Tennis EdgeBoard - 2026-05-24

Kalshi KXATPMATCH 2m · 1864rKalshi KXWTAMATCH 2m · 1732rKalshi KXFRENCHOPEN 2mKalshi KXFOPENMENSINGLE 2mKalshi KXATPGRANDSLAM 2m · 14rKalshi KXUSOPEN 2mKalshi KXATPSETWINNER 2m · 3714rKalshi KXATPTOTALSETS 2mKalshi KXATPSETSWEEP 2mKalshi KXATPGAMESPREAD 2mKalshi KXATPEXACTMATCH 2m · 1498rKalshi KXWTADOUBLES 2mKalshi KXATP1RANK 2m · 16relo last computed 2m · 20051rrankings last pulled 2m · 3745rrankings atp latest date 20drankings wta latest date 20dmirror atp schedule 1m · 236rh2h last computed 7dh2h n pairs missinglast player db run missingresults last_run missingpp_edges CSV 0mkalshi edges JSON 0mpaper trades PP 0mpaper trades Kalshi 0mdaily payload 0mPP movement 0mPP calibration 0m

Matches today

scheduled

ELITE edges

across Kalshi + PP

STRONG edges

tier 2

MED edges

tier 3

Paper locks

Kalshi + PP

Real Money YTD

-$10.00

paper-gate restored

Qualifying skipped

filtered out today

Last refresh

17:46

2026-05-24 UTC

🏆 Best Bet (main-draw)

No main-draw Kalshi pick survived qualifying filter today.

🎯 Safest (P ≥ 65%)

Anhelina Kalinina

Diane Parry vs Anhelina Kalinina · Round 1 clay · LOW

71%

Heavy main-draw favorite · SKIP

Edge -0.1pp
Ask 71¢

💎 Biggest Payout (ELITE)

No ELITE main-draw longshot today.

#	Match	Tournament	Round	Surface	Start	ELO A	ELO B	ELO diff	Kalshi event
1	Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Roland Garros	Round 1	clay	May 24 15:30	1533	1525	+9	KXATPMATCH-26MAY24HALBEL
2	Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Roland Garros	Round 1	clay	May 24 15:30	1581	1589	-8	KXATPMATCH-26MAY24FRIBAS
3	Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Roland Garros	Round 1	clay	May 24 15:30	1533	1525	+9	KXATPMATCH-26MAY24HALBEL
4	Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Roland Garros	Round 1	clay	May 24 15:30	1581	1589	-8	KXATPMATCH-26MAY24FRIBAS
5	Hamad Medjedovic vs Yannick Hanfmann	Roland Garros	Round 1	clay	May 24 15:40	1688	1668	+20	KXATPMATCH-26MAY24MEDHAN
6	Hamad Medjedovic vs Yannick Hanfmann	Roland Garros	Round 1	clay	May 24 15:40	1688	1668	+20	KXATPMATCH-26MAY24MEDHAN
7	Clara Tauson vs Daria Snigur	Roland Garros	Round 1	clay	May 24 16:20	1560	1559	+1	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY25TAUSNI
8	Clara Tauson vs Daria Snigur	Roland Garros	Round 1	clay	May 24 16:20	1560	1559	+1	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY25TAUSNI
9	Sara Bejlek vs Sloane Stephens	Roland Garros	Round 1	clay	May 24 16:35	1797	1512	+285	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY25BEJSTE
10	Sara Bejlek vs Sloane Stephens	Roland Garros	Round 1	clay	May 24 16:35	1797	1512	+285	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY25BEJSTE
11	Sofia Kenin vs Peyton Stearns	Roland Garros	Round 1	clay	May 24 16:40	1590	1636	-46	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY25KENSTE
12	Sofia Kenin vs Peyton Stearns	Roland Garros	Round 1	clay	May 24 16:40	1590	1636	-46	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY25KENSTE
13	Marina Bassols Ribera vs Emiliana Arango	Roland Garros	Round 1	clay	May 24 17:45	1681	1553	+128	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY25BASARA
14	Lorenzo Sonego vs ?	Roland Garros	Round 1	clay	May 24 17:45	1465	—	—	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY25SONHER-1
15	Marina Bassols Ribera vs Emiliana Arango	Roland Garros	Round 1	clay	May 24 17:45	1681	1553	+128	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY25BASARA
16	Lorenzo Sonego vs ?	Roland Garros	Round 1	clay	May 24 17:45	1465	—	—	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY25SONHER-1
17	Hugo Dellien vs Valentin Royer	Roland Garros	Round 1	clay	May 24 17:55	1719	1682	+36	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY25DELROY-1
18	Hugo Dellien vs Valentin Royer	Roland Garros	Round 1	clay	May 24 17:55	1719	1682	+36	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY25DELROY-1
19	Ksenia Efremova vs Sorana Cirstea	Roland Garros	Round 1	clay	May 24 18:00	1465	1612	-147	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY25EFRCIR
20	Ksenia Efremova vs Sorana Cirstea	Roland Garros	Round 1	clay	May 24 18:00	1465	1612	-147	KXWTAMATCH-26MAY25EFRCIR
21	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Roland Garros	Round 1	clay	May 24 18:15	1582	1738	-157	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY24MPEDJO-1
22	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Roland Garros	Round 1	clay	May 24 18:15	1582	1738	-157	KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY24MPEDJO-1

