T
Tennis EdgeBoard
ATP + WTA daily edges - Kalshi + PrizePicks - auto-refresh 2m
💰Money📊AccuracyMLBEdgeBoardWCEdgeBoard🎾TennisDAY-2 RESET🏈NFL
Generated
2026-05-25 17:40 UTC
Sources
29
⚠
Day-2 calibration reset

Real-money probe lost 0/4 (-$10.00) on 5/17. Sim was wildly over-confident on qualifying-round picks — 8/8 qualifying edges lost despite avg +35pp model edge.

Qualifying filter now active. Real money gate-locked until 5/30 ($50 paper P&L + MAE <3pp + n≥50 graded). See Calibration & Lessons tab for the full Day-2 AAR.

Kalshi KXATPMATCH 2m · 1846rKalshi KXWTAMATCH 2m · 1718rKalshi KXFRENCHOPEN 2mKalshi KXFOPENMENSINGLE 2mKalshi KXATPGRANDSLAM 2m · 14rKalshi KXUSOPEN 2mKalshi KXATPSETWINNER 2m · 3668rKalshi KXATPTOTALSETS 2mKalshi KXATPSETSWEEP 2mKalshi KXATPGAMESPREAD 2mKalshi KXATPEXACTMATCH 2m · 1570rKalshi KXWTADOUBLES 2mKalshi KXATP1RANK 2m · 16relo last computed 2m · 20051rrankings last pulled 2m · 7538rrankings atp latest date 17.7hrankings wta latest date 17.7hmirror atp schedule 0m · 190rh2h last computed 8dh2h n pairs missinglast player db run missingresults last_run missingpp_edges CSV 0mkalshi edges JSON 0mpaper trades PP 0mpaper trades Kalshi 0mdaily payload 0mPP movement 0mPP calibration 0m
Matches today
30
scheduled
ELITE edges
1
across Kalshi + PP
STRONG edges
0
tier 2
MED edges
0
tier 3
Paper locks
10
Kalshi + PP
Real Money YTD
-$10.00
paper-gate restored
Qualifying skipped
0
filtered out today
Last refresh
17:40
2026-05-25 UTC
🏆 Best Bet (main-draw)
No main-draw Kalshi pick survived qualifying filter today.
🎯 Safest (P ≥ 65%)
Anhelina Kalinina
Diane Parry vs Anhelina Kalinina · Round 1 clay · LOW
71%
Heavy main-draw favorite · SKIP
Edge -0.3pp
Ask 71¢
💎 Biggest Payout (ELITE)
No ELITE main-draw longshot today.
#MatchTournamentRoundSurfaceStartELO AELO BELO diffKalshi event
1Ignacio Buse vs Andrey RublevRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 14:2016931658+34KXATPMATCH-26MAY24BUSRUB
2Ignacio Buse vs Andrey RublevRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 14:2016931658+34KXATPMATCH-26MAY24BUSRUB
3Casper Ruud vs Roman SafiullinRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 14:5517441709+35KXATPMATCH-26MAY25RUUSAF
4Casper Ruud vs Roman SafiullinRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 14:5517441709+35KXATPMATCH-26MAY25RUUSAF
5Francisco Cerundolo vs Botic Van De ZandschulpRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 15:2017261633+92KXATPMATCH-26MAY25CERVAN
6Flavio Cobolli vs Andrea PellegrinoRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 15:2017201623+97KXATPMATCH-26MAY24COBPEL
7Francisco Cerundolo vs Botic Van De ZandschulpRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 15:2017261633+92KXATPMATCH-26MAY25CERVAN
8Flavio Cobolli vs Andrea PellegrinoRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 15:2017201623+97KXATPMATCH-26MAY24COBPEL
9Kamilla Rakhimova vs Jaqueline CristianRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 15:4015511635-84KXWTAMATCH-26MAY25RAKCRI
10Kamilla Rakhimova vs Jaqueline CristianRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 15:4015511635-84KXWTAMATCH-26MAY25RAKCRI
11? vs Marcos GironRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 16:05—1464—
12? vs Marcos GironRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 16:05—1464—
13Jelena Ostapenko vs Ella SeidelRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 16:1016321572+61KXWTAMATCH-26MAY25OSTSEI
14Jelena Ostapenko vs Ella SeidelRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 16:1016321572+61KXWTAMATCH-26MAY25OSTSEI
15? vs Ben SheltonRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 16:30—1683—KXATPMATCH-26MAY25MERSHE
16? vs Ben SheltonRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 16:30—1683—KXATPMATCH-26MAY25MERSHE
17Akasha Urhobo vs Katie BoulterRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 16:5018291573+256KXWTAMATCH-26MAY24URHBOU
18Akasha Urhobo vs Katie BoulterRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 16:5018291573+256KXWTAMATCH-26MAY24URHBOU
19Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 17:4016181593+26KXWTAMATCH-26MAY24OSOALE
20Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 17:4016181593+26KXWTAMATCH-26MAY24OSOALE
21? vs Mccartney KesslerRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 17:45—1516—
22Alycia Parks vs Leylah FernandezRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 17:4515431590-48KXWTAMATCH-26MAY25PARFER
23? vs Mccartney KesslerRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 17:45—1516—
24Alycia Parks vs Leylah FernandezRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 17:4515431590-48KXWTAMATCH-26MAY25PARFER
25Anastasia Zakharova vs Karolina MuchovaRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 17:5015031597-94KXWTAMATCH-26MAY25ZAKMUC
26Diana Shnaider vs Renata ZarazuaRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 17:5016471657-10KXWTAMATCH-26MAY24SHNZAR
27Anastasia Zakharova vs Karolina MuchovaRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 17:5015031597-94KXWTAMATCH-26MAY25ZAKMUC
28Diana Shnaider vs Renata ZarazuaRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 17:5016471657-10KXWTAMATCH-26MAY24SHNZAR
29Hugo Gaston vs Gael MonfilsRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 18:1515011494+7KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY25GASMON-1
30Hugo Gaston vs Gael MonfilsRoland GarrosRound 1clayMay 25 18:1515011494+7KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY25GASMON-1
