Tennis EdgeBoard - 2026-05-27

Kalshi KXATPMATCH 2m · 1810rKalshi KXWTAMATCH 2m · 1672rKalshi KXFRENCHOPEN 2mKalshi KXFOPENMENSINGLE 2mKalshi KXATPGRANDSLAM 2m · 14rKalshi KXUSOPEN 2mKalshi KXATPSETWINNER 2m · 3706rKalshi KXATPTOTALSETS 2mKalshi KXATPSETSWEEP 2m · 1rKalshi KXATPGAMESPREAD 2mKalshi KXATPEXACTMATCH 2m · 1684rKalshi KXWTADOUBLES 2m · 80rKalshi KXATP1RANK 2m · 16relo last computed 3.1h · 20051rrankings last pulled 3.1h · 7538rrankings atp latest date 2drankings wta latest date 2dmirror atp schedule 0m · 114rh2h last computed 10dh2h n pairs missinglast player db run missingresults last_run missingpp_edges CSV 0mkalshi edges JSON 0mpaper trades PP 3.0hpaper trades Kalshi 54mdaily payload 0mPP movement 0mPP calibration 3.0h

Matches today

scheduled

ELITE edges

across Kalshi + PP

STRONG edges

tier 2

MED edges

tier 3

Paper locks

Kalshi + PP

Real Money YTD

-$10.00

paper-gate restored

Qualifying skipped

filtered out today

Last refresh

16:12

2026-05-27 UTC

🏆 Best Bet (main-draw)

No main-draw Kalshi pick survived qualifying filter today.

🎯 Safest (P ≥ 65%)

Andrey Rublev

Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev · Round 3 clay · LOW

72%

Heavy main-draw favorite · PAPER

Edge -20.9pp
Ask 93¢

💎 Biggest Payout (ELITE)

No ELITE main-draw longshot today.

#	Match	Tournament	Round	Surface	Start	ELO A	ELO B	ELO diff	Kalshi event
1	Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 11:30	1716	1589	+128	KXATPMATCH-26MAY27NAVMEN
2	Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 11:30	1716	1589	+128	KXATPMATCH-26MAY27NAVMEN
3	Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovic	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 13:50	1682	1738	-56	KXATPMATCH-26MAY27ROYDJO
4	Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovic	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 13:50	1682	1738	-56	KXATPMATCH-26MAY27ROYDJO
5	James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodar	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 14:15	1641	1714	-73	KXATPMATCH-26MAY27DUCJOD
6	James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodar	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 14:15	1641	1714	-73	KXATPMATCH-26MAY27DUCJOD
7	Nishesh Basavareddy vs Alex Michelsen	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 14:35	1589	1488	+100	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY27BASMIC-2
8	Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 14:35	1451	1533	-82	KXATPMATCH-26MAY27HUMHAL
9	Nishesh Basavareddy vs Alex Michelsen	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 14:35	1589	1488	+100	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY27BASMIC-2
10	Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 14:35	1451	1533	-82	KXATPMATCH-26MAY27HUMHAL
11	Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 15:45	1638	1752	-114	KXATPMATCH-26MAY27FONPRI
12	Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 15:45	1638	1752	-114	KXATPMATCH-26MAY27FONPRI
13	Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frech	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 16:05	1645	1534	+111	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27TEIFRE
14	Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frech	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 16:05	1645	1534	+111	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27TEIFRE
15	Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 16:15	1707	1796	-89	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27PAOSIE
16	Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 16:15	1707	1796	-89	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27PAOSIE
17	Kamilla Rakhimova vs Karolina Muchova	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 16:30	1551	1597	-46	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27RAKMUC
18	Hailey Baptiste vs ?	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 16:30	1662	—	—
19	Lorenzo Sonego vs Tommy Paul	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 16:30	1465	1748	-283	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY27SONPAU-3
20	Kamilla Rakhimova vs Karolina Muchova	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 16:30	1551	1597	-46	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27RAKMUC
21	Hailey Baptiste vs ?	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 16:30	1662	—	—
22	Lorenzo Sonego vs Tommy Paul	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 16:30	1465	1748	-283	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY27SONPAU-3
23	Eva Lys vs Sorana Cirstea	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 16:45	1589	1612	-23	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27LYSCIR
24	Eva Lys vs Sorana Cirstea	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 16:45	1589	1612	-23	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27LYSCIR
25	Mirra Andreeva vs Marina Bassols Ribera	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 17:00	1800	1681	+119	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27ANDBAS
26	Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovic	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 17:00	1744	1688	+56	KXATPMATCH-26MAY27RUUMED
27	Mirra Andreeva vs Marina Bassols Ribera	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 17:00	1800	1681	+119	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY27ANDBAS
28	Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovic	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 17:00	1744	1688	+56	KXATPMATCH-26MAY27RUUMED
29	Tomas Machac vs Alexander Zverev	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 18:15	1592	1816	-224	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY27MACZVE-2
30	Tomas Machac vs Alexander Zverev	Roland Garros	Round 2	clay	May 27 18:15	1592	1816	-224	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY27MACZVE-2