#	Match	Our pick	Our P	Mkt P	Ask	Edge	Tier	Decision	Vol 24h	Surface	Round	EV/$
1	Emerson Jones vs Iga Swiatek	Emerson Jones	53.9%	3.0%	3¢	+50.9pp	LOW	SKIP	3639	clay	Round 1	+0.509
2	Veronika Erjavec vs Elena Rybakina	Veronika Erjavec	50.1%	3.0%	3¢	+47.1pp	LOW	SKIP	1095	clay	Round 1	+0.471
3	Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	53.5%	11.0%	11¢	+42.5pp	LOW	PAPER	725091	clay	Round 1	+0.425
4	Eliot Spizzirri vs Frances Tiafoe	Eliot Spizzirri	50.8%	10.0%	10¢	+40.8pp	LOW	PAPER	3846	hard	Round Of 128	+0.408
5	Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondar	Anna Bondar	56.0%	16.0%	16¢	+40.0pp	LOW	PAPER	844	clay	Round 1	+0.400
6	Rinky Hijikata vs Tommy Paul	Rinky Hijikata	45.1%	7.0%	7¢	+38.1pp	LOW	PAPER	434	hard	Round Of 128	+0.381
7	Donna Vekic vs Alice Tubello	Alice Tubello	63.6%	26.0%	26¢	+37.6pp	LOW	PAPER	88	clay	Round 1	+0.376
8	Akasha Urhobo vs Katie Boulter	Akasha Urhobo	67.5%	30.0%	30¢	+37.5pp	LOW	PAPER	56	clay	Round 1	+0.375
9	Anastasia Potapova vs Maya Joint	Maya Joint	50.0%	13.0%	13¢	+37.0pp	LOW	PAPER	336	clay	Round 1	+0.370
10	Peyton Stearns vs Sofia Kenin	Sofia Kenin	46.8%	10.0%	10¢	+36.8pp	LOW	PAPER	74109	clay	Round 1	+0.368
11	Diana Shnaider vs Renata Zarazua	Renata Zarazua	50.5%	14.0%	14¢	+36.5pp	LOW	PAPER	187	clay	Round 1	+0.365
12	Jenson Brooksby vs Mariano Navone	Jenson Brooksby	53.2%	17.0%	17¢	+36.2pp	LOW	PAPER	304	hard	Round Of 128	+0.362
13	Hamad Medjedovic vs Yannick Hanfmann	Yannick Hanfmann	48.2%	12.0%	12¢	+36.2pp	LOW	PAPER	339035	clay	Round 1	+0.362
14	Tatjana Maria vs Elise Mertens	Tatjana Maria	42.2%	7.0%	7¢	+35.2pp	LOW	PAPER	590	clay	Round 1	+0.352
15	Marie Bouzkova vs Francesca Jones	Francesca Jones	55.2%	90.0%	90¢	-34.8pp	LOW	PAPER	0	clay	Round 2	-0.348
16	Katerina Siniakova vs Simona Waltert	Simona Waltert	66.8%	33.0%	33¢	+33.8pp	LOW	PAPER	526	clay	Round 1	+0.338
17	Caty McNally vs Belinda Bencic	Caty McNally	59.2%	26.0%	26¢	+33.2pp	LOW	PAPER	229	clay	Round 2	+0.332
18	Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	38.1%	5.0%	5¢	+33.1pp	LOW	PAPER	4969	clay	Round 1	+0.331
19	Alex de Minaur vs Toby Samuel	Toby Samuel	41.4%	9.0%	9¢	+32.5pp	LOW	PAPER	29667	clay	Round 1	+0.325
20	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah vs Amanda Anisimova	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	38.5%	7.0%	7¢	+31.5pp	LOW	PAPER	188	clay	Round 1	+0.315
21	Hanne Vandewinkel vs Madison Keys	Hanne Vandewinkel	41.6%	12.0%	12¢	+29.6pp	LOW	PAPER	670	clay	Round 1	+0.296
22	Kimberly Birrell vs Jessica Pegula	Kimberly Birrell	33.5%	4.0%	4¢	+29.5pp	LOW	SKIP	1556	clay	Round 1	+0.295
23	Kamil Majchrzak vs Alejandro Tabilo	Kamil Majchrzak	50.5%	21.0%	21¢	+29.5pp	LOW	PAPER	278	hard	Round Of 128	+0.295
24	Ann Li vs Shuai Zhang	Shuai Zhang	58.4%	29.0%	29¢	+29.4pp	LOW	PAPER	17	hard	Round Of 128	+0.294
25	Daniil Medvedev vs Adam Walton	Adam Walton	35.0%	6.0%	6¢	+29.0pp	LOW	PAPER	1576	hard	Round Of 128	+0.290
26	Ksenia Efremova vs Sorana Cirstea	Ksenia Efremova	35.8%	7.0%	7¢	+28.8pp	LOW	PAPER	74309	clay	Round 1	+0.288
27	Cristina Bucsa vs Susan Bandecchi	Susan Bandecchi	57.1%	29.0%	29¢	+28.1pp	LOW	PAPER	127	clay	Round 1	+0.281
28	Rebecca Sramkova vs Julia Grabher	Julia Grabher	62.5%	36.0%	36¢	+26.6pp	LOW	PAPER	134	clay	Round 1	+0.265
29	Victoria Mboko vs Nikola Bartunkova	Nikola Bartunkova	50.4%	24.0%	24¢	+26.4pp	LOW	PAPER	675	clay	Round 1	+0.264
30	Botic Van de Zandschulp vs Francisco Cerundolo	Botic Van de Zandschulp	42.3%	16.0%	16¢	+26.3pp	LOW	PAPER	527	hard	Round Of 128	+0.263
31	Karolina Muchova vs Anastasia Zakharova	Anastasia Zakharova	39.3%	13.0%	13¢	+26.3pp	LOW	PAPER	111	clay	Round 1	+0.263
32	Katie Volynets vs Marta Kostyuk	Katie Volynets	42.2%	16.0%	16¢	+26.2pp	LOW	PAPER	223	clay	Round 2	+0.262
33	Zachary Svajda vs Alexei Popyrin	Zachary Svajda	39.0%	13.0%	13¢	+26.0pp	LOW	PAPER	205	clay	Round 1	+0.260
34	Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	48.5%	23.0%	23¢	+25.5pp	LOW	PAPER	1529	clay	Round 1	+0.255
35	Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier	Daniel Altmaier	50.5%	25.0%	25¢	+25.5pp	LOW	PAPER	2132	clay	Round 1	+0.255
36	Liudmila Samsonova vs Jil Teichmann	Jil Teichmann	49.2%	24.0%	24¢	+25.2pp	LOW	PAPER	295	clay	Round 1	+0.252
37	Emma Navarro vs Janice Tjen	Janice Tjen	51.9%	27.0%	27¢	+24.9pp	LOW	PAPER	931	clay	Round 1	+0.249
38	Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin	Roman Safiullin	38.5%	14.0%	14¢	+24.5pp	LOW	PAPER	2974	hard	Round Of 128	+0.245
39	Anna Kalinskaya vs Lois Boisson	Lois Boisson	62.5%	38.0%	38¢	+24.5pp	LOW	PAPER	816	clay	Round 1	+0.245
40	Alycia Parks vs Leylah Fernandez	Alycia Parks	45.9%	22.0%	22¢	+23.9pp	LOW	PAPER	618	clay	Round 1	+0.238
41	Terence Atmane vs Thanasi Kokkinakis	Thanasi Kokkinakis	50.7%	28.0%	28¢	+22.7pp	LOW	PAPER	1469	hard	Round Of 128	+0.227
42	Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alexandre Muller	Alexandre Muller	38.6%	16.0%	16¢	+22.6pp	LOW	PAPER	1294	hard	Round Of 128	+0.226
43	Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wang	Xiyu Wang	56.5%	34.0%	34¢	+22.5pp	LOW	PAPER	0	hard	Round Of 64	+0.225
44	Adrian Mannarino vs Ugo Humbert	Adrian Mannarino	37.0%	15.0%	15¢	+22.0pp	LOW	PAPER	557	hard	Round Of 128	+0.220
45	Novak Djokovic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	32.6%	11.0%	11¢	+21.6pp	LOW	PAPER	81173	hard	Round Of 128	+0.216
46	Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublev	Ignacio Buse	52.5%	31.0%	31¢	+21.5pp	LOW	PAPER	18044	clay	Round 1	+0.215
47	Ben Shelton vs Daniel Merida	Daniel Merida	45.2%	24.0%	24¢	+21.2pp	LOW	PAPER	1229	hard	Round Of 128	+0.212
48	McCartney Kessler vs Hanyu Guo	Hanyu Guo	51.2%	30.0%	30¢	+21.2pp	LOW	PAPER	82	hard	Round Of 128	+0.212
49	Jelena Ostapenko vs Ella Seidel	Ella Seidel	41.6%	21.0%	21¢	+20.6pp	LOW	PAPER	175	clay	Round 1	+0.207
50	Arthur Rinderknech vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	50.4%	30.0%	30¢	+20.4pp	LOW	PAPER	679	hard	Round Of 128	+0.204
51	Valentin Vacherot vs Thomas Faurel	Thomas Faurel	33.3%	13.0%	13¢	+20.3pp	LOW	PAPER	1360	hard	Round Of 128	+0.203
52	Alexander Zverev vs Tomas Machac	Tomas Machac	35.2%	15.0%	15¢	+20.2pp	LOW	PAPER	148	clay	Round 2	+0.202
53	Sloane Stephens vs Sara Bejlek	Sloane Stephens	29.2%	10.0%	10¢	+19.2pp	LOW	PAPER	268037	clay	Round 1	+0.192
54	Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Jacob Fearnley	Jacob Fearnley	42.1%	23.0%	23¢	+19.1pp	LOW	PAPER	176	clay	Round 1	+0.191
55	Roberto Bautista Agut vs Brandon Nakashima	Roberto Bautista Agut	42.5%	24.0%	24¢	+18.5pp	LOW	PAPER	470	clay	Round 1	+0.185
56	Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen Zheng	Maja Chwalinska	46.5%	28.0%	28¢	+18.5pp	LOW	PAPER	506	hard	Round Of 128	+0.185
57	Alexander Shevchenko vs Alex Michelsen	Alexander Shevchenko	59.4%	41.0%	41¢	+18.4pp	LOW	PAPER	5387	clay	Round 1	+0.184
58	Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Rafael Jodar	Aleksandar Kovacevic	30.3%	12.0%	12¢	+18.3pp	LOW	PAPER	4862	clay	Round 1	+0.183
59	Marin Cilic vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	45.2%	27.0%	27¢	+18.2pp	LOW	PAPER	3581	hard	Round Of 128	+0.182
60	Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Zhizhen Zhang	Zhizhen Zhang	51.1%	33.0%	33¢	+18.1pp	LOW	PAPER	2190	hard	Round Of 128	+0.181
61	Aleksandar Vukic vs Raphael Collignon	Aleksandar Vukic	27.1%	9.0%	9¢	+18.1pp	LOW	PAPER	1348	clay	Round 1	+0.181
62	Laura Siegemund vs Naomi Osaka	Laura Siegemund	42.8%	25.0%	25¢	+17.8pp	LOW	PAPER	296	clay	Round 1	+0.177
63	Sebastian Baez vs Roman Andres Burruchaga	Roman Andres Burruchaga	62.6%	45.0%	45¢	+17.6pp	LOW	PAPER	308	clay	Round 1	+0.176
64	Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Lorenzo Sonego	Pierre-Hugues Herbert	54.5%	37.0%	37¢	+17.5pp	LOW	PAPER	23553	hard	Round Of 128	+0.175
65	Coco Gauff vs Taylor Townsend	Taylor Townsend	30.2%	13.0%	13¢	+17.2pp	LOW	PAPER	1262	clay	Round 1	+0.172
66	Claire Liu vs Moyuka Uchijima	Moyuka Uchijima	63.0%	46.0%	46¢	+17.0pp	LOW	PAPER	100	clay	Round 1	+0.170
67	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Cameron Norrie	Cameron Norrie	65.0%	48.0%	48¢	+16.9pp	LOW	PAPER	2988	hard	Round Of 128	+0.169
68	Ethan Quinn vs Francisco Comesana	Ethan Quinn	62.9%	46.0%	46¢	+16.9pp	LOW	PAPER	211	hard	Round Of 128	+0.169
69	Corentin Moutet vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	55.7%	39.0%	39¢	+16.7pp	LOW	PAPER	264	clay	Round 1	+0.167
70	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	58.1%	42.0%	42¢	+16.1pp	LOW	PAPER	3115	hard	Round Of 64	+0.161
71	Jaqueline Cristian vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Kamilla Rakhimova	40.2%	25.0%	25¢	+15.2pp	LOW	PAPER	26	clay	Round 1	+0.152
72	Karen Khachanov vs Marco Trungelliti	Marco Trungelliti	37.0%	22.0%	22¢	+15.0pp	LOW	PAPER	191	hard	Round Of 64	+0.150
73	Clara Tauson vs Daria Snigur	Daria Snigur	49.8%	35.0%	35¢	+14.8pp	LOW	PAPER	201629	clay	Round 1	+0.148
74	Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	36.5%	23.0%	23¢	+13.5pp	LOW	PAPER	1677	hard	Round Of 128	+0.135
75	Talia Gibson vs Yulia Putintseva	Talia Gibson	41.2%	28.0%	28¢	+13.2pp	LOW	PAPER	184	clay	Round 1	+0.132
76	Maria Sakkari vs Linda Noskova	Maria Sakkari	44.0%	31.0%	31¢	+13.0pp	LOW	PAPER	6066	clay	Round 1	+0.130
77	Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper De Jong	Stan Wawrinka	50.5%	38.0%	38¢	+12.6pp	LOW	PAPER	1172	hard	Round Of 128	+0.125
78	Denis Shapovalov vs Jaime Faria	Denis Shapovalov	53.3%	41.0%	41¢	+12.3pp	LOW	PAPER	779	hard	Round Of 128	+0.123
79	Zeynep Sonmez vs Daria Kasatkina	Zeynep Sonmez	45.2%	33.0%	33¢	+12.2pp	LOW	PAPER	987	clay	Round 1	+0.122
80	Sebastian Ofner vs Luciano Darderi	Sebastian Ofner	38.7%	27.0%	27¢	+11.7pp	LOW	PAPER	5887	clay	Round 1	+0.117
81	Eva Lys vs Petra Marcinko	Petra Marcinko	63.5%	53.0%	53¢	+10.5pp	LOW	PAPER	1894	clay	Round 1	+0.105
82	Ashlyn Krueger vs Antonia Ruzic	Antonia Ruzic	48.9%	39.0%	39¢	+9.9pp	LOW	PAPER	8	clay	Round 1	+0.099
83	Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic	Panna Udvardy	64.6%	55.0%	55¢	+9.6pp	LOW	PAPER	242	clay	Round 1	+0.096
84	Valentin Royer vs Hugo Dellien	Valentin Royer	51.9%	43.0%	43¢	+8.9pp	LOW	PAPER	61487	hard	Round Of 128	+0.089
85	Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Taylor Fritz	49.3%	41.0%	41¢	+8.3pp	LOW	PAPER	1612838	clay	Round 1	+0.083
86	Hubert Hurkacz vs Jaume Munar	Hubert Hurkacz	63.1%	55.0%	55¢	+8.2pp	LOW	PAPER	1141	clay	Round 1	+0.081
87	Marcos Giron vs Yibing Wu	Yibing Wu	55.0%	47.0%	47¢	+8.0pp	LOW	PAPER	209	hard	Round Of 128	+0.080
88	Martin Landaluce vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	35.9%	28.0%	28¢	+8.0pp	LOW	PAPER	2123	hard	Round Of 128	+0.079
89	Marina Bassols Ribera vs Emiliana Arango	Marina Bassols Ribera	59.7%	52.0%	52¢	+7.7pp	LOW	PAPER	80672	clay	Round 1	+0.077
90	Learner Tien vs Cristian Garin	Learner Tien	69.9%	63.0%	63¢	+6.9pp	LOW	PAPER	24142	hard	Round Of 128	+0.069
91	Dayana Yastremska vs Jasmine Paolini	Dayana Yastremska	45.7%	39.0%	39¢	+6.7pp	LOW	PAPER	1748	clay	Round 1	+0.067
92	Flavio Cobolli vs Andrea Pellegrino	Andrea Pellegrino	33.6%	28.0%	28¢	+5.6pp	LOW	PAPER	727	hard	Round Of 128	+0.056
93	Gael Monfils vs Hugo Gaston	Hugo Gaston	54.5%	49.0%	49¢	+5.5pp	LOW	PAPER	2272	clay	Round 1	+0.055
94	Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Nuno Borges	46.4%	41.0%	41¢	+5.4pp	LOW	PAPER	0	hard	Round Of 64	+0.054
95	Alexandra Eala vs Iva Jovic	Alexandra Eala	36.2%	31.0%	31¢	+5.2pp	LOW	PAPER	1526	clay	Round 1	+0.052
96	Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Elena Pridankina	Elena Pridankina	41.0%	36.0%	36¢	+5.0pp	LOW	PAPER	262	clay	Round 1	+0.050
97	Matteo Berrettini vs Marton Fucsovics	Marton Fucsovics	40.2%	36.0%	36¢	+4.2pp	LOW	PAPER	580	clay	Round 1	+0.042
98	Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Camila Osorio	Ekaterina Alexandrova	48.0%	44.0%	44¢	+4.0pp	LOW	PAPER	473	clay	Round 1	+0.040
99	Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu Wang	Xinyu Wang	57.7%	55.0%	55¢	+2.7pp	LOW	PAPER	0	hard	Round Of 64	+0.027
100	Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Alina Korneeva	Alina Korneeva	37.6%	35.0%	35¢	+2.6pp	LOW	PAPER	359	clay	Round 1	+0.026
101	Elsa Jacquemot vs Linda Fruhvirtova	Elsa Jacquemot	56.9%	55.0%	55¢	+1.9pp	LOW	SKIP	453	clay	Round 1	+0.019
102	Emilio Nava vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	51.8%	50.0%	50¢	+1.8pp	LOW	SKIP	1240	hard	Round Of 128	+0.018
103	Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	56.7%	55.0%	55¢	+1.7pp	LOW	SKIP	177	clay	Round 1	+0.017
104	Leolia Jeanjean vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Leolia Jeanjean	55.6%	54.0%	54¢	+1.6pp	LOW	SKIP	1337	clay	Round 1	+0.016
105	Patrick Kypson vs Luca Van Assche	Luca Van Assche	53.2%	54.0%	54¢	-0.8pp	LOW	SKIP	78	hard	Round Of 128	-0.008
106	Diane Parry vs Anhelina Kalinina	Anhelina Kalinina	70.9%	71.0%	71¢	-0.1pp	LOW	SKIP	3526	clay	Round 1	-0.001

