner · exact | 94.5% | 95.1% | +0.6pp · PUBLIC HIGHER | Fre 72%, Wim 66%, US 50% |
| Taylor Fritz · exact | 4.5% | 4.6% | +0.1pp · PUBLIC HIGHER | Fre 0%, Wim 3%, US 2% |
| Casper Ruud · exact | 3.5% | 3.6% | +0.1pp · PUBLIC HIGHER | Fre 3%, Wim 0% |
Per-match overlaps
No active per-match overlaps right now (Polymarket tennis volume concentrates in Grand Slam futures).
Per-stat-type MAE (n_graded=17)
Bar width = MAE (lower = better). "INSUFFICIENT" = need more graded picks.
Total Games
n=4
Ours
PP
Us 6.45
PP 3.25
INSUFFICIENT_N
PP 3.25
INSUFFICIENT_N
Total Games Won
n=12
Ours
PP
Us 4.93
PP 4.50
NULL
PP 4.50
NULL
Total Tie Breaks
n=1
Ours
PP
Us 0.25
PP 0.50
INSUFFICIENT_N
PP 0.50
INSUFFICIENT_N
Per-tier MAE
Bar width = MAE (lower = better). "INSUFFICIENT" = need more graded picks.
ELITE
n=16
Ours
PP
Us 4.94
PP 3.75
NULL
PP 3.75
NULL
MED
n=0
Ours
PP
Us —
PP —
INSUFFICIENT_N
PP —
INSUFFICIENT_N
STRONG
n=1
Ours
PP
Us 6.23
PP 7.50
INSUFFICIENT_N
PP 7.50
INSUFFICIENT_N
No AAR available yet.
Expected:
Expected:
~/.claude/projects/.../memory/aar_tennis_<date>.md| # | Player | Stat | Opp | Open | Latest | Diff | Abs | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zachary Svajda | Total Games Won | Alexei Popyrin | 13.5 | 15.5 | +2.00 | 2.00 | UP |
| 2 | Mattia Bellucci | Total Games Won | Quentin Halys | 20.5 | 19.5 | -1.00 | 1.00 | DOWN |
| 3 | Maria Sakkari | Total Games Won | Linda Noskova | 11.5 | 10.5 | -1.00 | 1.00 | DOWN |
| 4 | Nikola Bartunkova | Total Games Won | Victoria Mboko | 9.5 | 8.5 | -1.00 | 1.00 | DOWN |
| 5 | Tommy Paul | Total Games | Rinky Hijikata | 29.5 | 28.5 | -1.00 | 1.00 | DOWN |
| 6 | Marin Cilic | Total Games Won | Moise Kouame | 20.5 | 19.5 | -1.00 | 1.00 | DOWN |
| 7 | Anna Blinkova | Total Games Won | Yuliia Starodubtseva | 8.5 | 9.5 | +1.00 | 1.00 | UP |
| 8 | Anna Bondar | Total Games Won | Elina Svitolina | 6.5 | 7.5 | +1.00 | 1.00 | UP |
| 9 | Alexei Popyrin | Total Games Won | Zachary Svajda | 19.5 | 20.5 | +1.00 | 1.00 | UP |
| 10 | Felix Auger-Aliassime | Total Games Won | Daniel Altmaier | 20.5 | 19.5 | -1.00 | 1.00 | DOWN |
| 11 | Daniel Altmaier | Total Games Won | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 17.5 | 16.5 | -1.00 | 1.00 | DOWN |
| 12 | Aleksandar Vukic | Total Games Won | Raphael Collignon | 11.5 | 12.5 | +1.00 | 1.00 | UP |
ATP top 50
| Rk | Player | Country | Pts | ELO overall | ELO clay | ELO grass | ELO hard |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jannik Sinner | ITA | 14350 | 2175 | 1857 | 1695 | 2062 |
| 2 | Carlos Alcaraz | ESP | 12960 | 2070 | 1867 | 1717 | 1956 |
| 3 | Alexander Zverev | GER | 5805 | 1961 | 1816 | 1594 | 1863 |
| 4 | Novak Djokovic | SRB | 4700 | 1955 | 1738 | 1636 | 1846 |
| 5 | Felix Auger Aliassime | CAN | 4050 | 1864 | 1605 | 1517 | 1803 |
| 6 | Ben Shelton | USA | 4030 | 1848 | 1683 | 1561 | 1765 |
| 7 | Taylor Fritz | USA | 3770 | 1826 | 1581 | 1722 | 1749 |
| 8 | Alex De Minaur | AUS | 3755 | 1847 | 1652 | 1590 | 1806 |
| 9 | Daniil Medvedev | RUS | 3460 | 1878 | 1641 | 1585 | 1845 |
| 10 | Lorenzo Musetti | ITA | 3415 | 1828 | 1756 | 1607 | 1723 |
| 11 | Alexander Bublik | KAZ | 3355 | 1803 | 1724 | 1569 | 1703 |
| 12 | Flavio Cobolli | ITA | 2750 | 1796 | 1720 | 1557 | 1655 |