#	Match	Our pick	Our P	Mkt P	Ask	Edge	Tier	Decision	Vol 24h	Surface	Round	EV/$
1	Amanda Anisimova vs Julia Grabher	Julia Grabher	63.8%	18.0%	18¢	+45.8pp	LOW	PAPER	1496	clay	Round 2	+0.458
2	Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovic	Valentin Royer	46.1%	5.0%	5¢	+41.1pp	LOW	PAPER	1401123	clay	Round 2	+0.411
3	Learner Tien vs Facundo Diaz Acosta	Facundo Diaz Acosta	67.5%	27.0%	27¢	+40.5pp	LOW	PAPER	15979	clay	Round 2	+0.405
4	Elina Svitolina vs Tamara Korpatsch	Tamara Korpatsch	48.6%	9.0%	9¢	+39.6pp	LOW	PAPER	491	clay	Round 3	+0.396
5	Nishesh Basavareddy vs Alex Michelsen	Nishesh Basavareddy	47.6%	8.0%	8¢	+39.6pp	LOW	PAPER	516183	hard	Round Of 64	+0.396
6	Pablo Carreno Busta vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Thiago Agustin Tirante	55.5%	93.0%	93¢	-37.5pp	LOW	PAPER	0	clay	Round 3	-0.375
7	Hugo Gaston vs Francisco Cerundolo	Hugo Gaston	48.1%	12.0%	12¢	+36.1pp	LOW	PAPER	11423	hard	Round Of 64	+0.361
8	James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodar	James Duckworth	44.3%	11.0%	11¢	+33.3pp	LOW	PAPER	1065306	clay	Round 2	+0.333
9	Jakub Mensik vs Mariano Navone	Mariano Navone	59.6%	28.0%	28¢	+31.6pp	LOW	PAPER	4052824	clay	Round 2	+0.316
10	Daria Kasatkina vs Susan Bandecchi	Susan Bandecchi	44.5%	13.0%	13¢	+31.6pp	LOW	PAPER	576	clay	Round 2	+0.316
11	Marina Bassols Ribera vs Mirra Andreeva	Marina Bassols Ribera	40.5%	9.0%	9¢	+31.5pp	LOW	PAPER	90928	clay	Round 2	+0.315
12	Kamilla Rakhimova vs Karolina Muchova	Kamilla Rakhimova	42.4%	11.0%	11¢	+31.4pp	LOW	PAPER	10078	clay	Round 2	+0.314
13	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	58.4%	28.0%	28¢	+30.3pp	LOW	PAPER	15644	hard	Round Of 64	+0.303
14	Elise Mertens vs Maja Chwalinska	Maja Chwalinska	64.0%	35.0%	35¢	+29.0pp	LOW	PAPER	1286	clay	Round 2	+0.290
15	Elsa Jacquemot vs Aryna Sabalenka	Elsa Jacquemot	30.2%	3.0%	3¢	+27.2pp	LOW	SKIP	6644	clay	Round 2	+0.272
16	Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wu	Yibing Wu	53.4%	27.0%	27¢	+26.4pp	LOW	PAPER	6569	hard	Round Of 64	+0.264
17	Iga Swiatek vs Magda Linette	Magda Linette	36.3%	10.0%	10¢	+26.3pp	LOW	PAPER	386	clay	Round 3	+0.263
18	Viktorija Golubic vs Marta Kostyuk	Marta Kostyuk	66.4%	92.0%	92¢	-25.6pp	LOW	PAPER	0	clay	Round 3	-0.256
19	Naomi Osaka vs Donna Vekic	Donna Vekic	52.5%	27.0%	27¢	+25.5pp	LOW	PAPER	3379	clay	Round 2	+0.255
20	Karen Khachanov vs Jesper De Jong	Jesper De Jong	58.2%	33.0%	33¢	+25.2pp	LOW	PAPER	426	clay	Round 3	+0.252
21	Peyton Stearns vs Belinda Bencic	Peyton Stearns	54.2%	29.0%	29¢	+25.2pp	LOW	PAPER	65	clay	Round 3	+0.252
22	Luciano Darderi vs Francisco Comesana	Francisco Comesana	52.2%	28.0%	28¢	+24.2pp	LOW	PAPER	3437	hard	Round Of 64	+0.242
23	Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wang	Xiyu Wang	56.4%	33.0%	33¢	+23.4pp	LOW	PAPER	118483	hard	Round Of 64	+0.234
24	Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	Solana Sierra	60.3%	37.0%	37¢	+23.3pp	LOW	PAPER	54139	clay	Round 2	+0.233
25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Jannik Sinner	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	26.3%	3.0%	3¢	+23.3pp	LOW	SKIP	74516	hard	Round Of 64	+0.233
26	Eva Lys vs Sorana Cirstea	Eva Lys	44.2%	21.0%	21¢	+23.2pp	LOW	PAPER	15729	clay	Round 2	+0.232
27	Alexander Zverev vs Tomas Machac	Tomas Machac	34.9%	12.0%	12¢	+22.9pp	LOW	PAPER	279399	hard	Round Of 64	+0.229
28	Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys	Ugo Humbert	43.7%	22.0%	22¢	+21.7pp	LOW	PAPER	457020	clay	Round 2	+0.217
29	Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	72.1%	93.0%	93¢	-20.9pp	LOW	PAPER	0	clay	Round 3	-0.209
30	Lorenzo Sonego vs Tommy Paul	Lorenzo Sonego	36.6%	16.0%	16¢	+20.6pp	LOW	PAPER	31798	hard	Round Of 64	+0.206
31	Valentin Vacherot vs Alejandro Tabilo	Valentin Vacherot	57.6%	37.0%	37¢	+20.6pp	LOW	PAPER	9576	hard	Round Of 64	+0.206
32	Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keys	Antonia Ruzic	35.1%	15.0%	15¢	+20.1pp	LOW	PAPER	3381	clay	Round 2	+0.201
33	Anastasia Potapova vs Katie Boulter	Katie Boulter	40.9%	21.0%	21¢	+19.9pp	LOW	PAPER	2653	clay	Round 2	+0.199
34	Ben Shelton vs Raphael Collignon	Raphael Collignon	53.2%	34.0%	34¢	+19.2pp	LOW	PAPER	169787	hard	Round Of 64	+0.192
35	Frances Tiafoe vs Hubert Hurkacz	Frances Tiafoe	63.2%	44.0%	44¢	+19.2pp	LOW	PAPER	12783	hard	Round Of 64	+0.192
36	Brandon Nakashima vs Luca Van Assche	Luca Van Assche	50.8%	32.0%	32¢	+18.8pp	LOW	PAPER	1785	clay	Round 2	+0.188
37	Maria Sakkari vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	54.0%	36.0%	36¢	+18.0pp	LOW	PAPER	1937	clay	Round 2	+0.180
38	Diana Shnaider vs McCartney Kessler	McCartney Kessler	40.0%	23.0%	23¢	+16.9pp	LOW	PAPER	2374	clay	Round 2	+0.170
39	Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovic	Hamad Medjedovic	46.1%	30.0%	30¢	+16.1pp	LOW	PAPER	91390	clay	Round 2	+0.161
40	Dino Prizmic vs Joao Fonseca	Dino Prizmic	60.8%	47.0%	47¢	+13.8pp	LOW	PAPER	240149	clay	Round 2	+0.138
41	Magdalena Frech vs Jil Teichmann	Jil Teichmann	54.4%	41.0%	41¢	+13.3pp	LOW	PAPER	105895	clay	Round 2	+0.134
42	Martin Landaluce vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	61.0%	48.0%	48¢	+13.0pp	LOW	PAPER	13432	clay	Round 2	+0.130
43	Anna Kalinskaya vs Alina Korneeva	Alina Korneeva	40.5%	29.0%	29¢	+11.5pp	LOW	PAPER	1550	clay	Round 2	+0.115
44	Katerina Siniakova vs Victoria Mboko	Katerina Siniakova	38.0%	29.0%	29¢	+9.0pp	LOW	PAPER	1784	clay	Round 2	+0.090
45	Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettini	Matteo Berrettini	58.2%	50.0%	50¢	+8.2pp	LOW	PAPER	6557	clay	Round 2	+0.082
46	Diane Parry vs Ann Li	Diane Parry	35.6%	30.0%	30¢	+5.6pp	LOW	PAPER	2925	clay	Round 2	+0.056
47	Camila Osorio vs Yulia Putintseva	Yulia Putintseva	48.0%	43.0%	43¢	+5.0pp	LOW	PAPER	2667	clay	Round 2	+0.051
48	Iva Jovic vs Emma Navarro	Iva Jovic	57.0%	54.0%	54¢	+3.0pp	LOW	PAPER	10891	clay	Round 2	+0.030
49	Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Kimberly Birrell	Oleksandra Oliynykova	71.7%	69.0%	69¢	+2.7pp	LOW	PAPER	3141	clay	Round 2	+0.027
50	Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	41.4%	39.0%	39¢	+2.4pp	LOW	PAPER	2822	hard	Round Of 64	+0.024
51	Jaime Faria vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	39.3%	37.0%	37¢	+2.3pp	LOW	PAPER	1114	clay	Round 2	+0.023
52	Zachary Svajda vs Adam Walton	Zachary Svajda	54.2%	53.0%	53¢	+1.2pp	LOW	SKIP	2971	hard	Round Of 64	+0.012
53	Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchaga	Felix Auger-Aliassime	72.0%	71.0%	71¢	+1.0pp	LOW	SKIP	1545	hard	Round Of 64	+0.010