#	Player	Stat	PP line	Our proj	Edge %	Side	Tier	Opp	Surface	Demon	Payout
1	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard⏳ RTRN	Break Points Won	1.0	3.12	+212.2%	MORE	LOW	Novak Djokovic	clay	—	1.0x
2	Emerson Jones🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	4.5	10.78	+139.6%	MORE	LOW	Iga Swiatek	clay	—	0.5x
3	Kimberly Birrell	Total Games Won	4.5	9.00	+100.0%	MORE	LOW	Jessica Pegula	clay	—	0.5x
4	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard⏳ RTRN	Double Faults	4.5	0.00	+100.0%	LESS	LOW	Novak Djokovic	clay	—	1.0x
5	Sorana Cirstea🟨 WARM	Aces	1.5	2.83	+89.0%	MORE	LOW	Ksenia Efremova	clay	—	2.0x
6	Alexander Zverev🟨 WARM	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.12	+75.7%	LESS	LOW	Tomas Machac	clay	—	1.0x
7	Learner Tien🧊 COLD	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.12	+75.6%	LESS	LOW	Cristian Garin	clay	—	1.0x
8	Luciano Darderi🟨 WARM	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.12	+75.3%	LESS	LOW	Sebastian Ofner	clay	—	1.0x
9	Jaime Faria🟨 WARM	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.12	+75.3%	LESS	LOW	Denis Shapovalov	clay	—	1.0x
10	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Total Games Won	5.5	9.30	+69.1%	MORE	LOW	Aryna Sabalenka	clay	—	1.0x
11	Renata Zarazua🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	6.5	10.55	+62.3%	MORE	LOW	Diana Shnaider	clay	—	1.0x
12	Renata Zarazua🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	6.5	10.55	+62.3%	MORE	LOW	Diana Shnaider	clay	—	1.0x
13	Maya Joint⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	6.5	10.51	+61.8%	MORE	LOW	Anastasia Potapova	clay	—	0.5x
14	Learner Tien🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	19.5	8.63	+55.7%	LESS	LOW	Cristian Garin	clay	—	0.5x
15	Jaume Munar🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	19.5	9.14	+53.1%	LESS	LOW	Hubert Hurkacz	clay	—	0.5x
16	Iga Swiatek	Total Games	16.0	24.46	+52.9%	MORE	LOW	Emerson Jones	clay	—	0.5x
17	Sebastian Baez	Total Games Won	19.5	9.40	+51.8%	LESS	LOW	Roman Andres Burruchaga	clay	—	0.5x
18	Stan Wawrinka🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	18.5	8.92	+51.8%	LESS	LOW	Jesper De Jong	clay	—	0.5x
19	Lorenzo Sonego🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	20.5	9.91	+51.7%	LESS	LOW	Pierre-Hugues Herbert	clay	—	0.5x
20	Alex Michelsen🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	19.5	9.43	+51.6%	LESS	LOW	Alexander Shevchenko	clay	—	0.5x
21	Martin Landaluce	Total Games Won	19.5	9.49	+51.4%	LESS	LOW	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	clay	—	0.5x
22	Zhizhen Zhang🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	18.5	9.07	+51.0%	LESS	LOW	Facundo Diaz Acosta	clay	—	0.5x
23	Marcos Giron	Total Games Won	19.5	9.60	+50.8%	LESS	LOW	Yibing Wu	clay	—	0.5x
24	Facundo Diaz Acosta⏳ RTRN	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.25	+50.5%	LESS	LOW	Zhizhen Zhang	clay	—	1.0x
25	Patrick Kypson🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	19.5	9.66	+50.4%	LESS	LOW	Luca Van Assche	clay	—	0.5x
26	Cameron Norrie🟨 WARM	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.25	+50.4%	LESS	LOW	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	clay	—	1.0x
27	Alex Michelsen🧊 COLD	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.25	+50.3%	LESS	LOW	Alexander Shevchenko	clay	—	1.0x
28	Patrick Kypson🧊 COLD	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.25	+50.1%	LESS	LOW	Luca Van Assche	clay	—	1.0x
29	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.25	+49.9%	LESS	LOW	Emilio Nava	clay	—	1.0x
30	Alexei Popyrin	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.25	+49.9%	LESS	LOW	Zachary Svajda	clay	—	1.0x
31	Cameron Norrie🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	19.5	9.79	+49.8%	LESS	LOW	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	clay	—	0.5x
32	Tallon Griekspoor🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	19.5	9.80	+49.8%	LESS	LOW	Matteo Arnaldi	clay	—	0.5x
33	Terence Atmane	Total Games Won	20.5	10.30	+49.7%	LESS	LOW	Thanasi Kokkinakis	clay	—	1.0x
34	Andrey Rublev🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	20.5	10.33	+49.6%	LESS	LOW	Ignacio Buse	clay	—	0.5x
35	Francisco Comesana🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	19.5	9.87	+49.4%	LESS	LOW	Ethan Quinn	clay	—	0.5x
36	Arthur Rinderknech	Total Games Won	20.5	10.42	+49.2%	LESS	LOW	Jurij Rodionov	clay	—	0.5x
37	Gael Monfils🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	19.5	9.91	+49.2%	LESS	LOW	Hugo Gaston	clay	—	0.5x
38	Felix Auger-Aliassime🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	20.5	10.45	+49.0%	LESS	LOW	Daniel Altmaier	clay	—	0.5x
39	Corentin Moutet	Total Games Won	19.5	9.98	+48.8%	LESS	LOW	Vit Kopriva	clay	—	0.5x
40	Denis Shapovalov	Total Games Won	18.5	9.49	+48.7%	LESS	LOW	Jaime Faria	clay	—	0.5x
41	Jan-Lennard Struff🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	17.5	9.01	+48.5%	LESS	LOW	Alexander Bublik	clay	—	0.5x
42	Emilio Nava	Total Games Won	19.5	10.15	+48.0%	LESS	LOW	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	clay	—	0.5x
43	Marton Fucsovics	Total Games Won	18.5	9.65	+47.8%	LESS	LOW	Matteo Berrettini	clay	—	0.5x
44	Anna Bondar🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	7.5	11.06	+47.5%	MORE	LOW	Elina Svitolina	clay	—	0.5x
45	Brandon Nakashima	Total Games Won	20.5	10.84	+47.1%	LESS	LOW	Roberto Bautista Agut	clay	—	0.5x
46	Jiri Lehecka🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	20.0	10.58	+47.1%	LESS	LOW	Pablo Carreno Busta	clay	—	0.5x
47	Ugo Humbert🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	19.5	10.36	+46.9%	LESS	LOW	Adrian Mannarino	clay	—	0.5x
48	Alexander Bublik🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	20.5	11.01	+46.3%	LESS	LOW	Jan-Lennard Struff	clay	—	0.5x
49	Hanne Vandewinkel🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	6.5	9.50	+46.2%	MORE	LOW	Madison Keys	clay	—	0.5x
50	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard⏳ RTRN	Aces	11.5	6.20	+46.1%	LESS	LOW	Novak Djokovic	clay	—	1.0x
51	Hugo Gaston	Total Games Won	19.5	10.51	+46.1%	LESS	LOW	Gael Monfils	clay	—	0.5x
52	Pierre-Hugues Herbert	Total Games Won	19.5	10.52	+46.1%	LESS	LOW	Lorenzo Sonego	clay	—	0.5x
53	Ethan Quinn	Total Games Won	19.5	10.54	+45.9%	LESS	LOW	Francisco Comesana	clay	—	0.5x
54	Sebastian Ofner	Total Games Won	17.5	9.48	+45.8%	LESS	LOW	Luciano Darderi	clay	—	0.5x
55	Alejandro Tabilo🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	19.5	10.57	+45.8%	LESS	LOW	Kamil Majchrzak	clay	—	0.5x
56	Matteo Arnaldi🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	19.5	10.71	+45.1%	LESS	LOW	Tallon Griekspoor	clay	—	0.5x
57	Hugo Dellien⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	19.5	10.72	+45.0%	LESS	LOW	Valentin Royer	clay	—	0.5x
58	Matteo Berrettini	Total Games Won	20.5	11.35	+44.6%	LESS	LOW	Marton Fucsovics	clay	—	0.5x
59	Luca Van Assche	Total Games Won	19.5	10.82	+44.5%	LESS	LOW	Patrick Kypson	clay	—	0.5x
60	Hubert Hurkacz🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	20.5	11.38	+44.5%	LESS	LOW	Jaume Munar	clay	—	0.5x
61	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Total Games Won	19.5	10.87	+44.3%	LESS	LOW	Emilio Nava	clay	—	0.5x
62	Facundo Diaz Acosta⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	20.5	11.47	+44.1%	LESS	LOW	Zhizhen Zhang	clay	—	0.5x
