Kalshi KXATPMATCH 4m · 1920rKalshi KXWTAMATCH 4m · 1970rKalshi KXFRENCHOPEN 4mKalshi KXFOPENMENSINGLE 4mKalshi KXATPGRANDSLAM 4m · 14rKalshi KXUSOPEN 4mKalshi KXATPSETWINNER 4m · 4430rKalshi KXATPTOTALSETS 4mKalshi KXATPSETSWEEP 4m · 2rKalshi KXATPGAMESPREAD 4mKalshi KXATPEXACTMATCH 4m · 4336rKalshi KXWTADOUBLES 4m · 292rKalshi KXATP1RANK 4m · 16relo last computed 43d · 20430rrankings last pulled 49d · 11348rrankings atp latest date 57drankings wta latest date 57dmirror atp schedule 1m · 170rh2h last computed 79dh2h n pairs missinglast player db run missingresults last_run missingpp_edges CSV 1mkalshi edges JSON 1mpaper trades PP 0mpaper trades Kalshi 0mdaily payload 0mPP movement 0mPP calibration 0m
Matches today
76
scheduled
ELITE edges
1
across Kalshi + PP
STRONG edges
1
tier 2
MED edges
2
tier 3
Paper locks
0
Kalshi + PP
Real Money YTD
-$10.00
paper-gate restored
Qualifying skipped
0
filtered out today
Last refresh
13:16
2026-08-04 UTC
🏆 Best Bet (main-draw)
Alina Korneeva
+4.0pp
Our P 49% · Mkt P 45%
Ask 45¢
Vol24 1020
Vol24 1020
🎯 Safest (P ≥ 65%)
Stefanos Tsitsipas
64%
Heavy main-draw favorite · SKIP
Edge +1.3pp
Ask 63¢
Ask 63¢
💎 Biggest Payout (ELITE)
No ELITE main-draw longshot today.
| # | Match | Tournament | Round | Surface | Start | ELO A | ELO B | ELO diff | Kalshi event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva | Warsaw T-Mobile Polish Open | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 11:10 | 1719 | 1753 | -34 | |
| 2 | ? vs Sofia Costoulas | Warsaw T-Mobile Polish Open | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 12:15 | — | 1729 | — | |
| 3 | Laura Samson vs Mona Barthel | Warsaw T-Mobile Polish Open | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 12:50 | 1607 | 1720 | -113 | |
| 4 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia Karatancheva | Warsaw T-Mobile Polish Open | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 13:30 | 1598 | 1462 | +136 | |
| 5 | Hubert Hurkacz vs Marcos Giron | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 15:00 | 1583 | 1628 | -45 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG03HURGIR-2 |
| 6 | Duncan Chan vs Thiago Agustin Tirante | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 15:00 | 1527 | 1591 | -64 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG03CHATIR-2 |
| 7 | Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 15:00 | 1538 | 1624 | -87 | KXATPMATCH-26AUG01BAEBEL |
| 8 | Adam Walton vs Jenson Brooksby | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 15:00 | 1690 | 1545 | +145 | KXATPMATCH-26AUG03WALBRO |
| 9 | Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 15:00 | 1648 | 1671 | -23 | |
| 10 | Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 15:00 | 1824 | 1578 | +246 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04SVIBOU |
| 11 | Hubert Hurkacz vs Marcos Giron | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 15:00 | 1583 | 1628 | -45 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG03HURGIR-2 |
| 12 | Duncan Chan vs Thiago Agustin Tirante | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 15:00 | 1527 | 1591 | -64 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG03CHATIR-2 |
| 13 | Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 15:00 | 1538 | 1624 | -87 | KXATPMATCH-26AUG01BAEBEL |
| 14 | Adam Walton vs Jenson Brooksby | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 15:00 | 1690 | 1545 | +145 | KXATPMATCH-26AUG03WALBRO |
| 15 | Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 15:00 | 1648 | 1671 | -23 | |
| 16 | Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 15:00 | 1824 | 1578 | +246 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04SVIBOU |
| 17 | Zachary Svajda vs Denis Shapovalov | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 16:30 | 1683 | 1698 | -15 | KXATPMATCH-26AUG01SVASHA |
| 18 | ? vs Liam Draxl | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 16:30 | — | 1646 | — | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG01MERDRA-2 |
| 19 | Pablo Carreno Busta vs Valentin Royer | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 16:30 | 1662 | 1541 | +120 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG01CARROY-2 |
| 20 | Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 16:30 | 1521 | 1477 | +45 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG03POPBUR-1 |
| 21 | Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 16:30 | 1582 | 1569 | +13 | KXATPMATCH-26AUG03FEAMAN |
| 22 | Rebecca Sramkova vs Diana Shnaider | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 16:30 | 1611 | 1686 | -75 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04SRASHN |
| 23 | Donna Vekic vs Viktorija Golubic | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 16:30 | 1595 | 1684 | -89 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04VEKGOL |
| 24 | Sara Bejlek vs Iga Swiatek | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 16:30 | 1653 | 1852 | -199 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04BEJSWI |
| 25 | Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 16:30 | 1669 | 1662 | +7 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04OSOALE |
| 26 | Zachary Svajda vs Denis Shapovalov | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 16:30 | 1683 | 1698 | -15 | KXATPMATCH-26AUG01SVASHA |
| 27 | ? vs Liam Draxl | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 16:30 | — | 1646 | — | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG01MERDRA-2 |
| 28 | Pablo Carreno Busta vs Valentin Royer | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 16:30 | 1662 | 1541 | +120 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG01CARROY-2 |
| 29 | Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 16:30 | 1521 | 1477 | +45 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG03POPBUR-1 |
| 30 | Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 16:30 | 1582 | 1569 | +13 | KXATPMATCH-26AUG03FEAMAN |
| 31 | Rebecca Sramkova vs Diana Shnaider | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 16:30 | 1611 | 1686 | -75 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04SRASHN |
| 32 | Donna Vekic vs Viktorija Golubic | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 16:30 | 1595 | 1684 | -89 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04VEKGOL |
| 33 | Sara Bejlek vs Iga Swiatek | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 16:30 | 1653 | 1852 | -199 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04BEJSWI |
| 34 | Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 16:30 | 1669 | 1662 | +7 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04OSOALE |
| 35 | ? vs Andrey Rublev | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 18:00 | — | 1683 | — | |
| 36 | Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 18:00 | 1602 | 1645 | -44 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG01SONGRI-1 |
| 37 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Botic Van De Zandschulp | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 18:00 | 1576 | 1596 | -20 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG01MPEVAN-1 |
| 38 | Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 18:00 | 1627 | 1750 | -124 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG01ATMDRA-1 |
| 39 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 18:00 | 1532 | 1615 | -83 | KXATPMATCH-26AUG01CERMED |
| 40 | Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keys | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 18:00 | 1700 | 1766 | -65 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04RUZKEY |
| 41 | ? vs Anastasia Potapova | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 18:00 | — | 1640 | — | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04RUSPOT |
| 42 | Marta Kostyuk vs Katherine Sebov | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 18:00 | 1755 | 1672 | +83 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04KOSSEB |
| 43 | Maja Chwalinska vs Talia Gibson | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 18:00 | 1693 | 1832 | -139 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04CHWGIB |
| 44 | ? vs Andrey Rublev | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 18:00 | — | 1683 | — | |
| 45 | Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 18:00 | 1602 | 1645 | -44 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG01SONGRI-1 |
| 46 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Botic Van De Zandschulp | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 18:00 | 1576 | 1596 | -20 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG01MPEVAN-1 |
| 47 | Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 18:00 | 1627 | 1750 | -124 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG01ATMDRA-1 |
| 48 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 18:00 | 1532 | 1615 | -83 | KXATPMATCH-26AUG01CERMED |
| 49 | Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keys | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 18:00 | 1700 | 1766 | -65 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04RUZKEY |
| 50 | ? vs Anastasia Potapova | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 18:00 | — | 1640 | — | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04RUSPOT |
| 51 | Marta Kostyuk vs Katherine Sebov | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 18:00 | 1755 | 1672 | +83 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04KOSSEB |
| 52 | Maja Chwalinska vs Talia Gibson | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 18:00 | 1693 | 1832 | -139 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04CHWGIB |
| 53 | Jiri Lehecka vs Vit Kopriva | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 19:30 | 1754 | 1604 | +150 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG04LEHKOP-2 |
| 54 | Jaume Munar vs Alexander Blockx | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 19:30 | 1635 | 1713 | -78 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG03MUNBLO-2 |
| 55 | Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 19:30 | 1477 | 1608 | -132 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG03MOCMAR-1 |
| 56 | ? vs Jelena Ostapenko | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 19:30 | — | 1621 | — | |
| 57 | Jiri Lehecka vs Vit Kopriva | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 19:30 | 1754 | 1604 | +150 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG04LEHKOP-2 |
| 58 | Jaume Munar vs Alexander Blockx | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 19:30 | 1635 | 1713 | -78 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG03MUNBLO-2 |
| 59 | Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 1 | hard | Aug 04 19:30 | 1477 | 1608 | -132 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG03MOCMAR-1 |
| 60 | ? vs Jelena Ostapenko | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 19:30 | — | 1621 | — | |
| 61 | Anna Kalinskaya vs Mccartney Kessler | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 21:00 | 1721 | 1688 | +33 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04KALKES |
| 62 | Kamilla Rakhimova vs Katerina Siniakova | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 21:00 | 1639 | 1693 | -54 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04RAKSIN |