#	Player	Stat	PP line	Our proj	Edge %	Side	Tier	Opp	Surface	Demon	Payout
1	Kamilla Rakhimova🧊 COLD	Aces	0.5	2.79	+458.1%	MORE	LOW	Karolina Muchova	clay	—	1.0x
2	Marina Bassols Ribera🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	5.0	9.63	+92.7%	MORE	LOW	Mirra Andreeva	clay	—	0.5x
3	Tamara Korpatsch🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	5.5	10.38	+88.8%	MORE	LOW	Elina Svitolina	clay	—	0.5x
4	Elsa Jacquemot🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	4.5	8.47	+88.3%	MORE	LOW	Aryna Sabalenka	clay	—	0.5x
5	Kamilla Rakhimova🧊 COLD	Break Points Won	2.5	4.56	+82.4%	MORE	LOW	Karolina Muchova	clay	—	1.0x
6	Alexander Zverev🟨 WARM	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.12	+75.7%	LESS	LOW	Tomas Machac	clay	—	1.0x
7	Luciano Darderi🟨 WARM	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.12	+75.5%	LESS	LOW	Francisco Comesana	clay	—	1.0x
8	Felix Auger-Aliassime🟨 WARM	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.12	+75.3%	LESS	LOW	Roman Andres Burruchaga	clay	—	1.0x
9	Martin Landaluce	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.12	+75.3%	LESS	LOW	Vit Kopriva	clay	—	1.0x
10	Julia Grabher	Total Games Won	7.5	11.80	+57.4%	MORE	LOW	Amanda Anisimova	clay	—	0.5x
11	Coco Gauff🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	5.5	2.40	+56.4%	LESS	ELITE	Maiar Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz	clay	—	1.0x
12	Learner Tien🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	19.5	8.70	+55.4%	LESS	LOW	Facundo Diaz Acosta	clay	—	0.5x
13	Susan Bandecchi🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	6.5	10.04	+54.4%	MORE	LOW	Daria Kasatkina	clay	—	0.5x
14	Arthur Rinderknech	Total Games Won	20.5	9.76	+52.4%	LESS	LOW	Matteo Berrettini	clay	—	0.5x
15	Felix Auger-Aliassime🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	19.5	9.34	+52.1%	LESS	LOW	Roman Andres Burruchaga	clay	—	0.5x
16	Martin Landaluce	Total Games Won	19.5	9.51	+51.2%	LESS	LOW	Vit Kopriva	clay	—	0.5x
17	Karen Khachanov🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	19.5	9.55	+51.0%	LESS	LOW	Jesper De Jong	clay	—	1.0x
18	Ben Shelton🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	20.5	10.16	+50.4%	LESS	LOW	Raphael Collignon	clay	—	0.5x
19	Zachary Svajda🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	19.5	9.71	+50.2%	LESS	LOW	Adam Walton	clay	—	0.5x
20	Jaime Faria🟨 WARM	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.25	+50.0%	LESS	LOW	Jan-Lennard Struff	clay	—	1.0x
21	Frances Tiafoe⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	19.5	9.85	+49.5%	LESS	LOW	Hubert Hurkacz	clay	—	0.5x
22	Francisco Comesana🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	17.5	8.85	+49.5%	LESS	LOW	Luciano Darderi	clay	—	0.5x
23	Jan-Lennard Struff🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	18.5	9.37	+49.4%	LESS	LOW	Jaime Faria	clay	—	0.5x
24	Kamilla Rakhimova🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	6.5	9.71	+49.3%	MORE	LOW	Karolina Muchova	clay	—	0.5x
25	Brandon Nakashima	Total Games Won	20.5	10.43	+49.1%	LESS	LOW	Luca Van Assche	clay	—	0.5x
26	Matteo Arnaldi🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	19.5	10.01	+48.6%	LESS	LOW	Stefanos Tsitsipas	clay	—	0.5x
27	Tommy Paul🟨 WARM	Aces	4.0	5.91	+47.7%	MORE	LOW	Lorenzo Sonego	clay	—	1.0x
28	Adam Walton🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	19.5	10.24	+47.5%	LESS	LOW	Zachary Svajda	clay	—	0.5x
29	Moise Kouame	Total Games Won	16.5	8.70	+47.2%	LESS	LOW	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	clay	—	0.5x
30	Casper Ruud🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	20.5	10.85	+47.1%	LESS	LOW	Hamad Medjedovic	clay	—	0.5x
31	Stefanos Tsitsipas	Total Games Won	20.5	11.08	+46.0%	LESS	LOW	Matteo Arnaldi	clay	—	0.5x
32	Hubert Hurkacz🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	20.5	11.13	+45.7%	LESS	LOW	Frances Tiafoe	clay	—	0.5x
33	Jaime Faria🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	20.5	11.14	+45.6%	LESS	LOW	Jan-Lennard Struff	clay	—	0.5x
34	Hamad Medjedovic⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	18.5	10.09	+45.5%	LESS	LOW	Casper Ruud	clay	—	0.5x
35	Matteo Berrettini	Total Games Won	20.5	11.26	+45.1%	LESS	LOW	Arthur Rinderknech	clay	—	0.5x
36	Flavio Cobolli🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	20.5	11.26	+45.1%	LESS	LOW	Yibing Wu	clay	—	0.5x
37	Raphael Collignon⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	19.5	10.84	+44.4%	LESS	LOW	Ben Shelton	clay	—	0.5x
38	Yibing Wu🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	17.5	9.74	+44.4%	LESS	LOW	Flavio Cobolli	clay	—	0.5x
39	Jannik Sinner🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	6.5	3.64	+43.9%	LESS	LOW	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	clay	—	1.0x
40	Luca Van Assche	Total Games Won	18.5	10.51	+43.2%	LESS	LOW	Brandon Nakashima	clay	—	0.5x
41	Luciano Darderi🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	20.5	11.72	+42.9%	LESS	LOW	Francisco Comesana	clay	—	0.5x
42	Jesper De Jong	Total Games Won	18.5	10.91	+41.0%	LESS	LOW	Karen Khachanov	clay	—	0.5x
43	Vit Kopriva🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	19.5	11.52	+40.9%	LESS	LOW	Martin Landaluce	clay	—	0.5x
44	Xiyu Wang🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	3.5	4.93	+40.9%	MORE	LOW	Hailey Baptiste	clay	—	1.0x
45	Mirra Andreeva🟨 WARM	Total Games	17.0	23.90	+40.6%	MORE	LOW	Marina Bassols Ribera	clay	—	0.5x
46	Alexander Zverev🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	19.5	11.84	+39.3%	LESS	LOW	Tomas Machac	clay	—	0.5x
47	Francisco Cerundolo🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	6.0	3.67	+38.8%	LESS	LOW	Hugo Gaston	clay	—	1.0x