#MatchOur pickOur PMkt PAskEdgeTierDecisionVol 24hSurfaceRoundEV/$
1Katie Boulter vs Akasha UrhoboAkasha Urhobo67.2%13.0%13¢+54.2ppLOWPAPER93151clayRound 1+0.542
2Ben Shelton vs Daniel MeridaDaniel Merida50.4%3.0%3¢+47.4ppLOWSKIP839053clayRound 1+0.474
3Iga Swiatek vs Sara BejlekSara Bejlek51.3%7.0%7¢+44.3ppLOWPAPER855clayRound 2+0.443
4Karen Khachanov vs Marco TrungellitiMarco Trungelliti63.5%23.0%23¢+40.5ppLOWPAPER50728clayRound 2+0.405
5Casper Ruud vs Roman SafiullinRoman Safiullin47.4%7.0%7¢+40.4ppLOWPAPER686154clayRound 1+0.404
6Donna Vekic vs Alice TubelloAlice Tubello63.7%26.0%26¢+37.7ppLOWPAPER124clayRound 1+0.377
7Rafael Jodar vs James DuckworthJames Duckworth44.5%8.0%8¢+36.5ppLOWPAPER89clayRound 2+0.365
8Diana Shnaider vs Renata ZarazuaRenata Zarazua50.6%15.0%15¢+35.6ppLOWPAPER17899clayRound 1+0.356
9Marcos Giron vs Yibing WuMarcos Giron44.6%9.0%9¢+35.6ppLOWPAPER722032hardRound Of 128+0.356
10Marina Bassols Ribera vs Mirra AndreevaMarina Bassols Ribera40.6%6.0%6¢+34.6ppLOWPAPER14095clayRound 2+0.346
11Katerina Siniakova vs Simona WaltertSimona Waltert67.0%33.0%33¢+34.0ppLOWPAPER1034clayRound 1+0.340
12Novak Djokovic vs Valentin RoyerValentin Royer45.9%12.0%12¢+33.9ppLOWPAPER3753clayRound 2+0.339
13Elina Svitolina vs Kaitlin QuevedoElina Svitolina55.6%89.0%89¢-33.4ppLOWPAPER331clayRound 2-0.334
14Luciano Darderi vs Sebastian OfnerSebastian Ofner60.1%27.0%27¢+33.1ppLOWPAPER6988hardRound Of 128+0.331
15Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroJessica Bouzas Maneiro38.0%5.0%5¢+33.0ppLOWPAPER39675clayRound 1+0.330
16Caty McNally vs Belinda BencicCaty McNally59.0%26.0%26¢+33.0ppLOWPAPER2688clayRound 2+0.330
17Daria Kasatkina vs Susan BandecchiSusan Bandecchi44.8%13.0%13¢+31.8ppLOWPAPER42clayRound 2+0.318
18Elise Mertens vs Maja ChwalinskaMaja Chwalinska63.7%32.0%32¢+31.7ppLOWPAPER5clayRound 2+0.317
19Francesca Jones vs Marie BouzkovaFrancesca Jones55.2%24.0%24¢+31.2ppLOWPAPER73clayRound 2+0.312
20Jacob Fearnley vs Juan Manuel CerundoloJacob Fearnley54.1%23.0%23¢+31.1ppLOWPAPER2877hardRound Of 128+0.311
21Pablo Carreno Busta vs Thanasi KokkinakisPablo Carreno Busta52.0%83.0%83¢-31.0ppLOWPAPER0hardRound Of 64-0.310
22Kamil Majchrzak vs Alejandro TabiloKamil Majchrzak50.6%21.0%21¢+29.6ppLOWPAPER2604hardRound Of 128+0.296
23Adam Walton vs Daniil MedvedevAdam Walton35.3%6.0%6¢+29.3ppLOWPAPER17201hardRound Of 128+0.293
24Hanne Vandewinkel vs Madison KeysHanne Vandewinkel41.9%13.0%13¢+28.9ppLOWPAPER524clayRound 1+0.288
25Ann Li vs Shuai ZhangShuai Zhang58.7%30.0%30¢+28.7ppLOWPAPER73hardRound Of 128+0.287
26Kimberly Birrell vs Jessica PegulaKimberly Birrell33.3%5.0%5¢+28.3ppLOWPAPER2146clayRound 1+0.283
27Ella Seidel vs Jelena OstapenkoElla Seidel41.5%14.0%14¢+27.5ppLOWPAPER189641clayRound 1+0.275
28Zachary Svajda vs Alexei PopyrinZachary Svajda38.5%12.0%12¢+26.5ppLOWPAPER4070clayRound 1+0.265
29Elena Rybakina vs Yuliia StarodubtsevaYuliia Starodubtseva39.3%13.0%13¢+26.3ppLOWPAPER88clayRound 2+0.263
30Katie Volynets vs Marta KostyukKatie Volynets42.2%16.0%16¢+26.2ppLOWPAPER4249clayRound 2+0.262
31Karolina Muchova vs Anastasia ZakharovaAnastasia Zakharova39.4%14.0%14¢+25.4ppLOWPAPER15813clayRound 1+0.254
32Emma Navarro vs Janice TjenJanice Tjen52.2%27.0%27¢+25.2ppLOWPAPER415clayRound 1+0.252
33Nishesh Basavareddy vs Alex MichelsenNishesh Basavareddy61.0%36.0%36¢+25.0ppLOWPAPER2297clayRound 2+0.250
34Victoria Mboko vs Nikola BartunkovaNikola Bartunkova50.5%26.0%26¢+24.5ppLOWPAPER4320clayRound 1+0.245
35Lois Boisson vs Anna KalinskayaLois Boisson62.4%38.0%38¢+24.4ppLOWPAPER206clayRound 1+0.244
36Francisco Cerundolo vs Botic Van de ZandschulpBotic Van de Zandschulp30.3%6.0%6¢+24.3ppLOWPAPER405317clayRound 1+0.243
37Jasmine Paolini vs Solana SierraSolana Sierra60.3%37.0%37¢+23.3ppLOWPAPER98clayRound 2+0.233
38McCartney Kessler vs Hanyu GuoHanyu Guo50.8%28.0%28¢+22.8ppLOWPAPER48548hardRound Of 128+0.228
39Thomas Faurel vs Valentin VacherotThomas Faurel36.3%14.0%14¢+22.3ppLOWPAPER1407clayRound 1+0.223
40Amanda Anisimova vs Julia GrabherJulia Grabher64.2%86.0%86¢-21.8ppLOWPAPER0clayRound 2-0.218
41Alexandre Muller vs Stefanos TsitsipasAlexandre Muller38.7%17.0%17¢+21.7ppLOWPAPER14866hardRound Of 128+0.217
42Xiyu Wang vs Hailey BaptisteXiyu Wang56.4%35.0%35¢+21.4ppLOWPAPER793hardRound Of 64+0.214
43Brandon Nakashima vs Luca Van AsscheLuca Van Assche53.4%33.0%33¢+20.4ppLOWPAPER258hardRound Of 64+0.204
44Eva Lys vs Sorana CirsteaEva Lys44.3%24.0%24¢+20.3ppLOWPAPER439clayRound 2+0.203
45Alycia Parks vs Leylah FernandezAlycia Parks46.1%26.0%26¢+20.1ppLOWPAPER82798clayRound 1+0.201
46Alexander Zverev vs Tomas MachacTomas Machac34.8%15.0%15¢+19.8ppLOWPAPER9699hardRound Of 64+0.198
47Ethan Quinn vs Francisco ComesanaEthan Quinn62.7%43.0%43¢+19.7ppLOWPAPER3211hardRound Of 128+0.197
48Andrey Rublev vs Ignacio BuseIgnacio Buse52.7%34.0%34¢+18.7ppLOWPAPER2777958clayRound 1+0.187
49Zhizhen Zhang vs Facundo Diaz AcostaZhizhen Zhang51.1%33.0%33¢+18.1ppLOWPAPER551hardRound Of 128+0.181
50Vit Kopriva vs Corentin MoutetVit Kopriva56.7%39.0%39¢+17.7ppLOWPAPER1929clayRound 1+0.177
51Naomi Osaka vs Laura SiegemundLaura Siegemund42.7%25.0%25¢+17.7ppLOWPAPER1209clayRound 1+0.177
52Sebastian Baez vs Roman Andres BurruchagaRoman Andres Burruchaga62.4%45.0%45¢+17.4ppLOWPAPER3757clayRound 1+0.174
53Claire Liu vs Moyuka UchijimaMoyuka Uchijima62.9%46.0%46¢+16.9ppLOWPAPER882clayRound 1+0.169
54Coco Gauff vs Taylor TownsendTaylor Townsend29.8%13.0%13¢+16.8ppLOWPAPER890clayRound 1+0.168