63	Moise Kouame	Total Games Won	17.5	9.79	+44.0%	LESS	LOW	Marin Cilic	clay	—	0.5x
64	Andrea Pellegrino	Total Games Won	17.5	9.87	+43.6%	LESS	LOW	Flavio Cobolli	clay	—	0.5x
65	Alexandre Muller	Total Games Won	15.5	8.75	+43.5%	LESS	LOW	Stefanos Tsitsipas	clay	—	0.5x
66	Luciano Darderi🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	20.5	11.60	+43.4%	LESS	LOW	Sebastian Ofner	clay	—	0.5x
67	Jurij Rodionov🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	18.5	10.52	+43.1%	LESS	LOW	Arthur Rinderknech	clay	—	0.5x
68	Jesper De Jong	Total Games Won	20.5	11.66	+43.1%	LESS	LOW	Stan Wawrinka	clay	—	0.5x
69	Flavio Cobolli🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	19.5	11.15	+42.8%	LESS	LOW	Andrea Pellegrino	clay	—	0.5x
70	Alexei Popyrin	Total Games Won	19.5	11.22	+42.5%	LESS	LOW	Zachary Svajda	clay	—	0.5x
71	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	19.5	11.23	+42.4%	LESS	LOW	Cameron Norrie	clay	—	0.5x
72	Juan Manuel Cerundolo🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	19.5	11.26	+42.3%	LESS	LOW	Jacob Fearnley	clay	—	0.5x
73	Marin Cilic	Total Games Won	19.5	11.26	+42.2%	LESS	LOW	Moise Kouame	clay	—	0.5x
74	Ignacio Buse	Total Games Won	18.5	10.71	+42.1%	LESS	LOW	Andrey Rublev	clay	—	0.5x
75	Yibing Wu🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	19.5	11.39	+41.6%	LESS	LOW	Marcos Giron	clay	—	0.5x
76	Roberto Bautista Agut🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	16.5	9.67	+41.4%	LESS	LOW	Brandon Nakashima	clay	—	0.5x
77	Jaime Faria🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	19.5	11.59	+40.6%	LESS	LOW	Denis Shapovalov	clay	—	0.5x
78	Ignacio Buse	Total Games Won	18.0	10.71	+40.5%	LESS	LOW	Andrey Rublev	clay	—	0.5x
79	Vit Kopriva🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	18.5	11.02	+40.4%	LESS	LOW	Corentin Moutet	clay	—	0.5x
80	Stefanos Tsitsipas	Total Games Won	20.5	12.24	+40.3%	LESS	LOW	Alexandre Muller	clay	—	0.5x
81	Roman Andres Burruchaga🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	19.5	11.65	+40.3%	LESS	LOW	Sebastian Baez	clay	—	0.5x
82	Alexander Shevchenko	Total Games Won	18.5	11.06	+40.2%	LESS	LOW	Alex Michelsen	clay	—	0.5x
83	Mariano Navone🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	19.5	11.66	+40.2%	LESS	LOW	Jenson Brooksby	clay	—	0.5x
84	Valentin Vacherot🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	19.5	11.74	+39.8%	LESS	LOW	Thomas Faurel	clay	—	0.5x
85	Daniel Altmaier	Total Games Won	17.5	10.56	+39.7%	LESS	LOW	Felix Auger-Aliassime	clay	—	0.5x
86	Novak Djokovic⏳ RTRN	Aces	4.5	6.27	+39.3%	MORE	LOW	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	clay	—	1.0x
87	Thanasi Kokkinakis⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	17.5	10.63	+39.3%	LESS	LOW	Terence Atmane	clay	—	0.5x
88	Ugo Humbert🧊 COLD	Break Points Won	5.5	3.35	+39.1%	LESS	LOW	Adrian Mannarino	clay	—	1.0x
89	Sorana Cirstea🟨 WARM	Total Games	17.0	23.60	+38.8%	MORE	LOW	Ksenia Efremova	clay	—	0.5x
90	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	15.5	9.49	+38.8%	LESS	LOW	Novak Djokovic	clay	—	0.5x
91	Thiago Agustin Tirante🟨 WARM	Total Games	40.5	24.87	+38.6%	LESS	LOW	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	clay	—	0.5x
92	Jesper De Jong	Total Games	38.5	24.21	+37.1%	LESS	LOW	Stan Wawrinka	clay	—	0.5x
93	Pablo Carreno Busta🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	16.5	10.39	+37.0%	LESS	LOW	Jiri Lehecka	clay	—	0.5x
94	Francisco Cerundolo🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	19.5	12.28	+37.0%	LESS	LOW	Botic Van de Zandschulp	clay	—	0.5x
95	Facundo Diaz Acosta⏳ RTRN	Total Games	39.0	24.61	+36.9%	LESS	LOW	Zhizhen Zhang	clay	—	0.5x
96	Learner Tien🧊 COLD	Total Games	37.5	23.70	+36.8%	LESS	LOW	Cristian Garin	clay	—	0.5x
97	Alycia Parks🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	7.5	10.21	+36.2%	MORE	LOW	Leylah Fernandez	clay	—	0.5x
98	Tallon Griekspoor🧊 COLD	Total Games	39.5	25.22	+36.2%	LESS	LOW	Matteo Arnaldi	clay	—	0.5x
99	Hubert Hurkacz🟨 WARM	Total Games	38.5	24.59	+36.1%	LESS	LOW	Jaume Munar	clay	—	0.5x
100	Amanda Anisimova⏳ RTRN	Total Games	17.5	23.78	+35.9%	MORE	LOW	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	clay	—	0.5x
101	Cristian Garin	Total Games Won	18.5	11.90	+35.7%	LESS	LOW	Learner Tien	clay	—	0.5x
102	Botic Van de Zandschulp⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	13.5	8.72	+35.4%	LESS	LOW	Francisco Cerundolo	clay	—	0.5x
103	Cameron Norrie🟨 WARM	Total Games	38.5	24.88	+35.4%	LESS	LOW	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	clay	—	0.5x
104	Sebastian Baez	Total Games	37.5	24.29	+35.2%	LESS	LOW	Roman Andres Burruchaga	clay	—	0.5x
105	Learner Tien🧊 COLD	Total Games	36.5	23.70	+35.1%	LESS	LOW	Cristian Garin	clay	—	0.5x
106	Miomir Kecmanovic🧊 COLD	Total Games	38.5	25.10	+34.8%	LESS	LOW	Nuno Borges	clay	—	1.0x
107	Jacob Fearnley⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	15.0	9.78	+34.8%	LESS	LOW	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	clay	—	0.5x
108	Francisco Comesana🧊 COLD	Total Games	38.5	25.14	+34.7%	LESS	LOW	Ethan Quinn	clay	—	0.5x
109	Jaime Faria🟨 WARM	Total Games	37.5	24.52	+34.6%	LESS	LOW	Denis Shapovalov	clay	—	0.5x
110	Alexander Bublik🧊 COLD	Total Games	37.5	24.54	+34.6%	LESS	LOW	Jan-Lennard Struff	clay	—	0.5x
111	Marcos Giron	Total Games	37.5	24.59	+34.4%	LESS	LOW	Yibing Wu	clay	—	0.5x
112	Facundo Diaz Acosta⏳ RTRN	Total Games	37.5	24.61	+34.4%	LESS	LOW	Zhizhen Zhang	clay	—	0.5x
113	Aryna Sabalenka🟨 WARM	Total Games	17.5	23.50	+34.3%	MORE	LOW	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	clay	—	0.5x
114	Hugo Gaston	Total Games	38.5	25.34	+34.2%	LESS	LOW	Gael Monfils	clay	—	0.5x
115	Aleksandar Vukic🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	12.5	8.23	+34.1%	LESS	LOW	Raphael Collignon	clay	—	0.5x
116	Adrian Mannarino🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	14.5	9.55	+34.1%	LESS	LOW	Ugo Humbert	clay	—	0.5x
117	Hugo Dellien⏳ RTRN	Total Games	38.0	25.10	+33.9%	LESS	LOW	Valentin Royer	clay	—	0.5x
118	Anastasia Zakharova🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	7.0	9.37	+33.9%	MORE	LOW	Karolina Muchova	clay	—	0.5x
119	Jenson Brooksby🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	13.5	8.93	+33.9%	LESS	LOW	Mariano Navone	clay	—	0.5x
120	Francisco Comesana🧊 COLD	Total Games	38.0	25.14	+33.9%	LESS	LOW	Ethan Quinn	clay	—	0.5x
121	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	17.5	11.60	+33.7%	LESS	LOW	Martin Landaluce	clay	—	0.5x
122	Matteo Berrettini	Total Games	37.0	24.60	+33.5%	LESS	LOW	Marton Fucsovics	clay	—	0.5x
123	Alex Michelsen🧊 COLD	Total Games	37.5	25.05	+33.2%	LESS	LOW	Alexander Shevchenko	clay	—	0.5x
124	Corentin Moutet	Total Games	37.5	25.09	+33.1%	LESS	LOW	Vit Kopriva	clay	—	0.5x
125	Kamil Majchrzak⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	15.5	10.37	+33.1%	LESS	LOW	Alejandro Tabilo	clay	—	0.5x
126	Elise Mertens	Total Games	18.0	23.94	+33.0%	MORE	LOW	Tatjana Maria	clay	—	0.5x
127	Patrick Kypson🧊 COLD	Total Games	37.5	25.15	+33.0%	LESS	LOW	Luca Van Assche	clay	—	0.5x
128	Arthur Rinderknech	Total Games	37.5	25.17	+32.9%	LESS	LOW	Jurij Rodionov	clay	—	0.5x
129	Luciano Darderi🟨 WARM	Total Games	36.5	24.50	+32.9%	LESS	LOW	Sebastian Ofner	clay	—	0.5x
130	Felix Auger-Aliassime🟨 WARM	Total Games	37.5	25.20	+32.8%	LESS	LOW	Daniel Altmaier	clay	—	0.5x
131	Martin Landaluce	Total Games	36.5	24.54	+32.8%	LESS	LOW	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	clay	—	0.5x