| 63 | Anna Kalinskaya vs Mccartney Kessler | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 21:00 | 1721 | 1688 | +33 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04KALKES |
| 64 | Kamilla Rakhimova vs Katerina Siniakova | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 21:00 | 1639 | 1693 | -54 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04RAKSIN |
| 65 | James Duckworth vs Alex De Minaur | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 22:00 | 1604 | 1806 | -202 | KXATPMATCH-26AUG04DUCDE |
| 66 | Brandon Nakashima vs Daniel Altmaier | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 22:00 | 1660 | 1516 | +145 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG04NAKALT-2 |
| 67 | James Duckworth vs Alex De Minaur | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 22:00 | 1604 | 1806 | -202 | KXATPMATCH-26AUG04DUCDE |
| 68 | Brandon Nakashima vs Daniel Altmaier | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 22:00 | 1660 | 1516 | +145 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG04NAKALT-2 |
| 69 | Clara Tauson vs Nikola Bartunkova | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 22:30 | 1679 | 1706 | -27 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04TAUBAR |
| 70 | Clara Tauson vs Nikola Bartunkova | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 22:30 | 1679 | 1706 | -27 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04TAUBAR |
| 71 | Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 23:00 | 1719 | 1635 | +84 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG04TIACIL-2 |
| 72 | Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 23:00 | 2045 | 1574 | +472 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04SABUCH |
| 73 | Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 23:00 | 1719 | 1635 | +84 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG04TIACIL-2 |
| 74 | Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 23:00 | 2045 | 1574 | +472 | KXWTAMATCH-26AUG04SABUCH |
| 75 | Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick Hanfmann | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 23:30 | 1655 | 1658 | -3 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG04COBHAN-1 |
| 76 | Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick Hanfmann | National Bank Open presented by Rogers | Round 2 | hard | Aug 04 23:30 | 1655 | 1658 | -3 | KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG04COBHAN-1 |
| # | Match | Our pick | Our P | Mkt P | Ask | Edge | Tier | Decision | Vol 24h | Surface | Round | EV/$ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur | James Duckworth | 37.0% | 12.0% | 12¢ | +25.0pp | LOW | PAPER | 6431 | hard | Round 2 | +0.250 |
| 2 | Sara Bejlek vs Iga Swiatek | Sara Bejlek | 32.2% | 11.0% | 11¢ | +21.2pp | LOW | PAPER | 10361 | hard | Round 2 | +0.212 |
| 3 | Katherine Sebov vs Marta Kostyuk | Katherine Sebov | 26.5% | 6.0% | 6¢ | +20.5pp | LOW | PAPER | 12131 | hard | Round 2 | +0.205 |
| 4 | Jiri Lehecka vs Vit Kopriva | Vit Kopriva | 36.3% | 16.0% | 16¢ | +20.3pp | LOW | PAPER | 13633 | hard | Round Of 64 | +0.203 |
| 5 | Moyuka Uchijima vs Aryna Sabalenka | Moyuka Uchijima | 26.1% | 6.0% | 6¢ | +20.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 34422 | hard | Round 2 | +0.201 |
| 6 | Lorenzo Musetti vs Nicolas Mejia | Nicolas Mejia | 32.5% | 13.0% | 13¢ | +19.5pp | LOW | PAPER | 3296 | hard | Round 2 | +0.195 |
| 7 | Nuno Borges vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 54.9% | 38.0% | 38¢ | +16.9pp | LOW | PAPER | 801 | hard | Round Of 64 | +0.169 |
| 8 | Madison Keys vs Antonia Ruzic | Antonia Ruzic | 35.1% | 19.0% | 19¢ | +16.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 7804 | hard | Round 2 | +0.161 |
| 9 | Coco Gauff vs Kayla Day | Kayla Day | 28.9% | 13.0% | 13¢ | +15.9pp | LOW | PAPER | 3544 | hard | Round 2 | +0.159 |
| 10 | Karolina Pliskova vs Mirra Andreeva | Karolina Pliskova | 39.1% | 24.0% | 24¢ | +15.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 1266 | hard | Round 2 | +0.151 |
| 11 | Rebecca Sramkova vs Diana Shnaider | Rebecca Sramkova | 34.6% | 20.0% | 20¢ | +14.6pp | LOW | PAPER | 4661 | hard | Round 2 | +0.146 |
| 12 | Andrey Rublev vs Juncheng Shang | Juncheng Shang | 37.4% | 23.0% | 23¢ | +14.4pp | LOW | PAPER | 94464 | hard | Round Of 64 | +0.144 |
| 13 | Titouan Droguet vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | Titouan Droguet | 33.4% | 20.0% | 20¢ | +13.4pp | LOW | PAPER | 2465 | hard | Round Of 64 | +0.134 |
| 14 | Magdalena Frech vs Jessica Pegula | Magdalena Frech | 26.8% | 15.0% | 15¢ | +11.8pp | LOW | PAPER | 3777 | hard | Round 2 | +0.118 |
| 15 | Lanlana Tararudee vs Amanda Anisimova | Lanlana Tararudee | 41.3% | 31.0% | 31¢ | +10.3pp | LOW | PAPER | 5451 | hard | Round 2 | +0.103 |
| 16 | Shuai Zhang vs Jelena Ostapenko | Shuai Zhang | 40.1% | 30.0% | 30¢ | +10.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 7642 | hard | Round Of 64 | +0.101 |
| 17 | Brandon Nakashima vs Daniel Altmaier | Daniel Altmaier | 34.9% | 25.0% | 25¢ | +9.9pp | LOW | PAPER | 9328 | hard | Round Of 64 | +0.099 |
| 18 | Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper | Terence Atmane | 42.2% | 34.0% | 34¢ | +8.2pp | LOW | PAPER | 27853 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.082 |
| 19 | Anna Kalinskaya vs McCartney Kessler | McCartney Kessler | 46.8% | 39.0% | 39¢ | +7.8pp | LOW | PAPER | 2530 | hard | Round 2 | +0.078 |
| 20 | Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | Marin Cilic | 44.0% | 37.0% | 37¢ | +7.0pp | LOW | PAPER | 20622 | hard | Round Of 64 | +0.071 |
| 21 | Kayla Cross vs Ann Li | Kayla Cross | 32.6% | 26.0% | 26¢ | +6.5pp | LOW | PAPER | 1956 | hard | Round 2 | +0.066 |
| 22 | Denis Shapovalov vs Zachary Svajda | Zachary Svajda | 48.5% | 42.0% | 42¢ | +6.5pp | LOW | PAPER | 17456 | hard | Round 1 | +0.065 |
| 23 | Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 22.0% | 16.0% | 16¢ | +6.0pp | LOW | PAPER | 71937 | hard | Round 2 | +0.060 |
| 24 | Anna Bondar vs Elise Mertens | Anna Bondar | 33.8% | 28.0% | 28¢ | +5.8pp | LOW | PAPER | 808 | hard | Round 2 | +0.058 |
| 25 | Adrian Mannarino vs Jacob Fearnley | Adrian Mannarino | 45.5% | 40.0% | 40¢ | +5.5pp | LOW | PAPER | 49667 | hard | Round 1 | +0.055 |
| 26 | Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo | Luciano Darderi | 52.5% | 47.0% | 47¢ | +5.5pp | LOW | PAPER | 3511 | hard | Round 2 | +0.055 |
| 27 | Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexei Popyrin | Roman Andres Burruchaga | 45.5% | 40.0% | 40¢ | +5.5pp | LOW | PAPER | 10910 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.054 |
| 28 | Hamad Medjedovic vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 45.4% | 40.0% | 40¢ | +5.4pp | LOW | PAPER | 4453 | hard | Round 1 | +0.054 |
| 29 | Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Sonego | Tallon Griekspoor | 57.1% | 52.0% | 52¢ | +5.1pp | LOW | PAPER | 8125 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.051 |
| 30 | Katerina Siniakova vs Kamilla Rakhimova | Kamilla Rakhimova | 40.1% | 35.0% | 35¢ | +5.0pp | LOW | PAPER | 686 | hard | Round 2 | +0.051 |
| 31 | Daniel Merida vs Liam Draxl | Daniel Merida | 63.8% | 59.0% | 59¢ | +4.8pp | LOW | PAPER | 16271 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.048 |
| 32 | Viktorija Golubic vs Donna Vekic | Viktorija Golubic | 48.8% | 44.0% | 44¢ | +4.8pp | LOW | PAPER | 1137 | hard | Round 2 | +0.048 |
| 33 | Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 51.4% | 47.0% | 47¢ | +4.4pp | LOW | PAPER | 9885 | hard | Round 2 | +0.044 |
| 34 | Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Duncan Chan | Duncan Chan | 31.2% | 27.0% | 27¢ | +4.2pp | LOW | PAPER | 28682 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.042 |
| 35 | Emma Navarro vs Alina Korneeva | Alina Korneeva | 48.9% | 45.0% | 45¢ | +4.0pp | MED | PAPER | 1020 | hard | Round 2 | +0.040 |
| 36 | Jenson Brooksby vs Adam Walton | Adam Walton | 48.6% | 45.0% | 45¢ | +3.6pp | LOW | PAPER | 11842 | hard | Round 1 | +0.036 |
| 37 | Maja Chwalinska vs Talia Gibson | Maja Chwalinska | 48.2% | 45.0% | 45¢ | +3.2pp | LOW | SKIP | 17167 | hard | Round 2 | +0.032 |
| 38 | Botic Van de Zandschulp vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 48.6% | 46.0% | 46¢ | +2.6pp | LOW | SKIP | 4743 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.026 |
| 39 | Pablo Carreno Busta vs Valentin Royer | Valentin Royer | 35.5% | 33.0% | 33¢ | +2.5pp | LOW | PAPER | 6368 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.025 |
| 40 | Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone | Mariano Navone | 40.5% | 38.0% | 38¢ | +2.5pp | LOW | PAPER | 5057 | hard | Round 2 | +0.025 |
| 41 | Fabian Marozsan vs Shintaro Mochizuki | Shintaro Mochizuki | 39.3% | 37.0% | 37¢ | +2.3pp | LOW | SKIP | 2372 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.023 |
| 42 | Nikola Bartunkova vs Clara Tauson | Nikola Bartunkova | 49.0% | 47.0% | 47¢ | +2.0pp | LOW | SKIP | 6558 | hard | Round 2 | +0.020 |
| 43 | Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Martin Damm Jr | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 64.3% | 63.0% | 63¢ | +1.3pp | LOW | SKIP | 99074 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.013 |
| 44 | Hubert Hurkacz vs Marcos Giron | Marcos Giron | 39.0% | 38.0% | 38¢ | +1.0pp | LOW | SKIP | 48339 | hard | Round Of 128 | +0.010 |
| 45 | Anastasia Potapova vs Elena-Gabriela Ruse | Anastasia Potapova | 53.8% | 53.0% | 53¢ | +0.8pp | LOW | SKIP | 9976 | hard | Round 2 | +0.008 |
| 46 | Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci | Sebastian Baez | 52.6% | 53.0% | 53¢ | -0.4pp | LOW | SKIP | 27924 | hard | Round 1 | -0.004 |
| 47 | Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic | Arthur Rinderknech | 52.3% | 52.0% | 52¢ | +0.3pp | LOW | SKIP | 240 | hard | Round Of 64 | +0.003 |
| 48 | Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick Hanfmann | Yannick Hanfmann | 43.2% | 43.0% | 43¢ | +0.2pp | LOW | SKIP | 6067 | hard | Round Of 64 | +0.002 |
| 49 | Alexander Blockx vs Jaume Munar | Alexander Blockx | 59.1% | 59.0% | 59¢ | +0.1pp | LOW | SKIP | 5244 | hard | Round Of 64 | +0.001 |