55Marin Cilic vs Moise KouameMoise Kouame41.4%25.0%25¢+16.4ppLOWPAPER21731clayRound 1+0.164
56Ugo Humbert vs Quentin HalysQuentin Halys56.1%41.0%41¢+15.1ppLOWPAPER2clayRound 2+0.151
57Linda Noskova vs Maria SakkariMaria Sakkari44.0%31.0%31¢+12.9ppLOWPAPER8296clayRound 1+0.130
58Matteo Arnaldi vs Tallon GriekspoorTallon Griekspoor58.9%46.0%46¢+12.9ppLOWPAPER2886hardRound Of 128+0.129
59Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard StruffJan-Lennard Struff36.4%24.0%24¢+12.4ppLOWPAPER3387hardRound Of 128+0.124
60Kamilla Rakhimova vs Jaqueline CristianKamilla Rakhimova40.1%28.0%28¢+12.1ppLOWPAPER508169clayRound 1+0.121
61Denis Shapovalov vs Jaime FariaDenis Shapovalov53.4%42.0%42¢+11.4ppLOWPAPER1114hardRound Of 128+0.115
62Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances TiafoeFrances Tiafoe62.9%74.0%74¢-11.1ppLOWPAPER0hardRound Of 64-0.111
63Jakub Mensik vs Mariano NavoneMariano Navone59.1%48.0%48¢+11.1ppLOWPAPER0clayRound 2+0.111
64Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena FrechJil Teichmann54.1%44.0%44¢+10.1ppLOWPAPER3clayRound 2+0.101
65Antonia Ruzic vs Ashlyn KruegerAntonia Ruzic49.1%39.0%39¢+10.1ppLOWPAPER322clayRound 1+0.101
66Miomir Kecmanovic vs Nuno BorgesNuno Borges46.2%37.0%37¢+9.2ppLOWPAPER11538hardRound Of 64+0.092
67Gael Monfils vs Hugo GastonHugo Gaston55.2%46.0%46¢+9.2ppLOWPAPER103275hardRound Of 128+0.092
68Peyton Stearns vs Daria SnigurDaria Snigur43.9%35.0%35¢+8.8ppLOWPAPER2769clayRound 2+0.089
69Alex de Minaur vs Alexander BlockxAlexander Blockx47.6%39.0%39¢+8.6ppLOWPAPER133hardRound Of 64+0.086
70Learner Tien vs Cristian GarinLearner Tien69.8%62.0%62¢+7.8ppLOWPAPER57739hardRound Of 128+0.078
71Martin Landaluce vs Juan Carlos Prado AngeloJuan Carlos Prado Angelo35.6%28.0%28¢+7.6ppLOWPAPER6110hardRound Of 128+0.076
72Dino Prizmic vs Joao FonsecaJoao Fonseca58.3%53.0%53¢+5.3ppLOWPAPER10094hardRound Of 64+0.053
73Cameron Norrie vs Adolfo Daniel VallejoAdolfo Daniel Vallejo58.2%53.0%53¢+5.2ppLOWPAPER5423clayRound 1+0.052
74Alexandra Eala vs Iva JovicAlexandra Eala36.0%31.0%31¢+5.0ppLOWPAPER5661clayRound 1+0.050
75Elena Pridankina vs Oleksandra OliynykovaElena Pridankina40.8%36.0%36¢+4.8ppLOWPAPER386clayRound 1+0.048
76Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu WangXinyu Wang57.8%53.0%53¢+4.8ppLOWPAPER1162hardRound Of 64+0.048
77Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel AltmaierDaniel Altmaier29.1%25.0%25¢+4.2ppLOWPAPER4988hardRound Of 128+0.041
78Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin TiranteThiago Agustin Tirante59.1%55.0%55¢+4.1ppLOWPAPER5315clayRound 2+0.041
79Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Alina KorneevaAlina Korneeva37.2%34.0%34¢+3.2ppLOWPAPER224clayRound 1+0.032
80Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaEkaterina Alexandrova48.1%45.0%45¢+3.1ppLOWSKIP32249clayRound 1+0.031
81Elsa Jacquemot vs Linda FruhvirtovaElsa Jacquemot57.2%55.0%55¢+2.2ppLOWPAPER776clayRound 1+0.022
82Federico Cina vs Jesper De JongFederico Cina57.1%55.0%55¢+2.1ppLOWPAPER36hardRound Of 64+0.021
83Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo BerrettiniMatteo Berrettini55.1%54.0%54¢+1.1ppLOWSKIP634hardRound Of 64+0.011
84Diane Parry vs Anhelina KalininaAnhelina Kalinina70.7%71.0%71¢-0.3ppLOWSKIP4304clayRound 1-0.003
#PlayerStatPP lineOur projEdge %SideTierOppSurfaceDemonPayout
1Kimberly BirrellTotal Games Won5.09.00+80.0%MORELOWJessica Pegulaclay—0.5x
2Alexander Zverev🟨 WARMTotal Tie Breaks0.50.12+75.7%LESSLOWTomas Machacclay—1.0x
3Learner Tien🧊 COLDTotal Tie Breaks0.50.12+75.6%LESSLOWCristian Garinclay—1.0x
4Luciano Darderi🟨 WARMTotal Tie Breaks0.50.12+75.3%LESSLOWSebastian Ofnerclay—1.0x
5Jaime Faria🟨 WARMTotal Tie Breaks0.50.12+75.3%LESSLOWDenis Shapovalovclay—1.0x
6Marina Bassols Ribera🟨 WARMTotal Games Won5.59.63+75.2%MORELOWMirra Andreevaclay—0.5x
7Jessica Bouzas ManeiroTotal Games Won5.59.30+69.1%MORELOWAryna Sabalenkaclay—0.5x
8Learner Tien🧊 COLDTotal Games Won19.58.63+55.7%LESSLOWCristian Garinclay—0.5x
9Alex Michelsen🧊 COLDTotal Games Won20.59.34+54.5%LESSLOWNishesh Basavareddyclay—1.0x
10Susan Bandecchi🟨 WARMTotal Games Won6.510.04+54.4%MORELOWDaria Kasatkinaclay—0.5x
11Karen Khachanov🧊 COLDTotal Games Won19.59.08+53.4%LESSLOWMarco Trungelliticlay—0.5x
12Alejandro Davidovich FokinaTotal Games Won20.59.66+52.9%LESSLOWThiago Agustin Tiranteclay—0.5x
13Arthur RinderknechTotal Games Won20.59.76+52.4%LESSLOWMatteo Berrettiniclay—1.0x
14Dalma GalfiBreak Points Won5.02.40+52.0%LESSELITEMaiar Sherif Ahmed Abdelazizclay—1.0x
15Sebastian BaezTotal Games Won19.59.40+51.8%LESSLOWRoman Andres Burruchagaclay—0.5x
16Miomir Kecmanovic🧊 COLDTotal Games Won19.59.42+51.7%LESSLOWNuno Borgesclay—0.5x
17Martin LandaluceTotal Games Won19.59.49+51.4%LESSLOWJuan Carlos Prado Angeloclay—0.5x
18Zhizhen Zhang🧊 COLDTotal Games Won18.59.07+51.0%LESSLOWFacundo Diaz Acostaclay—0.5x
19Renata Zarazua🟨 WARMTotal Games Won7.010.55+50.7%MORELOWDiana Shnaiderclay—1.0x
20Karen Khachanov🧊 COLDTotal Tie Breaks0.50.25+50.5%LESSLOWMarco Trungelliticlay—1.0x
21Facundo Diaz Acosta⏳ RTRNTotal Tie Breaks0.50.25+50.5%LESSLOWZhizhen Zhangclay—1.0x
22Cameron Norrie🟨 WARMTotal Tie Breaks0.50.25+50.4%LESSLOWAdolfo Daniel Vallejoclay—1.0x
23Miomir Kecmanovic🧊 COLDTotal Tie Breaks0.50.25+50.1%LESSLOWNuno Borgesclay—1.0x
24Novak Djokovic⏳ RTRNTotal Tie Breaks0.50.25+50.1%LESSLOWValentin Royerclay—1.0x
25Joao Fonseca🟨 WARMTotal Games Won19.59.77+49.9%LESSLOWDino Prizmicclay—0.5x
26Cameron Norrie🟨 WARMTotal Games Won19.59.79+49.8%LESSLOWAdolfo Daniel Vallejoclay—0.5x