132	Alexander Bublik🧊 COLD	Total Games	36.5	24.54	+32.8%	LESS	LOW	Jan-Lennard Struff	clay	—	0.5x
133	Terence Atmane	Total Games	37.5	25.23	+32.7%	LESS	LOW	Thanasi Kokkinakis	clay	—	0.5x
134	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Total Games	37.5	25.23	+32.7%	LESS	LOW	Emilio Nava	clay	—	0.5x
135	Andrey Rublev🟨 WARM	Total Games	37.0	25.17	+32.0%	LESS	LOW	Ignacio Buse	clay	—	0.5x
136	Aleksandar Kovacevic🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	12.5	8.51	+31.9%	LESS	LOW	Rafael Jodar	clay	—	0.5x
137	Felix Auger-Aliassime🟨 WARM	Total Games	37.0	25.20	+31.9%	LESS	LOW	Daniel Altmaier	clay	—	0.5x
138	Anastasia Potapova🟨 WARM	Total Games	18.5	24.36	+31.7%	MORE	LOW	Maya Joint	clay	—	0.5x
139	Thomas Faurel	Total Games Won	13.5	9.27	+31.4%	LESS	LOW	Valentin Vacherot	clay	—	0.5x
140	Madison Keys⏳ RTRN	Total Games	18.5	24.30	+31.4%	MORE	LOW	Hanne Vandewinkel	clay	—	0.5x
141	Alexander Zverev🟨 WARM	Total Games	34.5	23.78	+31.1%	LESS	LOW	Tomas Machac	clay	—	0.5x
142	Brandon Nakashima	Total Games	36.5	25.17	+31.0%	LESS	LOW	Roberto Bautista Agut	clay	—	0.5x
143	Flavio Cobolli🟨 WARM	Total Games	36.5	25.18	+31.0%	LESS	LOW	Andrea Pellegrino	clay	—	0.5x
144	Novak Djokovic⏳ RTRN	Total Games	35.5	24.51	+31.0%	LESS	LOW	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	clay	—	0.5x
145	Zachary Svajda🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	13.5	9.32	+30.9%	LESS	LOW	Alexei Popyrin	clay	—	0.5x
146	Raphael Collignon⏳ RTRN	Total Games	32.0	22.18	+30.7%	LESS	LOW	Aleksandar Vukic	clay	—	0.5x
147	Karen Khachanov🧊 COLD	Total Games	35.5	24.64	+30.6%	LESS	LOW	Marco Trungelliti	clay	—	0.5x
148	Alexander Zverev🟨 WARM	Total Sets	3.5	2.43	+30.5%	LESS	LOW	Tomas Machac	clay	—	1.0x
149	Valentin Vacherot🟨 WARM	Total Sets	3.5	2.45	+29.9%	LESS	LOW	Thomas Faurel	clay	—	1.0x
150	Mariano Navone🟨 WARM	Total Sets	3.5	2.46	+29.7%	LESS	LOW	Jenson Brooksby	clay	—	1.0x
151	Novak Djokovic⏳ RTRN	Total Sets	3.5	2.46	+29.6%	LESS	LOW	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	clay	—	1.0x
152	Jiri Lehecka🟨 WARM	Total Games	35.5	25.13	+29.2%	LESS	LOW	Pablo Carreno Busta	clay	—	0.5x
153	Stefanos Tsitsipas	Total Games	35.5	25.17	+29.1%	LESS	LOW	Alexandre Muller	clay	—	0.5x
154	Alejandro Tabilo🟨 WARM	Total Games	35.5	25.20	+29.0%	LESS	LOW	Kamil Majchrzak	clay	—	0.5x
155	Francisco Cerundolo🟨 WARM	Total Sets	3.5	2.49	+29.0%	LESS	LOW	Botic Van de Zandschulp	clay	—	1.0x
156	Stefanos Tsitsipas	Total Sets	3.5	2.49	+28.8%	LESS	LOW	Alexandre Muller	clay	—	1.0x
157	Diana Shnaider	Total Games	19.0	24.45	+28.7%	MORE	LOW	Renata Zarazua	clay	—	0.5x
158	Ugo Humbert🧊 COLD	Total Sets	3.5	2.50	+28.6%	LESS	LOW	Adrian Mannarino	clay	—	1.0x
159	Alexei Popyrin	Total Sets	3.5	2.50	+28.4%	LESS	LOW	Zachary Svajda	clay	—	1.0x
160	Stefanos Tsitsipas	Total Games	35.0	25.17	+28.1%	LESS	LOW	Alexandre Muller	clay	—	0.5x
161	Valentin Vacherot🟨 WARM	Total Games	33.5	24.11	+28.0%	LESS	LOW	Thomas Faurel	clay	—	0.5x
162	Juan Manuel Cerundolo🟨 WARM	Total Games	34.5	24.91	+27.8%	LESS	LOW	Jacob Fearnley	clay	—	0.5x
163	Clement Tabur🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	7.0	8.94	+27.7%	MORE	LOW	Jannik Sinner	clay	—	0.5x
164	Clara Tauson⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	14.5	10.52	+27.4%	LESS	LOW	Daria Snigur	clay	—	1.0x
165	Akasha Urhobo🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	9.5	12.04	+26.7%	MORE	LOW	Katie Boulter	clay	—	1.0x
166	Juan Manuel Cerundolo🟨 WARM	Total Games	34.0	24.91	+26.7%	LESS	LOW	Jacob Fearnley	clay	—	0.5x
167	Alexei Popyrin	Total Games	34.0	25.05	+26.3%	LESS	LOW	Zachary Svajda	clay	—	0.5x
168	Rafael Jodar🟨 WARM	Total Games	31.5	23.22	+26.3%	LESS	LOW	Aleksandar Kovacevic	clay	—	0.5x
169	Karolina Muchova⏳ RTRN	Total Games	19.0	23.90	+25.8%	MORE	LOW	Anastasia Zakharova	clay	—	0.5x
170	Francisco Comesana🧊 COLD	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.37	+25.5%	LESS	LOW	Ethan Quinn	clay	—	1.0x
171	Mariano Navone🟨 WARM	Total Games	32.5	24.26	+25.3%	LESS	LOW	Jenson Brooksby	clay	—	0.5x
172	Hugo Dellien⏳ RTRN	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.37	+25.3%	LESS	LOW	Valentin Royer	clay	—	1.0x
173	Brandon Nakashima	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.37	+25.3%	LESS	LOW	Roberto Bautista Agut	clay	—	1.0x
174	Alexei Popyrin	Total Games	33.5	25.05	+25.2%	LESS	LOW	Zachary Svajda	clay	—	0.5x
175	Francisco Cerundolo🟨 WARM	Total Games	33.5	25.06	+25.2%	LESS	LOW	Botic Van de Zandschulp	clay	—	0.5x
176	Tallon Griekspoor🧊 COLD	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.37	+25.1%	LESS	LOW	Matteo Arnaldi	clay	—	1.0x
177	Alejandro Tabilo🟨 WARM	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.37	+25.1%	LESS	LOW	Kamil Majchrzak	clay	—	1.0x
178	Jiri Lehecka🟨 WARM	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.37	+25.0%	LESS	LOW	Pablo Carreno Busta	clay	—	1.0x
179	Leylah Fernandez🟨 WARM	Total Games	19.5	24.38	+25.0%	MORE	LOW	Alycia Parks	clay	—	0.5x
180	Ugo Humbert🧊 COLD	Total Games	33.5	25.16	+24.9%	LESS	LOW	Adrian Mannarino	clay	—	0.5x
181	Hugo Gaston	Total Tie Breaks	0.5	0.38	+24.7%	LESS	LOW	Gael Monfils	clay	—	1.0x
182	Jelena Ostapenko	Total Games	19.5	24.28	+24.5%	MORE	LOW	Ella Seidel	clay	—	0.5x
183	Elina Svitolina	Total Games	19.5	24.20	+24.1%	MORE	LOW	Anna Bondar	clay	—	0.5x
184	Roman Safiullin🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	13.5	10.31	+23.6%	LESS	LOW	Casper Ruud	clay	—	0.5x
185	Roman Safiullin🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	13.5	10.31	+23.6%	LESS	LOW	Casper Ruud	clay	—	0.5x
186	Alice Tubello🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	9.5	11.71	+23.3%	MORE	LOW	Donna Vekic	clay	—	0.5x
187	Marta Kostyuk🟨 WARM	Total Games	19.5	24.01	+23.1%	MORE	LOW	Katie Volynets	clay	—	0.5x
188	Casper Ruud🟨 WARM	Total Games	32.5	25.09	+22.8%	LESS	LOW	Roman Safiullin	clay	—	0.5x
189	Tommy Paul🟨 WARM	Total Games	29.5	22.83	+22.6%	LESS	LOW	Rinky Hijikata	clay	—	0.5x
190	Rebecca Sramkova	Break Points Won	5.5	4.27	+22.4%	LESS	LOW	Julia Grabher	clay	—	1.0x
191	Toby Samuel🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	12.5	9.74	+22.1%	LESS	LOW	Alex de Minaur	clay	—	0.5x
192	Katie Boulter	Break Points Won	5.0	3.91	+21.7%	LESS	LOW	Akasha Urhobo	clay	—	1.0x
193	Jaqueline Cristian	Total Games	20.0	24.15	+20.7%	MORE	LOW	Kamilla Rakhimova	clay	—	0.5x
194	Alina Korneeva🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	11.5	9.15	+20.4%	LESS	LOW	Elisabetta Cocciaretto	clay	—	0.5x
195	Simona Waltert🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	10.0	12.01	+20.1%	MORE	LOW	Katerina Siniakova	clay	—	0.5x
196	Camila Osorio	Total Games	20.5	24.56	+19.8%	MORE	LOW	Ekaterina Alexandrova	clay	—	0.5x
197	Ella Seidel🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	8.0	9.56	+19.5%	MORE	LOW	Jelena Ostapenko	clay	—	0.5x
198	Novak Djokovic⏳ RTRN	Break Points Won	4.5	3.62	+19.5%	LESS	LOW	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	clay	—	1.0x
199	Amanda Anisimova⏳ RTRN	Break Points Won	5.5	4.44	+19.3%	LESS	LOW	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	clay	—	1.0x
200	Liudmila Samsonova	Total Games	20.5	24.42	+19.1%	MORE	LOW	Jil Teichmann	clay	—	0.5x
201	Daria Kasatkina🟨 WARM	Total Games	20.5	24.31	+18.6%	MORE	LOW	Zeynep Sonmez	clay	—	0.5x
202	Cristina Bucsa🟨 WARM	Total Games	20.5	24.29	+18.5%	MORE	LOW	Susan Bandecchi	clay	—	0.5x