| # | Player | Stat | PP line | Our proj | Edge % | Side | Tier | Opp | Surface | Demon | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moyuka Uchijima🟨 WARM | Break Points Won | 1.5 | 4.49 | +199.3% | MORE | LOW | Aryna Sabalenka | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 2 | Magdalena Frech | Break Points Won | 1.5 | 4.27 | +184.8% | MORE | LOW | Jessica Pegula | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 3 | Sloane Stephens🧊 COLD | Break Points Won | 1.5 | 4.21 | +180.6% | MORE | LOW | Belinda Bencic | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 4 | Katherine Sebov⏳ RTRN | Break Points Won | 1.5 | 4.06 | +170.6% | MORE | LOW | Marta Kostyuk | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 5 | Zachary Svajda🧊 COLD | Aces | 2.5 | 6.08 | +143.1% | MORE | LOW | Denis Shapovalov | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 6 | Sara Bejlek⏳ RTRN | Break Points Won | 2.0 | 4.70 | +134.8% | MORE | LOW | Iga Swiatek | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 7 | Daniel Altmaier | Break Points Won | 1.5 | 3.47 | +131.4% | MORE | LOW | Brandon Nakashima | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 8 | Marin Cilic | Break Points Won | 1.5 | 3.19 | +112.5% | MORE | LOW | Frances Tiafoe | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 9 | Anna Bondar🟨 WARM | Break Points Won | 2.5 | 5.30 | +112.1% | MORE | LOW | Elise Mertens | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 10 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | Aces | 7.5 | 0.00 | +100.0% | LESS | ELITE | Martin Damm Jr | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 11 | Madison Keys⏳ RTRN | Double Faults | 3.5 | 0.00 | +100.0% | LESS | LOW | Antonia Ruzic | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 12 | Talia Gibson | Double Faults | 3.5 | 0.00 | +100.0% | LESS | LOW | Maja Chwalinska | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 13 | Lanlana Tararudee🟨 WARM | Break Points Won | 2.5 | 4.89 | +95.5% | MORE | LOW | Amanda Anisimova | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 14 | Kayla Cross🟨 WARM | Break Points Won | 2.5 | 4.76 | +90.3% | MORE | LOW | Ann Li | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 15 | Magda Linette | Break Points Won | 2.5 | 4.73 | +89.3% | MORE | LOW | Iva Jovic | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 16 | Maya Joint⏳ RTRN | Break Points Won | 2.5 | 4.67 | +86.6% | MORE | LOW | Sorana Cirstea | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 17 | Juncheng Shang⏳ RTRN | Aces | 3.5 | 6.18 | +76.4% | MORE | LOW | Andrey Rublev | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 18 | Hubert Hurkacz🟨 WARM | Total Tie Breaks | 0.5 | 0.12 | +75.9% | LESS | LOW | Marcos Giron | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 19 | Luciano Darderi🟨 WARM | Total Tie Breaks | 0.5 | 0.12 | +75.7% | LESS | LOW | Gabriel Diallo | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 20 | Rebecca Sramkova | Break Points Won | 2.5 | 4.36 | +74.5% | MORE | LOW | Diana Shnaider | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 21 | Marcos Giron | Aces | 3.5 | 6.02 | +71.9% | MORE | LOW | Hubert Hurkacz | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 22 | Yannick Hanfmann🟨 WARM | Break Points Won | 2.0 | 3.28 | +63.9% | MORE | LOW | Flavio Cobolli | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 23 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard⏳ RTRN | Aces | 14.5 | 6.43 | +55.6% | LESS | LOW | Botic Van de Zandschulp | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 24 | Hubert Hurkacz🟨 WARM | Aces | 13.5 | 6.02 | +55.4% | LESS | LOW | Marcos Giron | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 25 | Moyuka Uchijima🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 5.5 | 8.42 | +53.1% | MORE | LOW | Aryna Sabalenka | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 26 | Katherine Sebov⏳ RTRN | Total Games Won | 5.5 | 8.34 | +51.6% | MORE | LOW | Marta Kostyuk | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 27 | Nikola Bartunkova | Break Points Won | 3.5 | 5.31 | +51.6% | MORE | LOW | Clara Tauson | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 28 | Flavio Cobolli🟨 WARM | Total Tie Breaks | 0.5 | 0.25 | +50.1% | LESS | LOW | Yannick Hanfmann | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 29 | Frances Tiafoe⏳ RTRN | Break Points Won | 2.5 | 3.61 | +44.5% | MORE | LOW | Marin Cilic | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 30 | Alexander Blockx🟨 WARM | Break Points Won | 2.5 | 3.58 | +43.4% | MORE | LOW | Jaume Munar | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 31 | Renata Zarazua🟨 WARM | Break Points Won | 3.5 | 4.98 | +42.3% | MORE | LOW | Leylah Fernandez | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 32 | Gabriel Diallo🧊 COLD | Break Points Won | 2.0 | 2.79 | +39.6% | MORE | LOW | Luciano Darderi | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 33 | Zeynep Sonmez🟨 WARM | Break Points Won | 3.5 | 4.89 | +39.6% | MORE | LOW | Maria Sakkari | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 34 | Sara Bejlek⏳ RTRN | Total Games Won | 6.5 | 8.93 | +37.4% | MORE | LOW | Iga Swiatek | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 35 | Aryna Sabalenka🟨 WARM | Total Games | 17.5 | 23.90 | +36.6% | MORE | LOW | Moyuka Uchijima | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 36 | Magdalena Frech | Total Games Won | 6.5 | 8.83 | +35.9% | MORE | LOW | Jessica Pegula | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 37 | Adam Walton🧊 COLD | Aces | 4.5 | 6.09 | +35.2% | MORE | LOW | Jenson Brooksby | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 38 | Marta Kostyuk🟨 WARM | Total Games | 17.0 | 22.86 | +34.5% | MORE | LOW | Katherine Sebov | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 39 | McCartney Kessler⏳ RTRN | Break Points Won | 3.5 | 4.65 | +32.8% | MORE | LOW | Anna Kalinskaya | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 40 | Coco Gauff🟨 WARM | Total Games | 18.0 | 23.87 | +32.6% | MORE | LOW | Kayla Day | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 41 | Kamilla Rakhimova🧊 COLD | Break Points Won | 3.5 | 4.64 | +32.5% | MORE | LOW | Katerina Siniakova | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 42 | Marcos Giron | Total Games Won | 12.5 | 8.56 | +31.5% | LESS | LOW | Hubert Hurkacz | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 43 | Iga Swiatek | Total Games | 18.5 | 24.26 | +31.1% | MORE | LOW | Sara Bejlek | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 44 | Kayla Day🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 6.5 | 8.51 | +30.9% | MORE | LOW | Coco Gauff | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 45 | Jaume Munar🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 12.5 | 8.98 | +28.2% | LESS | LOW | Alexander Blockx | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 46 | Mattia Bellucci | Aces | 5.0 | 6.34 | +26.8% | MORE | LOW | Sebastian Baez | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 47 | Jessica Pegula🟨 WARM | Total Games | 18.5 | 23.32 | +26.1% | MORE | LOW | Magdalena Frech | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 48 | Ann Li | Total Games | 19.5 | 24.29 | +24.6% | MORE | LOW | Kayla Cross | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 49 | Lorenzo Sonego🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 12.5 | 9.63 | +23.0% | LESS | LOW | Tallon Griekspoor | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 50 | Alex de Minaur | Total Games | 20.5 | 25.16 | +22.8% | MORE | LOW | James Duckworth | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 51 | Marin Cilic | Total Games Won | 12.5 | 9.67 | +22.6% | LESS | LOW | Frances Tiafoe | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 52 | Clara Tauson⏳ RTRN | Break Points Won | 3.5 | 4.26 | +21.6% | MORE | LOW | Nikola Bartunkova | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 53 | Yannick Hanfmann🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 12.5 | 9.81 | +21.5% | LESS | LOW | Flavio Cobolli | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 54 | Kamilla Rakhimova🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 11.5 | 9.07 | +21.1% | LESS | LOW | Katerina Siniakova | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 55 | Mattia Bellucci | Total Games Won | 12.5 | 9.86 | +21.1% | LESS | LOW | Sebastian Baez | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 56 | Diana Shnaider | Total Games | 19.5 | 23.57 | +20.9% | MORE | LOW | Rebecca Sramkova | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 57 | Lorenzo Sonego🧊 COLD | Aces | 7.5 | 5.97 | +20.4% | LESS | LOW | Tallon Griekspoor | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 58 | Elina Svitolina | Total Games | 19.5 | 23.37 | +19.9% | MORE | LOW | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 59 | Madison Keys⏳ RTRN | Total Games | 19.5 | 23.32 | +19.6% | MORE | LOW | Antonia Ruzic | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 60 | Rebecca Sramkova | Aces | 3.5 | 2.83 | +19.1% | LESS | LOW | Diana Shnaider | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 61 | Amanda Anisimova⏳ RTRN | Total Games | 20.5 | 24.40 | +19.0% | MORE | LOW | Lanlana Tararudee | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 62 | Noma Noha Akugue🟨 WARM | Total Games | 20.5 | 24.27 | +18.4% | MORE | LOW | Weronika Falkowska | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 63 | Duncan Chan⏳ RTRN | Total Games Won | 10.5 | 8.58 | +18.2% | LESS | LOW | Thiago Agustin Tirante | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 64 | Jelena Ostapenko | Break Points Won | 4.5 | 5.30 | +17.9% | MORE | LOW | Shuai Zhang | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 65 | Talia Gibson | Break Points Won | 4.5 | 3.71 | +17.5% | LESS | LOW | Maja Chwalinska | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 66 | Tallon Griekspoor🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 12.5 | 10.32 | +17.4% | LESS | LOW | Lorenzo Sonego | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 67 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | Total Games Won | 7.5 | 8.79 | +17.2% | MORE | LOW | Elina Svitolina | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 68 | Emma Navarro⏳ RTRN | Break Points Won | 4.5 | 5.27 | +17.1% | MORE | STRONG | Alina Korneeva | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 69 | Jenson Brooksby🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 12.5 | 10.38 | +17.0% | LESS | LOW | Adam Walton | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 70 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska⏳ RTRN | Total Games | 20.5 | 23.96 | +16.9% | MORE | LOW | Lia Karatancheva | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 71 | Belinda Bencic🟨 WARM | Break Points Won | 4.5 | 5.24 | +16.4% | MORE | LOW | Sloane Stephens | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 72 | Valentin Royer🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 11.5 | 9.62 | +16.3% | LESS | LOW | Pablo Carreno Busta | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 73 | Aryna Sabalenka🟨 WARM | Break Points Won | 4.5 | 5.23 | +16.3% | MORE | LOW | Moyuka Uchijima | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 74 | Clara Tauson⏳ RTRN | Total Games Won | 12.5 | 10.54 | +15.7% | LESS | LOW | Nikola Bartunkova | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 75 | Anastasia Potapova🟨 WARM | Break Points Won | 4.5 | 5.17 | +14.9% | MORE | LOW | Elena-Gabriela Ruse | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 76 | Donna Vekic🟨 WARM | Total Games | 21.0 | 24.12 | +14.8% | MORE | LOW | Viktorija Golubic | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 77 | Camila Osorio | Break Points Won | 4.5 | 5.16 | +14.7% | MORE | LOW | Ekaterina Alexandrova | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 78 | Anna Kalinskaya | Break Points Won | 4.5 | 5.16 | +14.6% | MORE | LOW | McCartney Kessler | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 79 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo🟨 WARM | Aces | 7.5 | 6.41 | +14.6% | LESS | LOW | Hamad Medjedovic | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 80 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse🟨 WARM | Break Points Won | 4.0 | 4.58 | +14.4% | MORE | LOW | Anastasia Potapova | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 81 | Elise Mertens | Total Games | 20.5 | 23.42 | +14.3% | MORE | LOW | Anna Bondar | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 82 | Donna Vekic🟨 WARM | Break Points Won | 4.5 | 5.14 | +14.1% | MORE | LOW | Viktorija Golubic | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 83 | Fabian Marozsan | Total Games | 22.0 | 25.10 | +14.1% | MORE | LOW | Shintaro Mochizuki | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 84 | Hamad Medjedovic⏳ RTRN | Total Games Won | 12.5 | 10.76 | +13.9% | LESS | LOW | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 85 | Iva Jovic🟨 WARM | Break Points Won | 4.5 | 5.10 | +13.4% | MORE | LOW | Magda Linette | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 86 | Ann Li | Break Points Won | 4.5 | 5.09 | +13.2% | MORE | LOW | Kayla Cross | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 87 | Ekaterina Alexandrova⏳ RTRN | Total Games | 21.5 | 24.22 | +12.6% | MORE | LOW | Camila Osorio | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 88 | Jenson Brooksby🧊 COLD | Total Games | 22.5 | 25.30 | +12.4% | MORE | LOW | Adam Walton | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 89 | Juncheng Shang⏳ RTRN | Total Games Won | 10.5 | 9.21 | +12.3% | LESS | LOW | Andrey Rublev | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 90 | Anna Kalinskaya | Total Games | 21.5 | 24.13 | +12.2% | MORE | LOW | McCartney Kessler | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 91 | Hamad Medjedovic⏳ RTRN | Total Games | 22.5 | 25.17 | +11.9% | MORE | LOW | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 92 | Hamad Medjedovic⏳ RTRN | Total Games | 22.5 | 25.17 | +11.9% | MORE | LOW | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 93 | Denis Shapovalov | Total Games | 22.5 | 25.15 | +11.8% | MORE | LOW | Zachary Svajda | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 94 | Pablo Carreno Busta🟨 WARM | Total Games | 22.5 | 25.14 | +11.7% | MORE | LOW | Valentin Royer | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 95 | Vit Kopriva🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 8.5 | 9.49 | +11.6% | MORE | LOW | Jiri Lehecka | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 96 | Alexander Blockx🟨 WARM | Total Games | 22.5 | 25.10 | +11.6% | MORE | LOW | Jaume Munar | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 97 | Andrey Rublev🟨 WARM | Aces | 7.0 | 6.19 | +11.6% | LESS | LOW | Juncheng Shang | clay | — | 2.0x |
| 98 | Denis Shapovalov | Total Games Won | 12.5 | 11.08 | +11.4% | LESS | LOW | Zachary Svajda | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 99 | Katerina Siniakova🟨 WARM | Break Points Won | 4.5 | 5.00 | +11.0% | MORE | LOW | Kamilla Rakhimova | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 100 | Sebastian Baez | Total Games Won | 12.5 | 11.14 | +10.9% | LESS | LOW | Mattia Bellucci | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 101 | Mattia Bellucci | Total Games | 22.5 | 24.91 | +10.7% | MORE | LOW | Sebastian Baez | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 102 | Thiago Agustin Tirante🟨 WARM | Total Games | 22.0 | 24.35 | +10.7% | MORE | LOW | Duncan Chan | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 103 | Jack Draper⏳ RTRN | Total Games | 22.5 | 24.83 | +10.4% | MORE | LOW | Terence Atmane | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 104 | Karolina Pliskova🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 8.5 | 9.35 | +10.0% | MORE | LOW | Mirra Andreeva | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 105 | Emma Navarro⏳ RTRN | Total Games | 21.5 | 23.57 | +9.7% | MORE | PASS | Alina Korneeva | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 106 | Jacob Fearnley⏳ RTRN | Total Games | 22.0 | 24.09 | +9.5% | MORE | LOW | Adrian Mannarino | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 107 | Jacob Fearnley⏳ RTRN | Total Games Won | 12.5 | 11.33 | +9.3% | LESS | LOW | Adrian Mannarino | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 108 | Pablo Carreno Busta🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 12.5 | 11.38 | +9.0% | LESS | LOW | Valentin Royer | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 109 | Alexei Popyrin | Total Games | 22.5 | 24.51 | +8.9% | MORE | LOW | Roman Andres Burruchaga | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 110 | Leylah Fernandez🟨 WARM | Break Points Won | 4.5 | 4.88 | +8.4% | MORE | LOW | Renata Zarazua | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 111 | Anastasia Potapova🟨 WARM | Total Games | 22.0 | 23.80 | +8.2% | MORE | LOW | Elena-Gabriela Ruse | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 112 | Jiri Lehecka🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 12.5 | 11.51 | +7.9% | LESS | LOW | Vit Kopriva | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 113 | Alina Korneeva🧊 COLD | Break Points Won | 4.5 | 4.15 | +7.8% | LESS | MED | Emma Navarro | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 114 | Alexander Blockx🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 12.5 | 11.55 | +7.6% | LESS | LOW | Jaume Munar | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 115 | Rebecca Sramkova | Total Games Won | 8.5 | 9.12 | +7.3% | MORE | LOW | Diana Shnaider | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 116 | Tallon Griekspoor🧊 COLD | Aces | 6.5 | 6.04 | +7.0% | LESS | LOW | Lorenzo Sonego | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 117 | Barbora Krejcikova⏳ RTRN | Break Points Won | 4.5 | 4.80 | +6.6% | MORE | LOW | Liudmila Samsonova | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 118 | Shuai Zhang🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 9.5 | 8.88 | +6.5% | LESS | LOW | Jelena Ostapenko | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 119 | Iga Swiatek | Break Points Won | 5.5 | 5.14 | +6.5% | LESS | LOW | Sara Bejlek | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 120 | Tallon Griekspoor🧊 COLD | Total Games | 23.5 | 24.91 | +6.0% | MORE | LOW | Lorenzo Sonego | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 121 | Elina Svitolina | Break Points Won | 5.0 | 5.30 | +6.0% | MORE | LOW | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 122 | Alexandra Eala | Break Points Won | 4.5 | 4.75 | +5.6% | MORE | LOW | Alycia Parks | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 123 | Fabian Marozsan | Total Games Won | 12.5 | 11.90 | +4.8% | LESS | LOW | Shintaro Mochizuki | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 124 | Kayla Cross🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 8.5 | 8.89 | +4.6% | MORE | LOW | Ann Li | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 125 | Elise Mertens | Break Points Won | 4.5 | 4.31 | +4.3% | LESS | LOW | Anna Bondar | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 126 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska⏳ RTRN | Total Games Won | 10.5 | 10.10 | +3.9% | LESS | LOW | Lia Karatancheva | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 127 | Viktorija Golubic | Break Points Won | 4.5 | 4.66 | +3.5% | MORE | LOW | Donna Vekic | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 128 | Nikola Bartunkova | Total Games | 22.5 | 23.27 | +3.4% | MORE | LOW | Clara Tauson | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 129 | Daniel Altmaier | Total Games Won | 10.5 | 10.18 | +3.0% | LESS | LOW | Brandon Nakashima | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 130 | Anna Bondar🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 9.5 | 9.77 | +2.8% | MORE | LOW | Elise Mertens | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 131 | Anna Bondar🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 9.5 | 9.77 | +2.8% | MORE | LOW | Elise Mertens | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 132 | Ekaterina Alexandrova⏳ RTRN | Break Points Won | 4.5 | 4.62 | +2.7% | MORE | LOW | Camila Osorio | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 133 | Hubert Hurkacz🟨 WARM | Total Games | 23.0 | 23.50 | +2.2% | MORE | LOW | Marcos Giron | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 134 | Botic Van de Zandschulp⏳ RTRN | Aces | 6.5 | 6.37 | +2.0% | LESS | LOW | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 135 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard⏳ RTRN | Total Games | 25.5 | 25.24 | +1.0% | LESS | LOW | Botic Van de Zandschulp | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 136 | Thiago Agustin Tirante🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 12.5 | 12.42 | +0.7% | LESS | LOW | Duncan Chan | clay | — | 1.0x |
| 137 | Antonia Ruzic🧊 COLD | Total Games Won | 8.5 | 8.53 | +0.3% | MORE | LOW | Madison Keys | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 138 | Luciano Darderi🟨 WARM | Total Games | 23.5 | 23.47 | +0.1% | LESS | LOW | Gabriel Diallo | clay | — | 0.5x |
| 139 | Lanlana Tararudee🟨 WARM | Total Games Won | 9.5 | 9.51 | +0.1% | MORE | LOW | Amanda Anisimova | clay | — | 0.5x |
Kalshi tennis — 0 picks · $0.00 staked
Day 1 - paper only, grade EOD before scaling · locked 2026-08-04T13:16:10.870139+00:00
| # | Match | Pick | Our P | Ask | Edge | Tier | Surface | Stake | Status | P&L |
|---|
PrizePicks tennis — 0 picks · $0.00 staked
Day 1 - paper only, grade EOD before scaling · locked 2026-08-04T13:16:10.792596+00:00
| # | Player | Stat | Line | Our proj | Side | Edge | Tier | Surface | Stake | Status | P&L |
|---|
Polymarket = retail/crypto sentiment. We can't bet there from CA, but the divergence vs Kalshi (sharp) reveals where the public is loading up. Generated 2026-08-04T06:16:32 Β· flagged threshold = Β±3.0pp Β· 1 flagged futures / 0 flagged matches.
Grand-slam futures Β· ANY 2026 Slam (Kalshi KXATPGRANDSLAM vs Polymarket per-slam aggregate)
Polymarket "any-slam" probability computed naively as
1 - product(1 - p_slam). Positive divergence = public (Polymarket) more bullish than sharp (Kalshi). Sorted by |divergence|.| Player | Sharp (Kalshi) | Public (Poly) | Ξ | Poly per-slam |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz Β· exact | 8.5% | 2.7% | -5.8pp Β· SHARP HIGHER | US 3% |
| Novak Djokovic Β· exact | 5.0% | 3.7% | -1.3pp Β· SHARP HIGHER | US 4% |
| Ben Shelton Β· exact | 2.5% | 1.5% | -1.0pp Β· SHARP HIGHER | US 2% |
| Lorenzo Musetti Β· exact | 1.0% | 0.4% | -0.6pp Β· SHARP HIGHER | US 0% |
| Alexander Bublik Β· exact | 0.5% | 0.9% | +0.4pp Β· PUBLIC HIGHER | US 1% |
| Frances Tiafoe Β· exact | 0.5% | 0.4% | -0.1pp Β· SHARP HIGHER | US 0% |
| Jack Draper Β· exact | 1.0% | 0.9% | -0.1pp Β· SHARP HIGHER | US 1% |
| Daniil Medvedev Β· exact | 1.5% | 1.4% | -0.1pp Β· SHARP HIGHER | US 1% |
| Karen Khachanov Β· no-match | 0.5% | — | no Poly match | — |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime Β· no-match | 1.5% | — | no Poly match | — |
| Casper Ruud Β· no-match | 1.0% | — | no Poly match | — |
| Alex de Minaur Β· no-match | 1.5% | — | no Poly match | — |
Per-match overlaps
No active per-match overlaps right now (Polymarket tennis volume concentrates in Grand Slam futures).