| 13 | Jiri Lehecka | CZE | 2715 | 1837 | 1647 | 1574 | 1754 |
| 14 | Andrey Rublev | RUS | 2590 | 1762 | 1658 | 1516 | 1683 |
| 15 | Karen Khachanov | RUS | 2220 | 1691 | 1586 | 1567 | 1639 |
| 16 | Valentin Vacherot | MON | 2147 | 1810 | 1702 | 1467 | 1738 |
| 17 | Arthur Fils | FRA | 2130 | 1912 | 1762 | 1546 | 1771 |
| 18 | Tommy Paul | USA | 1975 | 1842 | 1748 | 1587 | 1743 |
| 19 | Cameron Norrie | GBR | 1918 | 1776 | 1658 | 1529 | 1682 |
| 20 | Luciano Darderi | ITA | 1890 | 1714 | 1767 | 1466 | 1466 |
| 21 | Learner Tien | USA | 1870 | 1800 | 1466 | 1506 | 1789 |
| 22 | Frances Tiafoe | USA | 1865 | 1771 | 1604 | 1488 | 1719 |
| 23 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | ESP | 1820 | 1756 | 1572 | 1545 | 1703 |
| 24 | Arthur Rinderknech | FRA | 1736 | 1713 | 1566 | 1530 | 1631 |
| 25 | Casper Ruud | NOR | 1735 | 1792 | 1744 | 1502 | 1685 |
| 26 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | ARG | 1660 | 1785 | 1693 | 1456 | 1636 |
| 27 | Francisco Cerundolo | ARG | 1620 | 1801 | 1726 | 1426 | 1698 |
| 28 | Jakub Mensik | CZE | 1600 | 1795 | 1589 | 1497 | 1747 |
| 29 | Joao Fonseca | BRA | 1435 | 1818 | 1638 | 1495 | 1795 |
| 30 | Corentin Moutet | FRA | 1413 | 1706 | 1600 | 1574 | 1640 |
| 31 | Tallon Griekspoor | NED | 1360 | 1681 | 1575 | 1564 | 1645 |
| 32 | Brandon Nakashima | USA | 1295 | 1706 | 1570 | 1590 | 1660 |
| 33 | Ugo Humbert | FRA | 1280 | 1712 | 1451 | 1517 | 1697 |
| 34 | Rafael Jodar | ESP | 1273 | 1874 | 1714 | — | 1765 |
| 35 | Alejandro Tabilo | CHI | 1248 | 1786 | 1696 | 1575 | 1637 |
| 36 | Alexander Blockx | BEL | 1200 | 1820 | 1689 | 1508 | 1713 |
| 37 | Denis Shapovalov | CAN | 1170 | 1690 | 1498 | 1472 | 1698 |
| 38 | Jaume Munar | ESP | 1155 | 1695 | 1563 | 1508 | 1635 |
| 39 | Zizou Bergs | BEL | 1140 | 1705 | 1570 | 1521 | 1631 |
| 40 | Holger Rune | DEN | 1110 | 1744 | 1663 | 1515 | 1710 |
| 41 | Tomas Machac | CZE | 1100 | 1737 | 1592 | 1500 | 1682 |
| 42 | Alex Michelsen | USA | 1090 | 1715 | 1488 | 1538 | 1702 |
| 43 | Sebastian Korda | USA | 1050 | 1806 | 1537 | 1556 | 1757 |
| 44 | Mariano Navone | ARG | 1046 | 1718 | 1716 | 1460 | 1507 |
| 45 | Adrian Mannarino | FRA | 1035 | 1589 | 1390 | 1584 | 1569 |
| 46 | Gabriel Diallo | CAN | 1000 | 1651 | 1554 | 1576 | 1615 |
| 47 | Marin Cilic | CRO | 980 | 1710 | 1539 | 1611 | 1635 |
| 48 | Ethan Quinn | USA | 977 | 1731 | 1594 | 1509 | 1683 |
| 49 | Fabian Marozsan | HUN | 975 | 1672 | 1566 | 1450 | 1608 |
| 50 | Jack Draper | GBR | 960 | 1806 | 1634 | 1594 | 1750 |
WTA top 50
| Rk | Player | Country | Pts | ELO overall | ELO clay | ELO grass | ELO hard |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aryna Sabalenka | BLR | 10110 | 2115 | 1808 | 1588 | 2045 |
| 2 | Elena Rybakina | KAZ | 8555 | 2063 | 1760 | 1580 | 1972 |
| 3 | Iga Swiatek | POL | 6948 | 1924 | 1780 | 1658 | 1852 |
| 4 | Coco Gauff | USA | 6749 | 1957 | 1787 | 1519 | 1871 |
| 5 | Jessica Pegula | USA | 6136 | 1997 | 1701 | 1583 | 1901 |
| 6 | Amanda Anisimova | USA | 5985 | 1916 | 1561 | 1638 | 1822 |
| 7 | Mirra Andreeva | RUS | 4181 | 1932 | 1800 | 1513 | 1797 |
| 8 | Jasmine Paolini | ITA | 3722 | 1815 | 1707 | 1585 | 1741 |
| 9 | Victoria Mboko | CAN | 3531 | 1936 | 1704 | 1515 | 1891 |