203	McCartney Kessler⏳ RTRN	Total Games	20.5	24.28	+18.4%	MORE	LOW	Hanyu Guo	clay	—	0.5x
204	Emma Navarro⏳ RTRN	Total Games	20.5	24.28	+18.4%	MORE	LOW	Janice Tjen	clay	—	0.5x
205	Anastasia Potapova🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	6.0	4.93	+17.9%	LESS	LOW	Maya Joint	clay	—	1.0x
206	Susan Bandecchi🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	9.5	11.19	+17.8%	MORE	LOW	Cristina Bucsa	clay	—	0.5x
207	Frances Tiafoe⏳ RTRN	Total Games	30.5	25.11	+17.7%	LESS	LOW	Eliot Spizzirri	clay	—	0.5x
208	Naomi Osaka🟨 WARM	Total Games	20.5	23.99	+17.0%	MORE	LOW	Laura Siegemund	clay	—	0.5x
209	Belinda Bencic🟨 WARM	Total Games	20.5	23.98	+17.0%	MORE	LOW	Caty McNally	clay	—	0.5x
210	Nikola Bartunkova	Total Games Won	9.0	10.52	+16.9%	MORE	LOW	Victoria Mboko	clay	—	0.5x
211	Oleksandra Oliynykova	Total Games	20.5	23.77	+15.9%	MORE	LOW	Elena Pridankina	clay	—	0.5x
212	Oleksandra Oliynykova	Total Games	20.5	23.77	+15.9%	MORE	LOW	Elena Pridankina	clay	—	0.5x
213	Yulia Putintseva	Total Games	20.5	23.76	+15.9%	MORE	LOW	Talia Gibson	clay	—	0.5x
214	Cristina Bucsa🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	5.5	4.63	+15.9%	LESS	LOW	Susan Bandecchi	clay	—	1.0x
215	Elisabetta Cocciaretto	Total Games	20.5	23.75	+15.9%	MORE	LOW	Alina Korneeva	clay	—	0.5x
216	Rinky Hijikata	Total Games Won	10.5	8.88	+15.4%	LESS	LOW	Tommy Paul	clay	—	0.5x
217	Linda Fruhvirtova🧊 COLD	Total Games	21.0	24.17	+15.1%	MORE	LOW	Elsa Jacquemot	clay	—	0.5x
218	Daria Kasatkina🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	6.0	5.11	+14.8%	LESS	LOW	Zeynep Sonmez	clay	—	1.0x
219	Daniil Medvedev	Total Games	28.5	24.48	+14.1%	LESS	LOW	Adam Walton	clay	—	0.5x
220	Linda Noskova🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	24.52	+14.0%	MORE	LOW	Maria Sakkari	clay	—	0.5x
221	Ashlyn Krueger	Total Games	21.5	24.48	+13.8%	MORE	LOW	Antonia Ruzic	clay	—	0.5x
222	Hailey Baptiste🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	24.48	+13.8%	MORE	LOW	Xiyu Wang	clay	—	1.0x
223	Ann Li	Total Games	20.5	23.33	+13.8%	MORE	LOW	Shuai Zhang	clay	—	0.5x
224	Jil Teichmann🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	9.0	10.23	+13.7%	MORE	LOW	Liudmila Samsonova	clay	—	0.5x
225	Qinwen Zheng	Total Games	21.5	24.43	+13.6%	MORE	LOW	Maja Chwalinska	clay	—	0.5x
226	Maja Chwalinska⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	9.5	10.78	+13.5%	MORE	LOW	Qinwen Zheng	clay	—	0.5x
227	Donna Vekic🟨 WARM	Total Games	20.5	23.25	+13.4%	MORE	LOW	Alice Tubello	clay	—	0.5x
228	Leolia Jeanjean	Total Games	21.5	24.36	+13.3%	MORE	LOW	Kaitlin Quevedo	clay	—	0.5x
229	Coco Gauff🟨 WARM	Total Games	19.0	21.49	+13.1%	MORE	LOW	Taylor Townsend	clay	—	0.5x
230	Iga Swiatek	Break Points Won	5.5	4.78	+13.1%	LESS	LOW	Emerson Jones	clay	—	1.0x
231	Eliot Spizzirri⏳ RTRN	Total Games Won	11.5	10.01	+12.9%	LESS	LOW	Frances Tiafoe	clay	—	0.5x
232	Linda Fruhvirtova🧊 COLD	Total Games	21.5	24.17	+12.4%	MORE	LOW	Elsa Jacquemot	clay	—	0.5x
233	Diane Parry🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	9.5	8.38	+11.8%	LESS	LOW	Anhelina Kalinina	clay	—	0.5x
234	Diane Parry🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	9.5	8.38	+11.8%	LESS	LOW	Anhelina Kalinina	clay	—	0.5x
235	Alexandra Eala	Total Games Won	10.5	9.27	+11.7%	LESS	LOW	Iva Jovic	clay	—	0.5x
236	Janice Tjen🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	9.5	10.56	+11.1%	MORE	LOW	Emma Navarro	clay	—	0.5x
237	Jasmine Paolini🧊 COLD	Total Games	21.5	23.89	+11.1%	MORE	LOW	Dayana Yastremska	clay	—	0.5x
238	Antonia Ruzic🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	11.5	10.25	+10.8%	LESS	LOW	Ashlyn Krueger	clay	—	0.5x
239	Nikola Bartunkova	Total Games Won	9.5	10.52	+10.7%	MORE	LOW	Victoria Mboko	clay	—	0.5x
240	Eva Lys🧊 COLD	Total Games	21.5	23.77	+10.6%	MORE	LOW	Petra Marcinko	clay	—	0.5x
241	Katerina Siniakova🟨 WARM	Total Games	20.5	22.53	+9.9%	MORE	LOW	Simona Waltert	clay	—	0.5x
242	Jannik Sinner🟨 WARM	Total Games	25.5	23.24	+8.9%	LESS	LOW	Clement Tabur	clay	—	0.5x
243	Katie Boulter	Total Games	20.5	22.31	+8.8%	MORE	LOW	Akasha Urhobo	clay	—	0.5x
244	Rebecca Sramkova	Total Games	21.5	23.36	+8.7%	MORE	LOW	Julia Grabher	clay	—	0.5x
245	Claire Liu🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	23.36	+8.7%	MORE	LOW	Moyuka Uchijima	clay	—	0.5x
246	Camila Osorio	Break Points Won	5.5	5.04	+8.4%	LESS	LOW	Ekaterina Alexandrova	clay	—	1.0x
247	Anhelina Kalinina🟨 WARM	Total Games	20.5	22.21	+8.3%	MORE	LOW	Diane Parry	clay	—	0.5x
248	Elena Pridankina🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	10.5	9.64	+8.2%	LESS	LOW	Oleksandra Oliynykova	clay	—	0.5x
249	Panna Udvardy🟨 WARM	Total Games	21.5	23.07	+7.3%	MORE	LOW	Viktorija Golubic	clay	—	0.5x
250	Panna Udvardy🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	5.0	5.36	+7.1%	MORE	LOW	Viktorija Golubic	clay	—	1.0x
251	Maria Sakkari🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	10.5	9.78	+6.8%	LESS	LOW	Linda Noskova	clay	—	1.0x
252	Elina Svitolina	Break Points Won	5.0	4.66	+6.8%	LESS	LOW	Anna Bondar	clay	—	1.0x
253	Shuai Zhang🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	9.5	8.86	+6.7%	LESS	LOW	Ann Li	clay	—	1.0x
254	McCartney Kessler⏳ RTRN	Break Points Won	5.0	4.70	+5.9%	LESS	LOW	Hanyu Guo	clay	—	1.0x
255	Zeynep Sonmez🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	9.5	10.04	+5.7%	MORE	LOW	Daria Kasatkina	clay	—	1.0x
256	Elise Mertens	Break Points Won	5.5	5.19	+5.7%	LESS	LOW	Tatjana Maria	clay	—	1.0x
257	Yulia Putintseva	Break Points Won	5.5	5.19	+5.6%	LESS	LOW	Talia Gibson	clay	—	1.0x
258	Petra Marcinko	Break Points Won	5.0	5.27	+5.4%	MORE	LOW	Eva Lys	clay	—	1.0x
259	Sorana Cirstea🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	5.0	5.27	+5.4%	MORE	LOW	Ksenia Efremova	clay	—	1.0x
260	Adam Walton🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	9.5	8.99	+5.3%	LESS	LOW	Daniil Medvedev	clay	—	0.5x
261	Hanyu Guo🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	10.5	10.97	+4.5%	MORE	LOW	McCartney Kessler	clay	—	0.5x
262	Zeynep Sonmez🟨 WARM	Total Games Won	10.5	10.04	+4.3%	LESS	LOW	Daria Kasatkina	clay	—	1.0x
263	Liudmila Samsonova	Break Points Won	5.0	4.80	+4.0%	LESS	LOW	Jil Teichmann	clay	—	1.0x
264	Laura Siegemund	Total Games Won	9.5	9.87	+3.9%	MORE	LOW	Naomi Osaka	clay	—	0.5x
265	Qinwen Zheng	Break Points Won	5.0	4.82	+3.7%	LESS	LOW	Maja Chwalinska	clay	—	1.0x
266	Anna Kalinskaya	Total Games	21.5	22.16	+3.1%	MORE	LOW	Lois Boisson	clay	—	0.5x
267	Karolina Muchova⏳ RTRN	Break Points Won	5.0	5.15	+2.9%	MORE	LOW	Anastasia Zakharova	clay	—	1.0x
268	Jelena Ostapenko	Break Points Won	5.0	5.11	+2.1%	MORE	LOW	Ella Seidel	clay	—	1.0x
269	Talia Gibson	Total Games Won	9.5	9.67	+1.8%	MORE	LOW	Yulia Putintseva	clay	—	1.0x
270	Leylah Fernandez🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	5.0	5.08	+1.6%	MORE	LOW	Alycia Parks	clay	—	1.0x
271	Elena Rybakina🟨 WARM	Break Points Won	5.0	4.93	+1.5%	LESS	LOW	Veronika Erjavec	clay	—	1.0x
272	Julia Grabher	Total Games Won	11.5	11.65	+1.3%	MORE	LOW	Rebecca Sramkova	clay	—	0.5x
273	Jasmine Paolini🧊 COLD	Break Points Won	5.0	4.97	+0.7%	LESS	LOW	Dayana Yastremska	clay	—	1.0x
274	Kamilla Rakhimova🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	9.5	9.45	+0.5%	LESS	LOW	Jaqueline Cristian	clay	—	0.5x
275	Leolia Jeanjean	Break Points Won	5.0	4.99	+0.2%	LESS	LOW	Kaitlin Quevedo	clay	—	1.0x
276	Lois Boisson🧊 COLD	Total Games Won	11.5	11.51	+0.1%	MORE	LOW	Anna Kalinskaya	clay	—	0.5x