Per-stat-type MAE (n_graded=18)
Bar width = MAE (lower = better). "INSUFFICIENT" = need more graded picks.
Total Games
n=4
Ours
PP
Us 6.45
PP 3.25
INSUFFICIENT_N
PP 3.25
INSUFFICIENT_N
Total Games Won
n=13
Ours
PP
Us 5.11
PP 4.96
NULL
PP 4.96
NULL
Total Tie Breaks
n=1
Ours
PP
Us 0.25
PP 0.50
INSUFFICIENT_N
PP 0.50
INSUFFICIENT_N
Per-tier MAE
Bar width = MAE (lower = better). "INSUFFICIENT" = need more graded picks.
ELITE
n=16
Ours
PP
Us 4.94
PP 3.75
NULL
PP 3.75
NULL
MED
n=0
Ours
PP
Us —
PP —
INSUFFICIENT_N
PP —
INSUFFICIENT_N
STRONG
n=2
Ours
PP
Us 6.75
PP 9.00
INSUFFICIENT_N
PP 9.00
INSUFFICIENT_N
No AAR available yet.
Expected:
Expected:
~/.claude/projects/.../memory/aar_tennis_<date>.mdNo actionable PP line movement yet.
Expected:
Expected:
pp_line_movement_tennis_2026-08-04.csv. Needs at least 2 PP snapshots in pp_snapshots_tennis/.ATP top 50
| Rk | Player | Country | Pts | ELO overall | ELO clay | ELO grass | ELO hard |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jannik Sinner | ITA | 13500 | 2167 | 1879 | 1695 | 2062 |
| 2 | Carlos Alcaraz | ESP | 9960 | 2070 | 1867 | 1717 | 1956 |
| 3 | Alexander Zverev | GER | 7305 | 1994 | 1865 | 1594 | 1863 |
| 4 | Felix Auger Aliassime | CAN | 4440 | 1854 | 1642 | 1517 | 1803 |
| 5 | Ben Shelton | USA | 3920 | 1816 | 1665 | 1561 | 1765 |
| 6 | Alex De Minaur | AUS | 3905 | 1851 | 1677 | 1590 | 1806 |
| 7 | Novak Djokovic | SRB | 3760 | 1929 | 1729 | 1636 | 1846 |
| 8 | Daniil Medvedev | RUS | 3760 | 1884 | 1659 | 1585 | 1845 |
| 9 | Taylor Fritz | USA | 3720 | 1793 | 1551 | 1722 | 1749 |
| 10 | Flavio Cobolli | ITA | 3540 | 1833 | 1754 | 1557 | 1655 |
| 11 | Alexander Bublik | KAZ | 2930 | 1785 | 1681 | 1569 | 1703 |
| 12 | Jiri Lehecka | CZE | 2575 | 1814 | 1632 | 1574 | 1754 |
| 13 | Andrey Rublev | RUS | 2460 | 1804 | 1705 | 1516 | 1683 |
| 14 | Casper Ruud | NOR | 2425 | 1866 | 1805 | 1502 | 1685 |
| 15 | Karen Khachanov | RUS | 2320 | 1723 | 1622 | 1567 | 1639 |
| 16 | Lorenzo Musetti | ITA | 2315 | 1832 | 1764 | 1607 | 1723 |
| 17 | Jakub Mensik | CZE | 2300 | 1825 | 1661 | 1497 | 1747 |
| 18 | Luciano Darderi | ITA | 2300 | 1772 | 1790 | 1466 | 1466 |
| 19 | Learner Tien | USA | 2270 | 1847 | 1622 | 1506 | 1789 |
| 20 | Valentin Vacherot | MON | 2145 | 1800 | 1695 | 1467 | 1738 |
| 21 | Arthur Fils | FRA | 1940 | 1892 | 1746 | 1546 | 1771 |
| 22 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | ESP | 1860 | 1749 | 1593 | 1545 | 1703 |
| 23 | Rafael Jodar | ESP | 1849 | 1893 | 1755 | — | 1765 |
| 24 | Arthur Rinderknech | FRA | 1776 | 1713 | 1576 | 1530 | 1631 |
| 25 | Joao Fonseca | BRA | 1735 | 1837 | 1673 | 1495 | 1795 |
| 26 | Frances Tiafoe | USA | 1705 | 1775 | 1640 | 1488 | 1719 |
| 27 | Francisco Cerundolo | ARG | 1660 | 1790 | 1700 | 1426 | 1698 |
| 28 | Tommy Paul | USA | 1645 | 1851 | 1758 | 1587 | 1743 |
| 29 | Cameron Norrie | GBR | 1595 | 1738 | 1631 | 1529 | 1682 |
| 30 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | ARG | 1510 | 1751 | 1656 | 1456 | 1636 |
| 31 | Alejandro Tabilo | CHI | 1428 | 1798 | 1705 | 1575 | 1637 |
| 32 | Brandon Nakashima | USA | 1385 | 1713 | 1582 | 1590 | 1660 |
| 33 | Ugo Humbert | FRA | 1370 | 1715 | 1498 | 1517 | 1697 |
| 34 | Matteo Arnaldi | ITA | 1336 | 1719 | 1676 | 1455 | 1558 |
| 35 | Ignacio Buse | PER | 1316 | 1773 | 1732 | 1482 | 1562 |
| 36 | Corentin Moutet | FRA | 1283 | 1673 | 1567 | 1574 | 1640 |
| 37 | Alexander Blockx | BEL | 1280 | 1820 | 1688 | 1508 | 1713 |
| 38 | Alex Michelsen | USA | 1205 | 1727 | 1522 | 1538 | 1702 |
| 39 | Mariano Navone | ARG | 1165 | 1767 | 1722 | 1460 | 1507 |
| 40 | Zizou Bergs | BEL | 1150 | 1681 | 1547 | 1521 | 1631 |
| 41 | Tallon Griekspoor | NED | 1150 | 1680 | 1576 | 1564 | 1645 |
| 42 | Denis Shapovalov | CAN | 1130 | 1668 | 1483 | 1472 | 1698 |
| 43 | Tomas Machac | CZE | 1120 | 1745 | 1602 | 1500 | 1682 |
| 44 | Jaume Munar | ESP | 1105 | 1695 | 1589 | 1508 | 1635 |
| 45 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | ARG | 1055 | 1756 | 1753 | 1469 | 1532 |
| 46 | Adrian Mannarino | FRA | 1031 | 1565 | 1369 | 1584 | 1569 |
| 47 | Marin Cilic | CRO | 994 | 1684 | 1513 | 1611 | 1635 |
| 48 | Matteo Berrettini | ITA | 985 | 1749 | 1689 | 1524 | 1694 |
| 49 | Miomir Kecmanovic | SRB | 980 | 1688 | 1584 | 1500 | 1595 |
| 50 | Nuno Borges | POR | 970 | 1656 | 1596 | 1493 | 1596 |
WTA top 50
| Rk | Player | Country | Pts | ELO overall | ELO clay | ELO grass | ELO hard |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aryna Sabalenka | BLR | 9090 | 2089 | 1801 | 1588 | 2045 |
| 2 | Elena Rybakina | KAZ | 8143 | 2040 | 1766 | 1580 | 1972 |
| 3 | Iga Swiatek | POL | 6733 | 1957 | 1809 | 1658 | 1852 |
| 4 | Jessica Pegula | USA | 6056 | 1979 | 1701 | 1583 | 1901 |
| 5 | Amanda Anisimova | USA | 5848 | 1906 | 1580 | 1638 | 1822 |
| 6 | Mirra Andreeva | RUS | 5751 | 1995 | 1867 | 1513 | 1797 |
| 7 | Coco Gauff | USA | 4879 | 1980 | 1824 | 1519 | 1871 |
| 8 | Elina Svitolina | UKR | 4315 | 1996 | 1824 | 1550 | 1824 |
| 9 | Victoria Mboko | CAN | 3670 | 1937 | 1726 | 1515 | 1891 |
| 10 | Karolina Muchova | CZE | 3438 | 1927 | 1602 | 1494 | 1869 |
| 11 | Belinda Bencic | SUI | 3385 | 1904 | 1636 | 1561 | 1831 |
| 12 | Marta Kostyuk | UKR | 3157 | 1959 | 1801 | 1449 | 1755 |
| 13 | Linda Noskova | CZE | 3054 | 1869 | 1599 | 1583 | 1763 |
| 14 | Jasmine Paolini | ITA | 2617 | 1809 | 1701 | 1585 | 1741 |
| 15 | Naomi Osaka | JPN | 2571 | 1855 | 1688 | 1514 | 1734 |
| 16 | Diana Shnaider | RUS | 2506 | 1841 | 1701 | 1565 | 1686 |
| 17 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | RUS | 2449 | 1711 | 1556 | 1584 | 1662 |
| 18 | Sorana Cirstea | ROU | 2415 | 1919 | 1714 | 1429 | 1797 |
| 19 | Iva Jovic | USA | 2366 | 1833 | 1667 | 1601 | 1759 |
| 20 | Anna Kalinskaya | RUS | 2212 | 1834 | 1631 | 1546 | 1721 |
| 21 | Maja Chwalinska | POL | 1996 | 1860 | 1795 | 1483 | 1693 |
| 22 | Elise Mertens | BEL | 1918 | 1811 | 1619 | 1581 | 1714 |
| 23 | Leylah Fernandez | CAN | 1844 | 1760 | 1569 | 1546 | 1679 |
| 24 | Clara Tauson | DEN | 1800 | 1719 | 1527 | 1520 | 1679 |
| 25 | Emma Navarro | USA | 1779 | 1759 | 1653 | 1590 | 1613 |
| 26 | Madison Keys | USA | 1772 | 1864 | 1732 | 1558 | 1766 |
| 27 | Anastasia Potapova | RUS | 1640 | 1855 | 1743 | 1484 | 1640 |
| 28 | Marie Bouzkova | CZE | 1631 | 1787 | 1702 | 1476 | 1648 |
| 29 | Ann Li | USA | 1601 | 1759 | 1646 | 1478 | 1647 |
| 30 | Hailey Baptiste | USA | 1513 | 1790 | 1667 | 1488 | 1667 |
| 31 | Xin Yu Wang | CHN | 1431 | 1719 | 1537 | 1591 | 1616 |
| 32 | Katerina Siniakova | CZE | 1422 | 1771 | 1559 | 1578 | 1693 |
| 33 | Alexandra Eala | PHI | 1416 | 1837 | 1495 | 1665 | 1748 |
| 34 | Cristina Bucsa | ESP | 1406 | 1705 | 1443 | 1514 | 1684 |
| 35 | Liudmila Samsonova | RUS | 1405 | 1680 | 1593 | 1619 | 1566 |
| 36 | Jelena Ostapenko | LAT | 1404 | 1762 | 1660 | 1534 | 1621 |
| 37 | Maria Sakkari | GRE | 1328 | 1729 | 1589 | 1486 | 1658 |
| 38 | Jaqueline Cristian | ROU | 1294 | 1767 | 1631 | 1432 | 1698 |
| 39 | Mccartney Kessler | USA | 1289 | 1751 | 1547 | 1583 | 1688 |
| 40 | Janice Tjen | INA | 1267 | 1780 | 1634 | 1503 | 1785 |
| 41 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | ITA | 1260 | 1800 | 1586 | 1577 | 1689 |
| 42 | Emma Raducanu | GBR | 1241 | 1727 | 1548 | 1577 | 1658 |
| 43 | Magdalena Frech | POL | 1238 | 1655 | 1530 | 1434 | 1613 |
| 44 | Laura Siegemund | GER | 1230 | 1691 | 1553 | 1541 | 1592 |
| 45 | Barbora Krejcikova | CZE | 1211 | 1743 | 1550 | 1606 | 1647 |
| 46 | Sara Bejlek | CZE | 1205 | 1783 | 1736 | 1486 | 1653 |
| 47 | Tereza Valentova | CZE | 1165 | 1829 | 1727 | 1517 | 1788 |
| 48 | Marketa Vondrousova | CZE | 1133 | 1728 | 1606 | 1578 | 1609 |
| 49 | Dayana Yastremska | UKR | 1126 | 1743 | 1640 | 1575 | 1594 |
| 50 | Petra Marcinko | CRO | 1123 | 1771 | 1743 | 1467 | 1633 |
Top Kalshi edges
#1 Marco Cecchinato ELITE_LOW_N
Marco Cecchinato vs Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera on hard β model 45% vs market 15% (+30.0pp). ELITE_LOW_N, ask 15Β’.