27Tallon Griekspoor🧊 COLDTotal Games Won19.59.80+49.8%LESSLOWMatteo Arnaldiclay—0.5x
28Francisco Comesana🧊 COLDTotal Games Won19.59.87+49.4%LESSLOWEthan Quinnclay—0.5x
29Gael Monfils🧊 COLDTotal Games Won19.59.91+49.2%LESSLOWHugo Gastonclay—0.5x
30Brandon NakashimaTotal Games Won20.510.43+49.1%LESSLOWLuca Van Asscheclay—1.0x
31Felix Auger-Aliassime🟨 WARMTotal Games Won20.510.45+49.0%LESSLOWDaniel Altmaierclay—0.5x
32Corentin MoutetTotal Games Won19.59.98+48.8%LESSLOWVit Koprivaclay—0.5x
33Denis ShapovalovTotal Games Won18.59.49+48.7%LESSLOWJaime Fariaclay—0.5x
34Jan-Lennard Struff🧊 COLDTotal Games Won17.59.01+48.5%LESSLOWAlexander Bublikclay—0.5x
35Alex de MinaurTotal Games Won19.510.30+47.2%LESSLOWAlexander Blockxclay—1.0x
36Matteo Arnaldi🟨 WARMTotal Games Won20.010.71+46.4%LESSLOWTallon Griekspoorclay—0.5x
37Alexander Bublik🧊 COLDTotal Games Won20.511.01+46.3%LESSLOWJan-Lennard Struffclay—0.5x
38Hugo GastonTotal Games Won19.510.51+46.1%LESSLOWGael Monfilsclay—0.5x
39Ethan QuinnTotal Games Won19.510.54+45.9%LESSLOWFrancisco Comesanaclay—0.5x
40Sebastian OfnerTotal Games Won17.59.48+45.8%LESSLOWLuciano Dardericlay—0.5x
41Alejandro Tabilo🟨 WARMTotal Games Won19.510.57+45.8%LESSLOWKamil Majchrzakclay—0.5x
42Matteo BerrettiniTotal Games Won20.511.26+45.1%LESSLOWArthur Rinderknechclay—1.0x
43Matteo Arnaldi🟨 WARMTotal Games Won19.510.71+45.1%LESSLOWTallon Griekspoorclay—0.5x
44Thiago Agustin Tirante🟨 WARMTotal Games Won20.511.29+44.9%LESSLOWAlejandro Davidovich Fokinaclay—0.5x
45Novak Djokovic⏳ RTRNTotal Games Won19.510.86+44.3%LESSLOWValentin Royerclay—0.5x
46Facundo Diaz Acosta⏳ RTRNTotal Games Won20.511.47+44.1%LESSLOWZhizhen Zhangclay—0.5x
47Alexandre MullerTotal Games Won15.58.75+43.5%LESSLOWStefanos Tsitsipasclay—0.5x
48Luca Van AsscheTotal Games Won18.510.51+43.2%LESSLOWBrandon Nakashimaclay—1.0x
49Nuno Borges🧊 COLDTotal Games Won18.510.52+43.2%LESSLOWMiomir Kecmanovicclay—0.5x
50Alexei PopyrinTotal Games Won19.511.22+42.5%LESSLOWZachary Svajdaclay—0.5x
51Adolfo Daniel Vallejo🟨 WARMTotal Games Won19.511.23+42.4%LESSLOWCameron Norrieclay—0.5x
52Juan Manuel Cerundolo🟨 WARMTotal Games Won19.511.26+42.3%LESSLOWJacob Fearnleyclay—0.5x
53Marin CilicTotal Games Won19.511.26+42.2%LESSLOWMoise Kouameclay—0.5x
54Alexander Blockx🟨 WARMTotal Games Won18.510.72+42.1%LESSLOWAlex de Minaurclay—1.0x
55Luciano Darderi🟨 WARMTotal Games Won20.011.60+42.0%LESSLOWSebastian Ofnerclay—0.5x
56Alexandre MullerTotal Games Won15.08.75+41.7%LESSLOWStefanos Tsitsipasclay—0.5x
57Moise KouameTotal Games Won16.59.79+40.6%LESSLOWMarin Cilicclay—0.5x
58Jaime Faria🟨 WARMTotal Games Won19.511.59+40.6%LESSLOWDenis Shapovalovclay—0.5x
59Luciano Darderi🟨 WARMTotal Games Won19.511.60+40.5%LESSLOWSebastian Ofnerclay—0.5x
60Vit Kopriva🟨 WARMTotal Games Won18.511.02+40.4%LESSLOWCorentin Moutetclay—0.5x
61Valentin Vacherot🟨 WARMTotal Games Won19.511.74+39.8%LESSLOWThomas Faurelclay—0.5x
62Nishesh Basavareddy🟨 WARMTotal Games Won18.511.15+39.8%LESSLOWAlex Michelsenclay—1.0x
63Daniel AltmaierTotal Games Won17.510.56+39.7%LESSLOWFelix Auger-Aliassimeclay—0.5x
64Dino Prizmic🔥 HOTTotal Games Won19.511.82+39.4%LESSLOWJoao Fonsecaclay—0.5x
65Alexander Zverev🟨 WARMTotal Games Won19.511.84+39.3%LESSLOWTomas Machacclay—0.5x
66Stefanos TsitsipasTotal Games Won20.012.24+38.8%LESSLOWAlexandre Mullerclay—0.5x
67Tomas MachacTotal Games Won14.59.10+37.2%LESSLOWAlexander Zverevclay—0.5x
68Thiago Agustin Tirante🟨 WARMTotal Games39.524.87+37.0%LESSLOWAlejandro Davidovich Fokinaclay—0.5x
69Roman Andres Burruchaga🟨 WARMTotal Games Won18.511.65+37.0%LESSLOWSebastian Baezclay—0.5x
70Matteo BerrettiniTotal Games39.524.91+36.9%LESSLOWArthur Rinderknechclay—0.5x
71Facundo Diaz Acosta⏳ RTRNTotal Games39.024.61+36.9%LESSLOWZhizhen Zhangclay—0.5x
72Learner Tien🧊 COLDTotal Games37.523.70+36.8%LESSLOWCristian Garinclay—0.5x
73Ugo Humbert🧊 COLDTotal Games39.525.09+36.5%LESSLOWQuentin Halysclay—1.0x
74Jakub Mensik🟨 WARMTotal Games38.524.59+36.1%LESSLOWMariano Navoneclay—1.0x
75Federico Cina🧊 COLDTotal Games38.524.62+36.1%LESSLOWJesper De Jongclay—1.0x
76Cristian GarinTotal Games Won18.511.90+35.7%LESSLOWLearner Tienclay—0.5x
77Jacob Fearnley⏳ RTRNTotal Games Won15.09.78+34.8%LESSLOWJuan Manuel Cerundoloclay—0.5x
78Francisco Comesana🧊 COLDTotal Games38.525.14+34.7%LESSLOWEthan Quinnclay—0.5x
79Jaime Faria🟨 WARMTotal Games37.524.52+34.6%LESSLOWDenis Shapovalovclay—0.5x
80Tallon Griekspoor🧊 COLDTotal Games38.525.22+34.5%LESSLOWMatteo Arnaldiclay—0.5x
81Facundo Diaz Acosta⏳ RTRNTotal Games37.524.61+34.4%LESSLOWZhizhen Zhangclay—0.5x
82Aryna Sabalenka🟨 WARMTotal Games17.523.50+34.3%MORELOWJessica Bouzas Maneiroclay—0.5x
83Hugo GastonTotal Games38.525.34+34.2%LESSLOWGael Monfilsclay—0.5x
84Anastasia Zakharova🧊 COLDTotal Games Won7.09.37+33.9%MORELOWKarolina Muchovaclay—0.5x
85Francisco Comesana🧊 COLDTotal Games38.025.14+33.9%LESSLOWEthan Quinnclay—0.5x
86Juan Carlos Prado Angelo⏳ RTRNTotal Games Won17.511.60+33.7%LESSLOWMartin Landaluceclay—0.5x
87Cameron Norrie🟨 WARMTotal Games37.524.88+33.7%LESSLOWAdolfo Daniel Vallejoclay—0.5x
88Sebastian BaezTotal Games36.524.29+33.5%LESSLOWRoman Andres Burruchagaclay—0.5x
89Alex Michelsen🧊 COLDTotal Games37.524.97+33.4%LESSLOWNishesh Basavareddyclay—0.5x
90Joao Fonseca🟨 WARMTotal Games37.024.71+33.2%LESSLOWDino Prizmicclay—0.5x
91Corentin MoutetTotal Games37.525.09+33.1%LESSLOWVit Koprivaclay—0.5x
92Kamil Majchrzak⏳ RTRNTotal Games Won15.510.37+33.1%LESSLOWAlejandro Tabiloclay—0.5x
93Miomir Kecmanovic🧊 COLDTotal Games37.525.10+33.1%LESSLOWNuno Borgesclay—0.5x