Kalshi tennis — 6 picks · $12.00 staked

Day 1 - paper only, grade EOD before scaling · locked 2026-05-24T13:14:10.350590+00:00

#	Match	Pick	Our P	Ask	Edge	Tier	Surface	Stake	Status	P&L
1	Eliot Spizzirri vs Frances Tiafoe	Eliot Spizzirri	45.0%	11¢	34.0pp	STRONG	clay	$2.00	OPEN	+0.00
2	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah vs Amanda Anisimova	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	38.5%	7¢	31.5pp	ELITE	clay	$2.00	OPEN	+0.00
3	Ann Li vs Shuai Zhang	Shuai Zhang	58.4%	29¢	29.4pp	ELITE	hard	$2.00	OPEN	+0.00
4	Ben Shelton vs Daniel Merida	Daniel Merida	50.0%	24¢	26.0pp	ELITE	clay	$2.00	OPEN	+0.00
5	Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Zhizhen Zhang	Zhizhen Zhang	51.1%	34¢	17.1pp	ELITE	hard	$2.00	OPEN	+0.00
6	Marcos Giron vs Yibing Wu	Yibing Wu	55.2%	47¢	8.2pp	ELITE	hard	$2.00	OPEN	+0.00

PrizePicks tennis — 5 picks · $5.00 staked

Day 1 - paper only, grade EOD before scaling · locked 2026-05-24T13:14:10.289164+00:00

#	Player	Stat	Line	Our proj	Side	Edge	Tier	Surface	Stake	Status	P&L
1	Barbora Krejcikova	Total Games Won	12.5	9.26	LESS	25.9%	STRONG	clay	$1.00	OPEN	+1.00
2	Hanyu Guo	Total Games Won	9.5	10.97	MORE	15.5%	ELITE	clay	$1.00	OPEN	+0.00
3	Qinwen Zheng	Total Games	21.5	24.43	MORE	13.6%	STRONG	clay	$1.00	OPEN	+0.00
4	Eliot Spizzirri	Total Games Won	11.5	10.01	LESS	12.9%	MED	clay	$1.00	OPEN	+0.00
5	Shuai Zhang	Total Games Won	9.5	8.86	LESS	6.7%	MED	clay	$1.00	OPEN	+0.00

Polymarket = retail/crypto sentiment. We can't bet there from CA, but the divergence vs Kalshi (sharp) reveals where the public is loading up. Generated 2026-05-24T10:46:48 · flagged threshold = ±3.0pp · 1 flagged futures / 0 flagged matches.

Grand-slam futures · ANY 2026 Slam (Kalshi KXATPGRANDSLAM vs Polymarket per-slam aggregate)

Polymarket "any-slam" probability computed naively as 1 - product(1 - p_slam). Positive divergence = public (Polymarket) more bullish than sharp (Kalshi). Sorted by |divergence|.

Player	Sharp (Kalshi)	Public (Poly)	Δ	Poly per-slam
Novak Djokovic · exact	11.5%	18.3%	+6.8pp · PUBLIC HIGHER	Fre 6%, Wim 10%, US 4%
Lorenzo Musetti · exact	4.5%	1.5%	-3.0pp · SHARP HIGHER	Wim 1%, US 1%
Jannik Sinner · exact	93.5%	95.6%	+2.1pp · PUBLIC HIGHER	Fre 72%, Wim 65%, US 56%
Alex de Minaur · exact	3.0%	1.3%	-1.7pp · SHARP HIGHER	Fre 0%, Wim 1%
Felix Auger-Aliassime · exact	2.0%	0.4%	-1.6pp · SHARP HIGHER	Wim 0%
Ben Shelton · exact	4.5%	5.9%	+1.4pp · PUBLIC HIGHER	Fre 1%, Wim 3%, US 2%
Karen Khachanov · exact	2.0%	0.9%	-1.1pp · SHARP HIGHER	Fre 0%, Wim 1%
Jack Draper · exact	4.5%	5.5%	+1.0pp · PUBLIC HIGHER	Wim 3%, US 2%
Alexander Bublik · exact	3.0%	2.0%	-1.0pp · SHARP HIGHER	Fre 1%, Wim 0%, US 1%
Daniil Medvedev · exact	8.0%	8.7%	+0.7pp · PUBLIC HIGHER	Fre 3%, Wim 2%, US 4%
Frances Tiafoe · exact	0.5%	1.0%	+0.5pp · PUBLIC HIGHER	Fre 0%, Wim 0%, US 1%
Alexander Zverev · exact	15.0%	14.7%	-0.3pp · SHARP HIGHER	Fre 8%, Wim 4%, US 3%
Casper Ruud · exact	3.5%	3.7%	+0.2pp · PUBLIC HIGHER	Fre 3%, Wim 0%
Taylor Fritz · exact	4.5%	4.5%	-0.0pp · SHARP HIGHER	Fre 0%, Wim 3%, US 1%

Per-match overlaps

No active per-match overlaps right now (Polymarket tennis volume concentrates in Grand Slam futures).

Per-stat-type MAE (n_graded=18)

Bar width = MAE (lower = better). "INSUFFICIENT" = need more graded picks.

Total Games

n=4

Ours

Us 6.45
PP 3.25
INSUFFICIENT_N

Total Games Won

n=13

Ours

Us 5.11
PP 4.96
NULL

Total Tie Breaks

n=1

Ours

Us 0.25
PP 0.50
INSUFFICIENT_N

Per-tier MAE

Bar width = MAE (lower = better). "INSUFFICIENT" = need more graded picks.

ELITE

n=16

Ours

Us 4.94
PP 3.75
NULL

MED

n=0

Ours

Us —
PP —
INSUFFICIENT_N

STRONG

n=2

Ours

Us 6.75
PP 9.00
INSUFFICIENT_N

[!]

No AAR available yet.
Expected: ~/.claude/projects/.../memory/aar_tennis_<date>.md

#	Player	Stat	Opp	Open	Latest	Diff	Abs	Direction
1	Novak Djokovic	Total Games	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	36.5	35.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
2	Rafael Jodar	Total Games	Aleksandar Kovacevic	32.5	31.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
3	Diane Parry	Total Games Won	Anhelina Kalinina	10.5	9.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
4	Diane Parry	Total Games Won	Anhelina Kalinina	10.5	9.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
5	Roman Safiullin	Total Games Won	Casper Ruud	12.5	13.5	+1.00	1.00	UP
6	Roman Safiullin	Total Games Won	Casper Ruud	12.5	13.5	+1.00	1.00	UP
7	Jiri Lehecka	Total Games	Pablo Carreno Busta	36.5	35.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
8	Pablo Carreno Busta	Total Games Won	Jiri Lehecka	17.5	16.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
9	Oleksandra Oliynykova	Total Games	Elena Pridankina	21.5	20.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
10	Elena Pridankina	Total Games Won	Oleksandra Oliynykova	11.5	10.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
11	Nikola Bartunkova	Total Games Won	Victoria Mboko	8.5	9.5	+1.00	1.00	UP
12	Hanyu Guo	Total Games Won	McCartney Kessler	9.5	10.5	+1.00	1.00	UP
13	Jesper De Jong	Total Games Won	Stan Wawrinka	19.5	20.5	+1.00	1.00	UP
14	Ugo Humbert	Total Games	Adrian Mannarino	34.5	33.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
15	Oleksandra Oliynykova	Total Games	Elena Pridankina	21.5	20.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
16	Alexander Zverev	Total Games	Tomas Machac	35.5	34.5	-1.00	1.00	DOWN
17	Karen Khachanov	Total Games	Marco Trungelliti	34.5	35.5	+1.00	1.00	UP
18	Peyton Stearns	Fantasy Score	Sofia Kenin	17.0	17.5	+0.50	0.50	UP
19	Novak Djokovic	Break Points Won	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	4.0	4.5	+0.50	0.50	UP