48	Matteo Berrettini	Total Games	40.5	24.91	+38.5%	LESS	LOW	Arthur Rinderknech	clay	—	0.5x
49	Hubert Hurkacz🟨 WARM	Total Games	40.5	25.12	+38.0%	LESS	LOW	Frances Tiafoe	clay	—	0.5x
50	Tommy Paul🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	19.5	12.11	+37.9%	LESS	LOW	Lorenzo Sonego	clay	—	0.5x
51	Antonia Ruzic🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	6.5	8.94	+37.6%	MORE	LOW	Madison Keys	clay	—	0.5x
52	Lorenzo Sonego🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	13.5	8.44	+37.5%	LESS	LOW	Tommy Paul	clay	—	0.5x
53	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo🟨 WARM	Total Games	35.5	22.26	+37.3%	LESS	LOW	Moise Kouame	clay	—	0.5x
54	Tomas Machac	Total Games Won	14.5	9.10	+37.2%	LESS	LOW	Alexander Zverev	clay	—	0.5x
55	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	19.5	12.31	+36.9%	LESS	LOW	Moise Kouame	clay	—	0.5x
56	Roman Andres Burruchaga🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	18.5	11.68	+36.8%	LESS	LOW	Felix Auger-Aliassime	clay	—	0.5x
57	Aryna Sabalenka🟨 WARM	Total Games	16.5	22.55	+36.6%	MORE	LOW	Elsa Jacquemot	clay	—	0.5x
58	Hubert Hurkacz🟨 WARM	Total Games	39.5	25.12	+36.4%	LESS	LOW	Frances Tiafoe	clay	—	0.5x
59	Stefanos Tsitsipas	Total Games	39.5	25.13	+36.4%	LESS	LOW	Matteo Arnaldi	clay	—	0.5x
60	Ben Shelton🟨 WARM	Total Games	39.5	25.16	+36.3%	LESS	LOW	Raphael Collignon	clay	—	0.5x
61	Ben Shelton🟨 WARM	Total Games	39.0	25.16	+35.5%	LESS	LOW	Raphael Collignon	clay	—	0.5x
62	Adam Walton🧊 COLD	Total Games	38.5	25.04	+35.0%	LESS	LOW	Zachary Svajda	clay	—	0.5x
63	Tomas Machac	Aces	4.5	6.07	+34.8%	MORE	LOW	Alexander Zverev	clay	—	0.5x
64	Jaime Faria🟨 WARM	Total Games	38.5	25.10	+34.8%	LESS	LOW	Jan-Lennard Struff	clay	—	0.5x
65	Luciano Darderi🟨 WARM	Total Games	37.0	24.18	+34.6%	LESS	LOW	Francisco Comesana	clay	—	0.5x
66	Martin Landaluce	Total Games	37.5	24.54	+34.6%	LESS	LOW	Vit Kopriva	clay	—	0.5x
67	Maja Chwalinska⏳ RTRN	Break Points Won	4.0	5.34	+33.6%	MORE	LOW	Elise Mertens	clay	—	1.0x
68	Felix Auger-Aliassime🟨 WARM	Total Games	36.5	24.29	+33.4%	LESS	LOW	Roman Andres Burruchaga	clay	—	0.5x
69	Karen Khachanov🧊 COLD	Total Games	37.5	25.08	+33.1%	LESS	LOW	Jesper De Jong	clay	—	0.5x
70	Brandon Nakashima	Total Games	37.5	25.13	+33.0%	LESS	LOW	Luca Van Assche	clay	—	0.5x
71	Casper Ruud🟨 WARM	Total Games	37.5	25.18	+32.9%	LESS	LOW	Hamad Medjedovic	clay	—	0.5x
72	Hamad Medjedovic⏳ RTRN	Aces	9.5	6.38	+32.8%	LESS	LOW	Casper Ruud	clay	—	0.5x
73	Tommy Paul🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	5.5	3.71	+32.6%	LESS	LOW	Lorenzo Sonego	clay	—	1.0x
74	Flavio Cobolli🟨 WARM	Total Games	37.0	24.97	+32.5%	LESS	LOW	Yibing Wu	clay	—	0.5x
75	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	5.5	3.72	+32.3%	LESS	LOW	Moise Kouame	clay	—	1.0x
76	Karolina Muchova⏳ RTRN	Total Games	18.5	24.44	+32.1%	MORE	LOW	Kamilla Rakhimova	clay	—	0.5x
77	Brandon Nakashima	Total Games	37.0	25.13	+32.1%	LESS	LOW	Luca Van Assche	clay	—	0.5x
78	Learner Tien🧊 COLD	Total Games	35.0	23.90	+31.7%	LESS	LOW	Facundo Diaz Acosta	clay	—	0.5x
79	Flavio Cobolli🟨 WARM	Total Games	36.5	24.97	+31.6%	LESS	LOW	Yibing Wu	clay	—	0.5x
80	Daria Kasatkina🟨 WARM	Total Games	18.5	24.33	+31.5%	MORE	LOW	Susan Bandecchi	clay	—	0.5x
81	Tommy Paul🟨 WARM	Total Games	33.5	23.07	+31.1%	LESS	LOW	Lorenzo Sonego	clay	—	0.5x
82	Tommy Paul🟨 WARM	Total Sets	3.5	2.42	+30.9%	LESS	LOW	Lorenzo Sonego	clay	—	1.0x
83	Alexander Zverev🟨 WARM	Total Sets	3.5	2.43	+30.5%	LESS	LOW	Tomas Machac	clay	—	1.0x
84	Alexander Zverev🟨 WARM	Total Games	34.0	23.78	+30.1%	LESS	LOW	Tomas Machac	clay	—	0.5x
85	Katie Boulter	Break Points Won	3.5	4.51	+29.0%	MORE	LOW	Anastasia Potapova	clay	—	1.0x
86	Facundo Diaz Acosta⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	16.5	11.85	+28.2%	LESS	LOW	Learner Tien	clay	—	0.5x
87	Flavio Cobolli🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	5.0	3.61	+27.9%	LESS	LOW	Yibing Wu	clay	—	1.0x
88	Alina Korneeva🧊 COLD	Break Points Won	3.5	4.46	+27.5%	MORE	LOW	Anna Kalinskaya	clay	—	1.0x
89	Hugo Gaston	Total Games Won	12.5	9.10	+27.2%	LESS	LOW	Francisco Cerundolo	clay	—	0.5x
90	Alexander Zverev🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	5.0	3.67	+26.6%	LESS	LOW	Tomas Machac	clay	—	1.0x
91	Brandon Nakashima	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.37	+25.4%	LESS	LOW	Luca Van Assche	clay	—	1.0x
92	Francisco Cerundolo🟨 WARM	Total Games	31.5	23.78	+24.5%	LESS	LOW	Hugo Gaston	clay	—	0.5x
93	Madison Keys⏳ RTRN	Total Games	19.0	23.63	+24.4%	MORE	LOW	Antonia Ruzic	clay	—	0.5x
94	Katerina Siniakova🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	3.5	4.34	+23.9%	MORE	LOW	Victoria Mboko	clay	—	1.0x
95	Amanda Anisimova⏳ RTRN	Break Points Won	5.5	4.19	+23.8%	LESS	LOW	Julia Grabher	clay	—	1.0x
96	Kimberly Birrell	Break Points Won	4.5	3.48	+22.7%	LESS	LOW	Oleksandra Oliynykova	clay	—	1.0x
97	Diana Shnaider	Total Games	19.5	23.83	+22.2%	MORE	LOW	McCartney Kessler	clay	—	0.5x
98	Sorana Cirstea🟨 WARM	Total Games	20.0	24.44	+22.2%	MORE	LOW	Eva Lys	clay	—	0.5x
99	Stefanos Tsitsipas	Break Points Won	4.5	3.55	+21.2%	LESS	LOW	Matteo Arnaldi	clay	—	1.0x
100	Naomi Osaka🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	4.0	4.85	+21.1%	MORE	LOW	Donna Vekic	clay	—	1.0x
101	Jaime Faria🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	4.5	3.58	+20.4%	LESS	LOW	Jan-Lennard Struff	clay	—	1.0x
102	Tomas Machac	Break Points Won	2.5	3.00	+19.9%	MORE	LOW	Alexander Zverev	clay	—	1.0x
103	Diana Shnaider	Total Games	20.0	23.83	+19.1%	MORE	LOW	McCartney Kessler	clay	—	0.5x
104	Amanda Anisimova⏳ RTRN	Total Games	19.5	23.21	+19.1%	MORE	LOW	Julia Grabher	clay	—	0.5x
105	Diane Parry🧊 COLD	Break Points Won	3.5	4.15	+18.6%	MORE	LOW	Ann Li	clay	—	1.0x
106	Anna Kalinskaya	Total Games	20.5	24.30	+18.5%	MORE	LOW	Alina Korneeva	clay	—	0.5x