94Brandon NakashimaTotal Games37.525.13+33.0%LESSLOWLuca Van Asscheclay—0.5x
95Luciano Darderi🟨 WARMTotal Games36.524.50+32.9%LESSLOWSebastian Ofnerclay—0.5x
96Felix Auger-Aliassime🟨 WARMTotal Games37.525.20+32.8%LESSLOWDaniel Altmaierclay—0.5x
97Alexander Bublik🧊 COLDTotal Games36.524.54+32.8%LESSLOWJan-Lennard Struffclay—0.5x
98Jessica Pegula🟨 WARMTotal Games17.022.57+32.8%MORELOWKimberly Birrellclay—0.5x
99Jacob Fearnley⏳ RTRNTotal Games Won14.59.78+32.5%LESSLOWJuan Manuel Cerundoloclay—0.5x
100Luciano Darderi🟨 WARMTotal Games36.024.50+31.9%LESSLOWSebastian Ofnerclay—0.5x
101Felix Auger-Aliassime🟨 WARMTotal Games37.025.20+31.9%LESSLOWDaniel Altmaierclay—0.5x
102Daria Kasatkina🟨 WARMTotal Games18.524.33+31.5%MORELOWSusan Bandecchiclay—0.5x
103Thomas FaurelTotal Games Won13.59.27+31.4%LESSLOWValentin Vacherotclay—0.5x
104Alexander Zverev🟨 WARMTotal Games34.523.78+31.1%LESSLOWTomas Machacclay—0.5x
105Zachary Svajda🧊 COLDTotal Games Won13.59.32+30.9%LESSLOWAlexei Popyrinclay—0.5x
106Martin LandaluceTotal Games35.524.54+30.9%LESSLOWJuan Carlos Prado Angeloclay—0.5x
107Karen Khachanov🧊 COLDTotal Games35.524.64+30.6%LESSLOWMarco Trungelliticlay—0.5x
108Marco TrungellitiTotal Games Won16.511.46+30.6%LESSLOWKaren Khachanovclay—0.5x
109Alexander Zverev🟨 WARMTotal Sets3.52.43+30.5%LESSLOWTomas Machacclay—1.0x
110Katie VolynetsTotal Games Won7.59.78+30.4%MORELOWMarta Kostyukclay—0.5x
111Valentin Vacherot🟨 WARMTotal Sets3.52.45+29.9%LESSLOWThomas Faurelclay—1.0x
112Stefanos TsitsipasTotal Games35.525.17+29.1%LESSLOWAlexandre Mullerclay—0.5x
113Alejandro Tabilo🟨 WARMTotal Games35.525.20+29.0%LESSLOWKamil Majchrzakclay—0.5x
114Jessica Pegula🟨 WARMTotal Games17.522.57+29.0%MORELOWKimberly Birrellclay—0.5x
115Stefanos TsitsipasTotal Sets3.52.49+28.8%LESSLOWAlexandre Mullerclay—1.0x
116Diana ShnaiderTotal Games19.024.45+28.7%MORELOWRenata Zarazuaclay—0.5x
117Alexei PopyrinTotal Sets3.52.50+28.4%LESSLOWZachary Svajdaclay—1.0x
118Stefanos TsitsipasTotal Games35.025.17+28.1%LESSLOWAlexandre Mullerclay—0.5x
119Valentin Vacherot🟨 WARMTotal Games33.524.11+28.0%LESSLOWThomas Faurelclay—0.5x
120Madison Keys⏳ RTRNTotal Games19.024.30+27.9%MORELOWHanne Vandewinkelclay—0.5x
121Juan Manuel Cerundolo🟨 WARMTotal Games34.524.91+27.8%LESSLOWJacob Fearnleyclay—0.5x
122Clement Tabur🟨 WARMTotal Games Won7.08.94+27.7%MORELOWJannik Sinnerclay—0.5x
123Elena Rybakina🟨 WARMTotal Games18.523.57+27.4%MORELOWYuliia Starodubtsevaclay—0.5x
124Juan Manuel Cerundolo🟨 WARMTotal Games34.024.91+26.7%LESSLOWJacob Fearnleyclay—0.5x
125Alexei PopyrinTotal Games34.025.05+26.3%LESSLOWZachary Svajdaclay—0.5x
126Karolina Muchova⏳ RTRNTotal Games19.023.90+25.8%MORELOWAnastasia Zakharovaclay—0.5x
127Francisco Comesana🧊 COLDTotal Tie Breaks0.50.37+25.5%LESSLOWEthan Quinnclay—1.0x
128Alexei PopyrinTotal Games33.525.05+25.2%LESSLOWZachary Svajdaclay—0.5x
129Valentin Royer🟨 WARMTotal Games Won13.510.10+25.2%LESSLOWNovak Djokovicclay—0.5x
130Alejandro Tabilo🟨 WARMTotal Tie Breaks0.50.37+25.1%LESSLOWKamil Majchrzakclay—1.0x
131Leylah Fernandez🟨 WARMTotal Games19.524.38+25.0%MORELOWAlycia Parksclay—0.5x
132Hugo GastonTotal Tie Breaks0.50.38+24.7%LESSLOWGael Monfilsclay—1.0x
133Alice Tubello🟨 WARMTotal Games Won9.511.71+23.3%MORELOWDonna Vekicclay—0.5x
134Marta Kostyuk🟨 WARMTotal Games19.524.01+23.1%MORELOWKatie Volynetsclay—0.5x
135Anna KalinskayaBreak Points Won5.03.86+22.9%LESSLOWLois Boissonclay—1.0x
136Claire Liu🟨 WARMBreak Points Won5.54.26+22.6%LESSLOWMoyuka Uchijimaclay—1.0x
137Sorana Cirstea🟨 WARMTotal Games20.024.44+22.2%MORELOWEva Lysclay—0.5x
138Francesca JonesTotal Games Won9.010.95+21.6%MORELOWMarie Bouzkovaclay—0.5x
139Novak Djokovic⏳ RTRNTotal Games32.025.12+21.5%LESSLOWValentin Royerclay—0.5x
140Katerina Siniakova🟨 WARMBreak Points Won5.03.97+20.5%LESSLOWSimona Waltertclay—1.0x
141Alina Korneeva🧊 COLDTotal Games Won11.59.15+20.4%LESSLOWElisabetta Cocciarettoclay—0.5x
142Alycia Parks🟨 WARMTotal Games Won8.510.21+20.1%MORELOWLeylah Fernandezclay—0.5x
143Simona Waltert🟨 WARMTotal Games Won10.012.01+20.1%MORELOWKaterina Siniakovaclay—0.5x
144Clement Tabur🟨 WARMTotal Games Won7.58.94+19.2%MORELOWJannik Sinnerclay—0.5x
145Gael Monfils🧊 COLDAces7.56.10+18.7%LESSLOWHugo Gastonclay—0.5x
146Marie Bouzkova🟨 WARMTotal Games20.524.28+18.4%MORELOWFrancesca Jonesclay—0.5x
147McCartney Kessler⏳ RTRNTotal Games20.524.28+18.4%MORELOWHanyu Guoclay—0.5x
148Emma Navarro⏳ RTRNTotal Games20.524.28+18.4%MORELOWJanice Tjenclay—0.5x
149Naomi Osaka🟨 WARMTotal Games20.523.99+17.0%MORELOWLaura Siegemundclay—0.5x
150Belinda Bencic🟨 WARMTotal Games20.523.98+17.0%MORELOWCaty McNallyclay—0.5x
151Nikola BartunkovaTotal Games Won9.010.52+16.9%MORELOWVictoria Mbokoclay—0.5x
152Nikola BartunkovaTotal Games Won9.010.52+16.9%MORELOWVictoria Mbokoclay—0.5x
153Rafael Jodar🟨 WARMTotal Games30.025.08+16.4%LESSLOWJames Duckworthclay—0.5x
154Elena Pridankina🟨 WARMTotal Games Won11.59.64+16.1%LESSLOWOleksandra Oliynykovaclay—0.5x
155Oleksandra OliynykovaTotal Games20.523.77+15.9%MORELOWElena Pridankinaclay—0.5x
156Oleksandra OliynykovaTotal Games20.523.77+15.9%MORELOWElena Pridankinaclay—0.5x
157Eva Lys🧊 COLDTotal Games Won8.59.83+15.6%MORELOWSorana Cirsteaclay—1.0x
158Linda Fruhvirtova🧊 COLDTotal Games21.024.17+15.1%MORELOWElsa Jacquemotclay—0.5x
159Peyton StearnsTotal Games21.024.16+15.1%MORELOWDaria Snigurclay—0.5x
160Naomi Osaka🟨 WARMBreak Points Won4.55.16+14.7%MORELOWLaura Siegemundclay—1.0x
161Simona Waltert🟨 WARMTotal Games Won10.512.01+14.4%MORELOWKaterina Siniakovaclay—0.5x