ATP top 50

Rk	Player	Country	Pts	ELO overall	ELO clay	ELO grass	ELO hard
1	Jannik Sinner	ITA	14350	2175	1857	1695	2062
2	Carlos Alcaraz	ESP	12960	2070	1867	1717	1956
3	Alexander Zverev	GER	5805	1961	1816	1594	1863
4	Novak Djokovic	SRB	4700	1955	1738	1636	1846
5	Felix Auger Aliassime	CAN	4050	1864	1605	1517	1803
6	Ben Shelton	USA	4030	1848	1683	1561	1765
7	Taylor Fritz	USA	3770	1826	1581	1722	1749
8	Alex De Minaur	AUS	3755	1847	1652	1590	1806
9	Daniil Medvedev	RUS	3460	1878	1641	1585	1845
10	Lorenzo Musetti	ITA	3415	1828	1756	1607	1723
11	Alexander Bublik	KAZ	3355	1803	1724	1569	1703
12	Flavio Cobolli	ITA	2750	1796	1720	1557	1655
13	Jiri Lehecka	CZE	2715	1837	1647	1574	1754
14	Andrey Rublev	RUS	2590	1762	1658	1516	1683
15	Karen Khachanov	RUS	2220	1691	1586	1567	1639
16	Valentin Vacherot	MON	2147	1810	1702	1467	1738
17	Arthur Fils	FRA	2130	1912	1762	1546	1771
18	Tommy Paul	USA	1975	1842	1748	1587	1743
19	Cameron Norrie	GBR	1918	1776	1658	1529	1682
20	Luciano Darderi	ITA	1890	1714	1767	1466	1466
21	Learner Tien	USA	1870	1800	1466	1506	1789
22	Frances Tiafoe	USA	1865	1771	1604	1488	1719
23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	ESP	1820	1756	1572	1545	1703
24	Arthur Rinderknech	FRA	1736	1713	1566	1530	1631
25	Casper Ruud	NOR	1735	1792	1744	1502	1685
26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry	ARG	1660	1785	1693	1456	1636
27	Francisco Cerundolo	ARG	1620	1801	1726	1426	1698
28	Jakub Mensik	CZE	1600	1795	1589	1497	1747
29	Joao Fonseca	BRA	1435	1818	1638	1495	1795
30	Corentin Moutet	FRA	1413	1706	1600	1574	1640
31	Tallon Griekspoor	NED	1360	1681	1575	1564	1645
32	Brandon Nakashima	USA	1295	1706	1570	1590	1660
33	Ugo Humbert	FRA	1280	1712	1451	1517	1697
34	Rafael Jodar	ESP	1273	1874	1714	—	1765
35	Alejandro Tabilo	CHI	1248	1786	1696	1575	1637
36	Alexander Blockx	BEL	1200	1820	1689	1508	1713
37	Denis Shapovalov	CAN	1170	1690	1498	1472	1698
38	Jaume Munar	ESP	1155	1695	1563	1508	1635
39	Zizou Bergs	BEL	1140	1705	1570	1521	1631
40	Holger Rune	DEN	1110	1744	1663	1515	1710
41	Tomas Machac	CZE	1100	1737	1592	1500	1682
42	Alex Michelsen	USA	1090	1715	1488	1538	1702
43	Sebastian Korda	USA	1050	1806	1537	1556	1757
44	Mariano Navone	ARG	1046	1718	1716	1460	1507
45	Adrian Mannarino	FRA	1035	1589	1390	1584	1569
46	Gabriel Diallo	CAN	1000	1651	1554	1576	1615
47	Marin Cilic	CRO	980	1710	1539	1611	1635
48	Ethan Quinn	USA	977	1731	1594	1509	1683
49	Fabian Marozsan	HUN	975	1672	1566	1450	1608
50	Jack Draper	GBR	960	1806	1634	1594	1750

WTA top 50

Rk	Player	Country	Pts	ELO overall	ELO clay	ELO grass	ELO hard
1	Aryna Sabalenka	BLR	10110	2115	1808	1588	2045
2	Elena Rybakina	KAZ	8555	2063	1760	1580	1972
3	Iga Swiatek	POL	6948	1924	1780	1658	1852
4	Coco Gauff	USA	6749	1957	1787	1519	1871
5	Jessica Pegula	USA	6136	1997	1701	1583	1901
6	Amanda Anisimova	USA	5985	1916	1561	1638	1822
7	Mirra Andreeva	RUS	4181	1932	1800	1513	1797
8	Jasmine Paolini	ITA	3722	1815	1707	1585	1741
9	Victoria Mboko	CAN	3531	1936	1704	1515	1891
10	Elina Svitolina	UKR	3530	1922	1727	1550	1824
11	Karolina Muchova	CZE	3318	1951	1597	1494	1869
12	Belinda Bencic	SUI	3090	1898	1584	1561	1831
13	Linda Noskova	CZE	2999	1881	1589	1583	1763
14	Ekaterina Alexandrova	RUS	2669	1747	1593	1584	1662
15	Marta Kostyuk	UKR	2507	1924	1757	1449	1755
16	Naomi Osaka	JPN	2341	1819	1628	1514	1734
17	Iva Jovic	USA	2235	1829	1663	1601	1759
18	Clara Tauson	DEN	2030	1746	1560	1520	1679
19	Madison Keys	USA	1946	1836	1706	1558	1766
20	Diana Shnaider	RUS	1946	1782	1647	1565	1686
21	Liudmila Samsonova	RUS	1895	1697	1604	1619	1566
22	Elise Mertens	BEL	1858	1802	1580	1581	1714
23	Leylah Fernandez	CAN	1851	1790	1590	1546	1679
24	Anna Kalinskaya	RUS	1758	1784	1538	1546	1721
25	Hailey Baptiste	USA	1747	1785	1662	1488	1667
26	Marie Bouzkova	CZE	1651	1773	1699	1476	1648
27	Sorana Cirstea	ROU	1595	1866	1612	1429	1797
28	Jaqueline Cristian	ROU	1437	1770	1635	1432	1698
29	Ann Li	USA	1435	1745	1638	1478	1647
30	Emma Raducanu	GBR	1430	1753	1570	1577	1658
31	Cristina Bucsa	ESP	1406	1738	1475	1514	1684
32	Qinwen Zheng	CHN	1405	1819	1737	1497	1737
33	Xin Yu Wang	CHN	1401	1735	1546	1591	1616
34	Maya Joint	AUS	1380	1711	1688	1579	1641
35	Emma Navarro	USA	1377	1680	1578	1590	1613
36	Jelena Ostapenko	LAT	1369	1723	1632	1534	1621
37	Sara Bejlek	CZE	1360	1832	1797	1486	1653
38	Anastasia Potapova	RUS	1355	1787	1690	1484	1640
39	Katerina Siniakova	CZE	1342	1777	1549	1578	1693
40	Janice Tjen	INA	1317	1817	1662	—	1785
41	Elisabetta Cocciaretto	ITA	1290	1800	1584	1577	1689
42	Alexandra Eala	PHI	1285	1786	1478	1600	1748
43	Lois Boisson	FRA	1268	1791	1811	1483	1554
44	Marketa Vondrousova	CZE	1263	1728	1606	1578	1609
45	Magdalena Frech	POL	1263	1649	1534	1434	1613
46	Laura Siegemund	GER	1250	1680	1535	1541	1592
47	Maria Sakkari	GRE	1238	1707	1563	1486	1658
48	Tereza Valentova	CZE	1231	1845	1746	1517	1788
49	Peyton Stearns	USA	1211	1710	1636	1471	1621
50	Mccartney Kessler	USA	1204	1754	1516	1583	1688

Source	DB / file	Last pulled	Age	Rows	Status
Kalshi KXATPMATCH	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-24T17:44:22.672814+00:00	2m	1864	fresh
Kalshi KXWTAMATCH	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-24T17:44:22.672814+00:00	2m	1732	fresh
Kalshi KXFRENCHOPEN	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-24T17:44:22.672814+00:00	2m	0	fresh
Kalshi KXFOPENMENSINGLE	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-24T17:44:22.672814+00:00	2m	0	fresh
Kalshi KXATPGRANDSLAM	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-24T17:44:22.672814+00:00	2m	14	fresh
Kalshi KXUSOPEN	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-24T17:44:22.672814+00:00	2m	0	fresh
Kalshi KXATPSETWINNER	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-24T17:44:22.672814+00:00	2m	3714	fresh
Kalshi KXATPTOTALSETS	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-24T17:44:22.672814+00:00	2m	0	fresh
Kalshi KXATPSETSWEEP	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-24T17:44:22.672814+00:00	2m	0	fresh
Kalshi KXATPGAMESPREAD	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-24T17:44:22.672814+00:00	2m	0	fresh
Kalshi KXATPEXACTMATCH	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-24T17:44:22.672814+00:00	2m	1498	fresh
Kalshi KXWTADOUBLES	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-24T17:44:22.672814+00:00	2m	0	fresh
Kalshi KXATP1RANK	tennis_kalshi.sqlite	2026-05-24T17:44:22.672814+00:00	2m	16	fresh
elo last computed	tennis.sqlite	2026-05-24T17:44:19+00:00	2m	20051	fresh
rankings last pulled	tennis.sqlite	2026-05-24T17:44:22+00:00	2m	3745	fresh
rankings atp latest date	tennis.sqlite	2026-05-04	497.78h	—	stale
rankings wta latest date	tennis.sqlite	2026-05-04	497.78h	—	stale
mirror atp schedule	tennis.sqlite	2026-05-24T17:45:55.040581+00:00	1m	236	fresh
h2h last computed	tennis.sqlite	2026-05-17T10:11:57.514615+00:00	175.58h	—	stale
h2h n pairs	tennis.sqlite	190184	missing	—	missing
last player db run	tennis.sqlite	1779644771	missing	—	missing
results last_run	tennis_results.sqlite	[2026-05-24T17:45:57.482183+00:00] 2026-05-24T17:45:55.467671+00:00; dates=['20260523']; rows=655; resolved=633	missing	—	missing
pp_edges CSV	pp_edges_tennis_2026-05-24.csv	2026-05-24T17:46:37.290343+00:00	0m	—	fresh
kalshi edges JSON	tennis_kalshi_edges_2026-05-24.json	2026-05-24T17:46:26.813724+00:00	0m	—	fresh
paper trades PP	paper_trades_pp_tennis_2026-05-24.json	2026-05-24T17:46:39.681000+00:00	0m	—	fresh
paper trades Kalshi	paper_trades_kalshi_tennis_2026-05-24.json	2026-05-24T17:46:40.209994+00:00	0m	—	fresh
daily payload	daily_tennis_2026-05-24.json	2026-05-24T17:46:41.118424+00:00	0m	—	fresh
PP movement	pp_line_movement_tennis_2026-05-24.csv	2026-05-24T17:46:40.583955+00:00	0m	—	fresh
PP calibration	pp_calibration_tennis.json	2026-05-24T17:46:40.412884+00:00	0m	—	fresh