107	Kimberly Birrell	Total Games Won	10.5	8.56	+18.4%	LESS	LOW	Oleksandra Oliynykova	clay	—	0.5x
108	Naomi Osaka🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	10.31	+17.6%	LESS	LOW	Donna Vekic	clay	—	1.0x
109	Belinda Bencic🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.0	24.47	+16.6%	MORE	LOW	Peyton Stearns	clay	—	0.5x
110	Ben Shelton🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	4.0	3.34	+16.4%	LESS	LOW	Raphael Collignon	clay	—	1.0x
111	Elise Mertens	Break Points Won	5.0	4.20	+16.1%	LESS	LOW	Maja Chwalinska	clay	—	1.0x
112	Hailey Baptiste🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	10.50	+16.0%	LESS	LOW	Xiyu Wang	clay	—	0.5x
113	Anastasia Potapova🟨 WARM	Total Games	20.5	23.75	+15.9%	MORE	LOW	Katie Boulter	clay	—	0.5x
114	Eva Lys🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	8.5	9.83	+15.6%	MORE	LOW	Sorana Cirstea	clay	—	0.5x
115	Ann Li	Total Games	20.5	23.57	+15.0%	MORE	LOW	Diane Parry	clay	—	0.5x
116	Iva Jovic🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	4.5	5.16	+14.7%	MORE	LOW	Emma Navarro	clay	—	1.0x
117	Diane Parry🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	10.5	8.97	+14.5%	LESS	LOW	Ann Li	clay	—	0.5x
118	Casper Ruud🟨 WARM	Aces	7.5	6.43	+14.3%	LESS	LOW	Hamad Medjedovic	clay	—	1.0x
119	Daria Kasatkina🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	6.0	5.15	+14.2%	LESS	LOW	Susan Bandecchi	clay	—	1.0x
120	Camila Osorio	Total Games	21.5	24.48	+13.9%	MORE	LOW	Yulia Putintseva	clay	—	0.5x
121	Hailey Baptiste🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	24.48	+13.8%	MORE	LOW	Xiyu Wang	clay	—	0.5x
122	Peyton Stearns	Total Games Won	9.5	10.80	+13.7%	MORE	LOW	Belinda Bencic	clay	—	1.0x
123	Maria Sakkari🧊 COLD	Total Games	21.5	24.42	+13.6%	MORE	LOW	Claire Liu	clay	—	0.5x
124	Naomi Osaka🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	24.38	+13.4%	MORE	LOW	Donna Vekic	clay	—	0.5x
125	Katie Boulter	Total Games Won	8.5	9.64	+13.4%	MORE	LOW	Anastasia Potapova	clay	—	0.5x
126	McCartney Kessler⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	8.5	9.57	+12.6%	MORE	LOW	Diana Shnaider	clay	—	0.5x
127	Jasmine Paolini🧊 COLD	Total Games	21.5	24.20	+12.6%	MORE	LOW	Solana Sierra	clay	—	0.5x
128	Maja Chwalinska⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	10.5	11.82	+12.6%	MORE	LOW	Elise Mertens	clay	—	0.5x
129	Jasmine Paolini🧊 COLD	Break Points Won	5.0	4.39	+12.2%	LESS	LOW	Solana Sierra	clay	—	1.0x
130	Juan Manuel Cerundolo🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	8.5	9.48	+11.5%	MORE	LOW	Jannik Sinner	clay	—	0.5x
131	Elise Mertens	Total Games	21.0	23.27	+10.8%	MORE	LOW	Maja Chwalinska	clay	—	0.5x
132	Katerina Siniakova🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	10.5	9.42	+10.3%	LESS	LOW	Victoria Mboko	clay	—	0.5x
133	Claire Liu🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	4.5	4.94	+9.7%	MORE	LOW	Maria Sakkari	clay	—	1.0x
134	Hailey Baptiste🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	4.5	4.93	+9.5%	MORE	LOW	Xiyu Wang	clay	—	1.0x
135	Jannik Sinner🟨 WARM	Total Games	27.0	24.55	+9.1%	LESS	LOW	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	clay	—	0.5x
136	Zachary Svajda🧊 COLD	Break Points Won	3.5	3.19	+8.8%	LESS	LOW	Adam Walton	clay	—	1.0x
137	Oleksandra Oliynykova	Break Points Won	5.0	5.44	+8.7%	MORE	LOW	Kimberly Birrell	clay	—	1.0x
138	Claire Liu🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	11.5	10.52	+8.6%	LESS	LOW	Maria Sakkari	clay	—	0.5x
139	Xiyu Wang🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	11.5	10.53	+8.4%	LESS	LOW	Hailey Baptiste	clay	—	0.5x
140	Elise Mertens	Total Games	21.5	23.27	+8.2%	MORE	LOW	Maja Chwalinska	clay	—	0.5x
141	McCartney Kessler⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	9.0	9.57	+6.3%	MORE	LOW	Diana Shnaider	clay	—	0.5x
142	Maria Sakkari🧊 COLD	Break Points Won	5.0	4.68	+6.3%	LESS	LOW	Claire Liu	clay	—	1.0x
143	Victoria Mboko🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	5.0	5.29	+5.9%	MORE	LOW	Katerina Siniakova	clay	—	1.0x
144	Hamad Medjedovic⏳ RTRN	Break Points Won	3.5	3.33	+5.0%	LESS	LOW	Casper Ruud	clay	—	1.0x
145	Mirra Andreeva🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	5.5	5.23	+4.9%	LESS	LOW	Marina Bassols Ribera	clay	—	1.0x
146	Ann Li	Break Points Won	5.5	5.27	+4.2%	LESS	LOW	Diane Parry	clay	—	1.0x
147	Anastasia Potapova🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	5.0	5.19	+3.9%	MORE	LOW	Katie Boulter	clay	—	1.0x
148	Yulia Putintseva	Break Points Won	5.0	4.82	+3.5%	LESS	LOW	Camila Osorio	clay	—	1.0x
149	Solana Sierra🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	11.5	11.12	+3.3%	LESS	LOW	Jasmine Paolini	clay	—	0.5x
150	Emma Navarro⏳ RTRN	Break Points Won	4.5	4.64	+3.1%	MORE	LOW	Iva Jovic	clay	—	1.0x
151	Anna Kalinskaya	Break Points Won	5.0	5.15	+2.9%	MORE	LOW	Alina Korneeva	clay	—	1.0x
152	Hubert Hurkacz🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	3.5	3.58	+2.4%	MORE	LOW	Frances Tiafoe	clay	—	1.0x
153	Karolina Muchova⏳ RTRN	Break Points Won	5.0	5.09	+1.7%	MORE	LOW	Kamilla Rakhimova	clay	—	1.0x
154	Lorenzo Sonego🧊 COLD	Aces	5.5	5.59	+1.6%	MORE	LOW	Tommy Paul	clay	—	1.0x
155	Oleksandra Oliynykova	Total Games	20.5	20.82	+1.6%	MORE	LOW	Kimberly Birrell	clay	—	0.5x
156	Donna Vekic🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	10.5	10.65	+1.5%	MORE	LOW	Naomi Osaka	clay	—	0.5x
157	Camila Osorio	Break Points Won	5.0	5.03	+0.7%	MORE	LOW	Yulia Putintseva	clay	—	1.0x
158	Alina Korneeva🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	9.5	9.53	+0.3%	MORE	LOW	Anna Kalinskaya	clay	—	0.5x
159	Sorana Cirstea🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	5.0	5.01	+0.2%	MORE	LOW	Eva Lys	clay	—	1.0x