#2 Andres Andrade ELITE_LOW_N
Andres Andrade vs Colton Smith on hard β model 49% vs market 20% (+29.4pp). ELITE_LOW_N, ask 20Β’. Form: Andres Andra=COLD | Colton Smith=WARM.
#3 Gonzalo Bueno STRONG_LOW_N
Gonzalo Bueno vs Jerome Kym on hard β model 45% vs market 16% (+29.0pp). STRONG_LOW_N, ask 16Β’.
#4 Adam Walton ELITE_LOW_N
Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgios on hard β model 64% vs market 93% (+-28.5pp). ELITE_LOW_N, ask 93Β’.
#5 Florent Bax ELITE_LOW_N
Florent Bax vs Chris Rodesch on hard β model 45% vs market 17% (+28.0pp). ELITE_LOW_N, ask 17Β’.
Top PrizePicks edges
#1 Martin Landaluce ELITE_LOW_N
Martin Landaluce LESS 0.5 Total Tie Breaks vs Jan-Lennard Struff β proj 0.2 (+50.0% edge). Surface: clay.
#2 Rei Sakamoto ELITE_LOW_N
Rei Sakamoto LESS 0.5 Total Tie Breaks vs Anton Matusevich β proj 0.2 (+49.9% edge). Surface: clay.
#3 Jack Draper STRONG_LOW_N
Jack Draper LESS 0.5 Total Tie Breaks vs Brandon Nakashima β proj 0.2 (+49.9% edge). Surface: clay.
Fade signals
- Clara Tauson (RETURNING): RETURNING form tag β fade or fade-against.
- Gabriel Diallo (COLD): COLD form tag β fade or fade-against.
- Raphael Collignon (RETURNING): RETURNING form tag β fade or fade-against.
- Maya Joint (RETURNING): RETURNING form tag β fade or fade-against.
- Antonia Ruzic (COLD): COLD form tag β fade or fade-against.
- Francisco Comesana (COLD): COLD form tag β fade or fade-against.
- Jan Lennard Struff (COLD): COLD form tag β fade or fade-against.
- Alexei Popyrin (COLD): COLD form tag β fade or fade-against.
Surface leans
| Surface | Matches | % strong fav | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|
| hard | 5 | 0.0% | pick'em slate |
| grass | 154 | 3.9% | pick'em slate |
ATP (current surface: grass, top 50 by composite)
| Rk | Player | Country | Composite | ELO overall | ELO grass | Form | Off. rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jannik Sinner | ITA | 2051.6 | 2167 | 1695 | WARM | 1 |
| 2 | Carlos Alcaraz | ESP | 1923.6 | 2070 | 1717 | RETURNING | 2 |
| 3 | Rafael Jodar | ESP | 1913.0 | 1893 | 1893 | WARM | 23 |
| 4 | Alexander Zverev | GER | 1898.3 | 1994 | 1594 | WARM | 3 |
| 5 | Daniil Medvedev | RUS | 1808.0 | 1884 | 1585 | WARM | 8 |
| 6 | Arthur Fils | FRA | 1791.0 | 1892 | 1546 | WARM | 21 |
| 7 | Novak Djokovic | SRB | 1788.6 | 1929 | 1636 | RETURNING | 7 |
| 8 | Tommy Paul | USA | 1778.5 | 1851 | 1587 | WARM | 28 |
| 9 | Felix Auger Aliassime | CAN | 1777.3 | 1854 | 1517 | WARM | 4 |
| 10 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | PAR | 1775.3 | 1755 | 1755 | WARM | 72 |
| 11 | Alex De Minaur | AUS | 1775.0 | 1851 | 1590 | NEUTRAL | 6 |
| 12 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | ESP | 1767.7 | 1748 | 1748 | WARM | 82 |
| 13 | Yibing Wu | CHN | 1766.8 | 1747 | 1747 | WARM | 101 |
| 14 | Ben Shelton | USA | 1764.8 | 1816 | 1561 | WARM | 5 |
| 15 | Flavio Cobolli | ITA | 1759.5 | 1833 | 1557 | WARM | 10 |
| 16 | Casper Ruud | NOR | 1758.5 | 1866 | 1502 | WARM | 14 |
| 17 | Lorenzo Musetti | ITA | 1753.5 | 1832 | 1607 | NEUTRAL | 16 |
| 18 | Dino Prizmic | CRO | 1753.2 | 1813 | 1499 | HOT | 70 |
| 19 | Jiri Lehecka | CZE | 1750.1 | 1814 | 1574 | WARM | 12 |
| 20 | Alejandro Tabilo | CHI | 1739.8 | 1798 | 1575 | WARM | 31 |
| 21 | Joao Fonseca | BRA | 1737.3 | 1837 | 1495 | WARM | 25 |
| 22 | Alexander Blockx | BEL | 1730.5 | 1820 | 1508 | WARM | 37 |
| 23 | Jakub Mensik | CZE | 1730.1 | 1825 | 1497 | WARM | 17 |
| 24 | Toby Samuel | GBR | 1728.8 | 1709 | 1709 | WARM | 150 |
| 25 | Learner Tien | USA | 1727.2 | 1847 | 1506 | NEUTRAL | 19 |
| 26 | Taylor Fritz | USA | 1724.0 | 1793 | 1722 | RETURNING | 9 |
| 27 | Stefanos Sakellaridis | GRE | 1711.7 | 1692 | 1692 | WARM | 155 |
| 28 | Alexander Bublik | KAZ | 1709.5 | 1785 | 1569 | NEUTRAL | 11 |
| 29 | Rei Sakamoto | JPN | 1706.3 | 1686 | 1686 | WARM | 149 |
| 30 | Valentin Vacherot | MON | 1703.4 | 1800 | 1467 | WARM | 20 |
| 31 | Andrey Rublev | RUS | 1703.1 | 1804 | 1516 | NEUTRAL | 13 |
| 32 | Zachary Svajda | USA | 1696.9 | 1722 | 1650 | NEUTRAL | 62 |
| 33 | Michael Mmoh | USA | 1695.3 | 1675 | 1675 | WARM | 195 |
| 34 | Alex Molcan | SVK | 1694.0 | 1744 | 1744 | RETURNING | 102 |
| 35 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | ESP | 1691.4 | 1641 | 1641 | HOT | 226 |
| 36 | Kilian Feldbausch | SUI | 1688.9 | 1669 | 1669 | WARM | 287 |
| 37 | Pablo Carreno Busta | ESP | 1684.3 | 1761 | 1484 | WARM | 71 |
| 38 | Buvaysar Gadamauri | BEL | 1684.1 | 1664 | 1664 | WARM | 261 |
| 39 | Francisco Cerundolo | ARG | 1682.9 | 1790 | 1426 | WARM | 27 |
| 40 | Jack Draper | GBR | 1682.2 | 1806 | 1594 | RETURNING | 112 |
| 41 | Mariano Navone | ARG | 1679.8 | 1767 | 1460 | WARM | 39 |
| 42 | Franco Roncadelli | URU | 1679.0 | 1659 | 1659 | WARM | 227 |
| 43 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | ESP | 1677.3 | 1749 | 1545 | NEUTRAL | 22 |
| 44 | Roman Andres Burruchaga | ARG | 1676.8 | 1733 | 1514 | WARM | 63 |
| 45 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | ARG | 1675.7 | 1756 | 1469 | WARM | 45 |
| 46 | Hubert Hurkacz | POL | 1675.6 | 1714 | 1547 | WARM | 96 |
| 47 | Ignacio Buse | PER | 1671.0 | 1773 | 1482 | NEUTRAL | 35 |
| 48 | Matteo Berrettini | ITA | 1670.6 | 1749 | 1524 | NEUTRAL | 48 |
| 49 | Brandon Nakashima | USA | 1670.4 | 1713 | 1590 | NEUTRAL | 32 |
| 50 | Bu Yunchaokete | CHN | 1668.7 | 1709 | 1536 | WARM | 131 |
WTA (current surface: grass, top 50 by composite)
| Rk | Player | Country | Composite | ELO overall | ELO grass | Form | Off. rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aryna Sabalenka | BLR | 1963.9 | 2089 | 1588 | WARM | 1 |
| 2 | Elena Rybakina | KAZ | 1925.9 | 2040 | 1580 | WARM | 2 |
| 3 | Alexandra Shubladze | RUS | 1898.6 | 1879 | 1879 | WARM | 184 |
| 4 | Jeline Vandromme | BEL | 1883.0 | 1863 | 1863 | WARM | 176 |
| 5 | Jessica Pegula | USA | 1881.7 | 1979 | 1583 | WARM | 4 |
| 6 | Iga Swiatek | POL | 1876.4 | 1957 | 1658 | NEUTRAL | 3 |
| 7 | Elina Svitolina | UKR | 1869.3 | 1996 | 1550 | WARM | 8 |
| 8 | Lisa Pigato | ITA | 1866.5 | 1846 | 1846 | WARM | 132 |
| 9 | Mirra Andreeva | RUS | 1861.0 | 1995 | 1513 | WARM | 6 |
| 10 | Coco Gauff | USA | 1850.8 | 1980 | 1519 | WARM | 7 |
| 11 | Akasha Urhobo | USA | 1843.4 | 1823 | 1823 | WARM | 180 |
| 12 | Tyra Caterina Grant | USA | 1840.5 | 1820 | 1820 | WARM | 157 |
| 13 | Dayeon Back | KOR | 1825.7 | 1806 | 1806 | WARM | 279 |
| 14 | Kaitlin Quevedo | USA | 1824.7 | 1825 | 1825 | NEUTRAL | 107 |
| 15 | Victoria Mboko | CAN | 1815.1 | 1937 | 1515 | WARM | 9 |
| 16 | Laura Samson | CZE | 1810.3 | 1810 | 1810 | NEUTRAL | 137 |
| 17 | Alice Tubello | FRA | 1810.1 | 1790 | 1790 | WARM | 222 |
| 18 | Belinda Bencic | SUI | 1804.3 | 1904 | 1561 | WARM | 11 |
| 19 | Carol Young Suh Lee | POC | 1801.3 | 1781 | 1781 | WARM | 192 |
| 20 | Jennifer Ruggeri | ITA | 1801.1 | 1781 | 1781 | WARM | 213 |
| 21 | Marta Kostyuk | UKR | 1800.2 | 1959 | 1449 | WARM | 12 |
| 22 | Anastasia Zolotareva | RUS | 1798.0 | 1778 | 1778 | WARM | 233 |
| 23 | Kristina Liutova | RUS | 1796.5 | 1777 | 1777 | WARM | 229 |
| 24 | Luisina Giovannini | ARG | 1793.4 | 1843 | 1843 | RETURNING | 173 |
| 25 | Angela Fita Boluda | ESP | 1793.2 | 1773 | 1773 | WARM | 195 |
| 26 | Eva Guerrero Alvarez | ESP | 1791.5 | 1772 | 1772 | WARM | 274 |
| 27 | Linda Noskova | CZE | 1788.9 | 1869 | 1583 | WARM | 13 |
| 28 | Hayu Kinoshita | JPN | 1787.3 | 1767 | 1767 | WARM | 217 |
| 29 | Martyna Kubka | POL | 1784.6 | 1765 | 1765 | WARM | 243 |