162Adam Walton🧊 COLDTotal Games Won10.58.99+14.3%LESSLOWDaniil Medvedevclay—0.5x
163Daniil MedvedevTotal Games28.524.48+14.1%LESSLOWAdam Waltonclay—0.5x
164Linda Noskova🟨 WARMTotal Games21.524.52+14.0%MORELOWMaria Sakkariclay—0.5x
165Ashlyn KruegerTotal Games21.524.48+13.8%MORELOWAntonia Ruzicclay—0.5x
166Hailey Baptiste🟨 WARMTotal Games21.524.48+13.8%MORELOWXiyu Wangclay—0.5x
167Ann LiTotal Games20.523.33+13.8%MORELOWShuai Zhangclay—0.5x
168Elise MertensTotal Games20.523.27+13.5%MORELOWMaja Chwalinskaclay—0.5x
169Donna Vekic🟨 WARMTotal Games20.523.25+13.4%MORELOWAlice Tubelloclay—0.5x
170Daria Snigur🟨 WARMTotal Games Won11.59.97+13.3%LESSLOWPeyton Stearnsclay—0.5x
171Coco Gauff🟨 WARMTotal Games19.021.49+13.1%MORELOWTaylor Townsendclay—0.5x
172Maja Chwalinska⏳ RTRNTotal Games Won10.511.82+12.6%MORELOWElise Mertensclay—1.0x
173Jasmine Paolini🧊 COLDTotal Games21.524.20+12.6%MORELOWSolana Sierraclay—0.5x
174Linda Fruhvirtova🧊 COLDTotal Games21.524.17+12.4%MORELOWElsa Jacquemotclay—0.5x
175Elena Pridankina🟨 WARMTotal Games Won11.09.64+12.3%LESSLOWOleksandra Oliynykovaclay—0.5x
176Magdalena FrechTotal Games21.524.08+12.0%MORELOWJil Teichmannclay—0.5x
177Linda Noskova🟨 WARMBreak Points Won4.55.03+11.8%MORELOWMaria Sakkariclay—1.0x
178Diane Parry🧊 COLDTotal Games Won9.58.38+11.8%LESSLOWAnhelina Kalininaclay—0.5x
179Diane Parry🧊 COLDTotal Games Won9.58.38+11.8%LESSLOWAnhelina Kalininaclay—0.5x
180Alexandra EalaTotal Games Won10.59.27+11.7%LESSLOWIva Jovicclay—0.5x
181Janice Tjen🧊 COLDTotal Games Won9.510.56+11.1%MORELOWEmma Navarroclay—0.5x
182Antonia Ruzic🧊 COLDTotal Games Won11.510.25+10.8%LESSLOWAshlyn Kruegerclay—0.5x
183Nikola BartunkovaTotal Games Won9.510.52+10.7%MORELOWVictoria Mbokoclay—0.5x
184Elisabetta CocciarettoTotal Games21.523.75+10.5%MORELOWAlina Korneevaclay—0.5x
185Katerina Siniakova🟨 WARMTotal Games20.522.53+9.9%MORELOWSimona Waltertclay—0.5x
186Jannik Sinner🟨 WARMTotal Games25.523.24+8.9%LESSLOWClement Taburclay—0.5x
187Claire Liu🟨 WARMTotal Games21.523.36+8.7%MORELOWMoyuka Uchijimaclay—0.5x
188Coco Gauff🟨 WARMBreak Points Won5.05.42+8.5%MORELOWTaylor Townsendclay—1.0x
189Xiyu Wang🟨 WARMTotal Games Won11.510.53+8.4%LESSLOWHailey Baptisteclay—0.5x
190Anhelina Kalinina🟨 WARMTotal Games20.522.21+8.3%MORELOWDiane Parryclay—0.5x
191Jessica Pegula🟨 WARMBreak Points Won5.05.39+7.8%MORELOWKimberly Birrellclay—1.0x
192Iva Jovic🟨 WARMBreak Points Won5.05.35+7.0%MORELOWAlexandra Ealaclay—1.0x
193Emma Navarro⏳ RTRNBreak Points Won5.04.65+7.0%LESSLOWJanice Tjenclay—1.0x
194Maria Sakkari🧊 COLDTotal Games Won10.59.78+6.8%LESSLOWLinda Noskovaclay—1.0x
195Shuai Zhang🧊 COLDTotal Games Won9.58.86+6.7%LESSLOWAnn Liclay—0.5x
196McCartney Kessler⏳ RTRNBreak Points Won5.04.70+5.9%LESSLOWHanyu Guoclay—1.0x
197Ann LiBreak Points Won5.05.29+5.9%MORELOWShuai Zhangclay—1.0x
198Oleksandra OliynykovaBreak Points Won5.55.19+5.6%LESSLOWElena Pridankinaclay—1.0x
199Elisabetta CocciarettoBreak Points Won5.55.20+5.5%LESSLOWAlina Korneevaclay—1.0x
200James Duckworth⏳ RTRNTotal Games Won10.510.01+4.6%LESSLOWRafael Jodarclay—1.0x
201Hanyu Guo🟨 WARMTotal Games Won10.510.97+4.5%MORELOWMcCartney Kesslerclay—0.5x
202Ashlyn KruegerBreak Points Won5.04.80+3.9%LESSLOWAntonia Ruzicclay—1.0x
203Laura SiegemundTotal Games Won9.59.87+3.9%MORELOWNaomi Osakaclay—0.5x
204Solana Sierra🟨 WARMTotal Games Won11.511.12+3.3%LESSLOWJasmine Paoliniclay—0.5x
205Anna KalinskayaTotal Games21.522.16+3.1%MORELOWLois Boissonclay—0.5x
206Karolina Muchova⏳ RTRNBreak Points Won5.05.15+2.9%MORELOWAnastasia Zakharovaclay—1.0x
207Elsa Jacquemot🧊 COLDBreak Points Won5.04.90+2.1%LESSLOWLinda Fruhvirtovaclay—1.0x
208Madison Keys⏳ RTRNBreak Points Won5.05.09+1.9%MORELOWHanne Vandewinkelclay—1.0x
209Leylah Fernandez🟨 WARMBreak Points Won5.05.08+1.6%MORELOWAlycia Parksclay—1.0x
210Victoria Mboko🟨 WARMBreak Points Won5.04.93+1.4%LESSLOWNikola Bartunkovaclay—1.0x
211Anhelina Kalinina🟨 WARMBreak Points Won5.55.43+1.3%LESSLOWDiane Parryclay—1.0x
212Lois Boisson🧊 COLDTotal Games Won11.511.51+0.1%MORELOWAnna Kalinskayaclay—0.5x
Kalshi tennis — 8 picks · $16.00 staked
Day 1 - paper only, grade EOD before scaling · locked 2026-05-25T13:12:12.654239+00:00
#MatchPickOur PAskEdgeTierSurfaceStakeStatusP&L
1Caty McNally vs Belinda BencicCaty McNally58.9%27¢31.9ppELITEclay$2.00OPEN+0.00
2Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah vs Amanda AnisimovaTiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah38.2%9¢29.2ppELITEclay$2.00OPEN+0.00
3Ben Shelton vs Daniel MeridaDaniel Merida45.4%24¢21.4ppELITEhard$2.00OPEN+0.00
4Xiyu Wang vs Hailey BaptisteXiyu Wang56.1%35¢21.1ppELITEhard$2.00OPEN+0.00
5McCartney Kessler vs Hanyu GuoHanyu Guo51.0%30¢21.0ppELITEhard$2.00OPEN+0.00
6Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Zhizhen ZhangZhizhen Zhang51.4%33¢18.4ppELITEhard$2.00OPEN+0.00
7Eliot Spizzirri vs Frances TiafoeEliot Spizzirri44.4%30¢14.4ppSTRONGclay$2.00OPEN-2.00
8Marcos Giron vs Yibing WuYibing Wu55.3%46¢9.3ppELITEhard$2.00OPEN+0.00
PrizePicks tennis — 2 picks · $2.00 staked
Day 1 - paper only, grade EOD before scaling · locked 2026-05-25T13:12:12.595403+00:00
#PlayerStatLineOur projSideEdgeTierSurfaceStakeStatusP&L
1Xiyu WangTotal Games Won11.510.53LESS8.4%MEDclay$1.00OPEN+0.00
2Shuai ZhangTotal Games Won9.58.86LESS6.7%MEDclay$1.00OPEN+0.00
Polymarket = retail/crypto sentiment. We can't bet there from CA, but the divergence vs Kalshi (sharp) reveals where the public is loading up. Generated 2026-05-25T10:40:43 · flagged threshold = ±3.0pp · 1 flagged futures / 0 flagged matches.