Kalshi tennis — 2 picks · $4.00 staked

Day 1 - paper only, grade EOD before scaling · locked 2026-05-27T13:10:18.542555+00:00

#	Match	Pick	Our P	Ask	Edge	Tier	Surface	Stake	Status	P&L
1	Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wu	Yibing Wu	53.7%	28¢	25.7pp	ELITE	hard	$2.00	OPEN	+0.00
2	Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wang	Xiyu Wang	56.1%	34¢	22.1pp	ELITE	hard	$2.00	OPEN	+0.00

PrizePicks tennis — 1 picks · $1.00 staked

Day 1 - paper only, grade EOD before scaling · locked 2026-05-27T13:10:18.487908+00:00

#	Player	Stat	Line	Our proj	Side	Edge	Tier	Surface	Stake	Status	P&L
1	Xiyu Wang	Total Games Won	11.5	10.53	LESS	8.4%	MED	clay	$1.00	OPEN	+0.00

Polymarket = retail/crypto sentiment. We can't bet there from CA, but the divergence vs Kalshi (sharp) reveals where the public is loading up. Generated 2026-05-27T09:12:17 · flagged threshold = ±3.0pp · 3 flagged futures / 0 flagged matches.

Grand-slam futures · ANY 2026 Slam (Kalshi KXATPGRANDSLAM vs Polymarket per-slam aggregate)

Polymarket "any-slam" probability computed naively as 1 - product(1 - p_slam). Positive divergence = public (Polymarket) more bullish than sharp (Kalshi). Sorted by |divergence|.