| 30 | Darya Astakhova | RUS | 1782.7 | 1763 | 1763 | WARM | 236 |
| 31 | Amanda Anisimova | USA | 1780.3 | 1906 | 1638 | RETURNING | 5 |
| 32 | Samira De Stefano | ITA | 1779.4 | 1759 | 1759 | WARM | 263 |
| 33 | Alexandra Eala | PHI | 1776.5 | 1837 | 1665 | NEUTRAL | 33 |
| 34 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann | SWE | 1773.6 | 1774 | 1774 | NEUTRAL | 276 |
| 35 | Lilli Tagger | AUT | 1770.9 | 1771 | 1771 | NEUTRAL | 86 |
| 36 | Claire Liu | USA | 1770.0 | 1750 | 1750 | WARM | 148 |
| 37 | Sorana Cirstea | ROU | 1767.4 | 1919 | 1429 | WARM | 18 |
| 38 | Lanlana Tararudee | THA | 1766.5 | 1860 | 1536 | WARM | 94 |
| 39 | Daria Snigur | UKR | 1765.8 | 1863 | 1528 | WARM | 84 |
| 40 | Veronika Podrez | UKR | 1764.2 | 1814 | 1814 | RETURNING | 145 |
| 41 | Lucie Havlickova | CZE | 1758.1 | 1738 | 1738 | WARM | 212 |
| 42 | Sohyun Park | KOR | 1756.7 | 1737 | 1737 | WARM | 270 |
| 43 | Julie Struplova | CZE | 1755.7 | 1786 | 1786 | COLD | 272 |
| 44 | Tatiana Prozorova | RUS | 1755.6 | 1806 | 1806 | RETURNING | 172 |
| 45 | Elizara Yaneva | BUL | 1752.5 | 1752 | 1752 | NEUTRAL | 225 |
| 46 | Iva Jovic | USA | 1751.9 | 1833 | 1601 | NEUTRAL | 19 |
| 47 | Oleksandra Oliynykova | CRO | 1748.0 | 1859 | 1485 | WARM | 51 |
| 48 | Hanyu Guo | CHN | 1747.7 | 1728 | 1728 | WARM | 156 |
| 49 | Anhelina Kalinina | UKR | 1746.9 | 1842 | 1513 | WARM | 69 |
| 50 | Rebeka Masarova | ESP | 1746.2 | 1813 | 1623 | NEUTRAL | 140 |
ATP on CLAY (top 15 by surface tilt)
| Player | Ξ ELO | ELO clay | ELO overall | Form | Off. rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zdenek Kolar | +27.9 | 1617 | 1589 | NEUTRAL | 162 |
| Gustavo Heide | +25.1 | 1725 | 1700 | RETURNING | 182 |
| Jan Choinski | +19.6 | 1688 | 1668 | COLD | 105 |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | +19.3 | 1648 | 1628 | RETURNING | 161 |
| Gonzalo Bueno | +17.6 | 1637 | 1619 | RETURNING | 180 |
| Luciano Darderi | +17.2 | 1790 | 1772 | WARM | 18 |
| Valentin Royer | +16.5 | 1654 | 1638 | WARM | 74 |
| Alex Barrena | +13.9 | 1571 | 1557 | NEUTRAL | 197 |
| Jesper De Jong | +12.7 | 1672 | 1659 | NEUTRAL | 83 |
| Hugo Dellien | +11.2 | 1688 | 1677 | RETURNING | 165 |
| Timofey Skatov | +11.0 | 1631 | 1620 | NEUTRAL | 175 |
| Tomas Barrios Vera | +9.1 | 1686 | 1677 | COLD | 138 |
| Lukas Neumayer | +8.9 | 1693 | 1684 | WARM | 168 |
| Marco Trungelliti | +8.6 | 1684 | 1675 | NEUTRAL | 80 |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | +4.7 | 1703 | 1698 | RETURNING | 128 |
WTA on CLAY (top 15 by surface tilt)
| Player | Ξ ELO | ELO clay | ELO overall | Form | Off. rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katarzyna Kawa | +26.3 | 1730 | 1704 | HOT | 143 |
| Despina Papamichail | +7.5 | 1686 | 1679 | NEUTRAL | 168 |
| Teodora Kostovic | +4.7 | 1735 | 1730 | NEUTRAL | 182 |
| Anna Bondar | +4.5 | 1779 | 1775 | WARM | 75 |
| Simona Waltert | -2.9 | 1764 | 1767 | WARM | 90 |
| Carole Monnet | -3.1 | 1662 | 1665 | NEUTRAL | 191 |
| Julia Grabher | -4.8 | 1715 | 1720 | NEUTRAL | 116 |
| Andrea Lazaro Garcia | -7.6 | 1791 | 1799 | WARM | 153 |
| Luisina Giovannini | -10.7 | 1833 | 1843 | RETURNING | 173 |
| Veronika Erjavec | -12.4 | 1739 | 1752 | WARM | 89 |
| Darja Semenistaja | -13.5 | 1778 | 1792 | WARM | 102 |
| Mayar Sherif | -13.8 | 1707 | 1720 | RETURNING | 118 |
| Whitney Osuigwe | -13.8 | 1668 | 1682 | WARM | 183 |
| Nuria Brancaccio | -14.1 | 1658 | 1672 | COLD | 177 |
| Tamara Zidansek | -15.2 | 1761 | 1777 | RETURNING | 134 |
ATP on GRASS (top 15 by surface tilt)
| Player | Ξ ELO | ELO grass | ELO overall | Form | Off. rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shintaro Mochizuki | +54.6 | 1565 | 1511 | RETURNING | 129 |
| Nicolas Jarry | +29.4 | 1564 | 1535 | RETURNING | 189 |
| Billy Harris | +25.6 | 1541 | 1515 | COLD | 144 |
| Adrian Mannarino | +19.4 | 1584 | 1565 | COLD | 46 |
| Roberto Bautista Agut | -25.0 | 1551 | 1576 | COLD | 116 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | -31.8 | 1537 | 1569 | COLD | 100 |
| Otto Virtanen | -49.0 | 1631 | 1680 | NEUTRAL | 158 |
| Tristan Schoolkate | -50.4 | 1550 | 1600 | WARM | 123 |
| Alex Bolt | -56.1 | 1592 | 1648 | WARM | 157 |
| August Holmgren | -56.7 | 1548 | 1605 | WARM | 148 |
| Gabriel Diallo | -63.2 | 1576 | 1639 | COLD | 54 |
| Marcos Giron | -71.3 | 1570 | 1641 | WARM | 88 |
| Zachary Svajda | -72.3 | 1650 | 1722 | NEUTRAL | 62 |
| Marin Cilic | -73.2 | 1611 | 1684 | NEUTRAL | 47 |
| Ugo Blanchet | -74.7 | 1459 | 1534 | COLD | 173 |
WTA on GRASS (top 15 by surface tilt)
| Player | Ξ ELO | ELO grass | ELO overall | Form | Off. rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatjana Maria | -18.0 | 1598 | 1616 | NEUTRAL | 52 |
| Beatriz Haddad Maia | -64.5 | 1514 | 1578 | COLD | 108 |
| Viktoriya Tomova | -107.0 | 1500 | 1607 | NEUTRAL | 167 |
| Ajla Tomljanovic | -111.2 | 1536 | 1647 | NEUTRAL | 109 |
| Xin Yu Wang | -127.1 | 1591 | 1719 | NEUTRAL | 31 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | -128.2 | 1576 | 1705 | NEUTRAL | 78 |
| Linda Fruhvirtova | -133.9 | 1543 | 1677 | NEUTRAL | 164 |
| Suzan Lamens | -135.0 | 1489 | 1624 | COLD | 125 |
| Lulu Sun | -136.6 | 1519 | 1655 | NEUTRAL | 110 |
| Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | -136.9 | 1499 | 1636 | NEUTRAL | 124 |
| Rebecca Sramkova | -137.3 | 1509 | 1646 | NEUTRAL | 120 |
| Dalma Galfi | -138.3 | 1576 | 1714 | NEUTRAL | 117 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | -149.2 | 1563 | 1712 | NEUTRAL | 113 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | -159.4 | 1570 | 1730 | NEUTRAL | 88 |
| Bianca Andreescu | -161.6 | 1539 | 1700 | NEUTRAL | 158 |
ATP on HARD (top 15 by surface tilt)
| Player | Ξ ELO | ELO hard | ELO overall | Form | Off. rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Gaston | +45.5 | 1666 | 1620 | WARM | 119 |
| Luca Van Assche | +35.7 | 1704 | 1668 | WARM | 98 |
| Toby Samuel | +29.5 | 1738 | 1709 | WARM | 150 |
| Gauthier Onclin | +6.0 | 1613 | 1607 | HOT | 186 |
| Clement Chidekh | +5.5 | 1629 | 1624 | NEUTRAL | 200 |
| Rinky Hijikata | +3.2 | 1683 | 1680 | WARM | 106 |
| Alexis Galarneau | +2.9 | 1613 | 1610 | WARM | 187 |
| Coleman Wong | -1.9 | 1641 | 1643 | WARM | 108 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | -3.0 | 1678 | 1680 | WARM | 99 |
| Michael Mmoh | -10.9 | 1664 | 1675 | WARM | 195 |
| Borna Gojo | -11.2 | 1698 | 1709 | WARM | 178 |
| Ethan Quinn | -13.2 | 1683 | 1696 | WARM | 67 |
| Marcos Giron | -13.6 | 1628 | 1641 | WARM | 88 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | -14.6 | 1643 | 1657 | NEUTRAL | 104 |
| Terence Atmane | -14.7 | 1627 | 1641 | NEUTRAL | 53 |
WTA on HARD (top 15 by surface tilt)
| Player | Ξ ELO | ELO hard | ELO overall | Form | Off. rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Gibson | +53.5 | 1832 | 1779 | HOT | 63 |
| Hanne Vandewinkel | +51.2 | 1848 | 1796 | HOT | 97 |
| Xiaodi You | +1.4 | 1730 | 1729 | WARM | 170 |
| Kimberly Birrell | -6.3 | 1751 | 1757 | WARM | 74 |
| Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | -6.9 | 1629 | 1636 | WARM | 124 |
| Ye Xin Ma | -9.4 | 1684 | 1693 | WARM | 189 |
| Sofia Costoulas | -11.2 | 1729 | 1740 | WARM | 150 |
| Taylah Preston | -15.5 | 1796 | 1811 | WARM | 126 |
| Polina Iatcenko | -17.5 | 1721 | 1738 | NEUTRAL | 163 |
| Himeno Sakatsume | -18.4 | 1742 | 1761 | NEUTRAL | 127 |
| Vendula Valdmannova | -18.6 | 1785 | 1804 | WARM | 199 |