Grand-slam futures · ANY 2026 Slam (Kalshi KXATPGRANDSLAM vs Polymarket per-slam aggregate)

Polymarket "any-slam" probability computed naively as 1 - product(1 - p_slam). Positive divergence = public (Polymarket) more bullish than sharp (Kalshi). Sorted by |divergence|.
PlayerSharp (Kalshi)Public (Poly)ΔPoly per-slam
Novak Djokovic · exact11.5%19.8%+8.3pp · PUBLIC HIGHERFre 6%, Wim 9%, US 6%
Lorenzo Musetti · exact4.5%1.5%-3.0pp · SHARP HIGHERWim 1%, US 1%
Daniil Medvedev · exact10.5%7.8%-2.7pp · SHARP HIGHERFre 2%, Wim 2%, US 4%
Jannik Sinner · exact93.5%95.6%+2.1pp · PUBLIC HIGHERFre 72%, Wim 65%, US 54%
Karen Khachanov · exact2.5%0.7%-1.8pp · SHARP HIGHERFre 0%, Wim 1%
Felix Auger-Aliassime · exact2.0%0.6%-1.4pp · SHARP HIGHERWim 1%
Alexander Bublik · exact3.0%1.6%-1.4pp · SHARP HIGHERFre 0%, Wim 0%, US 1%
Taylor Fritz · exact5.5%4.2%-1.3pp · SHARP HIGHERWim 3%, US 1%
Alexander Zverev · exact16.0%14.7%-1.3pp · SHARP HIGHERFre 8%, Wim 4%, US 3%
Jack Draper · exact4.5%5.6%+1.1pp · PUBLIC HIGHERWim 3%, US 2%
Alex de Minaur · exact2.0%1.3%-0.7pp · SHARP HIGHERFre 0%, Wim 1%
Casper Ruud · exact4.0%3.4%-0.6pp · SHARP HIGHERFre 3%, Wim 0%
Frances Tiafoe · exact0.5%0.8%+0.3pp · PUBLIC HIGHERFre 0%, Wim 0%, US 1%
Ben Shelton · exact5.0%5.1%+0.1pp · PUBLIC HIGHERFre 1%, Wim 3%, US 2%

Per-match overlaps

No active per-match overlaps right now (Polymarket tennis volume concentrates in Grand Slam futures).
!
Calibration provisional. Only 18 graded picks; verdicts not actionable until 50+.
Per-stat-type MAE (n_graded=18)
Bar width = MAE (lower = better). "INSUFFICIENT" = need more graded picks.
Total Games
n=4
Ours
PP
Us 6.45
PP 3.25
INSUFFICIENT_N
Total Games Won
n=13
Ours
PP
Us 5.11
PP 4.96
NULL
Total Tie Breaks
n=1
Ours
PP
Us 0.25
PP 0.50
INSUFFICIENT_N
Per-tier MAE
Bar width = MAE (lower = better). "INSUFFICIENT" = need more graded picks.
ELITE
n=16
Ours
PP
Us 4.94
PP 3.75
NULL
MED
n=0
Ours
PP
Us —
PP —
INSUFFICIENT_N
STRONG
n=2
Ours
PP
Us 6.75
PP 9.00
INSUFFICIENT_N
[!]
No AAR available yet.
Expected: ~/.claude/projects/.../memory/aar_tennis_<date>.md
#PlayerStatOppOpenLatestDiffAbsDirection
1Karolina MuchovaTotal Games WonAnastasia Zakharova14.512.5-2.002.00DOWN
2Matteo BerrettiniTotal GamesArthur Rinderknech41.539.5-2.002.00DOWN
3Gael MonfilsAcesHugo Gaston6.57.5+1.001.00UP
4Valentin VacherotTotal GamesThomas Faurel32.533.5+1.001.00UP
5Elisabetta CocciarettoTotal GamesAlina Korneeva20.521.5+1.001.00UP
6Stefanos TsitsipasTotal GamesAlexandre Muller34.535.5+1.001.00UP
7Martin LandaluceTotal GamesJuan Carlos Prado Angelo36.535.5-1.001.00DOWN
8Sebastian BaezTotal GamesRoman Andres Burruchaga37.536.5-1.001.00DOWN
9Daria SnigurTotal Games WonPeyton Stearns10.511.5+1.001.00UP
10Thiago Agustin TiranteTotal Games WonAlejandro Davidovich Fokina21.520.5-1.001.00DOWN
11Karen KhachanovTotal GamesMarco Trungelliti36.535.5-1.001.00DOWN
12Brandon NakashimaTotal GamesLuca Van Assche38.537.5-1.001.00DOWN
13Madison KeysTotal GamesHanne Vandewinkel18.519.0+0.500.50UP
ATP top 50
RkPlayerCountryPtsELO overallELO clayELO grassELO hard
1Jannik SinnerITA147502175185716952062
2Carlos AlcarazESP119602070186717171956
3Alexander ZverevGER57051961181615941863
4Novak DjokovicSRB44601955173816361846
5Ben SheltonUSA40701848168315611765
6Felix Auger AliassimeCAN40501864160515171803
7Alex De MinaurAUS38551847165215901806
8Daniil MedvedevRUS37601878164115851845
9Taylor FritzUSA37201826158117221749
10Alexander BublikKAZ33201803172415691703
11Lorenzo MusettiITA31151828175616071723
12Jiri LeheckaCZE26651837164715741754
13Andrey RublevRUS24601762165815161683
14Flavio CobolliITA23401796172015571655
15Karen KhachanovRUS23201691158615671639
16Casper RuudNOR22751792174415021685
17Luciano DarderiITA22601714176714661466
18Learner TienUSA21801800146615061789
19Valentin VacherotMON21031810170214671738
20Arthur FilsFRA20401912176215461771
21Tommy PaulUSA19451842174815871743
22Frances TiafoeUSA19051771160414881719
23Alejandro Davidovich FokinaESP18601756157215451703
24Cameron NorrieGBR17851776165815291682
25Arthur RinderknechFRA17361713156615301631
26Francisco CerundoloARG15701801172614261698
27Jakub MensikCZE15501795158914971747
28Tomas Martin EtcheverryARG15101785169314561636
29Rafael JodarESP146118741714—1765
30Joao FonsecaBRA14351818163814951795
31Ignacio BusePER14121709169314821562
32Ugo HumbertFRA13701712145115171697
33Tallon GriekspoorNED13401681157515641645
34Corentin MoutetFRA13231706160015741640
35Brandon NakashimaUSA12951706157015901660
36Alejandro TabiloCHI12781786169615751637
37Alexander BlockxBEL12381820168915081713
38Mariano NavoneARG12151718171614601507
39Denis ShapovalovCAN11701690149814721698
40Zizou BergsBEL11501705157015211631
41Jaume MunarESP11451695156315081635
42Alex MichelsenUSA11151715148815381702
43Tomas MachacCZE10801737159215001682
44Holger RuneDEN10601744166315151710
45Adrian MannarinoFRA10371589139015841569