Player	Sharp (Kalshi)	Public (Poly)	Δ	Poly per-slam
Jannik Sinner · exact	90.0%	95.7%	+5.7pp · PUBLIC HIGHER	Fre 74%, Wim 65%, US 54%
Ben Shelton · exact	11.0%	5.8%	-5.2pp · SHARP HIGHER	Fre 1%, Wim 3%, US 2%
Daniil Medvedev · exact	10.0%	5.4%	-4.6pp · SHARP HIGHER	Wim 2%, US 4%
Novak Djokovic · exact	15.5%	18.0%	+2.5pp · PUBLIC HIGHER	Fre 5%, Wim 10%, US 4%
Karen Khachanov · exact	3.0%	0.8%	-2.2pp · SHARP HIGHER	Fre 0%, Wim 1%
Alexander Bublik · exact	3.0%	1.0%	-2.0pp · SHARP HIGHER	Wim 0%, US 1%
Lorenzo Musetti · exact	4.0%	2.1%	-1.9pp · SHARP HIGHER	Wim 1%, US 1%
Felix Auger-Aliassime · exact	2.5%	0.6%	-1.9pp · SHARP HIGHER	Wim 1%
Casper Ruud · exact	4.0%	2.5%	-1.5pp · SHARP HIGHER	Fre 2%, Wim 0%
Jack Draper · exact	6.0%	4.8%	-1.2pp · SHARP HIGHER	Wim 3%, US 2%
Alexander Zverev · exact	15.0%	14.3%	-0.7pp · SHARP HIGHER	Fre 7%, Wim 4%, US 3%
Frances Tiafoe · exact	0.5%	1.0%	+0.5pp · PUBLIC HIGHER	Fre 0%, Wim 0%, US 1%
Alex de Minaur · exact	2.0%	1.6%	-0.4pp · SHARP HIGHER	Fre 1%, Wim 1%
Taylor Fritz · exact	4.5%	4.2%	-0.3pp · SHARP HIGHER	Wim 3%, US 1%

Per-match overlaps

No active per-match overlaps right now (Polymarket tennis volume concentrates in Grand Slam futures).

Per-stat-type MAE (n_graded=18)

Bar width = MAE (lower = better). "INSUFFICIENT" = need more graded picks.

Total Games

n=4

Ours

Us 6.45
PP 3.25
INSUFFICIENT_N

Total Games Won

n=13

Ours

Us 5.11
PP 4.96
NULL

Total Tie Breaks

n=1

Ours

Us 0.25
PP 0.50
INSUFFICIENT_N

Per-tier MAE

Bar width = MAE (lower = better). "INSUFFICIENT" = need more graded picks.

ELITE

n=16

Ours

Us 4.94
PP 3.75
NULL

MED

n=0

Ours

Us —
PP —
INSUFFICIENT_N

STRONG

n=2

Ours

Us 6.75
PP 9.00
INSUFFICIENT_N

[!]

No AAR available yet.
Expected: ~/.claude/projects/.../memory/aar_tennis_<date>.md

#	Player	Stat	Opp	Open	Latest	Diff	Abs	Direction
1	Stefanos Tsitsipas	Total Games	Matteo Arnaldi	38.5	39.5	+1.00	1.00	UP
2	Maja Chwalinska	Total Games Won	Elise Mertens	11.5	10.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
3	Tommy Paul	Aces	Lorenzo Sonego	4.5	4.0	-0.50	0.50	DOWN

ATP top 50

Rk	Player	Country	Pts	ELO overall	ELO clay	ELO grass	ELO hard
1	Jannik Sinner	ITA	14750	2175	1857	1695	2062
2	Carlos Alcaraz	ESP	11960	2070	1867	1717	1956
3	Alexander Zverev	GER	5705	1961	1816	1594	1863
4	Novak Djokovic	SRB	4460	1955	1738	1636	1846
5	Ben Shelton	USA	4070	1848	1683	1561	1765
6	Felix Auger Aliassime	CAN	4050	1864	1605	1517	1803
7	Alex De Minaur	AUS	3855	1847	1652	1590	1806
8	Daniil Medvedev	RUS	3760	1878	1641	1585	1845
9	Taylor Fritz	USA	3720	1826	1581	1722	1749
10	Alexander Bublik	KAZ	3320	1803	1724	1569	1703
11	Lorenzo Musetti	ITA	3115	1828	1756	1607	1723
12	Jiri Lehecka	CZE	2665	1837	1647	1574	1754
13	Andrey Rublev	RUS	2460	1762	1658	1516	1683
14	Flavio Cobolli	ITA	2340	1796	1720	1557	1655
15	Karen Khachanov	RUS	2320	1691	1586	1567	1639
16	Casper Ruud	NOR	2275	1792	1744	1502	1685
17	Luciano Darderi	ITA	2260	1714	1767	1466	1466
18	Learner Tien	USA	2180	1800	1466	1506	1789
19	Valentin Vacherot	MON	2103	1810	1702	1467	1738
20	Arthur Fils	FRA	2040	1912	1762	1546	1771
21	Tommy Paul	USA	1945	1842	1748	1587	1743
22	Frances Tiafoe	USA	1905	1771	1604	1488	1719
23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	ESP	1860	1756	1572	1545	1703
24	Cameron Norrie	GBR	1785	1776	1658	1529	1682
25	Arthur Rinderknech	FRA	1736	1713	1566	1530	1631
26	Francisco Cerundolo	ARG	1570	1801	1726	1426	1698
27	Jakub Mensik	CZE	1550	1795	1589	1497	1747
28	Tomas Martin Etcheverry	ARG	1510	1785	1693	1456	1636
29	Rafael Jodar	ESP	1461	1874	1714	—	1765
30	Joao Fonseca	BRA	1435	1818	1638	1495	1795
31	Ignacio Buse	PER	1412	1709	1693	1482	1562
32	Ugo Humbert	FRA	1370	1712	1451	1517	1697
33	Tallon Griekspoor	NED	1340	1681	1575	1564	1645
34	Corentin Moutet	FRA	1323	1706	1600	1574	1640
35	Brandon Nakashima	USA	1295	1706	1570	1590	1660
36	Alejandro Tabilo	CHI	1278	1786	1696	1575	1637
37	Alexander Blockx	BEL	1238	1820	1689	1508	1713
38	Mariano Navone	ARG	1215	1718	1716	1460	1507
39	Denis Shapovalov	CAN	1170	1690	1498	1472	1698
40	Zizou Bergs	BEL	1150	1705	1570	1521	1631
41	Jaume Munar	ESP	1145	1695	1563	1508	1635
42	Alex Michelsen	USA	1115	1715	1488	1538	1702
43	Tomas Machac	CZE	1080	1737	1592	1500	1682
44	Holger Rune	DEN	1060	1744	1663	1515	1710
45	Adrian Mannarino	FRA	1037	1589	1390	1584	1569
46	Marin Cilic	CRO	1010	1710	1539	1611	1635
47	Sebastian Korda	USA	1000	1806	1537	1556	1757
48	Miomir Kecmanovic	SRB	980	1607	1483	1500	1595
49	Gabriel Diallo	CAN	975	1651	1554	1576	1615
50	Ethan Quinn	USA	974	1731	1594	1509	1683