| Priscilla Hon | -19.1 | 1646 | 1665 | NEUTRAL | 146 |
| Harriet Dart | -23.5 | 1740 | 1763 | WARM | 160 |
| Francisca Jorge | -27.2 | 1699 | 1727 | RETURNING | 196 |
| Hanyu Guo | -27.7 | 1700 | 1728 | WARM | 156 |
WTA on INDOOR (top 15 by surface tilt)
| Player | Ξ ELO | ELO indoor | ELO overall | Form | Off. rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linda Klimovicova | -124.1 | 1616 | 1740 | NEUTRAL | 165 |
| Kimberly Birrell | -177.1 | 1580 | 1757 | NEUTRAL | 74 |
| Ye Xin Ma | -177.9 | 1515 | 1693 | WARM | 189 |
| Carole Monnet | -194.2 | 1471 | 1665 | NEUTRAL | 191 |
| Elvina Kalieva | -209.7 | 1521 | 1731 | WARM | 135 |
| Himeno Sakatsume | -218.0 | 1543 | 1761 | NEUTRAL | 127 |
| Emerson Jones | -222.0 | 1584 | 1806 | WARM | 133 |
| Dalma Galfi | -228.3 | 1486 | 1714 | NEUTRAL | 117 |
| Marina Bassols Ribera | -229.2 | 1503 | 1732 | WARM | 144 |
| Tamara Korpatsch | -240.1 | 1534 | 1774 | WARM | 79 |
| Mona Barthel | -254.2 | 1500 | 1754 | WARM | 193 |
| Polina Iatcenko | -254.5 | 1484 | 1738 | NEUTRAL | 163 |
| Sofia Costoulas | -256.1 | 1484 | 1740 | WARM | 150 |
| Vendula Valdmannova | -269.7 | 1534 | 1804 | WARM | 199 |
| Daria Snigur | -273.9 | 1589 | 1863 | WARM | 84 |
β Caveat: Model CLV anti-correlated with skill (Phase A finding); treat parlays as paper.
Kalshi cross-match (independent fav parlays)
No combos surfaced.
Kalshi same-match (correlated)
No combos surfaced.
PrizePicks slips
| Label | Variance | Legs | Joint P | Payout | EV/$ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-pick MED-variance | MED | Marcos Giron LESS 12.5 Total Games Won, Iga Swiatek MORE 18.5 Total Games | 0.430 | 5.00x | 1.152 |
| 2-pick HIGH-variance | HIGH | Tereza Valentova MORE 4.0 Break Points Won, Caty McNally MORE 4.0 Break Points Won | 0.449 | 10.00x | 3.486 |
| 3-pick MED-variance | MED | Marcos Giron LESS 12.5 Total Games Won, Iga Swiatek MORE 18.5 Total Games, Magda Linette MORE 18.0 Total Games | 0.279 | 10.00x | 1.790 |
| 3-pick HIGH-variance | HIGH | Tereza Valentova MORE 4.0 Break Points Won, Caty McNally MORE 4.0 Break Points Won, Nikola Bartunkova MORE 4.0 Break Points Won | 0.294 | 25.00x | 6.347 |
| 4-pick MED-variance | MED | Marcos Giron LESS 12.5 Total Games Won, Iga Swiatek MORE 18.5 Total Games, Magda Linette MORE 18.0 Total Games, Shuai Zhang LESS 11.5 Total Games Won | 0.179 | 18.00x | 2.228 |
| 4-pick HIGH-variance | HIGH | Tereza Valentova MORE 4.0 Break Points Won, Caty McNally MORE 4.0 Break Points Won, Nikola Bartunkova MORE 4.0 Break Points Won, Alycia Parks MORE 4.0 Break Points Won | 0.177 | 50.00x | 7.860 |
β Inverted CLV signal: win rate at POSITIVE CLV (0.429) < win rate at NEGATIVE CLV (0.6562). When we beat the close, we LOSE; when we lose the close, we WIN. Model is anti-correlated with skill. Real money gated.
CLV vs Pinnacle close (overall)
| n picks total | 1802 |
| matched Pinnacle | 370 (20.5%) |
| mean CLV (pp) | 16.16 |
| median CLV (pp) | 15.824 |
| win rate at +CLV | 0.429 |
| win rate at -CLV | 0.6562 |
CLV by market price bucket (FLB signal)
| Bucket | n | Mean CLV (pp) |
|---|---|---|
| <10% | 30 | 32.535 |
| 10-30% | 146 | 21.473 |
| 30-50% | 129 | 11.786 |
| 50-70% | 49 | 6.21 |
| 70-90% | 8 | 3.478 |
| >90% | 8 | 1.915 |
Calibration buckets
| n_total | 1321 |
| ECE (pp) | 4.355 |
| Brier Score | 0.2417 |
| Log Loss | 0.6762 |
Predicted vs actual (10pp buckets)
| Bucket | n | Predicted | Actual | Gap (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2-0.30 | 20 | 0.2832 | 0.35 | +6.68 |
| 0.3-0.40 | 154 | 0.3585 | 0.2792 | -7.93 |
| 0.4-0.50 | 521 | 0.4513 | 0.4319 | -1.95 |
| 0.5-0.60 | 487 | 0.5448 | 0.4949 | -4.99 |
| 0.6-0.70 | 124 | 0.6405 | 0.5806 | -5.98 |
| 0.7-0.80 | 14 | 0.7179 | 0.8571 | +13.93 |
| 0.8-0.90 | 1 | 0.8232 | 1.0 | +17.68 |
| Source | DB / file | Last pulled | Age | Rows | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi KXATPMATCH | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-08-04T13:12:41.367546+00:00 | 4m | 1920 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXWTAMATCH | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-08-04T13:12:41.367546+00:00 | 4m | 1970 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXFRENCHOPEN | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-08-04T13:12:41.367546+00:00 | 4m | 0 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXFOPENMENSINGLE | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-08-04T13:12:41.367546+00:00 | 4m | 0 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXATPGRANDSLAM | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-08-04T13:12:41.367546+00:00 | 4m | 14 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXUSOPEN | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-08-04T13:12:41.367546+00:00 | 4m | 0 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXATPSETWINNER | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-08-04T13:12:41.367546+00:00 | 4m | 4430 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXATPTOTALSETS | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-08-04T13:12:41.367546+00:00 | 4m | 0 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXATPSETSWEEP | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-08-04T13:12:41.367546+00:00 | 4m | 2 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXATPGAMESPREAD | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-08-04T13:12:41.367546+00:00 | 4m | 0 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXATPEXACTMATCH | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-08-04T13:12:41.367546+00:00 | 4m | 4336 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXWTADOUBLES | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-08-04T13:12:41.367546+00:00 | 4m | 292 | fresh |
| Kalshi KXATP1RANK | tennis_kalshi.sqlite | 2026-08-04T13:12:41.367546+00:00 | 4m | 16 | fresh |
| elo last computed | tennis.sqlite | 2026-06-21T17:36:52+00:00 | 1051.66h | 20430 | stale |
| rankings last pulled | tennis.sqlite | 2026-06-15T17:40:18+00:00 | 1195.61h | 11348 | stale |
| rankings atp latest date | tennis.sqlite | 2026-06-08 | 1381.28h | — | stale |
| rankings wta latest date | tennis.sqlite | 2026-06-08 | 1381.28h | — | stale |
| mirror atp schedule | tennis.sqlite | 2026-08-04T13:14:36.737964+00:00 | 1m | 170 | fresh |
| h2h last computed | tennis.sqlite | 2026-05-17T10:11:57.514615+00:00 | 1899.08h | — | stale |
| h2h n pairs | tennis.sqlite | 190184 | missing | — | missing |
| last player db run | tennis.sqlite | 1785849298 | missing | — | missing |
| results last_run | tennis_results.sqlite | [2026-08-04T13:14:39.236927+00:00] 2026-08-04T13:14:37.148061+00:00; dates=['20260803']; rows=338; resolved=326 | missing | — | missing |
| pp_edges CSV | pp_edges_tennis_2026-08-04.csv | 2026-08-04T13:15:12.137721+00:00 | 1m | — | fresh |
| kalshi edges JSON | tennis_kalshi_edges_2026-08-04.json | 2026-08-04T13:15:06.371253+00:00 | 1m | — | fresh |
| paper trades PP | paper_trades_pp_tennis_2026-08-04.json | 2026-08-04T13:16:11.480182+00:00 | 0m | — | fresh |
| paper trades Kalshi | paper_trades_kalshi_tennis_2026-08-04.json | 2026-08-04T13:16:12.012966+00:00 | 0m | — | fresh |
| daily payload | daily_tennis_2026-08-04.json | 2026-08-04T13:16:16.595344+00:00 | 0m | — | fresh |
| PP movement | pp_line_movement_tennis_2026-08-04.csv | 2026-08-04T13:16:15.647245+00:00 | 0m | — | fresh |
| PP calibration | pp_calibration_tennis.json | 2026-08-04T13:16:15.554196+00:00 | 0m | — | fresh |