46Marin CilicCRO10101710153916111635
47Sebastian KordaUSA10001806153715561757
48Miomir KecmanovicSRB9801607148315001595
49Gabriel DialloCAN9751651155415761615
50Ethan QuinnUSA9741731159415091683
WTA top 50
RkPlayerCountryPtsELO overallELO clayELO grassELO hard
1Aryna SabalenkaBLR99602115180815882045
2Elena RybakinaKAZ83132063176015801972
3Iga SwiatekPOL72731924178016581852
4Coco GauffUSA67491957178715191871
5Jessica PegulaUSA62861997170115831901
6Amanda AnisimovaUSA59581916156116381822
7Elina SvitolinaUKR43151922172715501824
8Mirra AndreevaRUS41811932180015131797
9Victoria MbokoCAN37101936170415151891
10Karolina MuchovaCZE33181951159714941869
11Belinda BencicSUI31451898158415611831
12Linda NoskovaCZE30541881158915831763
13Jasmine PaoliniITA27871815170715851741
14Ekaterina AlexandrovaRUS26791747159315841662
15Marta KostyukUKR23871924175714491755
16Naomi OsakaJPN23411819162815141734
17Iva JovicUSA23061829166316011759
18Sorana CirsteaROU19851866161214291797
19Madison KeysUSA19621836170615581766
20Clara TausonDEN19201746156015201679
21Elise MertensBEL18581802158015811714
22Leylah FernandezCAN18441790159015461679
23Diana ShnaiderRUS17961782164715651686
24Anna KalinskayaRUS17921784153815461721
25Emma NavarroUSA17191680157815901613
26Hailey BaptisteUSA16831785166214881667
27Liudmila SamsonovaRUS16351697160416191566
28Marie BouzkovaCZE16311773169914761648
29Ann LiUSA16011745163814781647
30Anastasia PotapovaRUS14701787169014841640
31Jelena OstapenkoLAT14641723163215341621
32Jaqueline CristianROU14141770163514321698
33Cristina BucsaESP14061738147515141684
34Xin Yu WangCHN13711735154615911616
35Sara BejlekCZE13691832179714861653
36Katerina SiniakovaCZE13621777154915781693
37Alexandra EalaPHI13401786147816001748
38Elisabetta CocciarettoITA13201800158415771689
39Emma RaducanuGBR13011753157015771658
40Janice TjenINA129218171662—1785
41Barbora KrejcikovaCZE12711715148016061647
42Tereza ValentovaCZE12651845174615171788
43Lois BoissonFRA12641791181114831554
44Marketa VondrousovaCZE12631728160615781609
45Dayana YastremskaUKR12461695158815751594
46Magdalena FrechPOL12381649153414341613
47Laura SiegemundGER12301680153515411592
48Mccartney KesslerUSA12291754151615831688
49Maria SakkariGRE12081707156314861658
50Jessica Bouzas ManeiroESP12001658164315241578
SourceDB / fileLast pulledAgeRowsStatus
Kalshi KXATPMATCHtennis_kalshi.sqlite2026-05-25T17:38:26.909712+00:002m1846fresh
Kalshi KXWTAMATCHtennis_kalshi.sqlite2026-05-25T17:38:26.909712+00:002m1718fresh
Kalshi KXFRENCHOPENtennis_kalshi.sqlite2026-05-25T17:38:26.909712+00:002m0fresh
Kalshi KXFOPENMENSINGLEtennis_kalshi.sqlite2026-05-25T17:38:26.909712+00:002m0fresh
Kalshi KXATPGRANDSLAMtennis_kalshi.sqlite2026-05-25T17:38:26.909712+00:002m14fresh
Kalshi KXUSOPENtennis_kalshi.sqlite2026-05-25T17:38:26.909712+00:002m0fresh
Kalshi KXATPSETWINNERtennis_kalshi.sqlite2026-05-25T17:38:26.909712+00:002m3668fresh
Kalshi KXATPTOTALSETStennis_kalshi.sqlite2026-05-25T17:38:26.909712+00:002m0fresh
Kalshi KXATPSETSWEEPtennis_kalshi.sqlite2026-05-25T17:38:26.909712+00:002m0fresh
Kalshi KXATPGAMESPREADtennis_kalshi.sqlite2026-05-25T17:38:26.909712+00:002m0fresh
Kalshi KXATPEXACTMATCHtennis_kalshi.sqlite2026-05-25T17:38:26.909712+00:002m1570fresh
Kalshi KXWTADOUBLEStennis_kalshi.sqlite2026-05-25T17:38:26.909712+00:002m0fresh
Kalshi KXATP1RANKtennis_kalshi.sqlite2026-05-25T17:38:26.909712+00:002m16fresh
elo last computedtennis.sqlite2026-05-25T17:38:23+00:002m20051fresh
rankings last pulledtennis.sqlite2026-05-25T17:38:26+00:002m7538fresh
rankings atp latest datetennis.sqlite2026-05-2517.68h&mdash;stale
rankings wta latest datetennis.sqlite2026-05-2517.68h&mdash;stale
mirror atp scheduletennis.sqlite2026-05-25T17:39:57.844853+00:000m190fresh
h2h last computedtennis.sqlite2026-05-17T10:11:57.514615+00:00199.48h&mdash;stale
h2h n pairstennis.sqlite190184missing&mdash;missing
last player db runtennis.sqlite1779730813missing&mdash;missing
results last_runtennis_results.sqlite[2026-05-25T17:39:59.891185+00:00] 2026-05-25T17:39:58.169900+00:00; dates=['20260524']; rows=582; resolved=560missing&mdash;missing
pp_edges CSVpp_edges_tennis_2026-05-25.csv2026-05-25T17:40:33.010962+00:000m&mdash;fresh
kalshi edges JSONtennis_kalshi_edges_2026-05-25.json2026-05-25T17:40:25.603489+00:000m&mdash;fresh
paper trades PPpaper_trades_pp_tennis_2026-05-25.json2026-05-25T17:40:35.077093+00:000m&mdash;fresh
paper trades Kalshipaper_trades_kalshi_tennis_2026-05-25.json2026-05-25T17:40:35.545085+00:000m&mdash;fresh
daily payloaddaily_tennis_2026-05-25.json2026-05-25T17:40:36.209057+00:000m&mdash;fresh
PP movementpp_line_movement_tennis_2026-05-25.csv2026-05-25T17:40:35.747735+00:000m&mdash;fresh
PP calibrationpp_calibration_tennis.json2026-05-25T17:40:35.660230+00:000m&mdash;fresh
Tennis EdgeBoard - generated 2026-05-25 17:40 UTC - meta-refresh every 120s - edgeboard-tennis.pages.dev