WTA top 50

Rk	Player	Country	Pts	ELO overall	ELO clay	ELO grass	ELO hard
1	Aryna Sabalenka	BLR	9960	2115	1808	1588	2045
2	Elena Rybakina	KAZ	8313	2063	1760	1580	1972
3	Iga Swiatek	POL	7273	1924	1780	1658	1852
4	Coco Gauff	USA	6749	1957	1787	1519	1871
5	Jessica Pegula	USA	6286	1997	1701	1583	1901
6	Amanda Anisimova	USA	5958	1916	1561	1638	1822
7	Elina Svitolina	UKR	4315	1922	1727	1550	1824
8	Mirra Andreeva	RUS	4181	1932	1800	1513	1797
9	Victoria Mboko	CAN	3710	1936	1704	1515	1891
10	Karolina Muchova	CZE	3318	1951	1597	1494	1869
11	Belinda Bencic	SUI	3145	1898	1584	1561	1831
12	Linda Noskova	CZE	3054	1881	1589	1583	1763
13	Jasmine Paolini	ITA	2787	1815	1707	1585	1741
14	Ekaterina Alexandrova	RUS	2679	1747	1593	1584	1662
15	Marta Kostyuk	UKR	2387	1924	1757	1449	1755
16	Naomi Osaka	JPN	2341	1819	1628	1514	1734
17	Iva Jovic	USA	2306	1829	1663	1601	1759
18	Sorana Cirstea	ROU	1985	1866	1612	1429	1797
19	Madison Keys	USA	1962	1836	1706	1558	1766
20	Clara Tauson	DEN	1920	1746	1560	1520	1679
21	Elise Mertens	BEL	1858	1802	1580	1581	1714
22	Leylah Fernandez	CAN	1844	1790	1590	1546	1679
23	Diana Shnaider	RUS	1796	1782	1647	1565	1686
24	Anna Kalinskaya	RUS	1792	1784	1538	1546	1721
25	Emma Navarro	USA	1719	1680	1578	1590	1613
26	Hailey Baptiste	USA	1683	1785	1662	1488	1667
27	Liudmila Samsonova	RUS	1635	1697	1604	1619	1566
28	Marie Bouzkova	CZE	1631	1773	1699	1476	1648
29	Ann Li	USA	1601	1745	1638	1478	1647
30	Anastasia Potapova	RUS	1470	1787	1690	1484	1640
31	Jelena Ostapenko	LAT	1464	1723	1632	1534	1621
32	Jaqueline Cristian	ROU	1414	1770	1635	1432	1698
33	Cristina Bucsa	ESP	1406	1738	1475	1514	1684
34	Xin Yu Wang	CHN	1371	1735	1546	1591	1616
35	Sara Bejlek	CZE	1369	1832	1797	1486	1653
36	Katerina Siniakova	CZE	1362	1777	1549	1578	1693
37	Alexandra Eala	PHI	1340	1786	1478	1600	1748
38	Elisabetta Cocciaretto	ITA	1320	1800	1584	1577	1689
39	Emma Raducanu	GBR	1301	1753	1570	1577	1658
40	Janice Tjen	INA	1292	1817	1662	—	1785
41	Barbora Krejcikova	CZE	1271	1715	1480	1606	1647
42	Tereza Valentova	CZE	1265	1845	1746	1517	1788
43	Lois Boisson	FRA	1264	1791	1811	1483	1554
44	Marketa Vondrousova	CZE	1263	1728	1606	1578	1609
45	Dayana Yastremska	UKR	1246	1695	1588	1575	1594
46	Magdalena Frech	POL	1238	1649	1534	1434	1613
47	Laura Siegemund	GER	1230	1680	1535	1541	1592
48	Mccartney Kessler	USA	1229	1754	1516	1583	1688
49	Maria Sakkari	GRE	1208	1707	1563	1486	1658
50	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	ESP	1200	1658	1643	1524	1578

Source	DB / file	Last pulled	Age	Rows	Status
Kalshi KXATPMATCH	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T16:09:57.336605+00:00	2m	1810	fresh
Kalshi KXWTAMATCH	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T16:09:57.336605+00:00	2m	1672	fresh
Kalshi KXFRENCHOPEN	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T16:09:57.336605+00:00	2m	0	fresh
Kalshi KXFOPENMENSINGLE	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T16:09:57.336605+00:00	2m	0	fresh
Kalshi KXATPGRANDSLAM	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T16:09:57.336605+00:00	2m	14	fresh
Kalshi KXUSOPEN	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T16:09:57.336605+00:00	2m	0	fresh
Kalshi KXATPSETWINNER	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T16:09:57.336605+00:00	2m	3706	fresh
Kalshi KXATPTOTALSETS	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T16:09:57.336605+00:00	2m	0	fresh
Kalshi KXATPSETSWEEP	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T16:09:57.336605+00:00	2m	1	fresh
Kalshi KXATPGAMESPREAD	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T16:09:57.336605+00:00	2m	0	fresh
Kalshi KXATPEXACTMATCH	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T16:09:57.336605+00:00	2m	1684	fresh
Kalshi KXWTADOUBLES	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T16:09:57.336605+00:00	2m	80	fresh
Kalshi KXATP1RANK	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-27T16:09:57.336605+00:00	2m	16	fresh
elo last computed	tennis.sqlite	2026-05-27T13:08:06+00:00	3.07h	20051	aging
rankings last pulled	tennis.sqlite	2026-05-27T13:08:10+00:00	3.07h	7538	aging
rankings atp latest date	tennis.sqlite	2026-05-25	64.21h	—	stale
rankings wta latest date	tennis.sqlite	2026-05-25	64.21h	—	stale
mirror atp schedule	tennis.sqlite	2026-05-27T16:11:34.022267+00:00	0m	114	fresh
h2h last computed	tennis.sqlite	2026-05-17T10:11:57.514615+00:00	246.01h	—	stale
h2h n pairs	tennis.sqlite	190184	missing	—	missing
last player db run	tennis.sqlite	1779887404	missing	—	missing
results last_run	tennis_results.sqlite	[2026-05-27T13:09:49.891200+00:00] 2026-05-27T13:09:47.981080+00:00; dates=['20260526']; rows=698; resolved=670	missing	—	missing
pp_edges CSV	pp_edges_tennis_2026-05-27.csv	2026-05-27T16:12:16.982946+00:00	0m	—	fresh
kalshi edges JSON	tennis_kalshi_edges_2026-05-27.json	2026-05-27T16:12:12.382849+00:00	0m	—	fresh
paper trades PP	paper_trades_pp_tennis_2026-05-27.json	2026-05-27T13:10:18.989497+00:00	3.03h	—	aging
paper trades Kalshi	paper_trades_kalshi_tennis_2026-05-27.json	2026-05-27T15:18:26.518824+00:00	54m	—	fresh
daily payload	daily_tennis_2026-05-27.json	2026-05-27T16:11:54.103785+00:00	0m	—	fresh
PP movement	pp_line_movement_tennis_2026-05-27.csv	2026-05-27T16:11:49.047059+00:00	0m	—	fresh
PP calibration	pp_calibration_tennis.json	2026-05-27T13:10:19.577190+00:00	3.03h	—	aging