| 10 | Elina Svitolina | UKR | 3530 | 1922 | 1727 | 1550 | 1824 |
| 11 | Karolina Muchova | CZE | 3318 | 1951 | 1597 | 1494 | 1869 |
| 12 | Belinda Bencic | SUI | 3090 | 1898 | 1584 | 1561 | 1831 |
| 13 | Linda Noskova | CZE | 2999 | 1881 | 1589 | 1583 | 1763 |
| 14 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | RUS | 2669 | 1747 | 1593 | 1584 | 1662 |
| 15 | Marta Kostyuk | UKR | 2507 | 1924 | 1757 | 1449 | 1755 |
| 16 | Naomi Osaka | JPN | 2341 | 1819 | 1628 | 1514 | 1734 |
| 17 | Iva Jovic | USA | 2235 | 1829 | 1663 | 1601 | 1759 |
| 18 | Clara Tauson | DEN | 2030 | 1746 | 1560 | 1520 | 1679 |
| 19 | Madison Keys | USA | 1946 | 1836 | 1706 | 1558 | 1766 |
| 20 | Diana Shnaider | RUS | 1946 | 1782 | 1647 | 1565 | 1686 |
| 21 | Liudmila Samsonova | RUS | 1895 | 1697 | 1604 | 1619 | 1566 |
| 22 | Elise Mertens | BEL | 1858 | 1802 | 1580 | 1581 | 1714 |
| 23 | Leylah Fernandez | CAN | 1851 | 1790 | 1590 | 1546 | 1679 |
| 24 | Anna Kalinskaya | RUS | 1758 | 1784 | 1538 | 1546 | 1721 |
| 25 | Hailey Baptiste | USA | 1747 | 1785 | 1662 | 1488 | 1667 |
| 26 | Marie Bouzkova | CZE | 1651 | 1773 | 1699 | 1476 | 1648 |
| 27 | Sorana Cirstea | ROU | 1595 | 1866 | 1612 | 1429 | 1797 |
| 28 | Jaqueline Cristian | ROU | 1437 | 1770 | 1635 | 1432 | 1698 |
| 29 | Ann Li | USA | 1435 | 1745 | 1638 | 1478 | 1647 |
| 30 | Emma Raducanu | GBR | 1430 | 1753 | 1570 | 1577 | 1658 |
| 31 | Cristina Bucsa | ESP | 1406 | 1738 | 1475 | 1514 | 1684 |
| 32 | Qinwen Zheng | CHN | 1405 | 1819 | 1737 | 1497 | 1737 |
| 33 | Xin Yu Wang | CHN | 1401 | 1735 | 1546 | 1591 | 1616 |
| 34 | Maya Joint | AUS | 1380 | 1711 | 1688 | 1579 | 1641 |
| 35 | Emma Navarro | USA | 1377 | 1680 | 1578 | 1590 | 1613 |
| 36 | Jelena Ostapenko | LAT | 1369 | 1723 | 1632 | 1534 | 1621 |
| 37 | Sara Bejlek | CZE | 1360 | 1832 | 1797 | 1486 | 1653 |
| 38 | Anastasia Potapova | RUS | 1355 | 1787 | 1690 | 1484 | 1640 |
| 39 | Katerina Siniakova | CZE | 1342 | 1777 | 1549 | 1578 | 1693 |
| 40 | Janice Tjen | INA | 1317 | 1817 | 1662 | — | 1785 |
| 41 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | ITA | 1290 | 1800 | 1584 | 1577 | 1689 |
| 42 | Alexandra Eala | PHI | 1285 | 1786 | 1478 | 1600 | 1748 |
| 43 | Lois Boisson | FRA | 1268 | 1791 | 1811 | 1483 | 1554 |
| 44 | Marketa Vondrousova | CZE | 1263 | 1728 | 1606 | 1578 | 1609 |
| 45 | Magdalena Frech | POL | 1263 | 1649 | 1534 | 1434 | 1613 |
| 46 | Laura Siegemund | GER | 1250 | 1680 | 1535 | 1541 | 1592 |
| 47 | Maria Sakkari | GRE | 1238 | 1707 | 1563 | 1486 | 1658 |
| 48 | Tereza Valentova | CZE | 1231 | 1845 | 1746 | 1517 | 1788 |
| 49 | Peyton Stearns | USA | 1211 | 1710 | 1636 | 1471 | 1621 |
| 50 | Mccartney Kessler | USA | 1204 | 1754 | 1516 | 1583 | 1688 |
| Source | DB / file | Last pulled | Age | Rows | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi KXATPMATCH | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-05-22T17:39:31.270895+00:00 | 2m | 1900 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXWTAMATCH | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-05-22T17:39:31.270895+00:00 | 2m | 1782 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXFRENCHOPEN | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-05-22T17:39:31.270895+00:00 | 2m | 0 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXFOPENMENSINGLE | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-05-22T17:39:31.270895+00:00 | 2m | 0 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXATPGRANDSLAM | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-05-22T17:39:31.270895+00:00 | 2m | 14 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXUSOPEN | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-05-22T17:39:31.270895+00:00 | 2m | 0 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXATPSETWINNER | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-05-22T17:39:31.270895+00:00 | 2m | 3780 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXATPTOTALSETS | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-05-22T17:39:31.270895+00:00 | 2m | 0 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXATPSETSWEEP | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-05-22T17:39:31.270895+00:00 | 2m | 0 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXATPGAMESPREAD | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-05-22T17:39:31.270895+00:00 | 2m | 0 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXATPEXACTMATCH | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-05-22T17:39:31.270895+00:00 | 2m | 1464 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXWTADOUBLES | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-05-22T17:39:31.270895+00:00 | 2m | 0 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXATP1RANK | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-05-22T17:39:31.270895+00:00 | 2m | 16 | fresh |
| elo last computed | tennis.sqlite | 2026-05-22T17:39:28+00:00 | 2m | 20051 | fresh |
| rankings last pulled | tennis.sqlite | 2026-05-22T17:39:30+00:00 | 2m | 3745 | fresh |
| rankings atp latest date | tennis.sqlite | 2026-05-04 | 449.70h | — | stale |
| rankings wta latest date | tennis.sqlite | 2026-05-04 | 449.70h | — | stale |
| mirror atp schedule | tennis.sqlite | 2026-05-22T17:41:06.390684+00:00 | 1m | 261 | fresh |
| h2h last computed | tennis.sqlite | 2026-05-17T10:11:57.514615+00:00 | 127.50h | — | stale |
| h2h n pairs | tennis.sqlite | 190184 | missing | — | missing |
| last player db run | tennis.sqlite | 1779471682 | missing | — | missing |
| results last_run | tennis_results.sqlite | [2026-05-22T17:41:08.566189+00:00] 2026-05-22T17:41:06.725254+00:00; dates=['20260521']; rows=597; resolved=577 | missing | — | missing |
| pp_edges CSV | pp_edges_tennis_2026-05-22.csv | 2026-05-22T17:41:50.569535+00:00 | 0m | — | fresh |
| kalshi edges JSON | tennis_kalshi_edges_2026-05-22.json | 2026-05-22T17:41:41.067092+00:00 | 0m | — | fresh |
| paper trades PP | paper_trades_pp_tennis_2026-05-22.json | 2026-05-22T17:41:52.286962+00:00 | 0m | — | fresh |
| paper trades Kalshi | paper_trades_kalshi_tennis_2026-05-22.json | 2026-05-22T17:41:52.760736+00:00 | 0m | — | fresh |
| daily payload | daily_tennis_2026-05-22.json | 2026-05-22T17:41:53.443808+00:00 | 0m | — | fresh |
| PP movement | pp_line_movement_tennis_2026-05-22.csv | 2026-05-22T17:41:52.976226+00:00 | 0m | — | fresh |
| PP calibration | pp_calibration_tennis.json | 2026-05-22T17:41:52.875407+00:00 | 0m | — | fresh |